Update from the Badlands where Maralinga are a decent chance to upset Jan Juc leading 1111/12 (93) to 904/11(82).
given who you and the shags have left to play you would be 50 point favourites (unless Hickey pulls out a 150 score) Len !
For the first time in three months, the boozers look like ending their losing streak, damaging the fugitives chances of making the eight. Currently 43 behind with Martin and rocky vs Shiel only.
potentially these could be the results but it is fairly likely there are still some bugs in the data so no guarantees (edit - apart from the spready picking up the wrong Tom Lynch for Rutherglen it looks pretty clean) a few upsets by the looks and almost another one with Dingo Beach copping a donut
Mole Creek couldn't hold back the surging Chumps this round, @choppers boys taking the contest 1445 to 1201. The Glow Worms take heart from one of there stronger showings, but will need to show a lot more to fight for finals having slipped out to 9th on percentage.
The Fugitives have let a golden opportunity slip to jump back in to the 8. Despite being 5th for points scored the inability to close out tight games has hurt the Fugitives. Will need a victory and for other results to go their way in the final round to scrape into the 8.
Low scoring match against the league leaders, Dropbears should be worried as they wont be able to get away with that kinda score for finals.
Personally I reckon Drouin (@stowie) just had that week where a number of players were all down on the previous week (when they scored an ORFFF record 1587) and it didn't help that they copped Gwilt's injury midgame. As such I see them being between 1320 and 1500 from now until the end of the season, with the finals generally having the better scoring teams all finalists would want to be in the high 1300s or low 1400s to start to feel like a strong chance of winning. IMO they shouldn't be any more worried about losing finals than they were a week or 2 ago.
RECAP The top 5 sides won in Round 14 but the next 5 on the ladder all lost, which means that Wedge Island (@Bearfly) jumped from 11th spot into the 8 - after last being in the 8 after Round 6 - with an ORFFF record 428 victory over 12 man Walpole (@port_leschenault) who appear to have wrapped up the ORFFF wooden spoon with a round to play but have prioritised a strong team culture over short term success (refer to their midseason delisting of Michael Talia due to discomfort with his influence on their young playing list). Dingo Beach (@insider) played well but were unable to conjure a remarkable victory over the Noahs (@That KI Guy) with only 14 suiting up, with the 2nd placed side scraping through to a 25 point victory which ensures they will finish 2nd behind the Dropbears. Neptune Island face Chinchilla at home in Round 15 and an away win to the Chumps would not only secure them a top 4 position but also provide a mental edge in the likely event that the teams play each other on the same turf in the ORFFF finals. Dingo Beach would need to smash out a massive score in Round 15, defeat Mt Thirsty and have a number of other results go their way to scrape into 8th position after the home and away season. The afore mentioned Mt Thirsty (@leematty1) won for the first time since mid April (Round 4) to throw Rutherglen’s (@tyze1) finals hopes into disarray after the unexpected 65 point loss. Maralinga’s (@DamoH) 135 point upset of Jan Juc (@thokash) kept the Atoms in mathematical contention for the finals as they face the Fugitives in a sudden death Round 15 match - with other results needing to go their way – while Jan Juc can wrap up a finals spot with a win over Heard Island in Round 15 there points scored is likely to see them hold on regardless unless a number of results go against them. Cockburn (@Len) kept up their pursuit of the top 4 with a relentless 110 point victory over the Shags (@anthak), but the 29ers and Chumps (@choppers) managed 222 and 244 point victories over Port Lincoln (@MrsBear) and Mole Creek (@ViQBoZ) to maintain the status quo. Mole Creek face the bottom placed Woylies in Round 15 and unless the Woylies have a number of in’s this week they are favoured to secure win #8 for 2016 which would see them play finals if any of the 4 teams above fail to secure victory next week. The week’s feature match saw the Virgins gallant in coach @YAD69’s debut ORFFF match, but the premiership favourites from Drouin (@stowie) managed to secure the 4 points and the minor premiership a round early despite playing well beneath their normal lofty standards. Stowie can cap off a remarkable home and way season with a win in the mouth-watering clash against the White Pointers, however regardless of the result the Dropbears can prepare for the finals with confidence in their ability to knock off whichever of the 29ers, Chumps and Avengers snag’s 4th position when the finals begin. While 7 teams battle it out for the last 3 finals positions the 3 way battle for 3rd and 4th spot is arguably likely to have more influence on the premiership markets in 2016 and will fittingly go down to the wire in a fitting finale to the regular season. Cockburn’s top 4 ambitions depend on securing an SA derby victory away to the Power and relying on one or both of Black Swamp and Chinchilla to get rolled by fellow top 8 sides Useless Loop and Neptune Island. Remarkably this is the week that Port Adelaide and GWS face off which will have a major influence on the outcome of the Cockburn-Port Lincoln result – particularly if the margin is close as at 440pm on Sunday afternoon- given both teams are unashamedly heavily geared towards their AFL allegiances.
Excellent stuff mate, a lot riding on three clashes for the Avengers this week, the preseason conditioning staff have all been replaced in an attempt to ensure we don't start 0 and 4 next year..
Fantastic stuff @TheTassieHawk @Len just make sure you dont do a north melbourne and go the opposite way.