Thedraft planneris awesome. It lets you enter in what you think a player will average, then use that to generate an awesome draft list for you based on the results of a VBD calc.
You know what else it let you do? Lets you put your fingers on the pulse of the players that people believe will break out this year.
Now, of course, this tends to miss a lot of rookies, since those guys generally won't average enough to be draft league relevant.
So lets take a look at some of the data.
Top 20 raisers
<tbody>
ave
Diff
Will LANGFORD
60
46
Viv MICHIE
85
45
Dom Tyson
90
45
Liam Shiels
94
33
Matt SUCKLING
32
32
Aaron Sandilands
90
26
John BUTCHER
68
24
Tomas Bugg
78
21
Josh CADDY
80
20
Jackson Macrae
80
19
Shane Savage
82
19
Rhys Palmer
85
19
Joe Daniher
70
19
Tom Hawkins
83
16
Shaun Higgins
75
16
Brendan Whitecross
77
15
Brodie Grundy
85
15
Ben HOWLETT
90
15
Matthew WRIGHT
84
13
James Guilt
80
12
Viv and Dom both show why they are in a lot of teams this year. There's a lot of confidence there. As is Suckling and Sandi
There's a good mindset out there that Liam Shiels is going to be one of the top risers this year. Not many have the stones to go with him though. Maybe they should? Also interesting to see the love coming towards John Butcher. A great talent, but needs to get his body right!
Caddy, Macrae, Savage, Higgins are the usual suspects, but Rhys Palmer, Joe Daniher and Hawkins could provide just as much value.
Top 20 fallers
<tbody>
ave
Diff
Adam Cooney
90
-9
Cameron DELANEY
81
-9
Jonathan Giles
65
-10
Brent Renouf
42
-10
Jack Hannath
37
-10
John CEGLAR
37
-10
Daniel GORRINGE
52
-10
Jarrod Witts
54
-10
Trent West
54
-10
Callum Sinclair
55
-10
Jarrad Redden
57
-10
Sam GRIMLEY
56
-10
Shaun McKernan
53
-10
Harry Taylor
80
-14
Jordan Lewis
80
-17
Chris Judd
80
-19
Andrew Swallow
80
-21
David Hale
62
-21
Nathan VARDY
46
-23
Ben Hudson
61
-24
A lot of injuries on this list, as people scale them back to not select them- but more importantly, there's a lot of ruckmen. Don't know if thats a strategy to manipulate the draft system, or if people really believe that 11 of the top 20 fallers this year will play a role in the ruck.
Predicting breakouts with the Draft Planner.
Discussion in 'Blog' started by walesy, Mar 14, 2014.
Comments
Discussion in 'Blog' started by walesy, Mar 14, 2014.