By the time you read this, the NRL tips will be out (http://www.tipbetpro.com/#!current-round/kzu9o) – and then of course there is the State of Origin on tonight (http://www.tipbetpro.com/#!Special-State-of-Origin-2/xtmz9/5767fbe60cf202b677de7fbb) – I mentioned it last time and I’ll say it again, I wish we had this in the AFL still.

So being the second week of the bye-rounds, I’ve again excluded players who have a bye this week from the main list, but included them in the “wait a week” list – made sense to me. I’ve also “italicised” the players who had a bye last week as I personally think these are the players you should bring in if you can (you effectively get an extra round out of them).

I did consider only naming players who had the bye last week – but that is really up to your own personal situation and strategy.

So what are we doing this week for Buy of the week?

Well as I said – no it’s not Jack Steven, at almost $600k he is just a bit too pricey for his average and record. However, we are again doing something completely different… I’m naming 2 BoTWs!

Yes that’s right, I’m giving you two pieces of gold for the price of one – one forward and one midfielder, and both are unlikely to be popular.

Firstly I want to make one thing clear – I am not a Tigers fan. Yes I like their song (best song in the comp – that is not up for discussion), but I also like watching them either just miss the finals or get booted out quickly… It amuses me. However the Tigers had a bye last week which makes their players attractive this week. The Tigers also play Brisbane this week, which makes them even more attractive, and then Essendon in a few rounds to top things off.

There are actually 3 Tiger players who could have made the cut – Cotchin, Martin and Deledio.

Cotchin is our mid – A solid average, a very good last 3 games (average of 117) and $20k change from $600k. He has only had two bad games – the first game of the year, and the game he got injured – exclude those and his average would be 119. Now I can already hear the screams of “what about Ablett?”. Firstly, I’ve already named him BoTW once, and it would be odd to name him again. Secondly, he had 3 very good games after coming back from injury, but 5 average games before that – he makes the list, but hard to recommend as BoTW.

As for our fellow yellow and black man up forward, we are recommending Deledio – but only due to price. Lids is $40k+ cheaper than Dusty, and after his first 2 games back this season, hasn’t scored less than 90 in the next 5 (an average of 105). Make no mistake, Martin is also a good pick – after a slow start (i.e. his first 5 games) he has average just over 120 from the next 7 including a big 167 before last week’s bye. Nevertheless, rightly or wrongly, we are going with Lids – if for no other reason than Martin is already in 44% of SC teams so it seems rather pointless to tell you to pick him up when the chances are you already have him, Deledio on the other hand is only in 4% of SC teams (Cotchin is in just over 2% of teams).

So get Cotchin, get Deledio but hey if you don’t have him maybe get Dusty instead… Oh and Rance is well priced too if you need a defender - Oh we're from Tigerland…

Again, the format below is:
POSITION Name (CLUB) – current price (expected increase) – AVERAGE

DEFENDERS
Rookies:
M/D Jesse Joyce (GCS) - 102k (+7k) - AVG=27(Not much in the way of rookies this week)
DEF Jason Castagna (RIC) - 117k (+13k) - AVG=37

Keepers:
DEF Rory Laird (ADE) - 472k (0k) - AVG=96 (Has had his bye, and is well priced)
DEF Alex Rance (RIC) - 478k (+5k) - AVG=98 (I wasn’t joking, Rance is another Tiger who is well priced)
M/D Jimmy Bartel (GEE) - 528k (+4k) - AVG=99 (Another option, but I’d probably go with one of the players who have had their bye)
DEF Kade Simpson (CAR) - 529k (+3k) - AVG=105 (Not as cheap as Laird or Rance and not as good as Docherty or Shaw at the moment, so hard to recommend unless you have the rest or don’t like them)
DEF Sam Docherty (CAR) - 576k (-5k) - AVG=110 (I believe we recommended Docherty when we was worth something in the low 400’s – so not everything I say is crap)
DEF Heath Shaw (GWS) - 619k (-5k) - AVG=117 (Why do you not have Shaw already? We told you to get him)

