As part of the latest upcoming update to TooSerious, Ive been tabluating teams For and Against scores.

Amusingly, Ive found that the current ladder (Based on for/against percentages for the ladder, along with any win-losses) would read like this.

<table style="BORDER-RIGHT: silver 1pt solid; BORDER-TOP: silver 1pt solid; BORDER-LEFT: silver 1pt solid; BORDER-BOTTOM: silver 1pt solid"><tbody>Team

Points

Percentage


HAW

40

111.1163


SYD

36

116.3856


GEE

36

113.5203


WBD

32

112.3152


ADE

32

109.4601


COL

28

108.5933


BRL

28

100.7520


RIC

20

103.9645









CAR

20

101.8575


PTA

16

99.1661


KAN

16

94.7696


STK

16

94.6065


ESS

12

82.5621


WCE

8

89.9383


FRE

8

86.6608


MEL

4

83.5211


Which is pretty close to the actual ladder.

Which makes me wonder, can we use this data to make predictions about how we think the ladder will look at seasons end?

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Teams 1-6, look pretty locked in. especially when you consider how much higher their percentages are over the rest of the league.

The both 4 teams look like they will stay down there (Based on percentages)

Which leaves 6 teams to fill the final two spots in the finals.

The current *real* 8th and 9th teams (STK and KAN) have the lowest percentage here, and as such, I dont think they will make the finals.

That said, the team coming 7th in percentage, Richmond, seems to have a nack of losing games the shouldnt have, and will be punished by a lack of wins.

Which leaves the final 2 spots in the finals open to Carlton, Port and Brisbane...

Im gunna lock in Brisbane and ... Port. Only because their run home is marginally easier than Carltons... (though round 19 might be a dooozy!)