TooSerious

For those who take it way too seriously

In which walesy laments his premiums, reviews a game or two and slips in some kind of joke about how this weekend contained Steak and Blowjob day AND Swallow did great.

I dunno. Imagine an excellent play on words there.

Reviews are on their way though, as usual though, they are on walesy time.

In the meantime though, how did we all do?! Footy's back!!

Oh, and currently, sitting on color: #000000;]1291/12+C - Under par by about Cloke and B. Ellis I reckon.


GWS vs Sydney


I know it's going early, but man. Upset of the year in game 2. Seriously. How good were the Giants!?

And how about that rain! It started a nice sunny day, started raining through the first quarter, and and the quarter ended, the rain was going sideways and quarter time had to be extended and the field cleared least lightning strike! Fearsome stuff.

Treloar was a beast, with 34 disposals, 15 contested and a massive 154SC. Mumford, is looking like a massive pickup, with 45 hitouts, 13 disposals and a very nice 132SC. If the bloke can play 22 games, you've got a huge win on your hands. Ward was also huge with 31 disposals, 24 of them contested. Personally, I'd give the bloke the 3 votes to go with his 131SC.

On Sydney's side it was ugly. No scores over 100, though it was good to see that Parker wasn't effected by that eye, top scoring with 23 touchs and 95SC. Equaling top score was 'rookie' Jeremy Laidler. His scores were looking very bad, scoring just 7 in the first quarter, but finished the game with an excellent SC/DT ratio of 95 from 16 touches.

Rookies of note, ouside of Laidler, was Harry Cunningham, who looked good in his game, just 13 touches, but plenty of tackles and a high efficiency rate in delivering forward helped him to a tidy 66.

Gary Rohan on the other hand managed just 47SC from 9 touches and from reports, pulled up very sore the next day. Still, a weeks break and he'll be cherry ripe.

On the injury front, Rhys Palmer went off with...
<p style='margin-bottom: 0pt; background-color: #fcfcfc; background-position: initial initial; background-repeat: initial initial;][span style='font-size: 9pt; font-family: Arial, sans-serif; color: #444444;]Welcome to another year of captain’s picks by the numbers! Every week I will try to identify obvious (and maybe not so obvious) captain’s choices based on past numbers.
<p style='margin-bottom: 0pt; background-color: #fcfcfc; background-position: initial initial; background-repeat: initial initial;][span style='font-size: 9pt; font-family: Arial, sans-serif; color: #444444;]&#160;
<p style='margin-bottom: 0pt; background-color: #fcfcfc; background-position: initial initial; background-repeat: initial initial;][span style='font-size: 9pt; font-family: Arial, sans-serif; color: #444444;]Everyone probably thinks that Gary Ablett is Captain Obvious; but I will try to identify other candidates for those seeking a point of difference or for those who have decided to start the season without him. For those still deciding on whether to select Ablett or not, let’s look at some numbers. Ablett finished last season with a massive score of 164. In the five games prior to that game, however, his average was only 94. Ablett’s average for the season was a league leading 129. However, this average was boosted by his incredible average of 138 in 12 games prior to the bye. In his 9 games after the bye, he only averaged 116.
<p style='margin-bottom: 0pt; background-color: #fcfcfc; background-position: initial initial; background-repeat: initial initial;][span style='font-size: 9pt; font-family: Arial, sans-serif; color: #444444;]&#160;
<p style='margin-bottom: 0pt; background-color: #fcfcfc; background-position: initial initial; background-repeat: initial initial;][span style='font-size: 9pt; font-family: Arial, sans-serif; color: #444444;]This average of 116 after the bye was fifth best in the league. Joel Selwood led the league in averages after the bye with 130. He was...
]All this lead up and it's finally go time!



]In case you've missed any, here is the full list of the articles we've had published in the Herald Sun this year and their uncut counterparts that we've published on TooSerious for your last minute cramming pleasure!

Ha a lot of fun writing these, hope you guys have enjoyed reading them
Serious SuperCoach: how to chase overall glory or beat your mates to the league title

By Lucas Garth



Lucas has been on a bit of a hiatus enjoying his new little babe. Very happy to see him back in fine form for TooSerious this year though. This articles about whether you want to shoot for the main prize or lord it over your mates at the end of the season. There's a lot of discussion around winning the main prize but shooting for the top often means sacrificing league wins. This is a great one to review just as our season gets off to a start.



Herald Sun



Serious SuperCoach: How to Balance Your SuperCoach Budget

by Iain McDonald



A great article on how to manage your spend across the field to get the most bang for your buck. An excellent read if you're trying to do the final juggles and adjustments to your team.



Herald Sun



Serious SuperCoach: All the right moves &amp;mdash; Cash Cow buying guide

By Anthony Hack



All about cash cows- analysis on how their prices are dervied, the value you should be looking for and which cows are most likely to moo in time for you.



