TooSerious

For those who take it way too seriously

Wow, there sure were a lot of smashing this week. I guess thats what happens when only a few teams can qualify, and other teams use the time to... experiment.

Anyways, onto the review...

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Essendon vs Sydney

Result: Essendon by 2, 1.14.12 to 1.14.10

It was a good win for what was essentially a full strength Bombers outfit, but showed a bit of a worrying sign for potential forward premium Zaharakis. Only managed 11 possessions over just over a half a games gametime, but when he did have the ball, really didnt look in the same form as last year.

Stanton and Watson both got a lot of it, the latter was kicking at 100% efficiency! If he continues with that, hello super-premium! (ahem, we can dream cant we!?)

With Dempseys return, 17 touches and a very good first half, allowed Heppell to push further up the ground. Which worryingly, probably didnt help his scores very much, with 17 touches throughout the game.

Winderlich did alright for his first game back, picking up 7 touches in less than half a game. Not enough to select him, but certainly not too bad.

Luke Palmer has made a massive push for selection. I thought he was very good in collecting his 21 possessions.

StKildaThunda, Goodesy was putting you to shame early mate, but fell away a fair bit after that. Only 11 touches for a full game keep the jury out when it comes to a Goodes selection.

With Brown added to the LTI, Cunningham should earn the promotion, however, the question is- will his 3 touches from half a game be enough? There were two goals in that which is nice.

Malceski was great in the (just over) half game he played, 15 disposals with impecable touch certainly makes him an interesting selection.

Sub Effected: Hille, Hocking, McVeigh, Monfries, Winderlich, Jetta, Myers, Hooker, Bellchambers, Zaharakis, Carlisle, Howlett.
Sub Effected: Jack, Malceski,...
Supercoach Season Preview 2012 - Collingwood

2012 Supercoach Player Ranking Chart

<a href="http://tooserious.net/wp-content/uploads/2012/03/Collingwood_SC2012.jpg"><img class="alignleft size-full wp-image-5242" src="http://tooserious.net/wp-content/uploads/2012/03/Collingwood_SC2012.jpg" alt="" width="481" height="581" />[/url]

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2012 List Analysis:

So near, but yet so far.   Winning a premiership is difficult, but following it up the next season is nigh on impossible.  Every other team comes at you, rule and game plan changes target your dominance, and complacency settles in like an unwanted bad smell.   This is what confronted Collingwood in 2011, and they were not able to clear the minds of distractions enough to get the job done when it counted.   Geelong was just too good when it counted.

However, a new season gives fresh opportunity to a team that would consider only one premiership from this generation of players to be an under-achievement.  There is a new coach, Nathan Buckley, with a new fresh bunch of assistant coaches, after the main bulk of Malthouse assistants find themselves in the senior coaching ranks.  It means there will likely be changes, but Collingwood will be trying to do this without throwing the baby with the bathwater.   Its an immensely tough job for the new coach, I believe.

Collingwood has a strong list in all areas, with a small query on the ruck division, and possibly on backline talent (as distinct from the ability to shut-down an opposition team).   Even though the depth looks a little thin in defence, there are players who do a significant role, such as Tarrant, Goldsack and N Brown, who are listed outside the main 22 on the list analysis, which means there are a few players to spare when the whips get cracking.  This is important, as it is in depth where the Magpies and Cats will be tested by the Hawks in 2011, having been overtaken over the off-season.

Collingwoods list ranks a...
Yes, this meaningless preseason competition is still going. Yes, the Commish has been slack in updating the results. No, he does not want to listen to your bitching about his tardiness. And finally, its glad to no longer be on the bottom, even if it is meaningless. Might want to learn from that Ratten and co.

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<table cellspacing="0" cellpadding="0">
<tbody>

<td valign="middle" width="33%">SKT
<td valign="middle" width="33%">Players Used
<td valign="middle" width="33%">Player Avg.



