3 week rolling average

Discussion in 'AFL' started by donatello, Apr 12, 2011.

  1. donatello

    donatello New Member

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    Can someone please explain how the rolling average works to me. If a players score is based on this how come a player like Suckling who averages 100 over 3 weeks will take 10 weeks to reach 430k if he continues to average 100? Shouldn't it take just 3 weeks?
     
  2. Shenanigans

    Shenanigans New Member

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    You ask math question, you get math answer; unfortunately... :)

    The dollar figure is treated as an asymptote - approaching the 'ideal' figure over infinite time, but never quite reaching it.

    EG If a player's score (10 above his current average) equates to a dollar value of $500,000, he will increase in price every week for the entire season - initially by a large amount, but then by ever decreasing increments. He will never reach the $500,000 figure.
     
  3. AchillesII

    AchillesII New Member

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    If you always close the gap on your end goal by 50%... you will never quite get there.
     
  4. Zander

    Zander Moderator

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    Yep, and for the same reason a premium like Goddard only dropped 36k instead of the full 90k he should have dropped. Its like a shock absorber effect so prices don't bounce up and down all over the place...
     
  5. donatello

    donatello New Member

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    Thanks for the reply all, I think I have a better grasp of it now,
    cheers
     
  6. walesy

    walesy Administrator Staff Member

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    Yep, as has been mentioned, prices trend towards the rolling average, they don't just jump their overnight.

    If they did jump overnight, boy- I'd be 6 trades down already! :D
     

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