2014 Brownlow Medal Count Predictions

Discussion in 'Blog' started by Holey, Sep 8, 2014.

By Holey on Sep 8, 2014 at 10:00 AM
  1. Holey

    Holey Moderator Staff Member

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    On the back of the 3 hours lost writing this report, only for it all to be lost with the server issues on Friday - this year's article will be shorter than usual! More pictures and numbers, and less commentary - lets talk about it in the comments section.
    [span style='background: #fcfcfc;]To briefly explain how to read the graphs below:<br style='background: #fcfcfc;[/img]
    <br style='background: #fcfcfc;[/img]
    [span style='background: #fcfcfc;]Raw = tally of 3-2-1 votes I have given to each player throughout the year, based on an updated formula that includes a combination of stats and expert opinion.<br style='background: #fcfcfc;[/img]
    <br style='background: #fcfcfc;[/img]
    [span style='background: #fcfcfc;]Adjusted is the average of 100 random generated counts, that applies a random weighting to each players performance in each game...i.e. helps understand the strength of the votes given, and also the possibility of picking up additional votes that I hadn't originally given.<br style='background: #fcfcfc;[/img]
    <br style='background: #fcfcfc;[/img]
    [span style='background: #fcfcfc;]% chance of winning is how many times they end up in front across these 100 counts.<br style='background: #fcfcfc;[/img]
    <br style='background: #fcfcfc;[/img]
    [span style='background: #fcfcfc;]spread is the % chance of what tally they will land on, again based on these 100 counts.<br style='background: #fcfcfc;[/img]
    <br style='background: #fcfcfc;[/img]
    [span style='background: #fcfcfc;]Odds are TopSport as of Friday afternoon, who are currently accepting Brownlow team multis.
    [​IMG]
     

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Discussion in 'Blog' started by Holey, Sep 8, 2014.

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