Is the top eight set already?

Discussion in 'ORFFA' started by graeme, Jul 26, 2017.

  1. graeme

    graeme Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Jan 3, 2016
    Messages:
    4,046
    Likes Received:
    2,802
    Feeling a bit chirpy today and thought I would give my view on the likely composition of the top 8. All views (contrary or agreeing) are welcome. Please don't be too offended if I have written your team off - reply.
    Right now there are only 10 sides with a mathmatical chance of making the eight. Lets have a look at the upcoming, penultimate round and try to sort out the final sequence. NB, I have only looked at games in which the current top 10 are involved.
    vultures v battlers - can only see one outcome. Vultures move to 60 points.
    'hoopers v cows - sorry SnOZ, i think the Cows pick up the points - Cows move to 60 points, 'hoppers remain on 44.
    chooks v misfits - gws have a soft game at home against freo and that should be enough for the misfits to emerge victorious. Misfits move to 52 points, chooks remain on 36.
    inflatables v codpieces - jimbos mob pick up another 4 points to move to 44. With a superior points for they move past the 'hoppers
    packers v devils - again can only see one result. Devils move to 40 points.
    warriors v cockys - ant on a roll and unless TiB's port boys have a huge day the visitors win. Cockys move to 36 points, warriors remain on 32 points. Probably the single most important match up of the last two weeks, the winner makes the eight, the loser doesn't.
    nuffers v uglies - one result only, uglies move to 32 points.

    Ladder reflecting points for after round 19 / ORFFA round 16:
    Vultures - 60
    Cows - 60
    Misfits - 52
    Cods - 44
    Hoppers - 44
    Devils - 40
    Chooks - 36
    Cockies - 36
    Uglies - 32
    Warriors - 32

    Then onto the final round.
    vultures v cows - Fitzy's mob round out a great H&A season. Vultures to 64, cows remain on 60 points.
    lilcas v misfits - Len's mob have a dress rehearsal for the finals and move to 56 points.
    hoppers v wombats - sNoZ's depth will be tested against the inconsistant wombats but Rocky comes right. Hoppers move to 48 points. However, their points for is "putrid".
    chooks v codpieces - the cods have been on a tear but will find the chooks a little too strong. Chooks move to 40, cods remain on 44 points. However, a win to the cods could see them into the top four and a possible rematch with the chooks in the first round of the finals. Keep an eye on this vital game.
    nuffers v devils - can only see one result and the devils move to 44 points, and they move above the cods based on points for.
    packers v cockies - again I think this is clear cut and the cockies move to 40 points.
    bye v uglies - jellys guy's season does not end with a bang and the uglies move to 36 points which despite a late season charge is not good enough.
    warriors v blimps - the home team gets up in a close game and moves to 36 points. However, TiB's side also miss the eight.


    Final ladder reflecting points for after round 20 / ORFFA round 17:
    Vultures - 64
    Cows - 60
    Misfits - 56
    Hoppers - 48
    Devils - 44
    Cods - 44
    Chooks - 40
    Cockies - 40
    Uglies - 36
    Warriors - 36

    To answer the question in the thread title - yes the eight teams are set but the order will likely change. Just one coach's opinion.
     
    • Like Like x 3
  2. Bandit

    Bandit Moderator Staff Member

    Joined:
    Jan 3, 2016
    Messages:
    3,496
    Likes Received:
    3,194
    Great write up @graeme, and I agree with your assessment

    I think even if the chooks lose that last one it won't be enough for the uglies or islanders to get into the 8.

    I feel for @Fitzy....choice of opponent in this will not be easy. A lot may depend if @dmandrews has the Rolls Royce Pendlebury back
     
    • Like Like x 1
  3. Len

    Len Cockburn Knightrider Staff Member

    Joined:
    Jan 3, 2016
    Messages:
    10,563
    Likes Received:
    5,985
    Great stuff @graeme I agree with bandit, your assessment appears pretty on target, though we all know how fickle the fantasy footy gods are.. And yeah, I'm not keen on having to pick an opponent, never liked the idea whilst understanding it's existence, fortunately I'll only have 1 or 2 to choose from at best.
     
    • Like Like x 1
  4. ChiefRussell

    ChiefRussell Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Jan 3, 2016
    Messages:
    788
    Likes Received:
    855
    I think I will lose both of the last two (making that 5 losses from the last six I think), but will hang on to finals by virtue of my points for. Should then be an easy kill for whoever.

    But, pick 11 will be my best selection in a draft since Pick 4 in the inaugural
     
    • Like Like x 2
  5. Bandit

    Bandit Moderator Staff Member

    Joined:
    Jan 3, 2016
    Messages:
    3,496
    Likes Received:
    3,194
    Also good to see the Spelunkers are the only team not to have a say in the 8 in the final two rounds... I might field a team of :donut:
     
    • Like Like x 2
  6. JC

    JC Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Jan 3, 2016
    Messages:
    1,773
    Likes Received:
    1,680
    You and I play in the last round - maybe we should both just pick with the 3 or 4 players we're we're actually happy with and drop the rest? :)
     
    • Like Like x 3
  7. Bandit

    Bandit Moderator Staff Member

    Joined:
    Jan 3, 2016
    Messages:
    3,496
    Likes Received:
    3,194
    We could have a get stuffed match!
     
