Rockliff v. Greater Western Sydney



Rd 8 2012: 146 SC points, 36 disposals



Note: Only one game against the Giants. He also kicked three goals and 4 behinds in the game. He is coming off scores of 126, 166, 111, 128 and 147 (average of 136 from five games) after only averaging 96 in the first thirteen games of the season. (Daniel Merrett kicked 7 goals in the matchup last year and finished with a game high 177 SC points whilst Jonathan Brown kicked 5 goals and scored 154).



Ablett v. Port Adelaide



Rd 4 2013: 131 SC points, 35 disposals

Rd 9 2012: 111 SC points, 25 disposals

Rd 5 2011: 109 SC points, 26 disposals

Rd 4 2010: 145 SC points, 37 disposals

Rd 13 2009: 206 SC points, 36 disposals

Rd 12 2008: 161 SC points, 32 disposals

Rd 1 2008: 127 SC points, 24 disposals

GF 2007: 108 SC points, 19 disposals

Rd 21 2007: 104 SC points, 27 disposals

Rd 9 2007: 112 SC points, 25 disposals



Average is 131 SC points with 29 disposals.



Note: Fantastic record against Port Adelaide - when he was playing with Geelong (average of 138). Has only scored 109, 111 and 131 against them since his move to Gold Coast. His score in Round 4 this year was a little disappointing given that he picked up 15 touches and 55 SC points in the first quarter. He is normally tagged by Cornes but has also been tagged by Thomas or Sujan/Cassisi (in his huge game of 206). He is in poor form at the moment with scores of 67, 100 and 116 (average of 94).



Watson v. North Melbourne



Rd 20 2012: 154 SC points, 32 disposals

Rd 1 2012: 107 SC points, 28 disposals

Rd 13 2011: 94 SC points, 29 disposals

Rd 17 2010: 139 SC points, 38 disposals

Rd 4 2009: 91 SC points, 24 disposals

Rd 1 2008: 148 SC points, 30 disposals

Rd 7 2007: 112 SC points, 32 disposals

Rd 13 2006: 92 SC points, 24 disposals



Average is 117 SC points with 30 disposals.



Note: Not the best recent record against North but he has three big scores against them including their most recent game in Round 20 last year. After returning from injury, he has scored 118 and 115 to bring his average for the season to 111.



Franklin v. Collingwood



Rd 3 2013: 121 SC points, 21 disposals, 4 goals 1 behind

QF 2012: 117 SC points, 18 disposals, 4 goals 3 behinds

Rd 1 2012: 142 SC points, 21 disposals, 5 goals 3 behinds

PF 2011: 79 SC points, 11 disposals, 3 goals 1 behind

Rd 15 2011: 66 SC points, 17 disposals, 1 goal 1 behind

Rd 22 2010: 122 SC points, 14 disposals, 6 goals 2 behinds

Rd 16 2009: 118 SC points, 24 disposals, 5 goals 4 behinds

Rd 18 2008: 171 SC points, 21 disposals, 8 goals 6 behinds

Rd 7 2008: 162 SC points, 21 disposals, 6 goals 4 behinds

Rd 13 2007: 56 SC points, 8 disposals, 4 goals



Average is 115 SC points with 18 disposals and just under 5 goals.



Note: Great record against Collingwood. Averaging 127 in his past three games against them with 20 disposals and at least four goals. He is (should be) coming off a week's break with a hamstring injury. He is only averaging 90 for the season and is coming off scores of 53, 119 and 61 (average of 78). He has missed three of the past five games through injury.



Pendlebury v. Hawthorn



Rd 3 2013: 124 SC points, 29 disposals

QF 2012: 105 SC points, 30 disposals

Rd 17 2012: 127 SC points, 34 disposals

Rd 1 2012: 167 SC points, 33 disposals

PF 2011: 118 SC points, 32 disposals

Rd 15 2011: 119 SC points, 30 disposals

Rd 22 2010: 97 SC points, 24 disposals

Rd 4 2010: 107 SC points, 27 disposals

Rd 16 2009: 85 SC points, 24 disposals

Rd 18 2008: 136 SC points, 24 disposals

Rd 7 2008: 109 SC points, 22 disposals

Rd 13 2007: 76 SC points, 23 disposals



Average is 114 SC points with 28 disposals.



Note: Great record against Hawthorn. Last played head to head against Burgoyne. Bounced back last week with a dominant 150 which had followed scores of 105 and 92 (three game average of 116).



