Alright, looks like Champion Data have tweaked the way they calculate their Supercoach points.
The article can be found <a href="http://www.heraldsun.com.au/sport/afl/ranking-mixture-spiced-up/story-e6frf9jf-1226025762939">here[/url]
These tweak dont look to have been used when determining new salaries, so if we take a look- we should be able to find a bit of an advantage- no matter how small. Where they really take effect is with the premiums who you are looking to get a couple of points out of.
So, lets check em out over the break
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<blockquote>
Similarly, free kicks against have gone from minus six points to minus four because Champion Data has found they are not as critical to team performance.
</blockquote>
Now, if we grab the greatest offenders from last year, we can see how much more they *should* have scored under the new formula.
NameFA
Dean Brogan4.6
Michael Osborne4
Ed Barlow4
Mark Jamar4
Darren Jolly4
Lance Franklin4
Brad Ottens4
Daniel Jackson3.86
Brock McLean3.67
Leon Davis3.67
Nathan Lovett-Murray3.67
Domenic Cassisi3.64
Cameron Ling3.56
Stephen Milne3.52
Luke Hodge3.52
Mitch Clark3.37
Brad Sewell3.33
Byron Schammer3.33
Nick Suban3.29
Colin Sylvia3.2
Makes a big case for Franklin who is automatically 4ppg under priced due to this change, but a couple of other big names are Jolly, Neon if you swing that way, Hodge when hes back from injury and Colin Sylvia who, based on this is at least 3.2ppg under priced.
<blockquote>
Turnovers are no longer marked as hard because the forward press forces more of them.
</blockquote>
Now,its unknown exactly how many points this one will actually add to a player, so Im just going to list the average TOs per game and we can speculate from their.
NameTurnovers
Matthew Boyd10.1
Dane Swan9.8
Liam Anthony9.7
Chris Judd9.4
Sam Mitchell9.2
Leigh Montagna9
Colin Sylvia8.5
Daniel Connors8.4
Luke Hodge8.3
Shane Tuck8.2
Adam Goodes8.1
Ryan Griffen8.1
Brent Moloney8.1
Bradley Ebert8
Andrew Embley8
Gary Ablett8
Kane Cornes8
Michael Barlow7.9
Brett Deledio7.9
Travis Boak7.8
Adam Cooney7.8
Unsuprisingly, the most turnovers are generated by those guys who get the most votes. I wonder how much these TOs are worth- surely just a percentage of a point? or does this mean there could be some huge upside to the DreamTeam stars, Boyd, Swan and even Sylvia?
*amended changes*
<blockquote>Uncontested mark from teammate 2 Points from 1 point</blockquote>
nameUncontested Marks
Brian Lake8.1364
Sam Gilbert7.0909
Sam Fisher6.9000
Darren Milburn6.7895
Jason Blake6.4091
Nathan Bock6.3077
Andrew Mackie6.2857
Cheynee Stiller6.1111
Robert Murphy6.0000
Liam Anthony6.0000
Heath Grundy5.9545
Nick Riewoldt5.9091
Cale Morton5.9000
Bret Thornton5.8333
Brad Green5.8182
Jarrod Harbrow5.6842
Brent Stanton5.6500
Adam Goodes5.6364
Brady Rawlings5.6364
Paul Bevan5.6154
Now, apparently these only relate to forward kicks, so while they mightnt be great for the Lakes of the world, Roo and Goodes will love it!
Additionally, 2 new stats have been added under the hood.
<blockquote>Long kick to advantage - 7 points
</blockquote>
nameLong kicks
Brett Deledio7
Paul Chapman6.9
Leigh Montagna6.8
Brendon Goddard6.8
Daniel Jackson6.7
Daniel Connors6.7
Nick Malceski6.7
Paul Duffield6.7
Matthew Pavlich6.5
Quinten Lynch6.4
Josh Drummond6.4
Ryan Griffen6.4
Richard Douglas6.4
Shannon Hurn6.4
Danyle Pearce6.3
James Gwilt6.3
Sam Mitchell6.3
Heath Scotland6.2
Heath Shaw6.1
Andrew Mackie6
Now, firstly remember- these are already currently worth 4 points, and must be effective to take the points (which is something the above doesnt!). That said, it makes Lids and Goddard even tastier.