    • Like Like x 1
  8. TerryinBangkok

    TerryinBangkok Moderator Staff Member

    Joined:
    Jan 3, 2016
    Messages:
    5,710
    Likes Received:
    2,108
    Reads like a good novel.
     
  9. anthak

    anthak Moderator Staff Member

    Joined:
    Jan 3, 2016
    Messages:
    10,186
    Likes Received:
    5,016
    Huuuge game between Cockies and Warriors this week!
    I'm not feeling too confident at all.
    Wingard out hurts me, he's been in top form.

    With so much riding on the game, im second-guessing my selection decisions more than ever.

    I'm considering playing some kids over guys like Guthrie, Young and Rischitelli. The likes of Mathieson, Charlie Curnow, Hugh Greenwood et al are all very tempting to play.
     
  10. Bandit

    Bandit Moderator Staff Member

    Joined:
    Jan 3, 2016
    Messages:
    3,496
    Likes Received:
    3,194
    Mad if you don't play Greenwood for mine, but I'm all care no responsibility!
     
    • Like Like x 1
  11. anthak

    anthak Moderator Staff Member

    Joined:
    Jan 3, 2016
    Messages:
    10,186
    Likes Received:
    5,016
    He's been in and out of my team a few times last night. Then today I heard RiskyTV has an injury concern, so I'll definitely be playing Greenwood over him now
     
  12. TerryinBangkok

    TerryinBangkok Moderator Staff Member

    Joined:
    Jan 3, 2016
    Messages:
    5,710
    Likes Received:
    2,108
    Wiiiiitch one?
     
    • Like Like x 2
  13. anthak

    anthak Moderator Staff Member

    Joined:
    Jan 3, 2016
    Messages:
    10,186
    Likes Received:
    5,016
    In the end, Mathieson and Greenwood bombed out, but Charlie C did well again.

    I only played Greenwood and at least he did better than Risky TV.
     
    • Like Like x 1
  14. graeme

    graeme Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Jan 3, 2016
    Messages:
    4,046
    Likes Received:
    2,802
    From above, Ladder reflecting points for after round 19 / ORFFA round 16:
    Vultures - 60 - check
    Cows - 60 - check
    Misfits - 52 - check
    Cods - 44 - wrong should be 40 and sixth place behind the devils
    Hoppers - 44 - check
    Devils - 40 - check
    Chooks - 36 - check
    Cockies - 36 - check
    Uglies - 32 - check
    Warriors - 32 - check

    Revised predicted ladder after the final H&A round, Still reckon the chooks will get up over the Cods, with the latter dropping from possibly fifth with a win to eighth with a loss.
    Vultures - 64
    Cows - 60
    Misfits - 56
    Hoppers - 48
    Devils - 44
    Chooks - 40
    Cockies - 40
    Cods - 40

    Uglies - 36
    Warriors - 36

    N.B. It gets quite interesting if the improving wisdom of wombats beat the badly winged 'hoppers as this would mean Dean's Devils rather than snOZ's 'hoppers faces the team the top three do not want to play. Perhaps fifth is a better finishing spot than fourth?
     
    • Like Like x 3
  15. Bandit

    Bandit Moderator Staff Member

    Joined:
    Jan 3, 2016
    Messages:
    3,496
    Likes Received:
    3,194
    I reckon the codpieces are firming against the blue poultry
     
    • Like Like x 1
  16. anthak

    anthak Moderator Staff Member

    Joined:
    Jan 3, 2016
    Messages:
    10,186
    Likes Received:
    5,016
    Ive often thought this over the years too
     
  17. Bandit

    Bandit Moderator Staff Member

    Joined:
    Jan 3, 2016
    Messages:
    3,496
    Likes Received:
    3,194
    @snoz ... sort your shit out and lose this week so Lenny goes above me :D
     
    • Like Like x 1
  18. JC

    JC Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Jan 3, 2016
    Messages:
    1,773
    Likes Received:
    1,680
    As if you're losing to me this week..... please :rolleyes:

    :p
     
    • Like Like x 2
  19. ChiefRussell

    ChiefRussell Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Jan 3, 2016
    Messages:
    788
    Likes Received:
    855
    No Danger. Some might say No Chooks.

    Others might say that we have been strategically resting blokes over the last seven weeks just to get set for a Bulldogs like finals tilt.

    And Bandit, well, he'll probably say that we have been giving blokes the week off in order to shoot them all full of cobalt.

    Pretty sure it's all or none of the above.
     
    • Like Like x 4
  20. snoz

    snoz Moderator

    Joined:
    Jan 3, 2016
    Messages:
    1,432
    Likes Received:
    1,793
    Fielding a team of 12 year olds so Lenny has a good shot
     
    • Like Like x 1

Share This Page