ORFFA Mid Season Review (by Lenny120)

Discussion in 'Blog' started by anthak, Jun 6, 2013.

By anthak on Jun 6, 2013 at 10:00 AM
  1. anthak

    anthak Moderator Staff Member

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    <p style='text-align: center;]ORFFA <p style='text-align: center;] MID- SEASON REVIEW
    The Ladder: Iron Knob 36 14211
    Foul Bay 32 13306
    Waikickamoocow 32 12691 <a name='_GoBack][/url]
    Venus Bay 28 12433
    Birdsville 28 12399
    Powlett Plains 28 12399
    Wagga Wagga 24 12360
    Darraweit Guim 24 11991
    -----------------------------------
    Charlies Opening 20 12695
    Cradle Mountain 20 12208
    Mt Beauty 20 11413
    Whitsundays 20 11375
    Gariwerd 16 11852
    Nunawading 16 10987
    Larrikin Lagoon 8 11781
    Lovely Banks 4 11182
    Marble Bar 4 10739
    Gundagai 0 8876

    1st: Iron Knob Start of years odds: $5.00 Current odds: $3:00 Results: Round 1: Iron Knob1422 defeated Foul Bay 1252 Round 2: Iron Knob 1501 defeated Gundagai 1133 Round 3: Iron Knob 1440 defeated Venus Bay 1096 Round 4: Iron Knob 1454 defeated Lovely Banks 1289 Round 5: Mt Beauty 1414 defeated Iron Knob 1244 Round 6: Iron Knob 1482 defeated Gariwerd 1278 <p style='margin: 0cm 0cm 7.5pt; line-height: 12pt;]Round 7: Iron Knob 1495 defeated Marble Bar 1187 <p style='margin: 0cm 0cm 7.5pt; line-height: 12pt;]<strong style='font-size: 14.666666984558105px;]Round 8: [/b]<strong style='font-size: 14.666666984558105px;]Iron Knob[/b]<strong style='font-size: 14.666666984558105px;] 1336 defeated Wagga Wagga 1032[/b] Round 9: Iron Knob 1368 defeated Powlett Plains 1195 Round 10: Iron Knob 1468 defeated Birdsville 994
    Iron Knob have had an incredible first half of the season, and are now rightly premiership favourites. A dominate midfield led by Ablett and Griffen has been on full display so far this year, and they will be looking to continue their form to ensure a home final. They have only had one slip up back in round 5 when they ran into a fierce Mount Beauty. Coming into the break with a thumping win over Birdsville sends a strong message to the rest of the competition.
    The run home: Round 11: Iron Knob v Cradle Mountain Round 12: Iron Knob v Larrikin Lagoon Round 13: Nunawading v Iron Knob Round 14: Waikickamoocow v Iron Knob Round 15: Iron Knob v Darraweit Guim Round 16: Iron Knob v Charlies Opening Round 17: Whitsundays v Iron Knob
    The run home is almost irrelevant given the form of this team. Will back them in to win all of their remaining games, with the main test coming in Round 14 against 3rd placed Waikickamoocow. 5 out of the last 7 are against bottom 10 teams. Predicted finish: 1st (64 pts)

    2nd: Foul Bay: Start of year odds: $3.00 Current odds: $3.50 Results: Round 1: Iron Knob1422 defeated Foul Bay 1252 Round 2: Waikickamoocow 1433 defeated Foul Bay 1350 Round 3: Foul Bay 1241 defeated Mt Beauty 1155 Round 4: Foul Bay 1360 defeated Charlie's Opening 1337 Round 5: Foul Bay 1342 defeated Birdsville 1313 Round 6: Foul Bay 1393 defeated Venus Bay 1096 <p style='margin: 0cm 0cm 7.5pt; line-height: 12pt;]Round 7: Foul Bay 1313defeatedWhitsunday 1233 Round 8: Foul Bay 1294 defeated Larrikin Lagoon 1239 Round 9: Foul Bay 1413 defeated Wagga Wagga 1281 Round 10: Foul Bay 1348 defeated Marble Bar 1221
    The preseason favourites haven't disappointed. They had what looked like a major slip in in the first two rounds, but they turned out to be against now first and third on the ladder. Since those, they have gone on to win the last 8 matches with some very consistent performances. It's a scary thought when you consider they still have Pav to come back and Joel Selwood yet to hit form.
    The run home: Round 11: Nunawading v Foul Bay Round 12: Foul Bay v Lovely Banks Round 13: Powlett Plains v Foul Bay Round 14: Foul Bay v Darraweit Guim Round 15: Cradle Mountain v Foul Bay Round 16: Gariwerd v Foul Bay Round 17: Foul Bay v Gundagai
    Pretty soft run home. Play 3 bottom 5 sides, and have already played Iron Knob. Powlett Plains will test in round 13 but should win all of their remaining 7. Predicted finish: 2nd (60 pts)

