As always NRL tips are out because the NRL teams get announced Tuesdays (http://www.tipbetpro.com/#!current-round/kzu9o) – only 4 games in NRL last week due to some State of Origin thing (remember when the AFL had that?), but had a great week betting wise (http://www.tipbetpro.com/#!NRL-Round-12-Wrap/xtmz9/574c54930cf23b010089a080)

Another week of looking for upgrades. And no I’m still not naming a ruck
There was a bit of talk last week about dumping Gawn for Goldy – I hope no one actually did it,
a) because it didn’t work out as Gawn did awesome and Goldy may be injured
b) NEVER SIDEWAYS TRADE!.
I’m assuming everyone has two rucks out of NicNat, Goldy and Gawn – if you do, DO NOT TRADE.

This week we have scrolled to the bottom of the list and found ourselves a forward – starting next week I’ll somewhat consider the bye rounds, although this really depends on your situation.

Firstly, there really is no reason I’m naming this guy as Buy of the Week this week:
- he hasn’t done better last week than he has all season
- he isn’t about to go up or down in value
- he isn’t about to play Essendon, Freo and Brisbane in the next 3 rounds (well I think he is playing one of them)
But he is the best and most consistent forward in the competition and has been for the entire season – not one score below 100, only one below 110 – and yet he is in less than 20% of SC teams???
Will people only spend cash on mids?
Does no one scroll down to Z?
There is no excuse – if you don’t have Zorko, than you need to bring him in.

Again, the format below is:
POSITION Name (CLUB) – current price (expected increase) – AVERAGE

DEFENDERS
Rookies:
DEF Oscar McDonald (MEL) - 184k (+23k) - AVG=53 (Shows potential but looked out of his depth at times against Port Adelaide. No certainty to retain his spot.)

Keepers: (see “wait a week” a few defenders coming up)
DEF Josh Gibson (HAW) - 481k (-2k) - AVG=100 (Well priced)
DEF Sam Docherty (CAR) - 586k (+5k) - AVG=110 (Was a great buy when we named him BoTW, but still a good buy)
DEF Heath Shaw (GWS) - 658k (+2k) - AVG=116

Midfielders
Rookies:
MID Rhys Mathieson (BRL) - 117k (+33k) - AVG=56
MID Josh Dunkley (WBD) - 167k (+28k) - AVG=61 (Finally broke the bubble, but still cheap)

Keepers: (There are lots of good mids – this list is not exhaustive)
MID Tom Mitchell (SYD) - 496k (+23k) - AVG=107 (after 3 ordinary games he got 178 on the weekend – has he returned to his best?)
MID Gary Ablett (GCS) - 542k (+10k) - AVG=114 (As I said last week – it was a bit early to trade out Ablett – 140+ has put him back on the radar of teams who are Godless)
MID Jack Steven (STK) - 543k (+22k) - AVG=106 (Poor NedFlanders, Maude is dead, your kids Rod and Todd are losers and thanks to me you don’t have Jack Steven…)
MID Steele Sidebottom (COL) - 583k (-6k) - AVG=113
MID Josh P. Kennedy (SYD) - 585k (+13k) - AVG=111
MID Bryce Gibbs (CAR) - 603k (-1k) - AVG=112 (He has risen in the ranks of TipBetPro and is also a good SC buy – if Carlton continue their current form that is)
MID Lachie Neale (FRE) - 608k (+6k) - AVG=115 (Neale is the last man standing at Freo)
MID Adam Treloar (COL) - 614k (-12k) - AVG=114
MID Patrick Dangerfield (GEE) - 619k (-11k) - AVG=125 (You could wait a week if you don’t have him)
MID Daniel Hannebery (SYD) - 622k (-5k) - AVG=121
MID Scott Pendlebury (COL) - 658k (-6k) - AVG=119

Rucks
Rookies:
R/F Trent West (BRL) - 197k (+9k) - AVG=48
R/F Daniel GORRINGE (CAR) - 222k (+18k) - AVG=62

Keepers:
RUC Max GAWN (MEL) - 550k (+6k) - AVG=117
RUC Nic Naitanui (WCE) - 569k (-3k) - AVG=114
RUC Todd Goldstein (NTH) - 595k (+15k) - AVG=118

Forwards
Rookies:
M/F McKenzie Willis (GCS) - 117k (+9k) - AVG=33
FWD Jackson Paine (BRL) - 128k (+20k) - AVG=46
FWD Dougal Howard (PTA) - 169k (+25k) - AVG=59

Keepers:
FWD Chad Wingard (PTA) - 415k (+25k) - AVG=82 (A roughie – but if you are cash strapped and want to roll the dice, Wingard could be your man)
FWD Josh J. Kennedy (WCE) - 559k (+20k) - AVG=112 (Has done very well, but forwards who get a lot of points from kicking goals can be a bit up and down)
M/F Dustin MARTIN (RIC) - 570k (+3k) - AVG=107
M/F Dayne Zorko (BRL) - 585k (0k) - AVG=118 (BoTW)

Still a week away:
DEF Samuel Collins (FRE) - 117k - AVG=59 (Impressed on debut and as a “mature-ager” looked more capable than your standard rookie of holding down a key position. Won’t be high scoring but with Alex Pearce out for the season expect to get more opportunities)
DEF Harry Marsh (SYD) - 117k - AVG=51 (Strong debut but job security will be under threat when Ted Richards returns from his concussion (and possibly also with the impending return of Sam Reid). Unlikely to be a high scorer as a KPD.)
DEF Billie SMEDTS (GEE) - 190k - AVG=57 (Returned to the Geelong line-up last week but faces stiff competition to retain his spot and may pay the price for the Cats underwhelming form)
DEF Rory Laird (ADE) - 490k - AVG=97 (coming back from injury – so maybe wait a week)
DEF Alex Rance (RIC) - 495k - AVG=98 (a few defenders should be good value next week)
DEF Kade Simpson (CAR) - 548k - AVG=104
DEF Matthew Boyd (WBD) - 550k - AVG=100
M/D Thomas Cole (WCE) - 117k - AVG=48
MID Joel Selwood (GEE) - 517k - AVG=105 (Has dropped in value, but may be good value next week)
FWD Brodie Murdoch (STK) - 218k - AVG=58

So that’s Best Buys for this week.

Good luck to all with your trades and hopefully some wins on the weekend. For all your trade discussion feel free to join us in the comments section below.

Cheers

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