Captain's Log - Round 3

Discussion in 'Blog' started by Jasmine, Apr 11, 2013.

By Jasmine on Apr 11, 2013 at 10:00 AM
  1. Jasmine

    Jasmine Moderator Staff Member

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    <p style='text-align: justify;]I wonder who would have picked the Top 10 Leaderboard from last week: Watson (166), Westhoff (163), Hanley (160), Elliott (159), Bartel (157), Heppell (149), Wingard (145), McVeigh (144), Bellchambers (144) and Minson (143). I could be wrong, but I doubt anyone would have made any of these players (other than Watson) captain last week.
    <p style='text-align: justify;]I have included more players than usual in this bumper edition of the Captain's Log for your consideration &amp;hellip;
    <p style='text-align: justify;]Ablett v. Brisbane
    Rd 17 2012: 150 SC points, 37 disposals
    Rd 4 2012: 129 SC points, 33 disposals
    Rd 21 2011: 134 SC points, 28 disposals
    Rd 7 2011: 75 SC points, 20 disposals
    Rd 17 2010: 144 SC points, 26 disposals
    Rd 8 2010: 102 SC points, 31 disposals
    Rd 5 2009: 149 SC points, 42 disposals
    Rd 22 2007: 99 SC points, 25 disposals
    Rd 12 2007: 142 SC points, 35 disposals
    Rd 1 2006: 146 SC points, 27 disposals
    Average is 127 SC points with 30 disposals.
    Note: Five scores over 140 against Brisbane. A poor 75 in Round 7 2011 when he received a slight injury to his knee but kept on playing. Tagged by Raines in the past three games but still managed to average 138 SC points in those games. Has started the season with 178 and 99.



    Franklin v. Collingwood
    QF 2012: 117 SC points, 18 disposals, 4 goals 3 behinds
    Rd 1 2012: 142 SC points, 21 disposals, 5 goals 3 behinds
    PF 2011: 79 SC points, 11 disposals, 3 goals 1 behind
    Rd 15 2011: 66 SC points, 17 disposals, 1 goal 1 behind
    Rd 22 2010: 122 SC points, 14 disposals, 6 goals 2 behinds
    Rd 16 2009: 118 SC points, 24 disposals, 5 goals 4 behinds
    Rd 18 2008: 171 SC points, 21 disposals, 8 goals 6 behinds
    Rd 7 2008: 162 SC points, 21 disposals, 6 goals 4 behinds
    Rd 13 2007: 56 SC points, 8 disposals, 4 goals
    Average is 115 SC points with 17 disposals and just under 5 goals.
    Note: Great record against Collingwood. Three scores below 80 but three scores above 140. Inconsistent record and an inconsistent start to the season with scores of 62 and 116.



    Swan v. Hawthorn
    QF 2012: 124 SC points, 29 disposals
    Rd 17 2012: 143 SC points, 49 disposals
    Rd 1 2012: 92 SC points, 31 disposals
    PF 2011: 133 SC points, 32 disposals
    Rd 15 2011: 102 SC points, 33 disposals
    Rd 22 2010: 104 SC points, 34 disposals
    Rd 4 2010: 130 SC points, 34 disposals
    Rd 16 2009: 140 SC points, 35 disposals
    Rd 18 2008: 88 SC points, 26 disposals
    Rd 7 2008: 80 SC points, 28 disposals
    Rd 13 2007: 114 SC points, 30 disposals
    Average is 114 SC points with 33 disposals.
    Note: Great record against Hawthorn. Always manages to pick up a lot of touches. Has started the season with scores of 136 and 103.



    Pendlebury v. Hawthorn
    QF 2012: 105 SC points, 30 disposals
    Rd 17 2012: 127 SC points, 34 disposals
    Rd 1 2012: 167 SC points, 33 disposals
    PF 2011: 118 SC points, 32 disposals
    Rd 15 2011: 119 SC points, 30 disposals
    Rd 22 2010: 97 SC points, 24 disposals
    Rd 4 2010: 107 SC points, 27 disposals
    Rd 16 2009: 85 SC points, 24 disposals
    Rd 18 2008: 136 SC points, 24 disposals
    Rd 7 2008: 109 SC points, 22 disposals
    Rd 13 2007: 76 SC points, 23 disposals
    Average is 113 SC points with 28 disposals.
    Note: Great record against Hawthorn who will not have Sewell available to tag him. Fantastic start to the season with scores of 160 and 121.



