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[span style='font-size: 16px;]WOY WOY WIZARDS

We all know the story of Woy Woy. In the summer of 2012 they drafted a plethora of 'premium' players on the back of their 2010 form - dismissing their scores of 2011 as an aberration. 11 of those players drafted at the time were 29 plus years of age; 3 remain in the sport today. That's a fair amount of mandated list churn.

I mention this because at present Woy Woy has 12 players over the age of 29 on its list. If the trend I outlined above holds that a turnover of 4 players a year simply on retirements alone. When coupled with the Wizards drafting of 2013 - when they drafted just one player in Whitfield under the age of 24, you're left with a simple conclusion.

If Woy Woy don't start getting a better (and younger) drafting strike rate, they'll be replacing a Chapman with a Milera. Which isn't going to get you into in the 8, little loan a shot at a flag.


COMPOUNDING ISSUES

Trade currency. Human capital. Call it what you will, it's a thing and a dynamic/relative one at that. Some teams need points, some need youth, some need both. At present I'd surmise that those teams seriously challenging for a premiership have there fill of pointy midfielders, and those teams outside the bracket and on the rise probably would be hesitant to take on/pay top dollar for a mid who may retire in 2 years. Sure there was a time when you could trade a Kerr for a Shiel; those days are well over now.

Woy Woy has 4 midfielders over the age of 29, averaging from 88 to 115ppg. While Montangna (avg. 115) would probably fetch the highest price, I just can't see any teams willing to part with even a late R1 pick for him.

RELEASE CHAPMAN

FWD's market value on the other hand is a different story. With Hodge (D, 97) seemingly untradeable, Sandlilands (R, 64) clearly irreplaceable and Lake (D, 79) virtually untouchable (in that no one wants to touch him), it's left to one Paul Chapman (F, 96) to be the solitary piggy that goes to market. A 2 year contract at a club in need of high half-forwards and a personal history of proving those who write him off to be incorrect in that opinion.

I've done it like 3 years running.

I think it's worth shopping him around for meaningful pick or a young prospect. Because if Woy Woy continue their track record of drafting just one talented 18-20 year old per year they're never going to have a full enough complement of ability to challenge for anything. Players careers just aren't that long.


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[span style='font-size: 16px;]TARWIN LOWER PIGS

A favourite team of mine largely on the basis that I get that NaughtyByNature tune playing in my head. They should look into making it into a club song. They also have something of a dilemma on their hands, known colloquially as 'who-do-i-cut?'

Tarwin Lower successfully traded out N Riewoldt (F/105) and O'Keefe (M/101) for a slew of draft picks at the last trade period. They're clearly moving forward in a new direction that will skew younger, and it's not hard to envisage Maister (F/53), Porplysia (F/59), Carrazzo (M/66) joining Embley (M/51) on the cutting room floor. After that you could chop a 29yo D/F in Merrett (71) - pretty brutal considering he was their only FWD to average over 65, and then after that you're either digging into young talent brought in over the last 2 years, or the only guys that are capable of above average scores in their position.

I'm a big believer in giving draftees a 3 year contract in the ORFFL. It's a big reason why I don't take them. No patience or commitment. Which they need because a draftee could fire out of the blocks in his first year like O'Meara (M/90), astound in his second year after an unimpressive first like Wingard (F/99), or gradually build to hit prominence by his third year like Prestia (M/97). The list management staff at the TLP will almost certainly have to make a call on a player or two yet to play 30 games, and given that they have 6 picks inside the Top30 in the upcoming draft, they'll be have an even harder time next year.

TRADING SCOTT PENDLEBURY

It's a ridiculous notion and will never happen. No one would trade arguably the best player in the game at the peak of his powers, little loan the player picked number one in the inaugural ORFFL Draft. Ego and convention just wouldn't allow such a thing.

But….

….I think it's prudent to ask what will Pendlebury (M/127) and his scores be like in 5 years time at the age of 31 when the 19-21yo group of Patton (F/56), Stringer (F/47), Yeo (D/62), Docherty (D/53), Polec (M/32), Wallis (M/72) and others reach their scoring high water mark.

Would it be of more value to trade him when his currency is high for a potential game breaker who's 5-7 years younger? Or would you be happier with a 31 yo who can still average around 100ppg at M3-6 when you're in flag contention?

What would Scott Pendlebury actually be worth?

OVERALL

I think the Pigs have a good solid base to work from and could conceivably fill all their list holes this draft and trade period. It'll take some time for the bevy of players they've picked in the past 2 years (and more than likely the next couple) to come together to move the TLP up the table; patience and good decision making at the draft and delisting stages should do the trick. I imagine the pain of seeing a young delisted kick on might burn more than a player not drafted.


