Round 15 recap: Five huge scores last round all over 150. Leading the way was Cox who had a match winning fourth quarter against North and finished with 215. Following him was Pavlich with 175, Priddis with 170, Rioli with 159 and McVeigh with 152. Ablett? Well he gave us 110 …

So the questions this week are: Ablett? Cox? Injured stars returning in Pendlebury or Murphy? Or recently consistent players such as Swan or Watson?
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Here are the numbers …

Ablett v. Richmond

Rd 17 2011: 127 SC points, 27 disposals
Rd 2 2009: 139 SC points, 29 disposals
Rd 8 2008: 164 SC points, 27 disposals
Rd 18 2007: 133 SC points, 28 disposals
Rd 6 2007: 170 SC points, 32 disposals

Average is 147 SC points with 29 disposals.

Note: Great average against the Tigers. No scores below 127. In relative poor form with scores of 110, 87, 188 and 64 (average of 112 which, of course, is inflated by his huge 188).

Pendlebury v. Geelong

Rd 8 2012: 147 SC points, 30 disposals
GF 2011: 143 SC points, 33 disposals
Rd 24 2011: 135 SC points, 30 disposals
Rd 8 2011: 109 SC points, 20 disposals
PF 2010: 126 SC points, 24 disposals
Rd 19 2010: 110 SC points, 24 disposals
Rd 9 2010: 96 SC points, 18 disposals
Rd 3 2009: 95 SC points, 25 disposals
Rd 9 2008: 141 SC points, 26 disposals
PF 2007: 55 SC points, 13 disposals
Rd 15 2007: 90 SC points, 20 disposals

Average is 113 SC points with 24 disposals.

Note: Solid record(averaging 124 in seven games). Has missed the past five games with a cracked tibia. Had come off scores of 95 (sub affected), 118, 147, 107, 145 and 140.

Watson v. Port Adelaide

Rd 2 2012: 149 SC points, 25 disposals
Rd 23 2011: 112 SC points, 26 disposals
Rd 7 2010: 120 SC points, 31 disposals
Rd 1 2009: 112 SC points, 31 disposals
Rd 7 2008: 91 SC points, 21 disposals
Rd 12 2007: 98 SC points, 27 disposals
Rd 9 2006: 100 SC points, 24 disposals

Average is 112 SC points with 26 disposals.

Note: Solid record against Port Adelaide with a huge score against them in Rd 2 this year. A disappointing 93 last week which had followed scores of 145, 120, 149 and 140 (average of 139).

Murphy v. Kangaroos

Rd 19 2011: 138 SC points, 28 disposals
Rd 12 2010: 111 SC points, 25 disposals
Rd 18 2009: 124 SC points, 23 disposals
Rd 20 2008: 110 SC points, 29 disposals
Rd 19 2007: 58 SC points, 17 disposals

Average is 109 SC points with 24 disposals.

Note: Solid record against the Roos. Has missed the past seven games through injury (and the bye). Prior to his injured affected game where he only scored 38, he had two ordinary games prior with returns of 73 and 89 (after averaging 127 in his first five games).

Selwood v. Collingwood

Rd 8 2012: 140 SC points, 36 disposals
GF 2011: 145 SC points, 28 disposals
Rd 24 2011: 121 SC points, 21 disposals
Rd 8 2011: 153 SC points, 29 disposals
PF 2010: 83 SC points, 21 disposals
Rd 19 2010: 94 SC points, 23 disposals
Rd 9 2010: 83 SC points, 27 disposals
PF 2009: 108 SC points, 29 disposals
Rd 3 2009: 101 SC points, 26 disposals
Rd 9 2008: 68 SC points, 17 disposals
PF 2007: 46 SC points, 15 disposals
Rd 15 2007: 115 SC points, 23 disposals

Average is 105 SC points with 26 disposals.

Note: A great recent record against Collingwood, averaging 140 in his past four games. Prior to that game, however, he had 5 games under 100 (in 8 games). Solid form recently with scores of 116, 149, 101 and 154 (average of 130).

Cox v. Sydney

Rd 3 2011: 121 SC points, 20 disposals
Rd 5 2010: 87 SC points, 15 disposals
Rd 8 2009: 113 SC points, 22 disposals
Rd 11 2008: 79 SC points, 16 disposals
Rd 4 2008: 69 SC points, 13 disposals
Rd 16 2007: 119 SC points, 14 disposals
GF 2006: 109 SC points, 20 disposals
QF 2006: 136 SC points, 18 disposals

Average is 104 SC points with 17 disposals.

Note: Solid record against Sydney. Always seems to play well against them. In fantastic recent form at the moment with scores of 215, 134, 119 and 132 (average of 150).

Swan v. Geelong

Rd 8 2012: 97 SC points, 26 disposals
GF 2011: 71 SC points, 20 disposals
Rd 24 2011: 89 SC points, 25 disposals
Rd 8 2011: 98 SC points, 30 disposals
PF 2010: 159 SC points, 33 disposals
Rd 19 2010: 131 SC points, 32 disposals
Rd 9 2010: 106 SC points, 25 disposals
PF 2009: 79 SC points, 17 disposals
Rd 3 2009: 116 SC points, 30 disposals
Rd 9 2008: 109 SC points, 29 disposals
PF 2007: 80 SC points, 25 disposals
Rd 15 2007: 67 SC points, 16 disposals

Average is 100 SC points with 27 disposals.

Note: Terrible record in his past four games against Geelong averaging only 89 (whilst being tagged by Ling in 2011 and 2010). Managed 112 last week which had followed scores of 147, 117 and 160 (average of 134).

Judd v. Kangaroos

Rd 19 2011: 88 SC points, 25 disposals
Rd 12 2010: 119 SC points, 23 disposals
Rd 18 2009: 88 SC points, 21 disposals
Rd 20 2008: 113 SC points, 23 disposals
Rd 19 2007: 63 SC points, 11 disposals
Rd 10 2007: 112 SC points, 20 disposals

Average is 97 SC points with 21 disposals.

Note: Poor record against the Roos. No big scores. Has not managed more than 25 possessions against them. Managed back to back scores of 126 (against Collingwood and Hawthorn) which had followed a lean run of scores: 47, 105, 79 and 80.

My opinion: Richmond plays Gold Coast whilst Adelaide takes on Greater Western Sydney. I would expect any of Maric, Deledio (against the Suns) or Thompson or Tippett (against the Giants) to have huge games.

However, despite his recent form, I don’t think I can go past Ablett. So for me: Ablett, Watson (against a struggling Port Adelaide), Thompson then Cox.

My smoky pick this week is Kurt Tippett because someone is bound to kick a bag against the Giants.

Good luck to all!!