<p style='font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: 12px; font-style: normal; font-variant: normal; line-height: 18px;]Alright, instead of doing a review this week, I wanted to start up a discussion about next year.
<p style='font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: 12px; font-style: normal; font-variant: normal; line-height: 18px;]Why now? Well, right now, 2013 is still well fresh on our minds. Those reasons that we've thrown around in our heads are still up and about and we can get the ideas down now- while they are fresh, rather than rocking up in 6 months time, thoughts well rusted and lessons unlearnt.
<p style='font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: 12px; font-style: normal; font-variant: normal; line-height: 18px;]I'll go first.
<p style='font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: 12px; font-style: normal; font-variant: normal; line-height: 18px;]There's a handful of categories that I want to go over. Firstly, players who just seem down purely on form and could be value next year based on that alone. Next, injuries definitely player their part. Sub effects get a ring, as do players who haven't played (and thus a sizable discount).
<p style='font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: 12px; font-style: normal; font-variant: normal; line-height: 18px;]Finally, the GWS. Last year, the Suns 'went backwards' as well. I feel that there will be a mass of mid-pricers and general price rises in the Giants next year.
Form
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Lance Franklin
Easy one. Whether he goes to the Giants next year or not, he'll be 25% cheaper next year and well underpriced for what he can do.
JP Kennedy
Seems to have copped more attention this year, and what he's lost has gone to a few of the other Swans midfielders in Jack and Hannebery. Still, he'll be very reasonably priced for what we know he can put out in an absolute gun team.
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<div>Injured
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Mitch Clark
It's easy to call Clark a bust at Melbourne, but he's always had potential, and when priced at 58ppg next year, maybe even 52ppg with a 10% discount, he'll be massively underpriced on the 80+ I'd expect.
Nic Naitanui
We all expected NitNat to carry on from his 114SC of 2012. Sadly, a bout of what is rumoured to be OP has left his 2013 season a shadow of what it should have been. Assuming he can get some rest into it- then a full pre-season, he should be an utter bargain priced at 96SC.
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Aaron Sandilands
From a 108SC average, down to a 50. If he crawls it up over the next few weeks, he'll be less of a bargain, but at that price, just 10 games at his real average would be a massive boon to the season.
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Sharrod Wellingham
Definitely not keeper town, but the definition of a mid-pricer. If he stays priced at 51 for next year, we know that an 80 average isn't out of order. So while it's still a trade, it's a 30ppg increase on what you're paying.
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Brandon Whitecross
Much the same as Wellingham, an injury has him down on form- though there is probably more risk here, given his higher average and same ceiling.
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Beau Waters
Was last year a fluke? An 83 average is what you'd be paying, while a full pre-season could see him bringing that average back up to the 100's. With the extra trades, could be a risk worth while.
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Marc Murphy
Murphy has had a horror season. But, he's always been good for a 110+ average in the past, so his pricing at 92SC should make him an easy selection for next year.
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Harley Bennell
I expected big things from Bennell this year, but with injuries, what could have been- didn't eventuate. Perhaps next year they will, and with it, a 20ppg increase on his average.
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<div>Sub Effected
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Brandon Ellis
Brandon 'I can believe he started the season with 4 sub games' Ellis. Ended up with 5 sub games in total and has been an absolute powerhouse without them. Definite upside.
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Matthew Wright
This is someone I expected to see improvement from this year. Didn't happen, and to make it worse, he found himself wearing the sub vest a number of times. Reckon he's got the tools to actually set it up next year- but will watch closely over the pre-season.
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GWS
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Callan Ward
If the GWS step up a level next year, so will Callan. Averaged 106 in their first year, and for mine, has the tools to go at a 110+.
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Toby Greene
Saw Greene in a lot of teams this year (Mostly DT), so I know that a lot will feel burnt. But- he stepped backwards, as did the rest of the Giants- and assuming a step up from them, should go too.
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Tom Scully
Tom '#1 pick and forever a 70's average' Scully. It's not every year that the #1 is talked up as a potential great, but sheesh, he was. It's time for him to stand up.
Adam Treloar
I love Treloar. Not only is he one of the only Giants to increase their average, but he likes a goal and just keeps going. Of course, needs to be watched, but will break out hard when the Giants do.
Dylan Shiel
An elite junior, he definitely has the tools to step up next year. Plateauing this year on a 77 average, I would not be suprised at all to see a 20+ increase on that next year.
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Zero Games
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Hamish McIntosh
A 103 average, could be discounted down to a 60. Considering the ruck stocks at Geelong, surely he still steps into the #1 role?
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Matt Suckling
Oh Suckers. You killed me in the ORFFL, but I forgive you. Potentially discounted down to 50ppg, he should be an easy option for a potential backline keeper.
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Nathan Bock
Nathan 'The Lock' Bock. Was meant to be a lock this year, after playing just 4 games last year- a good 30ppg below his real average. Assuming a 10% discount, he'll still look good (@55ppg), but considering 0 games, if he does somehow manage a 40% discount, then at 37, I think he becomes the lockiest lock in the history of SC locks.
So anyways, that's the list so far.
6 Forwards, 4 defenders, 2 rucks and 6 midfields. Just need to figure out how to fit in Ablett as well.
2013 Round Review. Round 18
Discussion in 'Blog' started by walesy, Jul 28, 2013.
Comments
Discussion in 'Blog' started by walesy, Jul 28, 2013.