ORFFL Preseason Preview - Part IV

Discussion in 'Blog' started by tAdmin, Jan 14, 2013.

By tAdmin on Jan 14, 2013 at 11:00 AM
  1. tAdmin

    tAdmin Guest



    <p style='background-color: #ffffff; margin-top: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; padding-top: 0px; padding-right: 0px; padding-bottom: 0px; padding-left: 0px; border-style: initial; border-color: initial; font: normal normal 400 14px/1.3 Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; vertical-align: baseline; color: #434343; -webkit-font-smoothing: antialiased; border-style: initial; border-color: initial; outline-width: 0px; outline-style: initial; outline-color: initial;border-width: 0px;]

    <div style='margin-top: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; padding-top: 0px; padding-right: 0px; padding-bottom: 0px; padding-left: 0px; border-style: initial; border-color: initial; font: normal normal 400 14px/1.3 Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; vertical-align: baseline; border-style: initial; border-color: initial; outline-width: 0px; outline-style: initial; outline-color: initial; background-color: #ffffff; border-style: initial; border-color: initial; color: #434343; -webkit-font-smoothing: antialiased; border-style: initial; border-color: initial;border-width: 0px;]
    <p style='line-height: 1; margin-top: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; padding-top: 0px; padding-right: 0px; padding-bottom: 0px; padding-left: 0px; border-style: initial; border-color: initial; font-size: 14px; font: inherit; vertical-align: baseline; border-style: initial; border-color: initial; outline-width: 0px; outline-style: initial; outline-color: initial; background-color: transparent;border-width: 0px;][span style='font-family: Arial;]Ah, Part IV. The juicy part if you make it that far. These are 3 teams that should figure prominently in the finals at the end of the year if not for the fact that they each have a deep seated problem. That problem being depth, largely on the bench.


    <p style='line-height: 1; margin-top: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; padding-top: 0px; padding-right: 0px; padding-bottom: 0px; padding-left: 0px; border-style: initial; border-color: initial; font-size: 14px; font: inherit; vertical-align: baseline; border-style: initial; border-color: initial; outline-width: 0px; outline-style: initial; outline-color: initial; background-color: transparent;border-width: 0px;][span style='font-family: Arial;]Even so, these teams have so much scoring power they could end up in 7th-9th range despite their flaws (if you've not been following I've been counting 'em down).


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    <p style='margin-top: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; font: normal normal normal 12px/normal Helvetica; color: #424242;]MOUNT BUGGERY DISAPPOINTMENTS


    <p style='margin-top: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; font: normal normal normal 12px/normal Helvetica; color: #424242;]A team that promises so much then lets the slumming it half of their team drag the rest down with them. What I mean to say is that Mount Buggery's 5 best players are sublime, their next 5 pretty good, and then it gets progressively worse after that at quite a rate.


    <p style='margin-top: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; font: normal normal normal 12px/normal Helvetica; color: #424242;]That was last year that saw Mount Buggery bundled out of finals with nary a whimper, this year the Disappointments are not without hope; Ellis (56.1), Elliott (60.9), Wingard (51.7) and Conca (70.3) are all young enough to improve in a major way. When you couple that with their established talent still on the right side of 25, a significant ppg increase is on the cards for Mount Buggery.


    <p style='margin-top: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; font: normal normal normal 12px/normal Helvetica; color: #424242;]They'd need both of those things to happen though, and that's quite an if.


    <p style='margin-top: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; font: normal normal normal 12px/normal Helvetica; color: #424242;]There's always an if.


    <p style='margin-top: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-bottom: 10px; margin-left: 0px; font: normal normal normal 14px/normal Arial; color: #424242;]What's Working:


    <p style='margin-top: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-bottom: 10px; margin-left: 0px; font: normal normal normal 12px/normal Helvetica; color: #424242;]Ward (106.6), Sidebottom (106.2), Rockliff (97.3) and Watts (86) are a quartet of players yet to turn 24 that could conceivably all increase their averages by 10ppg this year.


    <p style='margin-top: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-bottom: 10px; margin-left: 0px; font: normal normal normal 12px/normal Helvetica; color: #424242;]Combine that with similar increases from Goldstein (93.1) after having removed his competition, Suckling (82.7) after a down year, and Clark (84.1) and Stanton (104.6) if their respective AFL teams can win more matches next year.


    <p style='margin-top: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-bottom: 10px; margin-left: 0px; font: normal normal normal 12px/normal Helvetica; color: #424242;]At a rough estimate that's 80ppg increase that would take a B15 average of 1292 to a formidable 1372. Even if you halve that increase to a more modest 5ppg per player, 1332 is a B15 average that should take them to the finals.


