Best Buys - Round 5

Discussion in 'Blog' started by That KI Guy, Apr 26, 2018.

By That KI Guy on Apr 26, 2018 at 1:14 AM
  1. That KI Guy

    That KI Guy Moderator Staff Member

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    Upgrade season!

    But before we get hasty, we need to be thinking about which premos we realistically think will be top shelf in their respective positions for the rest of the year. Remember there’s still plenty of footy to play out and aggregate is just as important as average when deciding on premos you are bringing in at this point of the season.

    The list below is purely my take on which premos have bottomed out (or still represent value based on average) and are worthy considerations to fill your top shelf for the remainder of the season.


    Player of the week

    Elliot Yeo WC Def $506K BE 40 Avg 101

    It will no doubt be a rollercoaster as he occasionally gets thrown into a different role. Pretty much lock him in as a top 6 defender regardless. This will probably be the cheapest we’ll see him all season.
    Edit - WARNING, possible late out with injury

    Premiums

    Kade Simpson Carl Def $532K BE 99 Avg 117
    Another locked top 6 defender that has all but bottomed out after matching his 141 BE this weekend. Could wait another week without massive price jump.


    Zach Merrett Ess Mid $486K BE 71 Avg 77
    Is Zerrett back? Back to back tons would suggest so.

    Top 8 mid? Coin toss I reckon but has form. Don’t be put off by the slow start, that’s his MO. Previous two seasons (where he has averaged 109+ for the year), he started with only 3 tons in first six games. Not to mention his concussion affected round 1.


    Clayton Oliver Melb Mid $581K BE 117 Avg 115
    Can probably wait a week or two but can’t see him getting much cheaper. Solid odds for top 8.


    Stephen Coniglio GWS Mid $540K BE 98 Avg 121
    Why on earth haven’t you got him yet? Do it. Do it now!


    Joel Selwood Gee Mid $533K BE 122 Avg 108
    Cleared to play. Basement price. Even money chance of top 10 mid. Can probably wait a week.

    Patrick Cripps Carl Mid $545K BE 84 Avg 116
    Had us a little concerned with back to back 90s. Fear not. Here’s a 151 to calm the nerves.


    Max Gawn Melb Ruck $565K BE 76 Avg 123
    If you don’t have him and you need a ruck for some unknown reason then grab him now before his price goes through the roof.


    Robbie Gray PA Fwd $565K BE 57 Avg 124
    Its Robbie Gray. Nuff said.


    David Mundy Freo M/F $523K BE 105 Avg 104
    Not suggesting he’s a must have this week but I’m putting him in here as I feel he’ll be a top 6 forward. Very durable for his age and seems to have his forward game sorted.


    Issac Heeney Syd M/F $557K BE 92 Avg 112
    Wish I started him. Killing it.


    Mid Pricers

    Not an advertisement to buy here, more like buyer beware.


    Paul Seedsman Adel D/M $414K BE 63 Avg 94
    A brave pick for a guy appearing to breakout. Going at 25+ posies on the wing/HBF so not jeopardised by Sloane/Crouch return. Top 10 defender? Probably not.

    Jarrad McVeigh Syd Def $442K BE 66 Avg 84
    Stringing a few nice games together but will he play out a full season?

    Tim Taranto GWS Fwd $415K BE 45 Avg 93
    A frustrating sub 50 a couple of weeks ago is probably an indication of expected fluctuations throughout the season. If you got him a few weeks back at $50K less, hats off. Not a terrible pick with a reasonable chance to be top 10 forward on current form. A fair bit of talent missing at Giants, though I’m not sure who’d squeeze him out.




    Rookies on the bubble

    Now here’s the head scratcher, a bunch of tasty rookies to downgrade to as well as some fallen premos to jump all over. Aaarrhh!

    Horses for courses as they say, but I reckon we need to invest in at least one of these bubble boys. Obviously, job security is the main concern here and my crystal ball is stuffed given that I’m already carrying 4 bench donuts. My gut feel is on Higgins (3 goals) and Guelfi (2 new fwd injuries) to hold their spots for a few weeks and make a bit of coin. That said, Mirra has done nothing wrong, and competition for his spot seems light at the moment. So at $102K it will be easier for him to make cash even at a lower average.


    David Mirra Haw Def $102K BE -70 Avg 66

    Jack Higgins Rich F/M $130K BE -76 Avg 77

    Matt Guelfi Ess Fwd $117K BE -71 Avg 71

    Lochie O’Brien Carl D/M $162K BE -10 Avg 54

    Jordan Cunico Gee Mid $188K BE -56 Avg 85

    Zac Giles-Langdon GWS Fwd $117K BE -42 Avg 56



    Premium watchlist

    Alex Rance Rich Def $490K BE 122 Avg 93

    Zach Tuohy Gee Def $467K BE 139 Avg 85

    Jeremy Howe Coll Def $462K BE 149 Avg 84


    Patrick Dangerfield Gee Mid $669K BE 163 Avg 117

    Tom Mitchell Haw Mid $642K BE 220 Avg 126

    Dustin Martin Rich Mid $632K BE 148 Avg 125

    Jackson Macrae WB Mid $603K BE 161 Avg 119

    Josh Kelly GWS Mid $602K BE 162 Avg 105

    Matt Crouch Adel Mid $608K BE 209 Avg 78

    Bryce Gibbs Adel Mid $555K BE 170 Avg 105


    Toby McLean WB Fwd $520K BE 126 Avg 103

    Toby Greene GWS Fwd $514K BE 161 Avg 93

    Michael Walters Freo Fwd $512K BE 138 Avg 100



    Rookie Watchlist

    Thomas Cole WC Def $170K (1 game @ 98)

    Taylin Duman Freo Def $123K (1 game @ 85)

    Paul Ahern NM F/M $123K – screaming to be picked!