Midfielders
Rookies:
MID Matthew Goodyear (COL) - 124k (+1k) - AVG=26= (That’s not a great average is it…)
MID Darcy MacPherson (GCS) - 155k (+23k) - AVG=60 (Still a good price and a good average - EDIT - BUT APPARENTLY INJURED, so not a good choice)
MID Kade Stewart (HAW) - 169k (+32k) - AVG=72 (Always worry about Hawthorn rookies keeping their spots)
MID Brent Macaffer (COL) - 174k (+3k) - AVG=38

Keepers: (There are lots of good mids – this list is not exhaustive)
MID Trent Cotchin (RIC) - 579k (-3k) - AVG=111 (Shares the BoTW honours this week)
MID Joel Selwood (GEE) - 581k (+12k) - AVG=113 (A better buy last week or the week before, has been known to have his ups and downs so may become good value again)
MID Lachie Neale (FRE) - 582k (-12k) - AVG=114 (likely to come down in value, so may be a good value after the bye rounds)
MID Gary Ablett (GCS) - 583k (+5k) - AVG=116 (Could he be regaining his form of the gold ol’ days? Maybe…)
MID Jack Steven (STK) - 595k (+5k) - AVG=110 (May not be the best buy now, but would have been 5 weeks ago!)
MID Scott Pendlebury (COL) - 641k (-6k) - AVG=120 (A gun, but a little bit pricey at the moment)
MID Patrick Dangerfield (GEE) - 709k (+38k) - AVG=136 (probably not the best time to buy him)

Rucks
Rookies:
None this week

Keepers:
RUC Todd Goldstein (NTH) - 567k (-14k) - AVG=114 (Will likely go down in price once more and has a bye next week – maybe look elsewhere)

Forwards
Rookies:
M/F Sam J. Reid (GWS) - 119k (+28k) - AVG=52
FWD Eli Templeton (STK) - 196k (+1k) - AVG=40
Keepers:
M/F Leigh Montagna (STK) - 480k (-7k) - AVG=100 (I’ve kind of named him once as BoTW, but again he looks good value)
FWD Josh JENKINS (ADE) - 507k (+21k) - AVG=95 (Much like Josh Kennedy a few weeks ago, or Waite earlier in the season, I don’t like recommending forwards which get a lot of their score through goals)
M/F Michael BARLOW (FRE) - 519k (+20k) - AVG=99 (He is to your forward line what Rockliff is to your midfield – you’ve had him, you’ve dropped him, and now you are considering him again…)
FWD Brett Deledio (RIC) - 525k (-7k) - AVG=97 (BoTW number 2!)
M/F Dayne Zorko (BRL) - 532k (-4k) - AVG=113 (Has come down in price since his BoTW status, but has still scored well)
M/F Daniel Wells (NTH) - 536k (+11k) - AVG=106 (Is he an injury concern still? Either way, maybe wait until after their bye next week)

M/F Dustin MARTIN (RIC) - 567k (+3k) - AVG=109 (Is in 44% of SC teams – but if he wasn’t then he may have been a BoTW)

Still a week away – either due to a bye, or only having played one game:
M/D Thomas Cole (WCE) - 117k - AVG=45
DEF Aliir Aliir (SYD) - 124k - AVG=46
F/D Eric Hipwood (BRL) - 162k - AVG=54
DEF Jason Ashby (ESS) - 165k - AVG=53
DEF Jasper Pittard (PTA) - 475k - AVG=95
DEF Matthew Boyd (WBD) - 526k - AVG=101
MID Corey Wagner (NTH) - 117k - AVG=34
MID Matthew Kennedy (GWS) - 167k - AVG=67
MID Daniel Hannebery (SYD) - 562k - AVG=115
RUC Sam GRIMLEY (ESS) - 124k - AVG=38
RUC Max GAWN (MEL) - 581k - AVG=117
M/F Tom Phillips (COL) - 117k - AVG=64
FWD Nicholas Kommer (ESS) - 124k - AVG=35
M/F Zac Merrett (ESS) - 516k - AVG=104

So that’s Best Buys for this week.

Good luck to all with your trades and hopefully some wins on the weekend. For all your trade discussion feel free to join us in the comments section below.

Cheers

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