Best Buys: Sorry

Discussion in 'Blog' started by Iain, May 12, 2015.

By Iain on May 12, 2015 at 10:00 AM
  1. Iain

    Iain Moderator Staff Member

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    I really don't want to do this, but I don't have much of a choice.

    The Best Buy this week is Tom Mitchell.


    I'm sorry.


    DEFENSE
    ROOKIES





    Daniel McKenzie (StK) D/M 117.3k 71 +63k

    McKenzie is on the bubble this week sporting an average of 71 and looking at a likely price rise of over 60 grand. With D/M positioning and other defensive and midfield rookie options struggling with form or injury he looks to be a popular trade in target this week.



    Henry Schade (GCS) DEF 123.9k 53 +37k
    Schade is also on the bubble, and in a Gold Coast team that has been severely hampered by injury. Averaging 53 and facing a price rise of around 37 grand he should hopefully get a few more games but will have questionable job security when others return to the side.



    MID-PRICERS





    Corey Enright (GEE) DEF 498.1k 98 2.3%

    Enright seems to have found some of his previous form again, scoring 126 in his last game to bring his average over the last 3 rounds to 112. Sitting in just over 2% of teams he is a huge POD, but given his age a risky one.



    Heath Shaw (GWS) DEF 491.6k 97 25.9%

    Heater had a somewhat quiet game against the Hawks, managing a score of 89 to bring his average to 97 for the season. Sitting in over ¼ of the teams in the comp he isn't a massive POD but is always a risk of scoring 120+.



    Liam Picken (WBD) DEF 492.8k 95 2.8%
    Picken has been a huge surprise over the last few rounds, scoring 119 in his last game and currently holding an average of 134 over the past 3 games, compared to his average of 57 from his first 3 matches this year. Sitting in under 3% of teams he has huge POD potential, but any coach that has him will be worried about a return to the tagging roles of seasons past.



    PREMIUMS





    Tom McDonald (MEL) DEF 500.3k 114 12.5%

    McDonald isn't showing any signs of slowing down at the moment, racking up another 120+ on the weekend and breaking the 500 grand barrier. Sitting in 12.5% of sides he still has good POD value, and as the current highest averaging defender is well on his way to being in the top 6 defenders this year.



    Bachar Houli (RIC) DEF 540k 110 6%
    Bachar had a down game against the Roos, only managing a 74 to bring his average down to 110. Still in only 6% of teams he is a definite POD, but many will be wondering if his performance on the weekend was an indication of other clubs starting to take more notice. At 540 grand he is on the pricey side but is only looking at a price rise of around 10 grand next week.



    MIDFIELD
    ROOKIES





    Joshua Glenn (GCS) MID 120.4k 69 +59k

    Glenn disappointed many of the coaches that jumped the gun and brought him in a week early, only managing a score of 36 after his ton on debut. Stowie mentioned earlier today that Glenn was seen limping off at training so potential coaches will need to keep this in mind but realistically an average of 69 for a 120 grand rookie on the bubble is pretty good if he comes up ok. Looking at a price rise of around 60 grand Glenn will still likely be nabbed by a few teams this week.



    Clem Smith (CAR) MID 127.8k 31 +7k

    Smith burst his bubble on the weekend with a score of 53, bringing his average to 31 from his first 3 games. Already looking leaner then in the pre-season the Blues will likely want to get game-time into their young players as the majority of veterans are sucking pretty badly. Due to his low average his price is still under 130 grand, but most coaches will look straight past him to the better performing rookies.



    Blaine Boekhorst (CAR) MID 156k 44 +12k

    Boekhorst also broke his bubble on the weekend, scoring 66 points to move his average up to 44 for the year. Still fairly cheap at 156 grand he should continue to get games, but they may continue to be spread out. Similar to Smith, likely won't get a look from most SC coaches.



    Brendon Ah Chee (PTA) MID 127.4k 27 +5k
    Ah Chee is in a similar position to the two Blues, bursting his bubble with a score of 38 bringing his average up to 27. Realistically not a great option from what we've seen of him so far, but as most SC coaches know things can change pretty quickly in this game.



