Over the next month or two we will have a season review for each club from a supercoach perspective. They will include The Good, The Bad & The Ugly and will also include a small watchlist of players to keep an eye out for heading into season 2013. These will be written by fans of each club and if you are interested in writing one for your own club then let us know!

Almost 12 months ago Ross Lyon claimed it was an end of an era at Saints and sent shock through entire AFL world when he walked out on club and took over reigns at Fremantle. The Saints appointed Scott Watters and all the “experts” predicted the Saints would fall down to bottom part of the ladder as they had no youth coming through. Fast forward and Saints have finished in 9th place but have won the same amount games as they did in 2012 (technically a draw worse off) yet last year they finished in 6th position.

If you ask most people they’d say the Saints have actually taken a few steps forward, despite missing finals. In 2012 StKilda had 6 players debut for the club and a got much needed games into further 5 players who had played less than 10 games.

The likes of Jack Newnes, Arryn Siposs, Rhys Stanley, Sam Dunell, Ahmed Saad and Terry Milera all showed glimpses of what they can do and all will become key parts to Saints success moving forward and all will become fantasy relevant in next couple years.

There really wasn’t much to get excited about from the Saints in Supercoach this year, but with amount of kids blooded and with getting more games into likes of McEvoy, Geary, Armitage, Steven then next year or next couple years we could have some great fantasy relevant players again.

Join us over the break for The Good, The Bad & The Ugly.

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THE GOOD

Lenny Hayes

2012 Average:  102.5 (up from 86.5 in 2011)

2013 Predicted Price: $550K

In 2012 Lenny played 22 games and averaged 24.5 disposals (10.8 contested) at 72% efficiency, 3.2 marks, 5.9 tackles and 5.4 clearances a game. This is from a bloke that’s 32 years old and was coming off his second knee injury in his career. It’s fair to say he is nothing short of a freak! Anyone that picked him at start of season would have been over the moon and he definitely proved me wrong in my prediction. Remarkably up until Round 22 when he was subbed off his lowest score for season was 80. He cracked the ton in 11 games and another 4 games over 90 points.

Lenny Hayes has averaged over 100 in 7 of last 8 seasons in Supercoach and only time he didn’t was last year where his averaged 86 due to his injury effected match. (scored 124 &amp; 49)

Next year Lenny will be 33 before next season starts but if he keeps up his form from this year it would be brave person to right him off as decent option.

Sean Dempster

2012 Average: 86.59 (up from 63 in 2011)

2013 Predicted Price: $459K

Sean Dempster was the 9th ranked defender in 2012, but only 12,189 people had him in their side. Dempster started the season at only $341,500 and peaked at touch over $440,000. In 2012 Dempster was given the freedom to take the game on and not play as a stopper as he did under Ross Lyon. This year Watters used him as the loose defender and as key play maker out of defence, the exact role that Sam Fisher used to play. He was ranked in top 3 in intercepts, 4th in total marks in AFL and top 30 in one percenters, 20th rebound 50’s, 25th contested marks and has been named in 40 man All Australian Squad.

When looking at Sean Dempster for 2013 it’s interesting to note that his second half of season was when he hit his straps.

Rounds 1-10: 81.5

Rounds 11-23: 90.83

In the last 12 weeks he only had 3 scores under 85 (76,76 &amp; 47)which shows his consistency. Would need to watch his preseason but at this stage and with his expected starting price I would think he is little overpriced, but he would be better option than Sam Fisher.

Jarryn Geary

2012 Average: 73.65 (up from 39.29 in 2011)

2013 Projected Price:  $390K

Jarryn Geary had a breakout season in 2012 and for bargain price of $213K if you held onto him for entire year you would have been rewarded. He started year in spectacular fashion averaging 94.5 in opening 4 rounds before return of Jason Gram in Round 5 saw change of role, playing a shutdown role on small forwards. This had massive impact on his scores, averaging only 45.2 in next 10 games. He scored over 55 only twice in that time (78 &amp; 113). In final 6 weeks he went back to role he started the year with and averaged 92.1.

In his 10 games that the freedom to take game on and rebound out of defence Geary averaged 93.1. That’s good for starting price, only issue was the 10 weeks in middle of season where he played non-supercoach friendly game. However he was priced at $343K after round 5 and if you took the advice of many people that return of Gram would have effect and jumped off then you would have been reasonably happy with profit he made.

If Geary isn’t used as shut-down player on small forwards next year he will be underpriced and as pointed out he has decent ceiling when given freedom to average 90-100.

THE BAD

Brendon Goddard

2012 Average: 101 (down from 107 in 2011)

2013 Projected Price: $537K

Putting Goddard in “the bad” section is maybe a bit generous as I did want to put him in “the ugly” as he really didn’t perform as anyone expected, but fact is he was the 3rd ranked defender this year. It’s hard to imagine 3 years ago he averaged 130 and year before that he averaged 115, it’s been fall from grace for Goddard and now people wondering if he will ever recapture that form.

What does 2013 have in store? Well that could all depend on where he is playing. Will playing under Ross Lyon get him back to his absolute best or will he stay at Saints and play all over the place again.