    Mitchell v. Collingwood
    QF 2012: 111 SC points, 31 disposals
    Rd 17 2012: 106 SC points, 33 disposals
    Rd 1 2012: 139 SC points, 32 disposals
    PF 2011: 107 SC points, 31 disposals
    Rd 15 2011: 113 SC points, 34 disposals
    Rd 22 2010: 103 SC points, 30 disposals
    Rd 4 2010: 67 SC points, 23 disposals
    Rd 16 2009: 110 SC points, 25 disposals
    Rd 18 2008: 141 SC points, 35 disposals
    Rd 7 2008: 148 SC points, 39 disposals
    Rd 13 2007: 94 SC points, 28 disposals
    Rd 17 2006: 98 SC points, 26 disposals
    Rd 2 2006: 92 SC points, 24 disposals
    Rd 10 2005: 157 SC points, 39 disposals
    Average is 113 SC points with 31 disposals.
    Note: Great record against Collingwood. Only one score below 90 in 14 games against them. Fantastic start to the season with scores of 141 and 134.



    Priddis v. Melbourne
    Rd 2 2012: 102 SC points, 30 disposals
    Rd 21 2011: 115 SC points, 26 disposals
    Rd 6 2011: 142 SC points, 33 disposals
    Rd 8 2010: 160 SC points, 35 disposals
    Rd 14 2009: 72 SC points, 17 disposals
    Rd 20 2008: 95 SC points, 24 disposals
    Rd 8 2007: 79 SC points, 19 disposals
    Average is 109 SC points with 26 disposals.
    Note: Solid record against Melbourne especially over the past three years where he has averaged 130 SC points a game in his past four games. Has started the season with scores of 86 and 113.



    Judd v. Geelong
    Rd 11 2012: 105 SC points, 25 disposals
    Rd 9 2011: 102 SC points, 22 disposals
    Rd 21 2010: 75 SC points, 20 disposals
    Rd 5 2010: 143 SC points, 27 disposals
    Rd 19 2009: 99 SC points, 27 disposalse
    Rd 10 2008: 116 SC points, 28 disposals
    Rd 7 2007: 118 SC points, 29 disposals
    Rd 21 2005: 78 SC points, 20 disposals
    Rd 2 2005: 123 SC points, 19 disposals
    Average is 107 SC points with 24 disposals.
    Note: Poor record against Geelong. Only one score over 125 however. Played head to head against Bartel, Corey and Kelly in three most recent games. A slow start to the season with scores of 106 and 91.



    Selwood v. Carlton
    Rd 11 2012: 154 SC points, 29 disposals
    Rd 9 2011: 121 SC points, 29 disposals
    Rd 21 2010: 110 SC points, 27 disposals
    Rd 5 2010: 98 SC points, 19 disposals
    Rd 19 2009: 124 SC points, 28 disposals
    Rd 10 2008: 80 SC points, 21 disposals
    Rd 2 2007: 53 SC points, 17 disposals
    Average is 106 SC points with 24 disposals.
    Note: Poor record against Carlton. Average boosted by most recent game in which he scored 154 whilst being tagged by Ellard. Great start to the season with scores of 126 and 140.



    Cox v. Melbourne
    Rd 2 2012: 82 SC points, 16 disposals, 20 hitouts
    Rd 21 2011: 124 SC points, 17 disposals, 21 hitouts
    Rd 6 2011: 131 SC points, 23 disposals, 20 hitouts
    Rd 8 2010: 119 SC points, 25 disposals, 14 hitouts
    Rd 7 2009: 123 SC points, 23 disposals, 27 hitouts
    Rd 20 2008: 104 SC points, 24 disposals, 13 hitouts
    Rd 8 2007: 61 SC points, 14 disposals, 15 hitouts
    Rd 9 2006: 81 SC points, 14 disposals, 21 hitouts
    Rd 13 2005: 128 SC points, 20 disposals, 33 hitouts
    Average is 106 SC points with 20 disposals and 20 hitouts.
    Note: Solid and consistent record for the past few years against Melbourne with a poor 82 SC points last year. He should dominate in the ruck contest. Started the season with scores of 96 and 118.



    Murphy v. Geelong
    Rd 9 2011: 145 SC points, 32 disposals
    Rd 21 2010: 103 SC points, 30 disposals
    Rd 5 2010: 96 SC points, 17 disposals
    Rd 19 2009: 116 SC points, 24 disposals
    Rd 10 2008: 53 SC points, 20 disposals
    Rd 2 2007: 108 SC points, 30 disposals
    Average is 104 SC points with 26 disposals.
    Note: Poor record against Geelong. One big score in 2011 but failed to score more than 120 in the previous five games against them. Poor start to this season with scores of 104 and 92.