    MID-PRICERS





    Lachie Neale (FRE) MID 540.7k 116 10.6%

    Neale pumped out another big score on the weekend, racking up 133 points to take his average back up to 116 for the season. Those that started the year with him will have to be pleased with the selection, and a fair few other coaches are starting to look for ways to bring him in. It will be interesting to see if other teams continue to let him rack up big possession counts with great disposal efficiency, but that decision will be a hard one as there are a fair few Dockers now who merit a hard tag.



    Brad Ebert (PTA) MID 518.2k 109 4.4%

    Ebert suffered a very significant” corkie on the weekend but Port officials say he should be right for the next game, meaning he is a bit of a risk at the moment and playing the last game of the round may well scare a few away. That aside however, he's come into some good form this season and is averaging 109 for a price of under 520 grand. In 4.4% of teams he is a solid POD, but with a price rise of only 14 grand on the cards the majority will probably adopt a wait-and-see approach.



    Leigh Montagna (StK) MID 480.3k 107 0.5%

    Joey is set to burst his bubble this week after playing his second game for the year on the weekend, and in a valiant win against the Doggies no less. Costing just 480 grand and averaging 107 so far he looks great value, but questions will remain about his ability to maintain form and avoid injury. With only half a percent of teams going with him so far he is a huge POD but, as is usually the case, a pretty risky one.



    Mitch Duncan (GEE) MID 516.5k 96 0.6%
    Duncan has exploded in the last 2 games, racking up 153 on the weekend to go with his 140 from the week before. The big question will always be can he maintain this run of form, and with an average of 96 for the year including his 2 big games it is a legitimate concern. One for the risk-takers, Duncan averaged 100 flat last season and has shown solid improvement since his debut in 2010.



    PREMIUMS





    Nathan Fyfe (FRE) MID 657.8k 129 60.3%

    Fyfe would have been listed as a regular week, but it should be mentioned that he is set to lose around 7 grand after his next game. When you're averaging 129 this really shouldn't be an issue for most coaches, but it does mean that those wanting to grab him can probably afford to wait another week to deal with more pressing matters.



    David Mundy (FRE) MID 602k 124 6.7%

    Mundy continues to rack up the big scores, averaging 124 for the year to date and breaking through the 600 grand price barrier. Still in under 7% of teams he is a great POD, and could well be a top midfielder by season's end.



    Scott Pendlebury (COL) MID 634.2k 120 35.2%

    Pendles continued on with the Best Buy curse on Friday night by registering his lowest score for the season, but luckily he still managed to top the 100 mark. Now facing a price drop of around $200 after his next game he is another player that can wait before trading him in, but with an average of 120 and his history of averaging 100+ every year back to 2008 it still surprises me that he's only in 35% of sides.



    David Armitage (StK) MID 590.5k 120 1%

    Armo has been a massive surprise this season, averaging 120 for the 1% of coaches to back him in. A 126 on the weekend certainly helped his cause, and he's now averaging 129 from the last 5 games. A definite risk given his history, but at under 600 grand he is decent value and in red-hot form.



    Travis Boak (PTA) MID 581.1k 106 5%

    Boak has also come into some great form lately, averaging 128 from his last 3 matches. Costing 580 grand he is expensive for his season's average of 106, but if he can keep his current form going is actually quite good value. Sitting in only 5% of the competition he has good POD credentials, but it should be noted will likely lose around 2 grand after his next game.



    Josh P Kennedy (SYD) MID 560.5k 112 14.2%
    JPK has also picked up his game in recent weeks, averaging 119 over the last 3 to bring his season's average to 112. Priced fairly well at 560 grand and sitting in just under 15% of teams he will likely have his share of suitors over the coming rounds, but most teams will be focusing on a different Swan this week.



    RUCK
    MID-PRICERS





    Mark Blicavs (GEE) M/R 478.7k 101 11.9%

    The Blitz continued on his way against Grundy on Friday night, scoring 107 to edge out his younger adversary. Now averaging 101 for a price of under 480 grand he is still decent value but getting pretty close to his price ceiling. Currently sitting in around 12% of teams Blicavs has the unique advantage of M/R positioning, and could well be brought in to a few sides now as a ruckman to be turned into midfield back-up late in the season.



