Dont you just love Thursdays. The teams come out, the chance to see if your young gun is in this week from the reserves/VFL (he isnt), to see if the culprit for last weeks inexplicable loss is gone (he isnt).
Its also the day that generally our "friends" at News Limited bring out the Supercoach PDF. Generally pretty obvious info up the top, and some relatively decent stats at the bottom.  This weeks is at the following link if you havent indulged yet: <a href="http://www.news.com.au/heraldsun/files/supercoach_rd_5.pdf">http://www.news.com.au/heraldsun/files/supercoach_rd_5.pdf[/url]
One of the less noted columns, or probably totally misunderstood is the PER - Price earning ratio, derived by dividing current value by current average.  Keeping things simple for the fans, I will state it simply.  If the PER for a player is $5000 or more, the player is overvalued and likely over the next few weeks to come down.  If the PER is less than $5000 he has more value climbing to do.
Of course its nowhere near as precise as Walesy and the TooSerious breakevens. But it does help you with trends. Trends in particular like "has my player maxed out"?
Taylor Walker, $4261, maybe very close.
Jared Petrenko $3921, no
Andy Otten, $3484, no
Daniel Rich, $3817, no
 Dayne Beams, $2939, hell no
and so on...you can do the reading yourselves.
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Whats also interesting is finding the blue chippers who are $5000 and over.  These are guys who could just be value in the future - a bad/avg round now and they could easy drop.  Or their average doesnt justify their current high price...and hence if they keep the average for a few rounds, their price will go down.
Check them out with their next few rounds in TS Main Page.  Effectively this is playing the futures market, so its NOT for this week.  But keep your eyes open because they are overvalued. Dont trade IN this week, that could be a bad move.
Marshmallow Thompson (5181), MAX Power (5053), The Judd (5061), MMcVeigh (6969), Pavlova (5386), Sandi (5212), Bartel/Corey/Chapman/Selwood - all thanks to GAJ obviously, Mitchell (5070), Hodge (5959), Buddylove (5496), the Chad (5338), Anyone from Richmond , Goddard (5146), Roo (5471), Captain Kirk (5310), ROK (5902), Kerr (5232), Gilbee (5233).
Keep it hush hush, and dont let your mates know, but these players are the guys you will look to upgrade into your midfield and forward line in the next few weeks.
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Now...to read some more teams for the round. Hope your teams a winner in Round 3 of SuperCoach action!
Another week dawns
Discussion in 'Blog' started by AK, Apr 30, 2009.
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Discussion in 'Blog' started by AK, Apr 30, 2009.