I was thinking about how last year the vast majority of teams who came off a bye suffered a loss, and in many cases a loss to an inferior team. With that in mind, I'm thinking that for round 12 the following options could be worth keeping a strong eye on the odds: St Kilda to beat Adelaide Carlton to beat WC Port to beat Bulldogs
Excellent observation! & a word of warning to anyone following the days rest advantage, thinking if a little extra is good, more must be better, it doesn't apply to bye rounds. 8 days rest has an advantage over 6 days rest, but 14 days rest has no advantage against 7 days rest, going off the stats. In fact it works in reverse, once a team get's over 12 days rest, over 70% of them lose their next game, going off last 3 years. That said, I still find it hard to see saints beating crows or blues beating eagles.
Same, but I would have found it hard to see Melbourne beat Essendon or Brisbane beat West Coast...it's been a crazy year!