TooSerious

Not a bad week from the donors this week, with a round score of 2270 from 21 players. This placed us at 24,194 for the round, and has us 2,408 places better off in the overall, at 20,123.

In our leagues we won three of five this week, in the Ucantbetooserios league, where we’re now 15th, Ucantbe TS (4th), and the TS WA League (10th), while we lost in TS Igotatheory to be 4th, and TS Pine Warmers where we’re 7th.

Join me over the break for the analysis of our round 15 team.<!--more-->

A few really big scores this week, a few disappointing scores this week, and a late-withdrawal donut on a line where our emergency didn’t play. What does it all look like? This:

1. Deledio,DEF,91
2. Broughton,DEF,52
3. Lake,DEF,106
4. Shaw,DEF,112
5. Carrazzo,DEF,108
6. Shaw,DEF,98
7. Kennedy,MID,97
8. Selwood Vice Captain,MID,116
9. Ablett Captain 110 x 2 ,MID,220
10. Mitchell,MID,108
11. Priddis,MID,170
12. Gibson,MID,66
13. Cox,RUC,215
14. Giles,RUC,51
15. Franklin,FWD,109
16. Sidebottom,FWD,93
17. Dangerfield,FWD,97
18. Roughead,FWD,126
19. Riewoldt,FWD,97
20. Porplyzia,FWD,80
21. Adams,FWD,58
,,
1. Goddard,DEF,0
2. Waters,DEF,0
3. Darley Emergency,DEF,0
4. Pendlebury,MID,0
5. Sexton,MID,0
6. Campbell Emergency,RUC,60
7. Pattison,RUC,0
8. Martin,FWD,0
9. Milera Emergency,FWD,0

Once again, starting down back, where we had Cheater top score with 112 points for the round. He was followed by new recruit Carrrazzo on 108 and Lake on 106, which rounded out our ton-toppers for the backline. From there we had S Shaw on 98, a great return for the rookie, Deledio on 91, a little low for his standards, but still ok, and Broughton with a lowly 52, who’s fast becoming a “cut him loose” target. Our bench was made up of the suspended Goddard and Darley the donut who let us down by not being able to replace the late withdrawal of Waters. Three donuts down back, so aside from trades no potential lost points, although the trade we did make was...

Where once there were 6, now there is only 5. That was the story of Round 12 of the ORFFL, as 5 of the 6 teams on 8 wins at the start of the round managed to keep it up and go to 9. Which means its still very tight at the upper reaches of the ORFFL ladder, and by tight I mean we have an intredasting last 5 weeks of the regular season to navigate.

Head over the break as we review the results of Round 12 and tell if and/or why your club is awesome/sucks chaos balls.

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TARWIN LOWER PIGS 1160 Def by TORRUMBARRY THUNDA 1360

The Thunda of Torrumbarry continued on with their post-break form dispensing with fellow mid-tabler Tarwin Lower by a sizeable 200 points. Kerr (116, 2 game avg. 113) relishing playing for his new club without a hard tag, Douglas (99, 2 game avg. 100) relishing not being KOd in the first quarter. Goodes (148) and BadBoyBernie (124) had crackers for Torrumbarry, while Higgins (104) reminded ORFFL watchers of what he is capable of. Thats right, scoring a century with disarming infrequency.

Over at Tarwin Lower it was a case of being nowhere near enough being nowhere near good enough. NRoo (117) managed his 7th century for the season, and Hanley (119) his 6th, but without Pendles, the TLPs midfield is in dire straits. Failing to reach 300 when the league average is 377 should send alarm bells ringing through the club. Sitting in 12th, 2 games behind 11th, TLPs finals dreams could be over if they dont arrest this slide.

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POOWONG POTOROOS 1112 Def COULTA COULDABEENS 1086

Twas a strange match this one. Verily. Relief for Poowong as they got up by just 26 points, and no doubt some degree of frustration for...

Wow, a horrible week for us this week. Im hearing 2400s, 2500s, but with some inspiring performances from Rockliff, Tippett, McDonald, Giles and Broughton- combines with a lack of Thompson, Goodes, Pavlich, Cox, Priddis, Cyril or Chappy- we didnt even break the 2000 mark. Massively diverse week this week.