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[span style='font-size: 16px;]BONNIE DOON BANDITS

When I think of Bonnie Doon two words come to mind: courage and pluck. Two values I guess most of us associate with Bandits. Pluck when in 2012 Bonnie Doon had their first 5 picks auto-picked they kept calm and carried on. Courage when they had the nerve to scoff at AFL drafting savants like Stephen Silvagni by picking up Grundy (R/75) at P5 in 2013 PSD.

The Bandits will need both of these aforementioned qualities heading into season 2014; the fantasy footy gods have not been kind to them in the turn to a new year. Cox (R/107) lost his ability to go FWD, as did Wellingham (M/73), Thomas (M/79) and Macaffer (M/60) - who also became a real life tagger to boot. Sure their FWD line gained Caddy (F/60), but it's the smallest of consolations.

CLONING BEN REID/RIED

Bonnie Doon need Reid (D/F/81) as a DEF, but they really need him up FWD. It speaks to a lack of high-end quality at either end of the field. Tippet (F/90) and Hibberd (D/96) are both genuine F1 and D1's respectively, after that though the cupboard is full of untested, unreliable or no longer under warranty products.

Menzel (F/43) and Garner (F/29) are both recent R1 AFL Draft picks but have played under 10 games between them. Gwilt (D/68) has climbed the 80+ mountain before, however that was a long time ago, when St Kilda were a much team and he a much less injured player, while Giansiracusa (F/73) and Maxwell (D/67) may end up being regulars by default in what could be their final seasons.

LOOK ON THE BRIGHT SIDE

Turning former AFL P4 Morabito (M/0) into this years ORFFL P12 was a masterstroke, and gives the Bandits the opportunity to plug the qualitative holes in defence and attack. It won't happen overnight, but yanno how it goes. Because with Grundy in the RUC, and a midfield of Masten, Thomas, Coniglio, Wellingham and Caddy (if he makes it it'll be as a MID in the long run), those lines are pretty tight for the considerable future.


<p style='font: inherit;][span style='font: inherit;]2014 ORFFL PSD DRAFT ORDER
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<td class='xl70' style='font-size: 14px; text-align: center;]SAR






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<td class='xl70' style='font-size: 14px; text-align: center;]COU


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<td class='xl70' style='font-size: 14px; text-align: center;]HDH


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<td class='xl70' style='font-size: 14px; text-align: center;]GLE


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<td class='xl72' style='font-size: 14px; text-align: center;]POP


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<td class='xl70' style='font-size: 14px; text-align: center;]POP


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<td class='xl70' align='right' style='font-size: 14px; text-align: center; height: 14pt;]68
<td class='xl70' style='font-size: 14px; text-align: center;]TOR


<tr height='14' style='font-size: 14px; height: 14pt;]
<td class='xl70' align='right' style='font-size: 14px; text-align: center; height: 14pt;]69
<td class='xl72' style='font-size: 14px; text-align: center;]COU


<tr height='14' style='font-size: 14px; height: 14pt;]
<td class='xl70' align='right' style='font-size: 14px; text-align: center; height: 14pt;]70
<td class='xl70' style='font-size: 14px; text-align: center;]MAL


<tr height='14' style='font-size: 14px; height: 14pt;]
<td class='xl70' align='right' style='font-size: 14px; text-align: center; height: 14pt;]71
<td class='xl70' style='font-size: 14px; text-align: center;]TOR


<tr height='14' style='font-size: 14px; height: 14pt;]
<td class='xl70' align='right' style='font-size: 14px; text-align: center; height: 14pt;]<strong style='font: inherit;]72[/b]
<td class='xl70' style='font-size: 14px; text-align: center;]<strong style='font: inherit;]POO[/b]




<tr height='14' style='font-size: 14px; height: 14pt;]
<td class='xl70' align='right' style='font-size: 14px; text-align: center; height: 14pt;]73
<td class='xl72' style='font-size: 14px; text-align: center;]WAR


<tr height='14' style='font-size: 14px; height: 14pt;]
<td class='xl70' align='right' style='font-size: 14px; text-align: center; height: 14pt;]74
<td class='xl72' style='font-size: 14px; text-align: center;]TOR


<tr height='14' style='font-size: 14px; height: 14pt;]
<td class='xl70' align='right' style='font-size: 14px; text-align: center; height: 14pt;]75
<td class='xl70' style='font-size: 14px; text-align: center;]MIL


<tr height='14' style='font-size: 14px; height: 14pt;]
<td class='xl70' align='right' style='font-size: 14px; text-align: center; height: 14pt;]76
<td class='xl70' style='font-size: 14px; text-align: center;]WOY


<tr height='14' style='font-size: 14px; height: 14pt;]
<td class='xl70&quot