    Brodie Grundy (COL) RUC 453.3k 97 15.3%
    Grundy had a decent but not amazing run on Friday night, going up against Blicavs and former Saint Stanley for a score of 87. Priced at just over 450 grand with an average of 97 he still offers good value, but is now looking relatively unlikely to take out a top 2 ruck spot by season's end.



    PREMIUMS





    Stefan Martin (BRI) RUC 600.1k 111 3.2%
    Martin had another big game last weekend, scoring 145 this time against a poor Carlton outfit. Now averaging 111 for the year and 137 from his last 3 games he appears to be back in the form that he ended last season with, but with a price of 600 grand isn't particularly good value for money currently. That being said, if he keeps scoring in the 130 range he will be a must-have for all teams.



    FORWARD
    MID-PRICERS





    Tom Mitchell (SYD) M/F 405.6k 119 4.5%

    The Best Buy for the week, and as I'll be bringing him in I really hate to name him that, TMitch is not only in excellent form but actually getting games for once. Costing just over 400 grand and averaging 119 from his first 2 games you really can't go past him for value, and he is facing a price rise of 50 grand after his next game. Whenever that occurs.



    Marcus Bontempelli (WBD) M/F 487.5k 112 52.7%

    The Bont surprised me somewhat on the weekend, having a quiet game but still managing to knock up 107 points. This is a good sign for his overall scoring, as it means even when he isn't on-song he can still score enough to be worthwhile. Now sitting in over half the teams in the competition the Bont Bandwagon is going strong, and with an average of 112 for a price of under 490 grand I really can't see it slowing down anytime soon.



    Eddie Betts (ADE) FWD 466.7k 106 4.1%

    Betts continues to surprise, after some big games and then a quieter patch he's gone back to his early season form with a 117 on the weekend. Now averaging 106 for the year and priced at under 470 grand he is good value for money and if you think he can keep the scores coming his 4% selection rate makes him a great POD.



    Matthew Pavlich (FRE) FWD 455.5k 103 3.1%

    Pav really has turned back the clock apparently, scoring 134 points on the weekend to keep his season's average over 100. Sitting in around 3% of sides he again offers great POD value, if he can keep scoring like this anyway, and is priced well at 455 grand.



    Harley Bennell (GCS) M/F 496.1k 101 8.9%
    Bennell should return this week after missing the last game due to a club-imposed suspension, and after a huge 146 in round 5 and racking up 40 touches and 2 goals in the NEAFL on the weekend appears to be in good form. Priced at just under 500 grand with an average of 101 he is around the mark price-wise, and while he has only gone 100+ once this season his lowest score was 84 so he hasn't had any real stinkers. Sitting in around 9% of sides Bennell is a decent POD, but will need to pump out some more big scores to be in the running for top 6 forwards this season.



    PREMIUMS





    Robbie Gray (PTA) M/F 571.2k 117 48.7%

    Gray had another big outing on the weekend, amassing 143 points to take his average to 117 for the year. Priced pretty much where he should be at 570 grand he is in just under half the sides in the competition, and should be a priority for the other half. Facing a likely price rise of around 22 grand after his next game, he is a very strong contender for best forward this year.



    Shane Edwards (RIC) M/F 510.5k 109 1%

    Edwards has been another surprise in a season full of them, averaging 109 for the year after a 134 on the weekend in Hobart. Costing 510 grand he is decent value for his average, and is a massive POD with only 1% of the comp selecting him to date.



    Brendon Goddard (ESS) M/F 536.8k 102 15.4%

    Goddard has come back into form, scoring 135 on the weekend to bring his average back to 102 and his price to 536 grand. It will be interesting to see whether today's news that WADA will be appealing the Essendon case will have a psychological impact on their playing group, but all players are luckily still free to play. Sitting in just over 15% of teams BJ is facing a price rise of around 20 grand after his next game and has probably now bottomed out.



    Jack Gunston (HAW) FWD 508.6k 98 4.3%
    Gunston is an interesting one, averaging 98 for the season so far after 107 over his last 3 games. Priced at around 510 grand and sitting in just over 4% of sides he is slightly overpriced but a definite POD for those wanting to take a punt, and really who better to punt on then the reigning premiers?