Herald Sun...
Thedraft planneris awesome. It lets you enter in what you think a player will average, then use that to generate an awesome draft list for you based on the results of a VBD calc.
You know what else it let you do? Lets you put your fingers on the pulse of the players that people believe will break out this year.
Now, of course, this tends to miss a lot of rookies, since those guys generally won't average enough to be draft league relevant.
So lets take a look at some of the data.
Top 20 raisers



<tbody>


ave
Diff




Will LANGFORD
60
46




Viv MICHIE
85
45




Dom Tyson
90
45




Liam Shiels
94
33




Matt SUCKLING
32
32




Aaron Sandilands
90
26




John BUTCHER
68
24




Tomas Bugg
78
21




Josh CADDY
80
20




Jackson Macrae
80
19




Shane Savage
82
19




Rhys Palmer
85
19




Joe Daniher
70
19




Tom Hawkins
83
16...
Alright, there's two parts to this post.

First thing is to get you to join our Tipping competitions.

Second thing, is to introduce you to my daughter. She's 11 and will be tipping this year. Reckon you can beat her?
<div>


So, the first part. We have two comps open on two different sites (Depending on which way you roll)

color: #444444;]We have a league on Sportsbets Million dollar tipping. The league code is: 43777, the password is tooserious<br style='color: #444444;[/img]
<br style='color: #444444;[/img]
[span style='color: #444444;]We also have a league on Footytips. To join that one,Click here

Now, onto the 11 year old.

Her name is Indi. She's a smart kid. Her tips for this round run as follows.

Collingwood vs Fremantle
GWS vs Sydney
Gold Coastvs Richmond
Carltonvs Port Adelaide

Join up to one of the comps, lets see if you can tip better than an 11 year old!
And so another season begins!

Or not quite yet but the clock is ticking! How confident are we all heading into the start of this fine season? Panicking about any last minute line calls?

Remember, we have the chat open here -http://tooserious.net/Chat.aspx or you can find the link anytime up there in the menu bar. It's always a good time in there. :D
RMT%20Round%204.PNG' style='width: 684px; height: 817px;
Great discussion again last week. &#160;But the time has come to stop sitting on the fence and actually back your PODs in.
Here's the team that I have arrived at and why I've made certain changes over the past week:
<strong style='font-size: 14px;]Defenders:[/b]
OUT: Hanley, Georgiou
IN: Walker, Cutler
I went cold on Hanley after suspecting that it might happen. &#160;D8 could revert to Georgiou or potentially becomes Clurey. &#160;For now, I have Cutler ahead in terms of potential SC output and (slightly) better job security. &#160;Georgiou probably doesn't play after Garland returns. &#160;Clurey (if named for R1) could be in trouble when Trengove returns.
<strong style='font-size: 14px;]Midfielders:[/b]
OUT: Ablett, Crouch
IN: Watson, Lemmens
Ablett still has a band-aid. &#160;He may come back in, but for now I'm running Ablett-free. &#160;M8 is similar to D8, in that it could easily revert to M.Crouch or possibly Robertson depending on final teams. &#160;I think Grigg is ahead of M.Crouch to play R1. &#160;Lemmens on the other hand, I like for R1 and beyond.
<strong style='font-size: 14px;]Rucks:[/b]
OUT: Minson
IN: Lobbe
Need the cash elsewhere. &#160;Not 100% convinced that Lobbe is a keeper yet, but I can't see him losing value on his start price and there is a decent enough chance that he goes up significantly due to having a full pre-season (for the first time) and not having any real internal competition for SC pie at Port Adelaide.
Forwards:
OUT: Parker, Mitchell, Rohan
IN: Martin, Wingard, McDonough
Upgraded to more likely keepers. &#160;Would be lucky if both Parker and Mitchell started in my SC team and rose from mid-price to elite in the same year. &#160;Sure it might happen, but history says I'm not THAT lucky when it comes to picking SC players. &#160;McDonough in a half-back role should score better than Rohan, especially if he keeps up his pre-season form.
/Portals/0/Users/222/74/4574/RMT%20Round%204.PNG'...
Do we still need to wait until channel 7 to do their dirty business before we get the teams?

Who knows. What I do know is that FOOTY IS BACK!

Join us in theChattonight to discuss it.