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Collingwood vs Carlton

Result: Carlton by 23, 12.13.85 to 8.14.62

They. Were. The navy Blues, they were the ol dark- and so on. They also put in a Ratten-saving performance as they put the Pies to the sword with greater accuracy. Third quarter, they tried their darnest to give it back, kicking just 1.7- But they had enough in the tank, despite a couple of injuries, particularly subbing out Hampson early, to kick away in the 4th and create an even closer season than before. Great stuff.

7 Blues scored the ton, with Judd top scorign with 32 touches, 126SC and 3 brownlow votes. There was a lot of points shared though, with Carrazzo, Gibbs, Robinson and most importantly for his owners, Kreuzer all doing the job for their coaches.

Duigan go himself swung forward, and while putting on 3 goals for 79SC- the most important factor for mine is ability it leaves for Kreuzer to spend more time in the ruck. That bloke needs to play in the ruck, and while Im sure the stories of him playing injured arent exagerated, the Blues need wins -and with Krooze in the middle, they look their most dangerous.

Blair top scored for the pies with a 116SC, while Swan and Shaw both combined for 112SCs

If you were forced to field a few of the Pie rookies this week, namely Elliot and Williams, you would have been a little disappointed based to prior form. Just a 40SC and 27SC between them. Thought the latter did get himself injured.

Heroes: Judd
Villians:

North Melbourne vs West Coast

Result: West Coast by 2, 12.14.86 to 13.6.84...

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What does a panda, a chicken, Forrest Gump and the Hulk all have in common?

They’re all inspiration for victory salutes by young 22 year-old Slovakian, Peter Sagan, who has taken this Tour by storm. He is an excitement machine, has more tricks and gadgets in his arsenal than most riders and already at a young age he is a monster on the bike, his potential huge, he is already delivering with three stage victories, and he could win the Malliot Vert in his first Tour. Impressive. As the Tour finally hits the mountains and the all important Overall battle starts read on for the report of the first week of racing and fantasy results.
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[span style="text-decoration: underline">Tour De France Summary

Prologue

First day of Le Tour and it was a short 6.4km time trial that got le Grande Boucle underway. A super fast time from Aussie Brett “Burt” Lancaster saw him post the early best time from Andrey Grivko. He eventually finished 6th on the stage as Edvald Boasson Hagen (hereafter referred to as EBH) and home-tour favourite Sylvain Chavanel bettered the time.

A few of the predicted favourites faltered, as Peter Sagan stuffed up a corner, only saving it with his superb bike-handling skills and Tony Martin had a mechanical but still managed to only finish 20 seconds down on the winner. That winner was Fabian Cancellara, an absolute force in prologues over the last few years and did it by “smashing” Tour favourite Bradley Wiggins time by  7 seconds to finish the course in 7’13” (massive average speed of 53km/h+). Cadel Evans managed a respectable 13th, 17 seconds off the winner and 10 behind rival Wiggins.

Stage 1

A quiet start to the first road stage as they did a long loop around Liège and the Walloon countryside. The most notable thing from the break of the day was the fairly anonymous Danish track-rider, Michael Morkov winning enough KOM points to be the first holder of that jersey. Today was always going to be...

Well, soon anyways...

For mine, Im probably going to hold on Kreuze this week. See what Ratts has up his sleeve to save his own career I reckon.

How about you guys? Pulling the trigger this week? Or is the cue in the rack til finals?

As always, <a href="http://tooserious.net/live_scores.php?page=gameday&id=10251031&process=live">The live scores and chat[/url] are up and about- so feel free to drop in.

If round 11 of the ORFFL saw the competition narrow, is it only logical to assume that round 12 will see the ORFFL spread its disco-wings and fly away from each other? Maybe. Very possibly maybe. With 6 teams equal on 8 wins, the probability is that it wont stay that way by Sunday.

Head over the break and we give you the ORFFL LD on all this 8 point hoopla.

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TARWIN LOWER PIGS (12th, 1210) vs TORRUMBARRY THUNDA (8th, 1222)

A real mid-table clash first up with only an average of 12 points separating the Stormboys from the Pigs. Yet for the second consecutive week Tarwin Lower talisman Scott Pendlebury misses with a broken leg (they say its just a flesh wound), which will certainly make victory tougher against an outfit that seems rejuvenated from the midseason break. Will Goodes fire against Lions at the SCG? Wheres Mitch Wallis? Just some of the questions going into this one.

