The run home

Discussion in 'ORFFA' started by anthak, Aug 3, 2015.

  1. anthak

    anthak Moderator Staff Member

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    With just 2 rounds remaining now until our finals, I thought it is as good a time as any to look at the run home for all of the teams still in with a chance of finals footy. <div>
    <div>Here they are, in order of the current ladder: <div>
    <div>Foul Bay, currently on 50pts. Due to play @ Birdsville & @ Whitsunday. Two away games to finish. This team knows how to win. Could finish as high as 1st, and as low as 4th maybe. Likely to finish around 1st. <div>Venus Bay, 42 pts. vWhitsunday & vWaikikamoocow. Two home games to finish, but tough matchups.Could finish as high as 1st, and as low as 8th. Likely to finish around 2nd. <div>Waikikamoocow,42 pts.v Powlett Plains & @Venus Bay. Playing two other top4 sides.Could finish as high as 1st, and as low as 8th. Likely to finish around 3rd. <div>Powlett Plains,42 pts. @Waikikamoocow &v Marble Bar. Tough game in NZ this week, and is very important.Could finish as high as 1st, and as low as 8th. Likely to finish around 4th. <div>Birdsville,42 pts.v Foul Bay & @Darraweit Guim. Has the lowest points total of top 8, with two tough games to finish.Could finish as high as 1st, and as low as 8th. Likely to finish around 8th. <div>Iron Knob, 38 pts. @Mt Beauty &v Wagga Wagga. Tough games, but should do enough to stay in the 8.Could finish as high as 2nd, and as low as 11th maybe. Likely to finish around 5th. <div>Larrikin Lagoon, 34 pts. @Nunawading &v Cradle Mountain. On fire since mid season, should keep it going, and may push for top 4.Could finish as high as 3rd, and as low as 14th. Likely to finish around 6th. <div>Darraweit Guim,34 pts. @Lovely Banks &v Birdsville. Probably the only top 8 team who realistically could miss out, but will probably hold on.Could finish as high as 3rd, and as low as 14th. Likely to finish around 7th. <div>Charlies Opening, 30 pts. @Gundagai &v Gariwerd. In Ok form, and both winnable games.Could finish as high as 5th, and as low as 14th. Likely to finish around 9th. <div>Mount Beauty, 30 pts.v Iron Knob &v Lovely Banks. In excellent form and both games at home.Could finish as high as 5th, and as low as 14th. Likely to finish around 10th. <div>Wagga Wagga, 30 pts.v Cradle Mountain & @Iron Knob. Struggling with a lot of injuries and poor form.Could finish as high as 5th, and as low as 14th. Likely to finish around 13th. <div>Gariwerd, 26 pts.v Marble Bar & @Charlies Opening. Even if DGD lose both, will struggle to jump ahead of COS and MBU.Could finish as high as 7th, and as low as 14th. Likely to finish around 11th. <div>Cradle Mountain, 26 pts. @Wagga Wagga & @Larrikin Lagoon. Two away games to finish and unlikely to make the 8.Could finish as high as 7th, and as low as 14th. Likely to finish around 12th. <div>Nunawading, 26 pts.v Larrikin Lagoon & @Gundagai. Almost impossible to make it. Would need to score huge!Could finish as high as 7th, and as low as 14th. Likely to finish around 14th. <div>
    <div>Looks like the top 8 will remain fairly settled. <div>
    <div>Biggest games coming up: <div>Round 16: <div>Mt Beauty Uglies v Iron Knob Codpieces <div>Waikikamoocow Incorrigibles v Powlett Plains Packers <div>
    <div>Round 17: <div>Darraweit Guim Dirigibles v Birdsville Battlers


     
  2. graeme

    graeme Guest

    Nice analysis Ant - well done. I am guessing many are like the Cows - waiting on the injury reports. If Fyfe, McGovern, Harwood, Graham, McLean and Menzel are available we may well be competitive (especially if Brad Crouch were to have an unexpected quick recovery. A few decent ins and then I face the problem of who to select - an issue at which historically [span style='font-size: 14px; background-color: #ffffff;]I havebeen very poor. ]On the other hand new injuries or suspensions would make it very tough. [span style='font-size: 14px; background-color: #ffffff;]
    [span style='font-size: 14px; background-color: #ffffff;]Despite his protestations ChiefBet is for mine still the hot favourite.
     
  3. Len

    Len Cockburn Knightrider Staff Member

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    graeme wrote:
    Nice analysis Ant - well done. I am guessing many are like the Cows - waiting on the injury reports. If Fyfe, McGovern, Harwood, Graham, McLean and Menzel are available we may well be competitive (especially if Brad Crouch were to have an unexpected quick recovery. A few decent ins and then I face the problem of who to select - an issue at which historically [span style='font-size: 14px; background-color: #ffffff;]I havebeen very poor. ]On the other hand new injuries or suspensions would make it very tough. [span style='font-size: 14px; background-color: #ffffff;]
    [span style='font-size: 14px; background-color: #ffffff;]Despite his protestations ChiefBet is for mine still the hot favourite. Agreed Graeme, though I do think grav is likely to cause some serious finals hardship for teams currently above him
     
  4. ChiefRussell

    ChiefRussell Well-Known Member

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    graeme wrote:
    Nice analysis Ant - well done. I am guessing many are like the Cows - waiting on the injury reports. If Fyfe, McGovern, Harwood, Graham, McLean and Menzel are available we may well be competitive (especially if Brad Crouch were to have an unexpected quick recovery. A few decent ins and then I face the problem of who to select - an issue at which historically [span style='font-size: 14px; background-color: #ffffff;]I havebeen very poor. ]On the other hand new injuries or suspensions would make it very tough. [span style='font-size: 14px; background-color: #ffffff;]
    [span style='font-size: 14px; background-color: #ffffff;]Despite his protestations ChiefBet is for mine still the hot favourite. Can't win with 14 players Graeme. Unless injury befalls Tom Nicholls that is my reality no matter how well the other 14 players score. Iron Knob in a similar predicament to me, but they at least have a higher chance of Hale or Minson playing so I would have them in front. Larrakin Lagoon and Venus Bay looking the most likely for mine and you might get your players back just in time to make a good run at it.
     
  5. Bandit

    Bandit Moderator Staff Member

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    Stop slaying my ruckmen
     
  6. TerryinBangkok

    TerryinBangkok Moderator Staff Member

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    With 1st place wrapped up, don't be surprised if the Chooks rest a few stars over the last 2 rounds.
     

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