Captain's Log - Round 7

Discussion in 'Blog' started by Jasmine, May 9, 2013.

By Jasmine on May 9, 2013 at 10:00 AM
  1. Jasmine

    Jasmine Moderator Staff Member

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    <p style='margin-bottom: 0cm;]Swan v. Fremantle
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    <p style='margin-bottom: 0cm;]Rd 14 2012: 147 SC points, 43 disposals
    <p style='margin-bottom: 0cm;]Rd 23 2011: 126 SC points, 35 disposals
    <p style='margin-bottom: 0cm;]Rd 8 2010: 133 SC points, 31 disposals
    <p style='margin-bottom: 0cm;]Rd 13 2009: 167 SC points, 41 disposals
    <p style='margin-bottom: 0cm;]Rd 22 2008: 89 SC points, 21 disposals
    <p style='margin-bottom: 0cm;]Rd 1 2008: 80 SC points, 27 disposals
    <p style='margin-bottom: 0cm;]Rd 10 2007: 152 SC points, 35 disposals
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    <p style='margin-bottom: 0cm;]Average is 128 SC points with 33 disposals.
    <p style='margin-bottom: 0cm;]
    <p style='margin-bottom: 0cm;]Note: Great record against Fremantle, especially over his last four games against them where he has averaged 143. Has not been tagged in recent games against the Dockers (Crowley tagged Beams in 2012, tagged Leon Davis in 2011 and tagged Dale Thomas in 2010). Who knows who Crowley will tag in this game? Solid form this year coming off scores of 118, 127 and 168 (averaging 124 for the season).
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    <p style='margin-bottom: 0cm;]Ablett v. Melbourne
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    <p style='margin-bottom: 0cm;]Rd 19 2011: 165 SC points, 33 disposals
    <p style='margin-bottom: 0cm;]Rd 23 2011: 125 SC points, 28 disposals
    <p style='margin-bottom: 0cm;]Rd 10 2010: 138 SC points, 32 disposals
    <p style='margin-bottom: 0cm;]Rd 16 2009: 124 SC points, 40 disposals
    <p style='margin-bottom: 0cm;]Rd 6 2009: 91 SC points, 25 disposals
    <p style='margin-bottom: 0cm;]Rd 19 2008: 84 SC points, 22 disposals
    <p style='margin-bottom: 0cm;]Rd 3 2008: 115 SC points, 29 disposals
    <p style='margin-bottom: 0cm;]Rd 3 2007: 130 SC points, 30 disposals
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    <p style='margin-bottom: 0cm;]Average is 122 SC points with 30 disposals.
    <p style='margin-bottom: 0cm;]
    <p style='margin-bottom: 0cm;]Note: Ablett averages 138 against Melbourne in his past four games against them. Most recently tagged by Morton and then Magner had a try. Has scored 137, 160 and 131 in his past three games this season at an average of 143. He should score well against a struggling Melbourne team (none of their players scored over 100 in their ten goal loss to Carlton last week).
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    <p style='margin-bottom: 0cm;]Cox v. Brisbane
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    <p style='margin-bottom: 0cm;]Rd 18 2012: 121 SC points, 18 disposals, 16 hitouts
    <p style='margin-bottom: 0cm;]Rd 10 2012: 97 SC points, 13 disposals, 31 hitouts
    <p style='margin-bottom: 0cm;]Rd 23 2011: 49 SC points, 8 disposals, 16 hitouts
    <p style='margin-bottom: 0cm;]Rd 19 2010: 104 SC points, 22 disposals, 9 hitouts
    <p style='margin-bottom: 0cm;]Rd 1 2010: 50 SC points, 7 disposals, 18 hitouts
    <p style='margin-bottom: 0cm;]Rd 1 2009: 128 SC points, 23 disposals, 26 hitouts
    <p style='margin-bottom: 0cm;]Rd 16 2008: 171 SC points, 36 disposals, 27 hitouts
    <p style='margin-bottom: 0cm;]Rd 1 2008: 166 SC points, 29 disposals, 22 hitouts
    <p style='margin-bottom: 0cm;]Rd 14 2007: 147 SC points, 26 disposals, 21 hitouts
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    <p style='margin-bottom: 0cm;]Average is 115 SC points with 20 disposals and 21 hitouts.
    <p style='margin-bottom: 0cm;]
    <p style='margin-bottom: 0cm;]Note: Good average against Brisbane which is inflated by his huge scores between 2007 and 2009. In the past three years, however, his average is only 84 against Brisbane (in five games). Coming off scores of 126, 105, 96 and 171 (averaging 125 over this stretch of four games).
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    <p style='margin-bottom: 0cm;]Selwood v. Essendon
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    <p style='margin-bottom: 0cm;]Rd 17 2012: 83 SC points, 19 disposals