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POOWONG POTOROOS (6th, 1229) vs COULTA COULDABEENS (7th, 1232)

JDog, coach of Poowong, needs to reassert his strength, after suffering a loss last week that moved the Potoroos from 2nd to 6th. For Bearfly, coach of the opposing Coulta, his team has the chance to take his team to 8 wins and into the top echelon of the ORFFL. And yet both of these teams in this middle stage of the season are suffering injuries to best 15 players. Poowong with Thompson and Murphy missing in DEF, Coulta with Zaha and Schulz missing up FWD - and Burgoyne in DEF. Gary to surely tonup though.

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BONNIE DOON BANDITS (14th, 1156) vs SARAH ISLAND SAVAGES (1st, 1369)

Fresh from knocking off 2nd nay 6th, the Bandits of Bonnie Doon take on the reigning...

Round 14 recap: I think Ablett is just teasing us. Fresh off his bye, and playing against the West Coast Eagles (with recent scores against them of 154, 176, 121 and 175) with his most recent score this season being 188, everyone thought he would knock out another bumper score. Unfortunately 87 is simply not good enough.

Following Rd 13 where only three players scored over 130, Rd 14 proved to be quite different with 22 players scoring 130 or above. At the top of the list was Jolly with 157 but there were other familiar faces in the top bunch with Selwood (149), Swan (147) and Watson (145) having big games.

Here are the numbers …
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Judd v. Collingwood

Rd 3 2012: 134 SC points, 35 disposals
Rd 17 2011: 122 SC points, 35 disposals
Rd 3 2011: 112 SC points, 24 disposals
Rd 18 2010: 85 SC points, 17 disposals
Rd 6 2010: 106 SC points, 37 disposals
Rd 17 2009: 100 SC points, 20 disposals
Rd 8 2009: 141 SC points, 32 disposals
Rd 12 2008: 101 SC points, 25 disposals
Rd 4 2008: 98 SC points, 26 disposals
Rd 2 2007: 133 SC points, 29 disposals
Rd 16 2006: 96 SC points, 23 disposals
Rd 7 2006: 184 SC points, 32 disposals

Average is 118 SC points with 28 disposals.

Note: Solid average against Collingwood. Since 2010 has been tagged by Wellingham (except in the Rd 17 game last year when Wellingham went to Murphy instead. Despite reports that he is playing injured, he responded with a solid 126 against Hawthorn last week which had followed a lean run of scores: 47, 105, 79 and 80.

Watson v. St Kilda

Rd 3 2011: 136 SC points, 33 disposals
Rd 18 2010: 100 SC points, 30 disposals
Rd 8 2010: 106 SC points, 25 disposals
Rd 20 2009: 196 SC points, 37 disposals
Rd 8 2009: 126 SC points, 39 disposals
Rd 22 2008: 92 SC points, 18 disposals
Rd 5 2008: 88 SC points, 28 disposals
Rd 4 2007: 85 SC points, 25 disposals
Rd 15 2006: 111 SC points, 29 disposals

Average is 116 SC points with 29 disposals.

Note: Solid record...

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This weeks teams are brought to us by the Cadbury Boost. BOOOOOOOOOSST!.
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Reckon I might need a few considering Pendles wont be back this week.

Wow, the outs list is pretty long, but thankfully its missing those two big ones were were hoping to see included- Lance Franklin and Matty Boyd.

Still a chance to miss late I reckon, but even if they do- itll just be the week. So make sure your emergencies are set peoples!

Goddard and Martin out will hit most people. while those with Darley, Adams, Hall, Chapman and Duffield will more than likely be bringing them straight onto the field.

Warnock out has made me reconsider trading out Kreuzer. Reckon Ill give him one more week.

Still no Malceski is a massive worry for his owners.

Ins: Darley, Adams, Hall, Chapman, Duffield
Outs: Tom McDonald, Elton, Martin, Golby, Walker, Goddard, Milera, DellOlio, Shiel, Sexton

Full teams are over the break.

