TooSerious

2 in 1 again this week...

I firstly want to bring to everyones attention that lockout is today at 5:30 AEDT as the Hawks are travelling over to NZ to kick off the weekend of NBL games. Two teams - Taipans and Crocs - play 2 games each this weekend, with [EDIT thanks to Parasite] only Adelaide missing out on a game. Another thing we should all be aware of is the schedule for next week: In round 21 there will be 7 games with 4 teams playing twice, including the Crocs - so its probably a good time to bring in a couple more of them, ready for their 4 games in 2 rounds - as they also had a couple of weeks ago.

Now have a look over the break for details about our DreamTeam league:::::::::

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Firstly, the round 18 results:
<table width="100%" cellspacing="0" cellpadding="0">
<tbody>

<td align="right"><a href="http://dreamteam.nbl.com.au/?p=other_teams&amp;tid=212&amp;lid=1">Duncans Troops[/url]
201
def by
322
<td align="left"><a href="http://dreamteam.nbl.com.au/?p=other_teams&amp;tid=332&amp;lid=1">Cryil33s Crushers[/url]



<td align="right"><a href="http://dreamteam.nbl.com.au/?p=other_teams&amp;tid=661&amp;lid=1">King Kong[/url]
280
def
239
<td align="left"><a href="http://dreamteam.nbl.com.au/?p=other_teams&amp;tid=416&amp;lid=1">Bearfly[/url]



<td align="right"><a href="http://dreamteam.nbl.com.au/?p=other_teams&amp;tid=531&amp;lid=1">Nothin But String[/url]
305
def
179
<td align="left"><a href="http://dreamteam.nbl.com.au/?p=other_teams&amp;tid=1956&amp;lid=1">Maxys Marvels[/url]



<td align="right"><a href="http://dreamteam.nbl.com.au/?p=other_teams&amp;tid=881&amp;lid=1">Team Stowie[/url]
337
def
204
<td align="left"><a href="http://dreamteam.nbl.com.au/?p=team">Deadly mills[/url]



<td align="right"><a href="http://dreamteam.nbl.com.au/?p=other_teams&amp;tid=443&amp;lid=1">Don Cottagers[/url]
389
def by
397
<td align="left"><a...

Wow, just one more sleep until the NAB! Its getting exciting here, footys back an I for one am pretty damn stoked!

So join us over the break as we take a quick look at the 9 squads that will be taking the field this weekend.

And let us know who youll be keeping a close, close eye on.
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Richmond, Hawthorn, North Melbourne
Etihad Stadium, Friday Feb 17, 6.45pm AEDT

RICHMOND
2. Dylan Grimes, 4. Dustin Martin, 6. Shaun Grigg, 7. Matt Dea, 8. Jack Riewoldt, 9. Trent Cotchin, 10. Shane Edwards, 11. Jake Batchelor, 13, Brad Miller, 14. Bachar Houli, 16. Luke McGuane, 17. Chris Newman, 18. Alex Rance, 20. Ivan Maric, 21. Shane Tuck, 23. Daniel Jackson, 25. Angus Graham, 26. Robin Nahas, 28. Jake King, 29. Tyrone Vickery, 30. Reece Conca, 32. Brad Helbig, 35. Matthew White, 37. Jayden Post, 38. Steven Morris, 39. Tom Derickx, 41. Nathan Foley, 42. Brandon Ellis, 43. Todd Elton, 44. Matt Arnot, 45. Brett OHanlon, 46. Jeromey Webberley, 47. Addam Maric, 49. Steven Verrier

Ellis and Morris are the two big names here, with a slight dash of Arnot, Derickx and Conca will be the guys Im looking at closely here.

NORTH MELBOURNE
1. Hamish McIntosh, 3. Ryan Bastinac, 4 Liam Anthony, 5. Ben Warren, 6. Lachlan Hansen, 7. Jack Ziebell, 9. Andrew Swallow, 10. Ben Cunnington, 11. Michael Firrito, 12. Lindsay Thomas, 13. Leigh Adams, 14. Gavin Urquhart, 15. Luke Delaney, 16. Scott Thompson, 17. Nathan Grima, 18. Shaun Atley, 20. Drew Petrie, 22. Todd Goldstein, 23. Kieran Harper, 24. Levi Greenwood, 25. Robbie Tarrant, 26. Ben McKinley, 27. Aaron Edwards, 29. Brent Harvey, 31. Cameron Delaney, 33. Matthew Campbell, 34. Jamie Macmillan, 35. Aaron Black, 39. Cameron Pedersen, 41. Aaron Mullett, 42. Scott McMahon, 43. Sam Gibson, 45. Brad Mangan, 46. Ben Speight.

Love to get more of an idea on how the McIntosh/Goldstein dynamic is going to work. Im hoping that Gibson get a good amount of time to show us what hes got, but am still...

We got a few intra-club matches in this report, but theres also a fair lockout occurring from a few choice clubs!

Check out the last month worth of training reports from the Bomber, Docker, Cats, Suns and Giants.

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Essendon

Seriously Bombers!! Give us something please!

6/2

We got a puff piece here on Hille, officially "training the house down". Is an interesting option, but surely the Bombers will be looking to get gametime into Bellchambers?