1696
22
 77.1




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<table cellspacing="0" cellpadding="0">
<tbody>

<td valign="middle" width="33%">EDDIE V
<td valign="middle" width="33%">Players Used
<td valign="middle" width="33%">Player Avg.



1688
22
76.7




&nbsp;
<table cellspacing="0" cellpadding="0">
<tbody>

<td valign="middle" width="33%">P_L
<td valign="middle" width="33%">Players Used
<td valign="middle" width="33%">Player Avg.



1675
23
72.8




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<table cellspacing="0" cellpadding="0">
<tbody>

<td valign="middle" width="33%">THOKASH
<td valign="middle" width="33%">Players Used
<td valign="middle" width="33%">Player Avg.



1533
 22
 69.7




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<table cellspacing="0" cellpadding="0">
<tbody>

<td valign="middle" width="33%">LUCAS
<td valign="middle" width="33%">Players Used
<td valign="middle" width="33%">Player Avg.



1500
20
 75




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<table cellspacing="0" cellpadding="0">
<tbody>

<td valign="middle" width="33%">DOOBS
<td valign="middle" width="33%">Players Used
<td valign="middle" width="33%">Player Avg.



1454
 20
 69.2




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<table cellspacing="0" cellpadding="0">
<tbody>

<td valign="middle" width="33%">KEL
<td valign="middle" width="33%">Players Used
<td valign="middle" width="33%">Player Avg.



1435
17...
Supercoach Season Preview 2012 - Carlton

2012 Supercoach Player Ranking Chart

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<a href="http://tooserious.net/wp-content/uploads/2012/03/Carlton_SC20121.jpg"><img class="alignleft wp-image-5243" src="http://tooserious.net/wp-content/uploads/2012/03/Carlton_SC20121.jpg" alt="" width="474" height="545" />[/url]

2012 List Analysis:

Carlton is a team that can win the Premiership in 2012.  There arent that many teams in the league who can do it.  I count 5 - all from last years top bunch, and yes even the NAB Cup wooden spooners can still rate a mention.

Why they do is quite simple.   They have a very strong list of excellent and very good players, spread across most areas of the ground.   They have depth which can be called upon (though at the moment not quite as good as some key finals rivals), and their high end quality, particularly in the midfield where the game is won and lost is strong.

But theres only so long the "well be coming round the mountain when we come" cuts ice before we want to see real progress.  Not beating Essendon in the finals progress, but an invitation to the penultimate dance.   They need at least a Preliminary Final to justify all those cold dark days of being fed manure by wooden-spoon toting rivals.   Yes, its been so long since Carlton was in a place where they could actually be justifiably arrogant.   However, what I see is they are actually coming this time.

Carltons list ranks a score of 46, with a depth of 23.   This places them 3rd in quality of best 22, and 4th in terms of depth.  The main weakness of the list is in the area of tall forwards.  Pity Kennedy is playing for the West Coast Eagles.   Collingwood, Hawthorn, Geelong and West Coast hold much more of its Supercoach points forward of centre, and even though the Blues have a brilliant midfield, it can only cover the rebound deficiency of their forward division for so long.   Particularly when other teams like Hawthorn have...
Supercoach Season Preview 2012 - Brisbane

2012 Supercoach Player Ranking Chart

<a href="http://tooserious.net/wp-content/uploads/2012/03/Brisbane_SC2012.jpg"><img class="alignleft wp-image-5184" src="http://tooserious.net/wp-content/uploads/2012/03/Brisbane_SC2012.jpg" alt="" width="474" height="523" />[/url]

2012 List Analysis:

Brisbane is a team that is not made at all in the image of their coach.   Apart from the red hair of course!  A team of battlers and triers grouped into a cohesive unit that looks steady but never dominating.   From the list analysis, its about right.   Therefore this season one can see the ranks of the Lions Lower-Mid collection moving up towards the Midprice and starting to improve the real depth of the team, rather than seeing a player like Buchanan as someone who can actually offer the team something, when its clear that hes not in the top rung of players any more.  Pity really, because he was my most influential player on the ground in the 2005 GF, particularly the last term.  Sorry Juddy.