    3rd: Waikikamoocow Start of year odds: $15.50 Current odds: $7.00 Results: Round 1: Venus Bay 1373 defeated Waikickamoocow 1071 Round 2: Waikickamoocow 1433 defeated Foul Bay 1350 Round 3: Waikickamoocow 1376 defeated Lovely Banks 1210 Round 4: Waikickamoocow 1355 defeated Powlett Plains 1175 Round 5: Waikickamoocow 1264 defeated Charlie's Opening 1262 Round 6: Waikickamoocow 1276 defeated Larrikin Lagoon 1088 Round 7: Mt Beauty 1202 defeated Waikickamoocow 953 Round 8: Waikickamoocow 1287 defeated Cradle Mountain 1115 Round 9: Waikickamoocow 1378 defeated Darraweit Guim 1224 Round 10: Waikickamoocow 1298 defeated Gariwerd 1060
    Started the year at $15.50 but have been reeled in since then. Had a disappointing round 1 but followed up with an outstanding win over Foul Bay. Since then they have only lost one where they played horribly in round 7. Will be a big threat where anything can happen in the finals. Great midfield and solid defence. Perhaps need to address the forward line.
    The run home: Round 11: Waikickamoocow v Gundagai Round 12: Waikickamoocow v Nunawading Round 13: Waikickamoocow v Marble Bar Round 14: Waikickamoocow v Iron Knob Round 15: Waikickamoocow v Whitsundays Round 16: Waikickamoocow v Wagga Wagga Round 17: Birdsville v Waikickamoocow
    3 easy games straight after the break, before running into the codpieces. The last 2 games against Wagga Wagga and Birdsville could make or break their top 4 hopes. Predicted finish: 3rd (52 pts)

    4th: Venus Bay Start of year odds: $12.50 Current odds: $10.00 Results: Round 1: Venus Bay 1373 defeated Waikickamoocow 1071 Round 2: Venus Bay 1331 defeated Nunawading 1188 Round 3: Iron Knob 1440 defeated Venus Bay 1096 Round 4: Venus Bay 1281 defeated Mt Beauty 1019 Round 5: Venus Bay 1264 defeated Whitsundays 1056.5 Round 6: Foul Bay 1393 defeated Venus Bay 1096 <p style='margin-bottom: 7.5pt; line-height: 12pt;]Round 7: Darraweit Guim 1228 defeated Venus Bay 961 Round 8: Venus Bay 1234 defeated Gariwerd 1194 Round 9: Venus Bay 1377 defeated Charlies Opening 1345 Round 10: Venus Bay 1320 defeated Gundagai 597
    Venus Bay are another team that were predicted to finish mid table. Lost 3 and 2 of them were to Iron Knob and Foul Bay. Have been in great form lately with 3 strong wins and will take confidence into the break. Desperately need Kreuzer to stay fit. The forwards are missing the absence of Higgins and apart from Gibbs they lack depth in the back half.
    The run home: Round 11: Larrikin Lagoon v Venus Bay Round 12: Marble Bar v Venus Bay Round 13: Lovely Banks v Venus Bay Round 14: Venus Bay v Powlett Plains Round 15: Wagga Wagga v Venus Bay Round 16: Birdsville v Venus Bay Round 17: Venus Bay v Cradle Mountain
    The Vultures have 2 easy games in the run home in round 12 and 13. Will be tested by Powlett Plains, Wagga Wagga and Birdsville which will determine their top 4 hopes. Predicted finish: 4th (52 pts)

    5th: Birdsville Start of year odds: $8.00 Current odds: $13.50 Results: Round 1: Birdsville 1420 defeated Whitsundays 1213 Round 2: Birdsville 1210 defeated Darraweit Guim 968 Round 3: Birdsville 1545 defeated Marble Bar 1134 Round 4: Birdsville 1285 defeated Gariwerd 1215 Round 5: Foul Bay 1342 defeated Birdsville 1313 Round 6: Birdsville 1275 defeated Mt Beauty 948 Round 7: Birdsville 1126 defeated Gundagai 577 Round 8: Birdsville 1251 defeated Lovely Banks 1098 Round 9: Larrikin Lagoon 1246 defeated Birdsville 1140 Round 10: Iron Knob 1468 defeated Birdsville 994
    Birdsville are sitting nicely in 5th. They had a great first 8 rounds with only 1 loss to Foul Bay, before running into an eager Larrikin Lagoon and a brutal Iron Knob. They were out of sorts in rounds 9 and 10 so a much needed break for the Battlers. The lack of consistency in the forward line is what is separating them from the top 4.
    The run home: Round 11: Birdsville v Powlett Plains Round 12: Charlies Opening v Birdsville Round 13: Birdsville v Wagga Wagga Round 14: Cradle Mountain v Birdsville Round 15: Nunawading v Birdsville Round 16: Birdsville v Venus Bay Round 17: Birdsville v Waikickamoocow
    Tough run home with 4-5 games that will test them. May find themselves battling for a top 8 spot come round 17. Predicted finish: 5th (44 pts)

