Both Gary and Joel are more than deserved winners. Ablett is set to be in a resounding lead by Rd 12, polling in 8 of the first 12 weeks for a total of 22 votes. Whilst the latter half of the year was considerably quieter, 2 big games in big wins in round 17 and 23 should see him do enough to pick up his second medal. Whilst Selwood started well, polling 8 votes in 3 of the first 4 games, he only managed to pick up 4 more votes over the next 4 games. Rounds 15 to 21 were an excellent period for Joel, with expectations to pick up 16 votes over 6 of those 7 games.



Dane and Scott are set to poll in 11 games each respectively, continuing their excellent run of form with the umpires over the last few years. Pendlebury had his votes spread out over the entire year, whilst Swan had only 2 votes to his name at the completion of Rd 9 had a massive second half of the year.



With Fyfe being ineligible 2 votes further back on 23, the next batch of players consisting of Jack (21), Griffen (20), Hannebery (19), Johnson (18), Roughead (18) and Watson (18) all too far back to really challenge.







The team votes are where the money is at however, and this year it looks as if the betting agencies are being fairly lenient with what they'll allow.







Dangerfield is considerably shorter than he should be, with Sloane putting in enough solid good games to be around the mark. Thompson topped the count last year, but has been well off the mark for most of 2013.







Rockliff's second half of the year was huge, and may have done just enough to chase down Hanley. Hanley has no history of polling, whereas Rockliff has topped the count in the past 2 years (equal with Rich in 2012 and Black in 2011).







With most of the regular stars struggling for form this year, it's hard to be confident of any result. Chris Judd hasn't polled less than 12 votes since his debut year. He's topped the count every year he's been at Carlton, however this year he hasn't topped 30 disposals once, and only kicked multiple goals in the Rd 1 loss to Richmond. Brock McLean finished only 2 behind Judd last year, and played significantly less games.







Swan and Pendlebury again to fight it out. Again, they've had similar level years, and again Swan should claim the mantle at Collingwood as he has over previous years: 2012 25-15, 2011 34-25 & 2010 24-21.







Watson to take out Essendon honours unchallenged again as he has the last 3 years.







Many would initially consider Fyfe, Mundy and Barlow to have had relatively similar years. Fyfe does attract the eyes of the umpires considerably more than his two counterparts, and also went considerably better in the coaches votes. Should be a comfortable win.







Gary.







Steve Johnson played excellent footy this year - whilst he was playing. Didn't string enough games together to challenge Joel in a year when he is right in contention overall.







Most agencies have Cameron as favourite, so there is some really good odds being offered for Ward. Ward was clearly best on ground in win, and had some other terrific games throughout the year. Cameron's two big bags of 7 & 6 were both in losses, whilst he wasn't overly influential in their one win.







Hawthorn is another with interesting odds on offer. Mitchell is a strong favourite with most agencies, and has polled excellently over the past 2 years - but he played in the middle over this period. When he previously played on the HBF (2008), he was beaten by Hodge in that year. Roughead has never polled double digits - but he's also never one the Coleman and been the best tall forward for the year not only in the team (that finished top), but also in the league. 4 bags of 5, and 7 bags of 4 should put him in the mix on enough occasions to challenge for the chocolates.







Jones again the best of a pretty poor bunch.







Petrie offering excellent odds to which I really can't understand why. Boomer and Ziebell have had some big games, but have also been inconsistent. Wells never polls and Swallow missed half of the year. Petrie has finished second in the past 2 years to Swallow and kicked 48 goals this year.







Boak really kicked away from the pack in the second half of the season to finish off a fine captain's year.







I just don't like betting on Cotchin...serioulsy Cotchin has been well down this year compared to previous 2 years. Whilst he started and finished the season well, there was a big period of nothing. Martin offering reasonable odds in a race that could go either way.







Montagna and Steven both had excellent finishes to the year. Steven is an unknown on the polling side, whilst Montagna is known to only be reasonable. Montagna reasonably short without being able to hold as much confidence as others.







Hannebery could be pushing for Rd 11 honours from Ablett, but does fall away after that point. Jack the most consistent throughout the year, but like most Swans, falls away over the last 4 rounds.







Whilst Griffen will win, young Libba really stepped up over the last few weeks to stamp his place as one of the rising mids in the game. Will be a popular fantasy choice next year.







A forgetful year for the Eagles in a lot of ways, and similarly no individual player standing out as a star throughout the year. Priddis did enough again to take out the honours, which he seems to do so every other year.



What have I gone?



I've gone every combination of 5 across the following 8: McLean, Swan, Fyfe, Ward, Roughead, Petrie, Martin & Jack, across 56 individual bets. All the best for all that take part, and remember, gamble responsibly




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