    Thompson v. Port Adelaide
    Rd 15 2012: 143 SC points, 32 disposals
    Rd 5 2012: 141 SC points, 34 disposals
    Rd 19 2011: 70 SC points, 27 disposals
    Rd 4 2011: 120 SC points, 32 disposals
    Rd 17 2010: 125 SC points, 25 disposals
    Rd 6 2010: 73 SC points, 20 disposals
    Rd 17 2009: 64 SC points, 19 disposals
    Rd 6 2009: 79 SC points, 23 disposals
    Rd 16 2008: 94 SC points, 17 disposals
    Rd 3 2008: 102 SC points, 27 disposals
    Rd 18 2007: 85 SC points, 19 disposals
    Rd 3 2007: 84 SC points, 23 disposals
    Rd 21 2006: 67 SC points, 16 disposals
    Rd 6 2006: 123 SC points, 25 disposals
    Rd 20 2005: 82 SC points, 19 disposals
    Rd 3 2005: 87 SC points, 17 disposals
    Average is 96 SC points with 24 disposals.
    Note: Surprisingly bad average against the Power with only six scores over 100 in 16 games. However, he scored big against them last year with scores of 143 and 141. Bounced back with 140 SC points last round after a disappointing 91 SC points in Round 1.



    Watson v. Fremantle
    Rd 13 2012: 120 SC points, 27 disposals
    Rd 12 2011: 67 SC points, 22 disposals
    Rd 2 2010: 113 SC points, 28 disposals
    Rd 21 2009: 54 SC points, 6 disposals
    Rd 2 2009: 116 SC points, 30 disposals
    Rd 14 2008: 145 SC points, 36 disposals
    Rd 19 2007: 77 SC points, 22 disposals
    Rd 2 2007: 76 SC points, 19 disposals
    Rd 14 2006: 53 SC points, 12 disposals
    Average is 91 SC points with 22 disposals.
    Note: A poor record against Fremantle. Even if you ignore the Round 21 game in 2009 where he injured his ankle, Watson's average is only 95 SC points. Has been tagged by Crowley for the previous three games, averaging an even 100 in those games. Has started the season with six Brownlow votes with scores of 121 and 166.



    Dangerfield v. Port Adelaide
    Rd 15 2012: 97 SC points, 22 disposals
    Rd 5 2012: 141 SC points, 39 disposals
    Rd 19 2011: 99 SC points, 27 disposals
    Rd 4 2011: 60 SC points, 17 disposals
    Rd 17 2010: 73 SC points, 17 disposals
    Rd 17 2009: 54 SC points, 9 disposals
    Rd 6 2009: 63 SC points, 14 disposals
    Average is 84 SC points with 21 disposals.
    Note: Small sample size but has shown what he is capable of with 141 in Round 5 last year. Slow start to the season with scores of 63 and 107.



    Kennedy v. North Melbourne
    Rd 4 2012: 99 SC points, 27 disposals
    Rd 10 2011: 57 SC points, 15 disposals
    Rd 15 2010: 87 SC points, 23 disposals
    Rd 4 2010: 77 SC points, 16 disposals
    Average is 80 SC points with 20 disposals.
    Note: Small sample size. Has played the past two games playing head to head against Ziebell. Will look to build on his early season form where he has scored 147 and a disappointing 108.



    My opinion: Will Ablett bounce back from his sub 100 game? Or does this signal the start of a change in role for the superstar? My view is that he will bounce back with a big performance in a game that many may tip the Suns to win.
    As many of you know, every week I look at the teams playing Gold Coast and Greater Western Sydney. Perhaps I should add Melbourne to that list. Last week, in their much talked about 148 point loss to Essendon, Melbourne players only earned 1,188 SC points (36%) with two century makers. Essendon players earned 2,113 SC points (64%) with eight players scoring centuries. West Coast play Melbourne this week and Cox and Priddis would both be expected to score well.



    Brisbane play Gold Coast on Saturday night. In their most recent clash (Round 17 2012), Brisbane managed to hold on and win the game by 10 points despite the Suns kicking 5 goals and 18 behinds. For the Lions, Merrett led the way with 122 and he was followed by Rockliff with 121 and Redden with 119. However, in their 11 goal win in Round 4 last year, Rockliff scored a huge 163. The next best was Hanley with 114.



    St Kilda play Greater Western Sydney on Saturday afternoon at Manuka Oval. They have only played once which was Round 22 last year which the Saints won by 128 points at Etihad Stadium. Despite the thrashing, no Saints player scored big. Dal Santo top scored with 135 and he was followed by Montagna with 132. Riewoldt did not play in that game. This year, however, the Saints have been disappointing. McEvoy leads their SC averages with 115. He is followed by Clint Jones with 111 and Riewoldt with 105. They are the only players averaging more than 100. Dal Santo is averaging a very disappointing 90 SC points a game.



    For me, I can't go past Ablett despite his underwhelming performance last week. The numbers above show that a player from the Collingwood and Hawthorn blockbuster will score well whilst the same cannot be said for players from the Carlton and Geelong game. I am finding it hard to pick a player from these teams so my clear second choice is Cox who should dominate the dispirited Melbourne squad. My third choice is Watson who, despite a relatively poor record against the Dockers, is in fantastic Brownlow medal form.



    Following Ablett, Cox and Watson, I would round out my top five with Pendlebury and Swan.
    Good luck all!
     

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Discussion in 'Blog' started by Jasmine, Apr 11, 2013.

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