    Smokie pick

    Brett Deledio GWS Fwd $413K BE -20 Avg 92
    Can you afford to use a trade at this point of the season on a guy made of crepe paper?

    Probably not, but it’d be ballsy.

    Lids is loving life on the outside. Has had a couple of poor games, one where he copped an eye injury, so we’ll give him that. Won’t go 150 every week and is unlikely to play 22 games, but you gotta ask yourself: “do you feel lucky, punk?”
     
    Last edited: Apr 27, 2018
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Comments

Discussion in 'Blog' started by That KI Guy, Apr 26, 2018.

    1. port_leschenault
      port_leschenault
      Nice work, @That KI Guy, very comprehensive overview.

      It's a shame that upgrade season is now and not in 1-2 weeks. With Mirra/Guelfi/Higgins looking like great downgrade targets really tempted to bite the bullet and double downgrade this week and get Danger or Gray next week. Don't like having money sitting around even if just a week. Hindsight suggests should've traded out someone last week (and of course holding ZGL before Rd3...)

      Also secretly hoping for one more Yeo stinker. So many holes in my team this week that Sunday teams will likely dictate any moves I make.
      • Like Like x 2
    2. Senator96
      Senator96
      Im liking gray next week for Fritsch or Christensen but danger really needs to be brought in ASAP as well.

      English continues to make good coin but that's probably only going to be helpful if another cheap rookie ruck comes along that he can be cashed in on. Doesn't bode well for darcy Cameron if he cant get a game with franklin reid and towers all out and Sinclair playing sole ruck. I thought we would have seen him this week.
      • Like Like x 1
    3. port_leschenault
      port_leschenault
      You can move English to the forward line for a non-playing ruck. Worth it if looking for a way to get him on field as a playing forward rookie. Probably safest bet of them all.
      • Like Like x 1
    4. port_leschenault
      port_leschenault
      Higgins and Fritsch playing, that's good news.

      Now need to make decision of who needs flicking first, Bonner (for Mirra) or Brayshaw (for Mirra/Guelfi).
      :thumbsu:Bonner
      :thumbsd:Brayshaw
      • Like Like x 4
      • Dislike Dislike x 1
    5. benny01
      benny01
      I vote both
      • Like Like x 3
    6. insider
      insider
      “Jacob Townsend and Sam Lloyd have also been omitted after the five-day break, but Jack Higgins keeps his spot”.............. :rolleyes:
      • Like Like x 2
    7. Crafty Yarni
      Crafty Yarni
      Insider, well picked up. I might use of of my 27 trades that i have left and bring him in. Then again, maybe not, who knows?
    8. JC
      JC
      Who should go out for Mirra:

      :thumbsu: Bonner
      :thumbsd: Naughton
      • Like Like x 3
    9. Waldo666
      Waldo666
      Spoilt for choice with VC options this week, cannot make my mind up.
      • Like Like x 1
      • Option 5 Option 5 x 1
    10. Crafty Yarni
      Crafty Yarni
      Simpson
    11. Waldo666
      Waldo666
      Good choice but don't have him, thinking Cripps, Titch and Cogs my leading contenders.
    12. Waldo666
      Waldo666
      OK may as well chuck out a last minute VC poll for anyone else that's out there...

      :1: Cripps
      :2: Cogs
      :3: Titch
      • Option 1 Option 1 x 2
      • Option 3 Option 3 x 1
    13. headmandude
      headmandude
      Any thoughts on Parfitt being a potential top 6 forward?
      • Dislike Dislike x 2
    14. Crafty Yarni
      Crafty Yarni
      I think cripps gets you 120. Would that be enough to lock or do roll again?
    15. Waldo666
      Waldo666
      Highly unlikely imo
      • Like Like x 1
    16. Waldo666
      Waldo666
      Na, would roll again under 130
    17. headmandude
      headmandude
      I’m taking Cripps as VC. Anything 120 and above I will be happy with
      • Like Like x 3
    18. IPOD
      IPOD
      Ok here are the options going to be 1 forward short no matter what so
      Option 1 - Buddy and Greene - Gray and Guelfi $448k
      Option 2 - Buddy and Greene - Gray and Heeney $8k
      Option 3 - Buddy and Petracca - Gray and guelfi 373k

      Would like some cash in hand for a possible double upgrade in the next week or 2! Thanks in advance
      • Option 2 Option 2 x 1
      • Option 3 Option 3 x 1
    19. headmandude
      headmandude
      Looks like Petracca is now my captain. Good job Crippa!
      • Like Like x 7
    20. Senator96
      Senator96
      Same here. A reminder to everyone to actually make sure they can loophole who they choose as vice captain. It sounds obvious and it probably is but I might made the rookie mistake last week I went Fyfe who seemed to be playing early enough in a long round and he came up roses with a 150 until I realised that Cripps in the game before was actually my last chance to loophole. Cost me about 60 points in the end on martin which is a lot when you’re still chasing the prizes. Also cost me my head to head game too.

      JC did you end up going Bonner or Naughton? Naughton pulled out another nice score last night which should ensure some nice cash generation for the next couple of weeks. I had the same decision but keep Bonner which doesn’t look so good now. I thought Hartlett going down might benefit his scores.

      Went Guelfi over Higgins in the end. Being named on the wing on suiting my bye structure a bit better was the clincher. See how that one goes
      • Like Like x 1

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