<blockquote>Mark on lead - 5 points
</blockquote>
nameMarks in 50
Daniel Bradshaw4.8
Barry Hall3.8
Nick Riewoldt3.6
Jack Riewoldt3.6
Jonathan Brown3.6
Jarryd Roughead3
Travis Cloke3
James Podsiadly2.9
Kurt Tippett2.9
Steve Johnson2.9
Kyle Hardingham2.8
Cameron Mooney2.8
Brendan Fevola2.6
Lance Franklin2.6
Brad Green2.5
Mark Lecras2.5
Jay Schulz2.5
Brett Burton2.5
Brett Ebert2.4
Ricky Petterd2.3
This is a 3 point increase from the current uncontested mark, but still a 1 point decrease from the current contested mark. The above doesnt neccessarily relate to a lead-up mark, but it does show a fair indication on the type of player that should see a couple of PPG increase due to it. Hello tall and lead-up forwards!
<blockquote>
"Clangers" have been converted into one stat -4 points, Clanger kick down from -8 Points and Clanger handball down from -6 Points
</blockquote>
NameClangers
Ed Barlow4.0000
Lance Franklin3.9412
Stephen Milne3.9048
Colin Sylvia3.8667
Daniel Jackson3.7143
Byron Schammer3.6667
Nathan Lovett-Murray3.6667
Jared Brennan3.5556
Matthew Boyd3.5000
Brock McLean3.3333
Travis Boak3.3000
Domenic Cassisi3.2727
Sam Gilbert3.2727
Sam Mitchell3.2222
Luke Hodge3.1905
Adam Goodes3.1818
Brendan Fevola3.1765
Jarrad Waite3.1333
Brent Moloney3.1111
Dean Brogan3.1000
Ryan OKeefe3.0952
Now, this one could be a huge benefit! If Buddy was averaging 4 clangers by foot per game, then were looking at a massive 16ppg increase from it! Same probably goes for Sylvia as well!
*end amended changes*
A rumour that I heard earlier in the year when I first heard that CD were tweaking their formula. When a player gets a contested possession, and is infringed before they dispose of it (ie- Selwood picks up the ball in a pack and the slides an arm up to his neck) - last year- the disposal was chalked up from a contested possession. This year, its only chalked up as uncontested. Someone has mentioned to me that all free kicks are contested possessions- so Im not exactly sure how much this will affect the players listed- but unlike the chart, being high on this one is probably a bad thing.
Adam Selwood2.56
Hamish Hartlett2.5
Andrew Swallow2.36
Joel Selwood2.29
Dean Brogan2.25
Luke Hodge2.05
Mark Jamar2.05
Daniel Cross2.05
Sam Reid2
Daniel Kerr2
Matt Priddis2
Lance Franklin1.94
Jimmy Bartel1.9
Jude Bolton1.86
Marc Murphy1.86
Sam Mitchell1.83
Trent Cotchin1.82
Angus Monfries1.82
Dean Cox1.82
Nick Riewoldt1.82
Unsuprisingly, J. Selwood features prominately in this chart, but also to look at is A. Swallow!
Finally, the last rumour I heard was
<blockquote>
Gaining possesion from a hit out will not automatically be regarded as a contested posession.
</blockquote>
Name1st Possession
Matt Priddis8.5
Matthew Boyd8.4
Chris Judd7.8
Jobe Watson7.8
Sam Mitchell7.4
Brent Moloney7.1
Simon Black6.7
Dane Swan6.5
Shaun Burgoyne6.4
Lenny Hayes6.3
Josh P Kennedy6.3
Adam Cooney6.2
Aaron Sandilands6.1
Shane Tuck6
Gary Ablett6
Joel Selwood5.9
Andrew Swallow5.8
Luke Ball5.7
David Mundy5.6
Benjamin Hudson5.6
Again, this is a rumour, and its unknown the exact effect of it, but hey- it could be worth considering...
Anyways, its very late in the piece, but better late than never with this info, right!!
Changes to the Supercoach Formula.
Discussion in 'Blog' started by bbas2910, Mar 22, 2011.
Comments
Discussion in 'Blog' started by bbas2910, Mar 22, 2011.