    <p style='margin-bottom: 0cm;]Rd 12 2010: 91 SC points, 24 disposals
    <p style='margin-bottom: 0cm;]Rd 1 2010: 131 SC points, 23 disposals
    <p style='margin-bottom: 0cm;]Rd 10 2009: 136 SC points, 37 disposals
    <p style='margin-bottom: 0cm;]Rd 2 2008: 111 SC points, 26 disposals
    <p style='margin-bottom: 0cm;]Rd 14 2007: 123 SC points, 26 disposals
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    <p style='margin-bottom: 0cm;]Average is 113 SC points with 26 disposals.
    <p style='margin-bottom: 0cm;]
    <p style='margin-bottom: 0cm;]Note: Poor recent record against Essendon. Tagged by Heppell last year and limited to 83 SC points. Tagged by Lovett-Murray in the Rd 12 2010 game and was kept to 91 SC points. He is coming off scores of 105, 87, 163 and 74 (average of 107).
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    <p style='margin-bottom: 0cm;]Kennedy v. Hawthorn
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    <p style='margin-bottom: 0cm;]GF 2012: 83 SC points, 26 disposals
    <p style='margin-bottom: 0cm;]Rd 22 2012: 126 SC points, 35 disposals
    <p style='margin-bottom: 0cm;]Rd 5 2012: 173 SC points, 28 disposals
    <p style='margin-bottom: 0cm;]SF 2011: 124 SC points, 35 disposals
    <p style='margin-bottom: 0cm;]Rd 9 2011: 73 SC points, 19 disposals
    <p style='margin-bottom: 0cm;]Rd 19 2010: 112 SC points, 21 disposals
    <p style='margin-bottom: 0cm;]Rd 10 2010: 90 SC points, 18 disposals
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    <p style='margin-bottom: 0cm;]Average is 112 SC points with 26 disposals
    <p style='margin-bottom: 0cm;]
    <p style='margin-bottom: 0cm;]Note: Solid average against his former team and is normally manned by Sewell or Lewis. A poor 83 SC points in the Grand Final last year but had averaged 141 SC points in the three games prior against Hawthonr. Is in quiet form at the moment with three most recent scores of 102, 109 and 80 (average of 97).
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    <p style='margin-bottom: 0cm;]Pendlebury v. Fremantle
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    <p style='margin-bottom: 0cm;]Rd 23 2011: 154 SC points, 36 disposals
    <p style='margin-bottom: 0cm;]Rd 8 2010: 107 SC points, 27 disposals
    <p style='margin-bottom: 0cm;]Rd 22 2008: 91 SC points, 24 disposals
    <p style='margin-bottom: 0cm;]Rd 1 2008: 81 SC points, 15 disposals
    <p style='margin-bottom: 0cm;]Rd 10 2007: 99 SC points, 21 disposals
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    <p style='margin-bottom: 0cm;]Average is 106 SC points with 25 disposals.
    <p style='margin-bottom: 0cm;]
    <p style='margin-bottom: 0cm;]Note: Poor record against the Dockers - except for his huge 154 against them back in 2011 when he played head to head against Fyfe. Had previously played head to head against Mundy. He is coming off a huge 161 last week which had followed scores of 136, 105 and 124. He is averaging 135 for the season.
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    <p style='margin-bottom: 0cm;]Franklin v. Sydney
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    <p style='margin-bottom: 0cm;]GF 2012: 122 SC points, 24 disposals, 3 goals, 4 behinds
    <p style='margin-bottom: 0cm;]Rd 22 2012: 77 SC points, 14 disposals, 4 goals, 3 behinds
    <p style='margin-bottom: 0cm;]Rd 5 2012: 72 SC points, 14 disposals, 0 goals, 3 behinds
    <p style='margin-bottom: 0cm;]SF 2011: 95 SC points, 17 disposals, 4 goals, 3 behinds
    <p style='margin-bottom: 0cm;]Rd 9 2011: 146 SC points, 28 disposals, 6 goals, 6 behinds
    <p style='margin-bottom: 0cm;]Rd 19 2010: 101 SC points, 21 disposals, 4 goals, 4 behinds
    <p style='margin-bottom: 0cm;]Rd 10 2010: 81 SC points, 15 disposals, 3 goals, 2 behinds
    <p style='margin-bottom: 0cm;]Rd 11 2009: 99 SC points, 17 disposals, 3 goals, 2 behinds
    <p style='margin-bottom: 0cm;]Rd 2 2009: 72 SC points, 11 disposals, 2 goals, 2 behinds
    <p style='margin-bottom: 0cm;]Rd 15 2008: 113 SC points, 21 disposals, 4 goals, 7 behinds
    <p style='margin-bottom: 0cm;]Rd 22 2007: 81 SC points, 11 disposals, 1 goal, 1 behind
    <p style='margin-bottom: 0cm;]Rd 11 2007: 157 SC points, 17 disposals, 6 goals, 2 behinds