Ben McEvoy

2012 Average: 104 (up from 101 in 2011)

2013 Projected Price: $550K

How can a player that increased his average this season be in this section you ask? Well basically he only played 16 matches after injuring his knee before Round 6.  He also only averaged 78.1 in his first 6 games (5 before injury &amp; comeback game). However in his last 10 games he increased his average to 111.8 and showed what most people expected. For this reason he will be massively under-priced on his potential in 2013 and could be very could POD next year as most people don’t have him under consideration.

THE UGLY

Sam Fisher

2012 Average: 83 (down from 99.23 in 2011)

2013 Predicted Price: $407K

This year was Sam Fisher’s worst Supercoach seasons since 2005 when he averaged 70 points. He only managed to play 15 games, missing 5 weeks early in season with a “1 week hamstring” and then being put out for surgery when Saints season was all but over in Round 22. Fisher’s drop in form was mainly due to change in role in side, Sean Dempster now plays his rebounding/loose man in defence role that made Fisher one best supercoach defenders you can get. With lack of tall defenders on Saints list it was left up to Fisher to take the key forwards. In last 5 rounds he did show he could still score half decently, averaging 91.2. In 2012 he only topped the ton on 3 occasions and had 10 scores under 88.

Before selecting him in 2013 I’d make sure you watch his role in team during pre season very closely. Sean Dempster will most likely keep playing the same role as this season which will affect Fisher again. If Saints don’t get tall defender in trade/draft period then I would stay away at all costs. At this early stage I would be steering clear.

Jamie Cripps

2012 Average: 44 (up from 30 in 2011)

2013 Predicted Price: $226K

Firstly, I totally got this one wrong this year and apologies to anyone that took my advice on selecting Cripps! Not sure what happened to him this season, during the pre season he was used off back line and looked extremely good but then when real stuff starts Watters throws him up forward and as sub. In his 11 games he only scored about 50 in 4 matches (one those was only 53). The only positive to come out of his season is that he will be cheapish again next year.

Since returning to side in Round 20 after a 10 week stint in VFL, Cripps has averaged 15 disposals and played more through middle. IF he continues that he might finally be decent option but will have to wait to see during pre season.

Nick Dal Santo

2012 Average: 101.82 (down from 119 in 2011)

2013 Projected Price: $540K

For only the 2nd time in his Supercoach career Nick Dal Santo averaged less than 112, and quite remarkably the only other time he averaged 101.8 aswell, back in 2008. It appears Dal will have 3 massive years and then have down season. Over years he’s averaged: 123, 117, 115, 101.8, 115, 112, 119, 101.8

He will cheap (for his standard) next season and going by his history you’d have to expect he will bounce back.

2013 WATCHLIST

James Gwilt

2012 Average: 63.4 (down from 82.33 in 2011 &amp; 74 in 2010)

2013 Predicted Price: $330K

Before his season ending knee injury in 2011 James Gwilt was fast becoming a premium defender. He averaged 82.33 in 2011 and in the 7 games leading into that West Coast game where he injured his knee was averaging 95.87.

In 2012 he just hasn’t been able to recapture his pre-injury form and for majority of season his elite kicking skills went missing. He didn’t seem to have confidence in his knee. In last few weeks of season he started to show signs that he was getting close to his best. He will be remarkably cheap in 2013, at projected price only $330K you could really get yourself a bargain.

Arryn Siposs

2012 Average:  58.72

2013 Projected Price: $310K

Arryn Siposs is my 2013 breakout player to watch. He is being groomed to play the Brendon Goddard role, which we all know is Supercoach gold. Siposs is elite user of the ball by foot and has great footy smarts. He might be little bit overpriced but when playing full game has scored very well. He has scored 104, 101, 91 this year when not used as sub which shows his scoring potential. In last game of season he amassed 16 disposals and 66 points in just over half game before sitting on bench injured for rest of day. Give this kid another full pre season and freedom to run and set up play out of defence and through middle and he could well have breakout season.

Siposs was used as sub in 4 of his 11 games and when he wasn’t used as sub or subbed off he averaged 76.8 points.

Daniel Markworth

Markworth played 10 entire season in VFL and kicked 13 goals in his 15 senior games. He also kicked 5 goals in his 3 VFL Development Squad appearances. He will be rookie priced still and looks set to be very exciting player. Has pace and isn’t afraid to take game on. Not sold on his scoring potential but given another pre season I expect him to debut early in 2013.

Seb Ross

This is the one bloke that I didn’t want to debut so late in the season as was hoping he’d still be rookie priced in 2013. He debuted in Round 22 against Gold Coast and luckily for us he was used as the sub and scored 41 in half when he replaced Lenny Hayes. He will be priced in that awkward area at around $150K due to this one match.

Jack Steven

2012 Average: 90

2013 Projected Price: $470K

Only putting Steven in here if he is a M/F again but I think that’s highly unlikely as he is a midfielder, but if Sidebottom/Robinson/Beams were this year than he could be chance. Wouldn’t consider him if just plain midfielder as think his disposals knocks his scoring potential down to much against all big midfielders.

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