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<h3>Collingwood v Carlton</h3>
MCG &#8211; Fri Jul 06, 7:50pm
Collingwood
B: Heritier O&#8217;Brien, Nathan Brown, Marley Williams

HB: Nick Maxwell, Ben Reid, Alan Toovey

C: Simon Buckley, Dale Thomas, Jarryd Blair

HF: Ben Sinclair, Chris Dawes, Heath Shaw

F: Dayne Beams, Travis Cloke, Tyson Goldsack

Foll: Darren Jolly, Dane Swan, Steele Sidebottom

I/C: Sharrod Wellingham, Alex Fasolo, Jamie Elliott, Jackson Paine
Emg: Martin Clarke, Paul Seedsman, Caolan Mooney
In: Ben Sinclair

Out: Caolan Mooney
Carlton
B: Matthew Watson, Michael Jamison, Aaron Joseph

HB: Bryce Gibbs, Nick Duigan, Zach Tuohy

C: Heath Scotland, Mitch Robinson, Dennis Armfield...

Hi all, and welcome once again to the Best Buys.

This week Ive been quite rushed, so Ill have to start by mentioning that the Best Buys arent quite as large as usual, but will hopefully be just as helpful, and apologise for the rushed nature of it. This week sees a few young rookies on the bubble, and really not much else changing to be fair. The question as always with the rookies will be whether or not they can continue to get TOG, but unfortunately even for the best SCers this will remain a bit of a gamble.

My tip of the week for this week is Carrots, or Andrew Carrazzo.
After breaking his shoulder and a decent lay-off Carrots is back in the game and showing why he is internally one of the top rated players at Carlton. D/M MPP is a great bonus to have, and if the dreaded late-season injuries, or even The General, strike he could be a great coverage option. Murphys return may see slight change in role for Carrots but he should still be able to rack up some good scores. As the saying goes though, its the Carrot or the Stick, and Im still unsure of which will work better.

Anyways, join me over the break for the rest of this weeks Best Buys.

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INFO

The Best Buys uses a mix of price, form, break-evens and projected salaries to assess the Best Buys of each round. These are essentially the players that represent the best “value” which is determined by the above factors. Some player will not be mentioned on here even if they are playing well, as value is the key for this article. If a player is averaging 110, which is certainly solid, but priced at an average of 112 then they will not be rated. This does not mean these players should be avoided or not picked due to this, but simply that they aren’t as good “value” as the others in the Best Buys. For all the player I’ve missed, and any more you’re wanting opinions on, the thumbs are always there.

The thumbs act as a polling tool for the TS community, if you pose a question with either...

Round 14.  Moving round, or so it seems, with many of the hot favourites playing exceptionally well over the weekend.  Franklin, Boyd, Swan, Mitchell, Jack &amp; Joel Selwood (starting to make his run) all pushed their claims to catch on leaders Thompson and Watson - however they both responded with likely BOG performances.  And whilst Watson was clearly best afield, Thompson will probably get the three - but it is less clear cut (although he did have 9 possessions more than any other on the winning team).

Over the page you may notice that the tallys do not line up exactly with last week.  After initially giving Swan the 3 votes against West Coast, something didnt sit right (Beams was clearly best on ground).  I have updated the formula to better reflect this, and backdated the calculations across all games this season - not a huge difference, but some team leaders have swapped.  On top of this, youll also see a variance number assigned next to each of the leaders: this reflects back to the strengths of the votes that I have awarded each player, and also is positively effected by games where a player may poll higher.  It also indicates a likely range, i.e. Scott Thompson on 24 with a (-8) suggests he should be somewhere between 16 &amp; 24.<!--more-->

Hawthorn v Carlton

3 - Sam Mitchell (14)
2 - Lance Franklin (19)
1 - Grant Birchall (1)
The rest: C. Judd, J. Roughead, J. Lewis, M. Robinson, D. Hale, B. Sewell

Collingwood v Fremantle

3 - Dane Swan (17)
2 - Jarryd Blair (2)
1 - Darren Jolly (1)
The rest: D. Beams, D. Thomas, S. Wellingham, M. Barlow

Adelaide v Richmond

3 - Scott Thompson (24)
2 - Taylor Walker (7)
1 - Shane Tuck (8)
The rest: J. Porplyzia, K. Tippett, T. Cotchin, R. Douglas, B. Deledio, S. Jacobs

West Coast v Gold Coast

3 - Luke Shuey (7)
2 - Chris Masten (6)
1 - Dean Cox (4)
The rest: M. Priddis, D. Kerr, M. Rosa, S. Selwood, Q. Lynch, S. Hurn

Essendon v Western Bulldogs

3 - Jobe Watson (23)
2 -...