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    <p style='margin-bottom: 0cm;]Average is 101 SC points with 18 disposals and just over 3 goals.
    <p style='margin-bottom: 0cm;]
    <p style='margin-bottom: 0cm;]Note: Five scores over 100 but seven scores under. Has been manned by Richards in his past four games against the Swans and had previously been manned by Grundy. He is coming off two poor games: 45 SC points against Talia last week and 57 SC points against Thompson the week prior. Only averaging 86 for the season. He hasn't kicked a goal for two weeks.
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    <p style='margin-bottom: 0cm;]Watson v. Geelong
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    <p style='margin-bottom: 0cm;]Rd 17 2012: 101 SC points, 29 disposals
    <p style='margin-bottom: 0cm;]Rd 12 2010: 69 SC points, 28 disposals
    <p style='margin-bottom: 0cm;]Rd 1 2010: 74 SC points, 18 disposals
    <p style='margin-bottom: 0cm;]Rd 10 2009: 76 SC points, 20 disposals
    <p style='margin-bottom: 0cm;]Rd 2 2008: 30 SC points, 12 disposals
    <p style='margin-bottom: 0cm;]Rd 14 2007: 99 SC points, 28 disposals
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    <p style='margin-bottom: 0cm;]Average is 75 SC points with 23 disposals.
    <p style='margin-bottom: 0cm;]
    <p style='margin-bottom: 0cm;]Note: Terrible record against Geelong. One score (barely) over 100 which was his 101 last year playing head to head against Corey. Had previously copped the Ling tag in years prior. The 30 SC points he scored in 2008 was just part of an overall bad performance by Essendon who lost that game by 99 points. Terrible 66 last week against the Giants which had followed scores of 126, 138 and 67 (average of only 99 from these four games).
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    <p style='margin-bottom: 0cm;]My opinion: Ablett struggled with the Crowley tag in the early stages of his game last week. He managed to shake off the tag and finished with 137 SC points. This week, it is likely that one of Swan or Pendlebury will be tagged by Crowley. Ablett plays in the twilight game on Sunday night in the second last game of the round. This gives us the opportunity to try and exploit the captain's loophole by picking a player from earlier in the round as our vice captain&amp;rdquo;.
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    <p style='margin-bottom: 0cm;]I would probably steer clear of players from the Geelong v. Essendon and Hawthorn v. Sydney games. The choices would probably come from the Fremantle v. Collingwood game or the GWS v. Adelaide game.
    <p style='margin-bottom: 0cm;]
    <p style='margin-bottom: 0cm;]Adelaide played GWS in Round 16 last year and won by 119 points. Callan Ward and Toby Greene scored well for the Giants with 146 and 127 respectively. For the Crows, Bernie Vince led the way with 152. Sam Jacobs (badly out of form this season) was next best with 138. Scott Thompson, who had been tagged by Greene, scored 118 from 28 touches. Dangerfield, tagged by Treloar finished with 110 from 22 touches.
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    <p style='margin-bottom: 0cm;]Dangerfield is coming off an unbelievable game last week. He managed 173 SC points from 35 disposals (20 contested) at 77% efficiency. He also kicked two goals. Scott Thompson finished the game with 109 SC points from 24 touches (79% efficiency). Dangerfield is a slightly risky proposition because he started the season slowly and is only averaging 106 this year. However, the loophole allows us to take a risk or two which makes him the perfect candidate for the captain's loophole.
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    <p style='margin-bottom: 0cm;]I would pick Ablett who should pick up plenty of touches and score well against Melbourne (who had more than 100 less disposals than Carlton last week), and he would be followed by Pendlebury, Swan, Dangerfield and Cox (playing against Brisbane at the 'Gabba.
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    <p style='margin-bottom: 0cm;]Good luck all!
     

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Discussion in 'Blog' started by Jasmine, May 9, 2013.

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