    6th: Powlett Plains Start of year odds: $17.50 Current odds: $15.00 Results: Round 1: Powlett Plains 1217 defeated Larrikin Lagoon 1176 Round 2: Powlett Plains 1194 defeated Gariwerd 1040 Round 3: Powlett Plains 1273 defeated Nunawading 1159 Round 4: Waikickamoocow 1355 defeated Powlett Plains 1175 Round 5: Powlett Plains 1101 defeated Marble Bar 984 Round 6: Powlett Plains 1383 defeated Cradle Mountain 1321 <p style='margin: 0cm 0cm 7.5pt; line-height: 12pt;]Round 7: Powlett Plains 1362defeatedLovely Banks 1245 Round 8: Whitsundays 1122 defeated Powlett Plains 1109 Round 9: Iron Knob 1369 defeated Powlett Plains 1195 Round 10: Powlett Plains 1382 defeated Wagga Wagga 1101
    The packers have exceeded expectations thus far, and will be very happy with where they sit. Will be looking to recruit well in the MSD to push for a top 4 spot. Perhaps will be looking for youth down back during the break to cover the likes of Newman and Bob Murphy
    The run home: Round 11: Birdsville v Powlett Plains Round 12: Gundagai v Powlett Plains Round 13: Powlett Plains v Foul Bay Round 14: Venus Bay v Powlett Plains Round 15: Mount Beauty v Powlett Plains Round 16: Darraweit Guim v Powlett Plains Round 17: Powlett Plains v Charlies Opening Tough fixture in the last 7 with Gundagai the only easy one. A few games here that will regulate a top 8 spot or not. Predicted finish: 6th (44 pts)

    7th: Wagga Wagga Start of year odds: $12.50 Current odds: $15.00 Results: Round 1: Wagga Wagga1298 defeated Marble Bar974 Round 2: Wagga Wagga 1342 defeated Charlies Opening 1221 Round 3: Cradle Mountain 1247 defeated Wagga Wagga 1181 Round 4: Wagga Wagga 1284 defeated Gundagai 845 Round 5: Wagga Wagga 1206 defeated Nunawading 1157 Round 6: Wagga Wagga 1340 defeated Darraweit Guim 1272 Round 7: Wagga Wagga 1295 defeated Larrikin Lagoon 1267 Round 8: Iron Knob 1336 defeated Wagga Wagga 1032 Round 9: Foul Bay 1413 defeated Wagga Wagga 1281 Round 10: Powlett Plains 1382 defeated Wagga Wagga 1101
    My beloved Wombats started like a train. Won 6 out of the first 7 before running into Iron Knob and Foul Bay. They lost confidence after that and it showed in the poor display in round 10. Need an experienced forward.
    The run home: Round 11: Mount Beauty v Wagga Wagga Round 12: Wagga Wagga v Whitsundays Round 13: Birdsville v Wagga Wagga Round 14: Wagga Wagga v Gariwerd Round 15: Wagga Wagga v Venus Bay Round 16: Waikickamoocow v Wagga Wagga Round 17: Lovely Banks v Wagga Wagga
    Have already played Iron Knob and Foul Bay. Birdsville, Venus Bay and Waikickamoocow will all be tough. Should win the other 4. Predicted finish: 7th (40 pts)

