Games ------Interstate. Against top 4. Against top 8. Against bottom 4 + GWS Melbourne. 2. 3 7 4 Richmond. 3 4. 8 2 Brisbane. 6. 4. 6. 2 Adelaide. 6. 3. 6. 3 Port Adel. 5. 2. 6. 2 Fremantle. 5. 3. 6. 4 Hawthorn. 2. 3. 5. 3. + 3 games at Aurora West Coast. 6. 2. 5. 2 GWS. 6. 2. 5. 3 Gold Coast. 5. 2. 5. 2 Geelong. 4. 2. 4. 3 Collingwood. 2. 3. 5. 4 Calton. 3. 3. 5. 4 Sydney. 5. 2. 4. 3 Bulldogs. 3. 3. 4. 5 Essendon. 3. 4. 4. 4 St Kilda. 4. 2. 4. 4 Nth Melb. 5. 3. 5. 6. Includes Gold Coast twice This is based on last years ladder positions and is the first 13 rounds ( so everyone's had there bye ) disclaimer - This is a rough ladder of hardest to easiest first 13 rounds May do the second half of the season analysis during the week. ( recovering from second hernia op ) cheers Bettsy
Norths draw is funny, while they do have a bunch of "easy" games early, they really seem spaced out: essendon, easy, hard, hard, easy, hard, hard, easy, easy, hard Meaning that while they should score decently early, they won't gain any of those "double high" scores in the rolling average that really smash up your salary. Essendons round 2/3 is nice, but the round 2 is only counted one, and it's followed up by hard/hard Adelaide has a fantastic early draw Collingwood will be tough to buy into. Hawthorn up first only effects 1 salary movement, after that, they aren't going to have 2 hard games enter their rolling average until round 15/16 Hawthorn have a horrible opening season. Outside of Buddy, (and maybe even Buddy), it looks a really risk on paper. Lots of bargains come round 8 I reckon. Dunno, might have the initial seeds of a post right there.
Problem with Adelaide having an early easy draw is finding players from there you can bet on with confidence. The Saints and North draws are more enticing in that you are more likely to have them in your squads?
In terms of North's draw, their players should maintain their salary then, with no clutch of difficult games really spiking badly to cause majorly missed BE's. I don't like the Hawks' first 6, but it opens up considerably after there. I also think that given the tough start, some Hawk defenders might be in order.
I think it could sway me towards thinking about A.Swallow a bit more. Also deters me from Deledio,Cotchin, Martin etc a little Does Suckling score better in wins or losses? After Pies and Cats there draw is awesome
Suckling was identical in wins and losses last year (90.8 average) meaning he gets more in losses than he should, as on average winning defenders score 8ppg more than losing.