    <p style='margin-top: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; font: normal normal normal 14px/normal Arial; color: #424242;]What's Not:


    <p style='margin-top: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; font: normal normal normal 12px/normal Helvetica; color: #424242;]Mount Buggery would need that B15 to play the majority of games to make the finals. The Disappointments have their top liners sorted, 2nd and 3rd year players being nurtured in every line, but is missing those unspectacular 75-85ppg players.


    <p style='margin-top: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; font: normal normal normal 12px/normal Helvetica; color: #424242;]Particuarly in the midfield which suffers a large drop between 3rd best Stanton (104.6) and 4th placed Conca (70.3). Ideally, a healthy ORFFL side would to use their 2 I/C positions on a midfielder - or a dominant ruck if they have one. With Sheppard (55.5) and Wingard (51.7) as M5-6, they're better off using defenders Maguire (73.1) and Hardingham (64.1) on the bench. A clear compromise.


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    <p style='margin-top: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; font: normal normal normal 14px/normal Arial; color: #424242;]What Do They Need:


    <p style='margin-top: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; font: normal normal normal 12px/normal Helvetica; color: #424242;]Role players. A couple of solid midfielders that can average 75+ and a forward that can average 70+. Perhaps Winderlich (57.2) is that forward and is fit. I couldn't tell you as I can't read Essendon forums.


    <p style='margin-top: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; font: normal normal normal 12px/normal Helvetica; color: #424242;]If he could make that jump, and Mount Buggery Management snares some ageing 80+ midfielders on the cheap, the Top4 in 2013 is not beyond their reach.


    <p style='margin-top: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; font: normal normal normal 12px/normal Helvetica; color: #424242;]Of course they may decide to play it slow and steady and draft some even younger players and just, wait it out. Which is their prerogative.


    <p style='margin-top: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; font: normal normal normal 14px/normal Arial; color: #424242;]Best 15:


    <p style='margin-top: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; font: normal normal normal 12px/normal Helvetica; color: #424242;]D:Watts, Pearce, Suckling, Butler


    <p style='margin-top: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; font: normal normal normal 12px/normal Helvetica; color: #424242;]M:Ward, Sidebottom, Stanton, Conca


    <p style='margin-top: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; font: normal normal normal 12px/normal Helvetica; color: #424242;]R:Goldstein


    <p style='margin-top: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; font: normal normal normal 12px/normal Helvetica; color: #424242;]F:Roughead, Rockliff, Clark, Elliott


    <p style='margin-top: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; font: normal normal normal 12px/normal Helvetica; color: #424242;]I/C:Maguire, Hardingham


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    <p style='margin-top: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; font: normal normal normal 14px/normal Arial; color: #424242;]POOWONG POTOROOS


    <p style='margin-top: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; font: normal normal normal 12px/normal Helvetica; color: #424242;]The coach of Poowong may not like this comparison, but the Potoroos and the Disappointments are a lot alike. Poowong has the best midfielder in Ablett (138.4), Mount Buggery has the best defender/forward in Watts (86). They both have only 3 80+ midfielders - I don't count Lower and neither should you, and they both from having to play not quite ready youngsters in key positions.


    <p style='margin-top: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; font: normal normal normal 12px/normal Helvetica; color: #424242;]But they have Ablett (138.4). Which even in a game without captains makes the world of difference on a week to week basis. Enough to get the Potoroos into a preliminary final last year.


    <p style='margin-top: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; font: normal normal normal 14px/normal Arial; color: #424242;]What's Working:


    <p style='margin-top: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; font: normal normal normal 12px/normal Helvetica; color: #424242;]They have Ablett (138.4). Thompson (110.4) is in the top bracket for M2's, whileSJ (95.6), Hawkins (95.1) and Darling (75.9) form an impressive trio in the front half.


    <p style='margin-top: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; font: normal normal normal 12px/normal Helvetica; color: #424242;]Thompson (87.8) and Murphy (84.7) remain more than handy players on the points per position scale, them man with the cannon for a leg, Mckenzie (67.3) has joined them in defence and is tracking along nicely going into his 3rd year.


    <p style='margin-top: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; font: normal normal normal 12px/normal Helvetica; color: #424242;]Roughead (66.3) and Hampton (56.1) were given D/F status, although it remains uncertain whether they'll score enough to make it worthwhile.