The Lions appear to have the ability to bat deep in the midfield, and with a better run from injury from Drummond, they could get their defence nicely tuned.  The ruck division at least for this year is looking strong.   That leaves an absolute mess called the forwards division. Its so in need of improvement from the skipper Jonathan Brown its not funny.   JB at his best gets not just goals himself, but he wills other players into the game.   For Brisbane to become a realistic finals threat this year, they need JB at Premium level, and some young players under the Midprice level to step up their game.   You cant base finals on the efforts of McGrath and Banfield.   And for that reason, at least on my list analysis, Brisbane has the worst forward line in the competition.   Crisis creates opportunity for the buyer willing to take a big risk.

On the whole Brisbanes list ranks a score of 32, with only 17 depth...
Heres a look at the weekends games, join me over the break...<!--more-->

Man United v WBA

WBA, Wolves, Fulham, Blackburn, QPR, Wigan, Villa &amp; Everton. That’s United’s opponents before they face City towards the end of the season. It makes for nice reading for United supporters. This week though, WBA might not be straightforward. They’re off the back of 5-1 (Wolves), 4-0 (Sunderland) and 1-0 (Chelsea), impressive stuff.

United picked up three more points against a Spurs side that have been educated on what it takes to win a title ie go to one of your rivals, take a pumping, give platitudes to your opponents, as you head off up the road with three points in the bank.

Rooney is hot just now, while Young scored twice and assisted last week.

Arsenal v Newcastle

It’s been a relatively good week for the Gunners. A comprehensive 3-0 against Milan, that wasn’t quite enough to see them through in the UCL, as well as a 2-1 at Liverpool where RVP was the difference. Van Persie has now scored the winner for Arsenal on 10 different occasions this year.

Pardew – who may or may not have calmed down since his “<a href="http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=l-B0HwOkkH4">get it right up you[/url]” to O’Neill in last week’s fiery derby clash – will be desperate not to lose and keep pace with the Gunners for fourth place. They have a poor record in London though and will do well to reverse that.

Newcastle have Lovenkrands out for the season, while Arteta should return for the Gunners.

Everton v Spurs

Redknapp surprisingly played VDV, Bale and Lennon in their midweek FA Cup replay versus Stevenage. Lennon was taken off with a hammy. Dawson is probably out for the season. They dominated Man United last week but unfortunately for them dropped more points. Arsenal are now only four points behind them.

Everton will be aiming to continue their good run and have Rodwell and Osman available again.

Chelsea v Stoke

Di Matteo has JT and Cole both available...
Supercoach Season Preview 2012 - Adelaide

2012 Supercoach Player Ranking Chart

<a href="http://tooserious.net/wp-content/uploads/2012/03/Adelaide_SC2012.jpg"><img class="alignleft size-full wp-image-5170" src="http://tooserious.net/wp-content/uploads/2012/03/Adelaide_SC2012.jpg" alt="" width="484" height="557" />[/url]

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2012 List Analysis:

Adelaide has  lot of players in the upper-mid area compared to the rest of the competition and need to progress their development in order to progress up the ladder.   The thing is, most people believe they will do just that, with players such as Sloane and Dangerfield consistently at the tip of the tongue for any players wishing to bring mid-price selections into their Supercoach team.

Jacobs is clearly a critical player in the Adelaide structure.  Without him, Tippett or Jenkins needs to take the ruck, and there would be a huge shuffle up forward.   The key for Sauce is to stay fit and healthy and churn out the 116 Supercoach points (which the Adelaide ruck division averaged in 2011) on his own.    Jacobs therefore is an intelligent midprice selection.

On the whole Adelaides list ranks a score of 36, with 22 depth players.   This places them 13th in quality of best 22, but equal 5th in terms of depth.  Thus once again, the key for Adelaide is to develop what is already there, and make it better quality.  If the quality doesnt rise, nor will Adelaide.