    WAITING LIST





    Brett Deledio (RIC) M/F 553.3k 63 -62k

    Tom Rockliff (BRI) MID 494.2k 56 -63k

    Todd Goldstein (NM) RUC 601.7k 118 -22k

    Rory Sloane (ADE) MID 513.3k 103 -27k

    Dyson Heppell (ESS) MID 570.5k 109 -23k

    Cale Hooker (ESS) DEF 471.7k 99 -22k

    Joel Selwood (GEE) MID 557.4k 100 -21k

    Dane Swan (COL) M/F 496.9k 101 -17k

    Michael Hibberd (ESS) DEF 417.4k 73 -27k

    Lance Franklin (SYD) FWD 481.9k 89 -25k

    So that's it again for the Best Buys, but as always join us in the comments section for polls and general SC chatter. Good luck to all for the weekend, and I really hope TMitch can break the Best Buy curse for me.
     

Comments

Discussion in 'Blog' started by Iain, May 12, 2015.

    1. stowie
      stowie
      Cheers BB. Will still bring in TMitch despite the curse.

      Here is the tweet on Glenn -
      @AndrewHammo72:mad:superfooty There was twenty available players fit to train today at Suns. 2 gamer Josh Glenn has just limped off with an ankle #cursed

      https://twitter.com/AndrewHammo72/status/597918041226129409
    2. walesy
      walesy
      Hahahaha. Mitchell. You sonovabitch!

      I was *this* close to bringing him in last week. :D Went Barlow instead.

      Still don't know if I have the sack to grab Mitchell.
    3. Fitzy
      Fitzy
      Thanks for putting in the effort to write this week in week out BB! I'm sure I speak for everyone when I say we appreciate it! I know I look forward to reading this article as soon as lockout is over on the previous weekend and trading is an option! :) Awesome work
    4. TerryinBangkok
      TerryinBangkok
      Better grab him. The Heeney injury good for his JS.
    5. Fitzy
      Fitzy
      Heeney does help his JS for sure, but who did he actually replace in the side out of interest? Surely he can't be dropped if he continues to pick up 20+ possies and handful of tackles...please John
    6. anthak
      anthak
      a quote from John Longmire:
      'He had a continual training block over the pre-season which helps him, and hopefully he can start stringing the games together now, as he's been able to do with the training sessions.'


    7. anthak
      anthak
      reading between the lines, I think it seems like he does want him in the side.
    8. Tommy18
      Tommy18
      Looks like I'll be doing the most common trades this week - Heeney to McKenzie and Hogan to Titch. Can't pass up Titch at a cost of only $80K on Hogan. If he plays each week (big if) then the trade is a no-brainer. On another note, how much longer is CEY expected to be out for? He only needs another 2-3 more games to be ripe.
    9. NedFlanders
      NedFlanders
      would the Adam Sad news change your mind?

    10. Hazey1977
      Hazey1977
      I thinking of bringing in McKenzie this week, should I;

      TU - Downgrade McIntosh
      TD - Flick Hamling as he won't get a gig soon (Any inside word from the kennel Jas?)

      I hate making a 0 trade, but think McIntosh next week to Laverd(?sp) could be done.

      Titch in for Hogan is hard to resist alright!!!!
    11. Steve
      Steve
      I am going to pass on Titch. I don't trust Longmire at all and I am not going to waste a trade on a 'possible' keeper

      Hogan > Goddard

      Vandenberg > McKenzie

    12. JoshyC
      JoshyC
      Hi TS community, I'm sitting top 90 and have crucial trades coming up this week. Any advice is greatly appreciated as I think I'm struggling with how many trades I have left...only 23 after I move on Hogan for McKenzie and move The Bont into the forward line. My side now is as follows:

      DEF: H. Shaw, J. Gibson, J. Newnes, T. McDonald, J. Hamling, K. McIntosh, A. Oxley, A. Saad
      MID: S. Pendlebury, N. Fyfe, A. Swallow, L. Neale, M. Bontempelli, D. Rich, P. Cripps, A. Vandenberg, C. Ellis-Yolmen, T. Miller, N. Krakouer
      RUC: T. Goldstein, N. Naitanui, M. Cox
      FWD: R. Gray, D. Martin, H. Bennell, D. Swan, C. Salem, M. Clark, R. Tarrant, J. Hogan
      CASH LEFT: $233,700 (after the hogan trade)

      So I am disappointed with Newnes, NicNat, Swallow and will be upgrading Rich. The rest of my side are keepers and rookie upgrades.