Cox v. Geelong



Rd 20 2012: 190 SC points, 23 disposals, 45 hitouts

PF 2011: 54 SC points, 12 disposals, 12 hitouts

Rd 16 2011: 101 SC points, 13 disposals, 29 hitouts

Rd 22 2010: 75 SC points, 13 disposals, 12 hitouts

Rd 11 2010: 103 SC points, 14 disposals, 29 hitouts

Rd 11 2009: 147 SC points, 30 disposals, 32 hitouts

Rd 22 2008: 113 SC points, 21 disposals, 15 hitouts

Rd 13 2008: 118 SC points, 25 disposals, 19 hitouts



Average is 113 SC points with 19 disposals and 24 hitouts.



Note: Huge score in Round 20 last year playing against Orren Stephenson. He is coming off scores of 107 and 149 which had followed four scores of 90 or below.



Swan v. Hawthorn



Rd 3 2013: 91 SC points, 33 disposals

QF 2012: 124 SC points, 29 disposals

Rd 17 2012: 143 SC points, 49 disposals

Rd 1 2012: 92 SC points, 31 disposals

PF 2011: 133 SC points, 32 disposals

Rd 15 2011: 102 SC points, 33 disposals

Rd 22 2010: 104 SC points, 34 disposals

Rd 4 2010: 130 SC points, 34 disposals

Rd 16 2009: 140 SC points, 35 disposals

Rd 18 2008: 88 SC points, 26 disposals

Rd 7 2008: 80 SC points, 28 disposals

Rd 13 2007: 114 SC points, 30 disposals



Average is 112 SC points with 33 disposals.



Note: In the matchup in Round 3 this year, played head to head against Mitchell and only managed 91 SC points with many of his touches coming when the game was over. Solid record against Hawthorn. He is in good recent form with scores of 128, 108 and 159 (average of 132).



Barlow v. Melbourne



Rd 9 2013: 138 SC points, 31 disposals

Rd 23 2012: 122 SC points, 32 disposals

Rd 16 2012: 100 SC points, 17 disposals

Rd 13 2011: 69 SC points, 25 disposals



Average is 107 SC points with 26 disposals.



Note: Solid recent record against Melbourne. Scored poorly in Round 13 2011 which was his first game of the season after returning from injury. He is in solid, but not spectacular, form with no scores over 115 in his last six games: 105, 110, 115, 104, 113 and 104 (average of 109).



Selwood v. West Coast



Rd 20 2012: 99 SC points, 21 disposals

PF 2011: 127 SC points, 25 disposals

Rd 11 2010: 123 SC points, 24 disposals

Rd 11 2009: 106 SC points, 26 disposals

Rd 22 2008: 128 SC points, 29 disposals

Rd 13 2008: 84 SC points, 23 disposals

Rd 7 2008: 49 SC points, 12 disposals



Average is 102 SC points with 23 disposals.



Notes: Not a good average against West Coast with no scores over 130. He has been tagged by brother Scott in two most recent matchups. Had a huge game last week with 160 SC points which was boosted by his four goals. Prior, he had scored 103, 151, 137, 133 and 151 (average of 139 from six games).



Griffen v. Adelaide



Rd 4 2013: 53 SC points, 15 disposals

Rd 2 2012: 100 SC points, 31 disposals

Rd 13 2011: 129 SC points, 27 disposals

Rd 19 2010: 92 SC points, 22 disposals

Rd 5 2010: 129 SC points, 32 disposals

Rd 7 2009: 73 SC points, 17 disposals

Rd 22 2008: 95 SC points, 23 disposals

Rd 1 2008: 60 SC points, 16 disposals

Rd 2 2007: 60 SC points, 15 disposals

Rd 20 2006: 44 SC points, 17 disposals

Rd 5 2006: 64 SC points, 16 disposals

Rd 16 2005: 80 SC points, 20 disposals

Rd 5 2005: 51 SC points, 14 disposals



Average is 79 SC points with 20 disposals.



Note: Poor record against Adelaide with only three scores over 100 in 13 games. He has averaged 111 in his past six games this season (114, 126, 102, 140, 76, 107), after averaging 146 in the five games prior to those.



My opinion: Ablett's three round average of 94 is very worrying. He scored a terrible 67 SC points in his milestone 250th game, tagged by McKenzie. Ablett has a terrific record against Port Adelaide with no scores below 100. I would pick him to bounce back in a big way against Port Adelaide.



Following Ablett, the numbers suggest a number of players as likely candidates. Rockliff against the Giants and Barlow against Melbourne are also contenders.



For me, I would pick Ablett, then Pendlebury, then Barlow, then Rockliff and then Swan.



Good luck all!