    8th: Darraweit Guim Start of year odds: $12.00 Current odds: $20.00 Results: Round 1: Darraweit Guim 1242 defeated Gariwerd 1099 Round 2: Birdsville 1210 defeated Darraweit Guim 968 Round 3: Darraweit Guim 1191 defeated Larrikin Lagoon 1178 Round 4: Nunawading 1134 defeated Darraweit Guim 1107 Round 5; Darraweit Guim 1175 defeated Lovely Banks 1070 Round 6: Wagga Wagga 1340 defeated Darraweit Guim 1272 <p style='margin-bottom: 7.5pt; line-height: 12pt;]Round 7: Darraweit Guim 1228 defeated Venus Bay 961 Round 8: Darraweit Guim 1245 defeated Marble Bar 1051 Round 9: Waikickamoocow 1378 defeated Darraweit Guim 1224 <p style='margin-bottom: 7.5pt; line-height: 12pt;]Round 10: Darraweit Guim 1339 defeated Charlie's Opening 1260 <p style='margin-bottom: 7.5pt; line-height: 12pt;]
    <p style='margin-bottom: 7.5pt; line-height: 12pt;]Will be happy to have sneaked into the top 8 with their win in round 10. Foul bay and Iron Knob await. Will be looking for a spark in the draft to keep them in the top 8. May need a backup ruck to help out Maric and a quality midfield led by Boyd and Dal Santo is currently underperforming. <p style='margin-bottom: 7.5pt; line-height: 12pt;]
    The run home: Round 11: Whitsundays v Darraweit Guim Round 12: Cradle Mountain v Darraweit Guim Round 13: Darraweit Guim v Gundagai Round 14: Foul Bay v Darraweit Guim Round 15: Iron Knob v Darraweit Guim Round 16: Darraweit Guim v Powlett Plains Round 17: Darraweit Guim v Mount Beauty
    3 very winnable games after the break before they run into the 2 best sides in the competition. Probably need to win 4 games out of the last 7 to make finals. Predicted finish: 8th (36pts)

    9th: Charlies Opening Start of year odds: $15.50 Current odds: $30.00 Results: Round 1: Charlies Opening 1234 defeated Cradle Mountain 1068 Round 2: Wagga Wagga 1342 defeated Charlies Opening 1221 Round 3: Charlie's Opening 1127 defeated Gundagai 1009 Round 4: Foul Bay 1360 defeated Charlie's Opening 1337 Round 5: Waikickamoocow 1264 defeated Charlie's Opening 1262 Round 6: Charlie's Opening 1409 defeated Whitsundays 1031 <p style='margin: 0cm 0cm 7.5pt; line-height: 12pt;]Round 7: Charlie's Opening 1136 defeated Nunawading 968 Round 8: Charlie's Opening 1358 defeated Mt Beauty 1187 Round 9: Venus Bay 1377 defeated Charlies Opening 1345 <p style='margin: 0cm 0cm 7.5pt; line-height: 12pt;]Round 10: Darraweit Guim 1339 defeated Charlie's Opening 1260 <p style='margin: 0cm 0cm 7.5pt; line-height: 12pt;]
    <p style='margin: 0cm 0cm 7.5pt; line-height: 12pt;]Bandits' Charlies Opening have been consistent without being brilliant so far this season. Had 2 losses heading into the break which put them outside the 8. A quality midfield led by Jack and A. Swallow will be the key to their finals hopes. <p style='margin: 0cm 0cm 7.5pt; line-height: 12pt;]
    The run home: Round 11: Marble Bar v Charlies Opening Round 12: Charlies Opening v Birdsville Round 13: Gariwerd v Charlies Opening Round 14: Charlies Opening v Larrikin Lagoon Round 15: Charlies Opening v Lovely Banks Round 16: Iron Knob v Charlies Opening Round 17: Powlett Plains v Charlies Opening
    Will need to win 4+ to make finals. Ugly finish with Iron Knob and Powlett Plains. Predicted finish: 10th (32 pts)

    10th: Cradle Mountain Start of year odds: $6.50 Current odds: $40.00 Results: Round 1: Charlies Opening 1234 defeated Cradle Mountain 1068 Round 2: Mounty Beauty 1208 defeated Cradle Mountain 1154 Round 3: Cradle Mountain 1247 defeated Wagga Wagga 1181 Round 4: Cradle Mountain 1216 defeated Marble Bar 939 Round 5: Cradle Mountain 1454 defeated Larrikin Lagoon 1083 Round 6: Powlett Plains 1383 defeated Cradle Mountain 1321 Round 7: Gariwerd 1294 defeated Cradle Mountain 1128 Round 8: Waikickamoocow 1287 defeated Cradle Mountain 1115 Round 9: Cradle Mountain 1295 defeated Gundagai 677 Round 10: Cradle Mountain 1210 defeated Lovely Banks 1082
    Would be disappointed by their standards. Were back in at $6.50 mid-season by have failed to string consistent games together often enough. Lost 3 out of their last 4 so the break was well timed for Cradle Mountain. Frightening team on paper but lack a quality ruckman.
    The run home: Rou
     

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