      I'm thinking this week of Swallow to either JPK or TMitch for my other trade.

      I have my next week trades planned as NicNat and Newnes to Sauce and B.Smith...leaving me with only 20 trades if I pull the double trigger this week. 10-12 will go upgrading/downgrading rookies to complete my side leaving me with 8-10 for injuries to my keepers.

      So firstly, am I mad to keep upgrading my failed mid-pricers? To be honest, I didn't expect to be placed so highly, and am usually only concerned with leagues.

      Secondly, JPK or TMitch...the former is a genuine premium, the latter a fallen gun for one season who would complete my forward line if he can play the rest of the season. Bartel, Buddy and Lids will all be tasty fwd options soon, and so to will plenty of premium mids drop like Sloan, Selwood, Ablett, Rockliff and co.

      Either JPK or TMitch leaves me with enough for the next weeks trades barring absolute disaster...JPK $144k left, TMitch $299k.

      I'm also starting to really consider the bye weeks in my trading strategy...currently it's 8/10/12 and these 2 trades make it 8/12/10. If I also go with the planned trades for next week then it will be 10/11/9...but this will change again over the rest of the rounds prior to the byes.

      Those of you still reading and are interested, my trades so far have been R3 ablett/leuy to hogan/goldy; R4 freeman to neale; R5 heeney/lambert to krak/tarrant; R6 HarryO to MacDonald.

      So what should I do? What should I not do...lol? Any options in the short term I haven't considered? Any/all advice greatly appreciated. Would love to start some in depth discussion about this team...and carry it on in future weeks. Thanks in advance to all.
    13. lsco
      lsco
      I believe Mitchell would be competing with Cunningham for the position in the team. Laughable when you consider Mitchell would be a shoe in for most other sides.
    14. JPK
      JPK
      Mate, my suggestion is simple - you're in the top 100 by doing whatever you've been doing, while most of us are nowhere near that by doing whatever it is we've been doing. As such - go with what you feel is the best option - clearly its worked for you so far this year!

      As for your conundrum, I'd suggest keeping a few trades up your sleeve for injury trades later in the year, otherwise burn through most of them now in upgrading your team to the best you can get each week. If you can fill your team with premium players quickly, you'll end up infront of most coaches, so even if you get struck by injuries and bad luck, you'll have the score on the board.

      JPK is a proven scorer. TMitch seems to be going well in his couple of games this year. Will it continue? who knows... Personally, I'd go JPK (because he has great initials!), although TMitch does give you greater opportunity to keep upgrading elsewhere.

      Either way, good luck to you mate!
    15. willy
      willy
      In a predicament with Hogan just about maxed out Heeney and Saad injured.

      TU - Trade Hogan and Saad - leave Heeney he will keep his price look to up him to rocky next week or 2

      TD - Hold Hogan and trade Saad and Heeney .

      Also how long is CEY out for.....?
    16. Northernsoul74
      Northernsoul74
      I would do neither. Unless Saad is out for a long time you should be keeping him as lots more cash to be made.
      I'm trading Heeney to DMac this week and that's it. Hoping to upgrade one of Hogan or Vandenberg to a fallen prem (Rockliff) in the next couple of weeks.
      Tempted by Hogan to TMitch this week but I only want to start bringing in definite keepers now.
    17. Grizzles
      Grizzles
      What are people doing with Sloane? I currently have heeney, sloane, lewis, ellis-yolmen and saad all injured. Was originally planning on heeney to mckenzie and hogan to mitchell like everyone else. This would mean playing a 5 rookie midfield including mckenzie, krak, cripps, vandenberg and miller. The alternative is trading Sloane for Mitchel. What should i do lol
    18. walesy
      walesy
      I'm gunna let him go in all the comps I reckon. 4-6 weeks on a premium is a pretty massive amount of time.
    19. walesy
      walesy
      Nothing wrong at all with upgrading the failed mid-pricers. In fact, while your cows are still accumulating, it's probably the perfect time to do it!

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