    <p style='margin-top: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; font: normal normal normal 14px/normal Arial; color: #424242;]What's Not:


    <p style='margin-top: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; font: normal normal normal 12px/normal Helvetica; color: #424242;]Having Lower (88.7), Cooney (75.7) and 2nd year player Miles (70.3) occupy spots M4-6 will not strike fear into the mind of any opponent. In theory Lower, Cooney and Smith (51.6) could cover each other, but I see that as a game of musical chairs that sees 2 players sitting on their arses, sans chair.


    <p style='margin-top: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; font: normal normal normal 12px/normal Helvetica; color: #424242;]And neither Jamar (76.7) or Pyke (76.7) are much chop in the ruck - pro-tip: they're terrible, but future superstar Daw (NA) averaged 99 in the VFL last year and may find a position open for him in 2013.


    <p style='margin-top: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; font: normal normal normal 14px/normal Arial; color: #424242;]What Do They Need:


    <p style='margin-top: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; font: normal normal normal 12px/normal Helvetica; color: #424242;]AnotherLower(88.7), except one that plays 20 games. Also for theLower(88.7) that they have to play 20 games.Dawes(64.5) dominating at his new AFL club would make a world of difference, but I'm not brave or foolish enough to predict that happening.


    <p style='margin-top: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; font: normal normal normal 12px/normal Helvetica; color: #424242;]If they don't go forMacraewith their first pick in the draft, it would not surpass to see them go mature-age and pick for points now. Would want to win a flag whileAblett(138.4) is still around.


    <p style='margin-top: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; font: normal normal normal 12px/normal Arial; color: #424242;]Best 15:

    D:S Thompson, Murphy, Garland, McKensie

    M:
    Ablett, SThompson, Sewell, Lower

    R:
    Pyke


    <p style='margin-top: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; font: normal normal normal 12px/normal Arial; color: #424242;]F: Johnson, Hawkins, Darling, Dawes


    <p style='margin-top: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-bottom: 10px; margin-left: 0px; font: normal normal normal 12px/normal Helvetica; color: #424242;]I/C:Cooney, Jamar


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    <div style='line-height: 1; margin-top: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; padding-top: 0px; padding-right: 0px; padding-bottom: 0px; padding-left: 0px; border-style: initial; border-color: initial; font-size: 14px; font: inherit; vertical-align: baseline; border-style: initial; border-color: initial; outline-width: 0px; outline-style: initial; outline-color: initial; background-color: transparent; text-align: center;border-width: 0px;][span style='font-family: Arial;]<img alt='' class='aligncenter' src='http://imageshack.us/a/img69/6403/msshield.png' width='275px' style='margin-top: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; padding-top: 0px; padding-right: 0px; padding-bottom: 0px; padding-left: 0px; border-style: initial; border-color: initial; font-size: 15px; font: inherit; vertical-align: baseline; border-style: initial; border-color: initial; border-style: initial; border-color: initial; outline-width: 0px; outline-style: initial; outline-color: initial; background-color: transparent; border-style: initial; border-color: initial; border-style: initial; border-color: initial; border-style: initial; border-color: initial;border-width: 0px;[/img]
    [span style='font-family: Arial;]

    <strong style='line-height: 1; margin-top: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; padding-top: 0px; padding-right: 0px; padding-bottom: 0px; padding-left: 0px; border-style: initial; border-color: initial; font-size: 15px; font: inherit; vertical-align: baseline; font-weight: bold; border-style: initial; border-color: initial; outline-width: 0px; outline-style: initial; outline-color: initial; background-color: transparent; border-style: initial; border-color: initial; border-style: initial; border-color: initial;border-width: 0px;][/b]
    <p style='margin-top: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; font: normal normal normal 14px/normal Arial; color: #424242;]


    <p style='margin-top: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; font: normal normal normal 14px/normal Helvetica; color: #424242;]MILIKAPATI SNAKES


    <p style='margin-top: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; font: normal normal normal 12px/normal Helvetica; color: #424242;]A preliminary final participant last year, I see Milikapati sliding a little this year. That's going to happen when the games best defender in Deledio (116.7) becomes a midfielder it leaves a wound that is tough to heal. It's been years since a defender even averaged 115+, that it's not really a player you can replace on their own.


    <p style='margin-top: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; font: normal normal normal 12px/normal Helvetica; color: #424242;]Losing F/M Adams (74.9) to the midfield only hurts too, but one of Blease (54.8), Butcher (47.4) or Day (42.4) are sure to break-out sooner or later. Surely.


    <p style='margin-top: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; font: normal normal normal 14px/normal Arial; color: #424242;]What's Working:


    <p style='margin-top: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; font: normal normal normal 12px/normal Arial; color: #424242;]The Snakes midfield is tits! Deledio (116.6), Jack (112.4), Kelly (103.4), Green (94.6), Anthony (90.4) and Gaff (90.4) are the best group of 6 midfielders in the competition. With 2nd year players Adams (74.9) and the talented but presently injured Tyson (55.9) hanging around the edges.


