After last week’s holiday, we’ve done our NRL tips again (http://www.tipbetpro.com/#!current-round/kzu9o) and are back focusing on the AFL and SC bargains.

Again we are just looking for an upgrade target for Buy of the Week – it’s that time of year really (Petracca is probably this week’s best downgrade target if you need one).

This week we are again picking someone who has gone down in value since the beginning of the season. Now averaging 110+ as a mid, and priced below $600k, it’s hard to believe that this man is in less than 25% of teams at the moment. He has been a gun mid for years and hasn’t averaged less than 110 since 2009 when he averaged 106. He started a bit slower this year with an 89, and it took until round 5 for him to top 110, but his last 3 scores have been 131, 100 and 143. A lot of you would have him, but for those that don’t and are looking to upgrade a mid, look no further than this week’s buy of the week Scott Pendlebury.

Again, the format below is:
POSITION Name (CLUB) – current price (expected increase) – AVERAGE

DEFENDERS
Rookies:
DEF Darcy Tucker (FRE) - 117k (+27k) - AVG=51 (Didn’t play last week – will have to wait and see)
DEF Jason Castagna (RIC) - 117k (+13k) - AVG=37 (Cheap, but not showing a lot)
DEF Thomas Lee (STK) - 124k (+42k) - AVG=67 (Didn’t play last week – will have to wait and see)
DEF Tom Ruggles (GEE) - 187k (+26k) - AVG=62 (Not on the bubble, but still cheap – and playing)

Keepers:
DEF Courtenay Dempsey (ESS) - 339k (+39k) - AVG=93 (Did well again last week, not a bad average for a defender, especially at his price)
DEF Alex Rance (RIC) - 549k (+4k) - AVG=105 (A solid option as always)
DEF Heath Shaw (GWS) - 581k (0k) - AVG=105 (Another solid defender)

Midfielders
Rookies:
MID Ben Keays (BRL) - 117k (+38k) - AVG=62 (looking good so far and should get more opportunities)
MID James Polkinghorne (ESS) - 124k (+19k) - AVG=44 (that average isn’t inspiring, and nor is his 35 from last week)
MID Kieran Lovell (HAW) - 126k (+28k) - AVG=53 (Has done okay, but there are probably better options like Keays or Petracca)
MID Connor Blakely (FRE) - 160k (+18k) - AVG=50 (who knows with Freo rookies, I thought Tucker was going to stay in the team but I got that wrong)
MID Josh Smith (COL) - 172k (+38k) - AVG=72 (Still cheap enough if you didn’t pick him up last week)

Keepers:
MID Callan Ward (GWS) - 582k (+6k) - AVG=118
MID Scott Pendlebury (COL) - 591k (0k) - AVG=111
MID Luke PARKER (SYD) - 602k (+1k) - AVG=124
MID Daniel Hannebery (SYD) - 622k (-2k) - AVG=119
MID Joel Selwood (GEE) - 624k (+5k) - AVG=119
MID Patrick Dangerfield (GEE) - 651k (0k) - AVG=129

Rucks
Keepers:
RUC Nic Naitanui (WCE) - 579k (+4k) - AVG=115
RUC Max GAWN (MEL) - 647k (+3k) - AVG=127

Forwards
Rookies:
M/F Christian Petracca (MEL) - 124k (+50k) - AVG=75 (There is only one real fwd rookie option this week)

Keepers:
FWD Jarrad Waite (NTH) - 538k (-18k) - AVG=115 (Only got 49 last week, is this the start of his dowfall?)
M/F Dayne Zorko (BRL) - 560k (+1k) - AVG=117 (Looking like the real deal this year)

Still a week away:
DEF Kaiden Brand (HAW) - 124k - AVG=65
DEF Aaron MULLETT (NTH) - 200k - AVG=59
DEF Corey Enright (GEE) - 476k (-12k) - AVG=93 (Has dropped ~40k so far and may drop another 10 or so, one to watch)
MID Darcy MacPherson (GCS) - 102k - AVG=77 (A very decent first game, lets’ see if he can back it up)
MID Jordan Lewis (HAW) - 431k (-4k) - AVG=86 (Has dropped 123k and has a poor average, one to watch for that cheap upgrade)
MID Josh P. Kennedy (SYD) - 546k - AVG=102 (Another player who has dropped in value, JPK is 50k cheaper than he was at the start of the season, but I’d like to see one more good game)
M/F Mason Redman (ESS) - 117k - AVG=45
M/F Benjamin Crocker (COL) - 117k - AVG=33
FWD Jarrod Garlett (GCS) - 185k - AVG=58
M/F Leigh Montagna (STK) - 534k (-5k) - AVG=104 (Monty has decrease by ~65k now, but he got 130 on the weekend which may be a sign of things to come or maybe just a statistical anomaly – let’s wait a week)

So that’s Best Buys for this week.
Good luck to all with your trades and hopefully some wins on the weekend. For all your trade discussion feel free to join us in the comments section below.

Cheers
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