What's the bet that we crash TS again like last year. :D


[span style='color: #444444; background-color: #fcfcfc;]COLLINGWOOD<br style='color: #444444; background-color: #fcfcfc;[/img]
<br style='color: #444444; background-color: #fcfcfc;[/img]
[span style='color: #444444; background-color: #fcfcfc;]B Alan Toovey, Nathan J. Brown, Nick Maxwell<br style='color: #444444; background-color: #fcfcfc;[/img]
[span style='color: #444444; background-color: #fcfcfc;]HB Tyson Goldsack, Jack Frost, Tom Langdon<br style='color: #444444; background-color: #fcfcfc;[/img]
[span style='color: #444444; background-color: #fcfcfc;]C Steele Sidebottom, Brent Macaffer, Taylor Adams<br style='color: #444444; background-color: #fcfcfc;[/img]
[span style='color: #444444; background-color: #fcfcfc;]HF Dayne Beams, Travis Cloke, Jamie Elliott<br style='color: #444444; background-color: #fcfcfc;[/img]
[span style='color: #444444; background-color: #fcfcfc;]F Ben Kennedy, Jarrod Witts, Dane Swan<br style='color: #444444; background-color: #fcfcfc;[/img]
[span style='color: #444444; background-color: #fcfcfc;]FOL Brodie Grundy, Scott Pendlebury, Heritier Lumumba<br style='color: #444444; background-color: #fcfcfc;[/img]
[span style='color: #444444; background-color: #fcfcfc;]I/C Martin Clarke, Clinton Young, Luke Ball, Ben Sinclair<br style='color: #444444; background-color: #fcfcfc;[/img]
[span style='color: #444444; background-color: #fcfcfc;]EMG Quinten Lynch, Lachlan Keeffe, Tony Armstrong<br style='color: #444444; background-color: #fcfcfc;[/img]
<br style='color: #444444; background-color: #fcfcfc;[/img]
[span style='color: #444444; background-color: #fcfcfc;]FREMANTLE<br style='color: #444444;...
So, two days to go. Reckon it will be nice to have a list of the various different ways that we can turn our fantasy knowledge into cash and prizes.

The list, as always, over the break. Drop any suggestions in the comments
<p >Supercoach



1st Prize: $55k cash



Plus team of the week prizes



Real DreamTeam



1st Prize: $40k cash

2nd Prize: $2k cash

3rd - 10th: $1k cash



AFL Fantasy



1st Prize: $25k cash + Grand final package (Worth $5k) + AFL Silver (Worth $695)



Plus team of the week prizes



The Superboot



1st prize: $10k cash

2nd prize: Grand final experience (Worth $4.5k)

3rd prize: Membership pack (Worth $2.1k)



Sportsbet Fantasy



1st wins[span class='Apple-tab-span] $5,000 Free Bet.

2nd wins[span class='Apple-tab-span] $2,500 Free Bet.

3rd wins[span class='Apple-tab-span] $1,000 Free Bet.

4th wins[span class='Apple-tab-span] $500 Free Bet.

5th wins[span class='Apple-tab-span] $250 Free Bet.



Plus Team of the Round and Month prizes.



Sportsbet Million dollar tipping



over $450,000 cash plus over $40,000 in Free Bet prizes



FootyTips Fantasy



2x iPad mini



FootyTips Tipping



1st Prize: $5,000

2nd Prize: $2,000

3rd Prize: $1,000



Weekly Winner: 2x Gold Class movie tickets
With the Freako email hitting mailboxes soon enough, lets dig through the latest to see if we can't glean a little something from the TOG figures.

Now remember, these are DT stats, not SC

Defenders

91% 66 Ben Griffiths (Expensive in SC)

86% 62 Tom Clurey
81% 52 Jeremy Laidler

80% 36 Clay Cameron

79% 54 Tom Langdon

77% 71 Luke McDonald

74% 81 Will Langford

71% 48 Alexis Georgiou*

39% 38 Tom Cutler

High amounts of TOG from defenders bodes well for with game time come the season proper.

Mid

81% 54 Dylan Buckley

77% 75 Harry Cunningham

75% 60 Jack Martin

74% 75 James Aish

72% 91 Jared Polec

68% 75 Viv Michie

65% 70 Matt Crouch

60% 45 Sean Lemmens

58% 63 Luke Dunstan

57% 74 Xavier Ellis

57% 78 Dom Tyson

46% 48 Nick Robertson

Some worrying Tog given to a few of these blokes, points to potential vest duty. Though from memory, Ellis was nursed through the pre-season.



Ruc

70% 36 Daniel Currie

67% 47 Tom Derickx

43% 42 Sam Naismith

32% 37 Fraser Thurlow

Paddy Ryder with Daniher as the back up looks like the way the Bombers will go, removing a lot of the value that Thurlow presented. Could be better off going Currie/Derickx on these numbers.



Fwd

77% 63 Gary Rohan

77% 75 Matthey McDonough

67% 41 Lincoln McCarthy

64% 44 Jarman Impey

63% 57 Jordan Bourke

48% 59 Zac Merrett

44% 24 Jack Billings

42% 47 Jay Kennedy-Harris

Rohan and McDonough. I'm expecting to see them in just about every team!

Did I miss anyone? Let us know in the comments.