    <p style='margin-top: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; font: normal normal normal 12px/normal Arial; color: #424242;]Pavlich (111) may over 30 and coming off back surgery this year, but he was still the 2nd best forward last year. Even if he drops a level, Hurley (73.1) can go up a level. A level being 10ppg. So too might Breust (85.8) level up. Yup, he's that good.


    <p style='margin-top: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; font: normal normal normal 14px/normal Arial; color: #424242;]What's Not:


    <p style='margin-top: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; font: normal normal normal 12px/normal Helvetica; color: #424242;]Besides Birchall (94.7), Milikapati's defence is a shambles. Smith (67) is coming off a knee injury and scores like a lock-down defender - which he is, Clarke (66) wasn't that much better than the delisted Buckley, and Stratton (60.7) and Tuohy (54.1) are playing rock paper scissors for D4.


    <p style='margin-top: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; font: normal normal normal 12px/normal Helvetica; color: #424242;]Could do with an understudy for Smith (70.1) in the ruck, but getting Gorringe out of Purnululu Bungle is a tough ask. Getting anything out of Purnululu Bungle is a tough ask.


    <p style='margin-top: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; font: normal normal normal 14px/normal Arial; color: #424242;]What Do They Need:


    <p style='margin-top: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; font: normal normal normal 12px/normal Helvetica; color: #424242;]Which brings us to the draft, where the Snakes hold an advantageous combination of having early picks and a preponderance for drafting kids. Watch them make a play for a ruck and a defender.


    <p style='margin-top: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; font: normal normal normal 12px/normal Arial; color: #424242;]Murdoch may be gone by P10, but Plowman, Thurlow, and Jacksch are all in the frame either their or at P17. As are prospective rucks Grundy and Vardy.


    <p style='margin-top: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; font: normal normal normal 14px/normal Arial; color: #424242;]Best 15:


    <p style='margin-top: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; font: normal normal normal 12px/normal Helvetica; color: #424242;]D:Birchall, Smith, Clarke, Stratton


    <p style='margin-top: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; font: normal normal normal 12px/normal Helvetica; color: #424242;]M:Deledio, Jack, Kelly, Greene


    <p style='margin-top: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; font: normal normal normal 12px/normal Helvetica; color: #424242;]R:Smith


    <p style='margin-top: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; font: normal normal normal 12px/normal Helvetica; color: #424242;]F:Pavlich, Breust, Hurley, Blease


    <p style='margin-top: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; font: normal normal normal 12px/normal Helvetica; color: #424242;]I/C:Gaff, Anthony


    <p style='margin-top: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; font: normal normal normal 12px/normal Helvetica; color: #424242;]PRESEASON ROLLING INFO

    DRAFT ORDER

    1 GLE

    2 WOY

    3 HDH

    4 PBR

    5 BDB

    6 TLP

    7 JIM

    8 BDB

    9 POP

    10 MIL

    11 MBD

    12 COU

    13 MER

    14 MAL

    15 POO

    16 MIL

    17 WAR

    18 MAL



    19 GLE

    20 WOY

    21 HDH

    22 PBR

    23 BDB

    24 TLP

    25 JIM

    26 QUE

    27 POP

    28 MIL

    29 MBD

    30 COU

    31 MER

    32 SAR

    33 POO

    34 MIL

    35 BDB

    36 SAR



    37 GLE

    38 WOY

    39 HDH

    40 PBR

    41 QUE

    42 TLP

    43 POP

    44 QUE

    45 POP

    46 MIL

    47 MBD

    48 COU

    49 TOR

    50 SAR

    51 POO

    52 TOR

    53 WAR

    54 MAL





    55 GLE

    56 WOY

    57 TOR

    58 PBR

    59 BDB

    60 TLP

    61 JIM

    62 QUE

    63 POP

    64 TOR

    65 MBD

    66 COU

    67 TOR

    68 SAR

    69 POO

    70 POP

    71 WAR

    72 MAL



    73 GLE

    74 WOY

    75 TOR

    76 PBR

    77 WAR

    78 TLP

    79 JIM

    80 QUE

    81 MER

    82 HDH

    83 MBD

    84 COU

    85 MER

    86 MAL

    87 POO

    88 MER

    89 WAR

    90 SAR



    91 GLE

    92 WOY

    93 HDH

    94 PBR

    95
     

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Discussion in 'Blog' started by tAdmin, Jan 14, 2013.

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