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2011 Supercoach Statistics:

PPG Average: 1594 (Ranked 14)

DEF Average: 566 (7) - 35%

MID Average:  603 (9) - 38%
FWD Average: 310 (13) - 19%
RUC Average: 116 (12) -  7%

Adelaide were a middling bunch last year, but the clear view from their SuperCoach statistics is that the ball spent too long in their defence.  Is Sanderson happy with such tactics in 2012, or will he look for a more forward-press style approach?   Time will tell.   The Crows midfield is one that ranked average in 2011, and...
Hi all,

Its been a while since I wrote some articles here.

What Ive been doing over summer is watching some cricket, drafting some players into my ORFFL team (Humpty Doo Hammerheads) and relaxing without the weekly worry of trying to produce good trades for my team, or poring over Herald-Sun trumped up injury reports.  Talk about making a crisis out of very little.

But now, its time that I lifted the game and got focussed on what will be another classic Supercoach season.  There are enough pitfalls to trap even the most experience players up this year, and Im hoping we all pull together on the site and share good strategies and systems to get our teams into the prime slots during the season.

How Im going to operate from now until season launch is to give some previews for each of the teams.  Read on after the break for how I intend to do this.

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In these Season Previews I will give a list of player rankings and how they stack up.

Elite is the ranking for the best 9 Forwards, 9 Defenders, 8 Midfielders and 4 Ruckmen - but ranked not merely on PPG, but also on season points.   This means that players who play only a few games but shoot the lights out (Tutt, McIntosh, etc) dont overshadow others who might have had a great season - and more points overall - but just did it in a more methodical fashion.

Ive saved Premium positions for those who are ranked in the top 10% players - and this might prove a little contentious - grouped by positions.   This means that roughly 100 points per game and 20+ games in a season are required for midfielders, but the requirement for defenders is quite a bit less than this.  My reason behind this is that SuperCoach teams could decide at the start of the year to load up on Premium players seeking for them to become elite, and getting them for a bargain.   Premium midfielders are still mighty expensive (and given they arent even top 8); maybe too much so.

All other positional rankings are...
After last weeks debarcle, can I just be the first to say: Carn the Bombers!~!!

And with that, join us in the chat over the break.
This was a long matchup, which included the All Star break and 10 days of NBA games within it. We therefore saw some huge scores, with 2 teams scoring greater than 2500! Fez scored 2634 in Division 1, but he was pipped by smokinjoemisiti in Div2 with 2676. The lowest score this week went to Walesy in Premier Division with just 1577 - more than 1000 points less than the best... but of course, Walesy can be excused with all the great work thats been happening around the site, so Im gonna throw in the next highest/lowest - Underachievers with 1680 in Division 1. The highest scoring loser this week was the previously undefeated bgt2110 in Division 1 with a whopping score of 2281, which only 8 teams scored better than. There werent actually many close games this round, with the closest margin being 58 points in Premier Division between myself - ant hak - and Owen.

Over the break will be the usual reviews by myself, Steve and smokinjoemisiti:::::::::

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PREMIER DIVISION (by anthak):

<a title="Run TMC (Owen Beebe)" href="http://games.espn.go.com/fba/clubhouse?leagueId=23530&amp;teamId=19&amp;seasonId=2012" target="_top">Run TMC[/url] (Owen) v <a title="ant hak (Anthony Hack)" href="http://games.espn.go.com/fba/clubhouse?leagueId=23530&amp;teamId=1&amp;seasonId=2012" target="_top">ant hak[/url] (anthak) <a href="http://games.espn.go.com/fba/boxscorequick?leagueId=23530&amp;teamId=1&amp;scoringPeriodId=71&amp;seasonId=2012&amp;view=matchup&amp;version=quick">2061-2119[/url]

As mentioned above, this was the closest game across the 3 leagues this week. and even though my team was more affected by injuries, I still ended up with 4 more games played over the fortnight, and in such a close game, I think this played a part this time round. Owen did not make a single player swap throughout the matchup - using the same 13 players all the way through; whereas I used all 5 of my acquisitions and 17 players all up. It was such a close game...