10/2 INTRA-CLUB

The club intraclub match, and like all things Essendon this season, the details have been pretty sketchy! That said however;

Browne, Gumbleton, Hocking, Hunter, Hurley, Steinberg & Winderlich were missing.
Zaharakis was looking pretty good, however, he did spend a lot of time up forward.
Leroy Jetta played the game off of the Half back flank. Interesting role for the boy and could be what he needs to raise his confidence.
Hille, Watson and Stanton are all looking very fit. (as youd expect!)
Kavangh and Brendan Lee are both shaping up to being decent picks Id think (provided Lee can score an elevation.)
Interestingly, in the post game sprints, Kyle Reimers tore it up. But there is speculation as to whether that was due to increased fitness, or simply not working hard enough through the game.

Fremantle

See, this is how you let the fans into your training sessions!!

16/1

Still no Mundy, Sandilands, Grover, Wilson or Faulks
Fyfe was training, looked good from all reports.
Mzungu was on the track as well, thankfully.
Ballantyne is still getting massive wraps.

18/6

A short session which only had half the Dockers out there.
Fyfe was moving freely, but heading inside after the skill session.
Word is that Morabito wont be available til mid-year. Also that Neale should be playing early in the season.

20/1

Grover, Mundy, Spurr, Michie, Wilson-King and Forster were all missing
As with every other session, Balla midfield...

With only 4 rounds of our regular season left, three teams have pretty much guaranteed themselves a playoff spot as they all remain undefeated. In Division 1, <a title="The Jug-O-Naughts (Kristian Collins)" href="http://games.espn.go.com/fba/clubhouse?leagueId=10094&amp;teamId=2&amp;seasonId=2012" target="_top">The Jug-O-Naughts[/url] (coached by Fez) and <a title="Albert Park Rangers (Brett T, Michelle Johnstone)" href="http://games.espn.go.com/fba/clubhouse?leagueId=10094&amp;teamId=10&amp;seasonId=2012" target="_top">Albert Park Rangers[/url] (coached by bgt2110) are yet to play each other, and for either to miss out on the post season, they would have to lose all remaining games and lose ground on the points for ladder too - so 1 of them is a certainty to make it, and it is highly unlikely that either would miss. The other undefeated team is <a title="Team HEAVER! (Dave Tong)" href="http://games.espn.go.com/fba/clubhouse?leagueId=23530&amp;teamId=13&amp;seasonId=2012" target="_top">Team HEAVER![/url] (coached by HEAVER) who just handed <a title="Kings of Karlos (Sean Minetti, Leigh Walles)" href="http://games.espn.go.com/fba/clubhouse?leagueId=23530&amp;teamId=10&amp;seasonId=2012" target="_top">Kings of Karlos[/url] their first loss; however, due to the big gap between them and 3rd in Premier, both of these teams are in prime position to win their respective division titles and get the first round bye in the playoffs.

There are no teams across the 3 leagues that are out of the finals race, but we do need to start discussing a trade deadline. We discussed it a little before the season and Im fairly sure it was decided that we would have one, but I put off deciding a date as we had more urgent issues at the time. Last year we had one and it worked well - we did not plan it this way, but it ended up coinciding with the exact moment that a team dropped out of finals contention for the first time. That would be hard to judge, and we only have a few dates...

JPKs article, <a href="http://tooserious.net/2012-premium-midfield-analysis-by-the-graphs">looking at midfielders[/url], certainly raised a few good points, particularly when it comes to looking at past form when attempting to predict future form. The biggest point raised was the use of the 3 game average against a team, and how for players who have recently broken out, that its not the best indicator as its including scores from before they became premium.

Well, for this article, we have that to consider, but also the fact that CD changed with rules around scoring for hitouts last year (along with natural progression for some of the younger guys), seeing an unprecedented number of rucking options available.

So lets see what the numbers, and JPK say.

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Ok, so after some conjecture about the midfield analysis, the Premium Ruck analysis should create even more debate. Only guys who had a 100+ average last year have been looked at, which means there’s a lot of quality rucks with a slightly lesser average who I haven’t looked at yet. Maybe I’ll get around to it later, but for now, dig your teeth into these big fellas!

Dean Cox

<div style="float:left"><img width="470px" src="http://tooserious.net/wp-content/uploads/2012/02/JPKArticle_Cox.png">

Ya Mum’s not going to be too happy to see Big Coxy plummeting by $200k by round 13. I can’t believe it myself, but it looks like cox is going to have a shocking start to the season, and be ripe for a possible upgrade when Sandi’s pinky-toe gives out just after the byes! I’d also bet that having Nicnat munching on the ruck points at The Eagles, Big Cox is not likely to be elite by the end of the season. Looking at just last years numbers brings up a different graph, making Coxy look light a great starting pick, however he still hits the same lowpoint at the same time of season, and ends 2012 with the same predicted price.

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Those of you who were here last year will fondly remember <a href="http://tooserious.net/ticker.php">The Ticker[/url]

Those of you who werent however, might need a quick refresher over the break!

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<a href="http://tooserious.net/ticker.php">The Ticker[/url], accessed through the top bar there, while being a giant rainbow mess, is actually a method to follow which teams are leaking points, and to what position they are leaking them to.

It also allows you to track your teams byes (provided your team is entered into TS - Im still working on the upload, but if youve manually entered your team in, youll find it loaded into the ticker automatically.)

Simply select which team youd like displayed on the ticker, and it will show you exactly who you have playing against which teams!

What the ticker offers, is a visual representation of when players will be running into hot-streaks (which tend to co-inside with a rise in coinage), or when they will be heading to a cold-patch (and the loss in value that comes with that.)

Basically, its another tool at your disposal to maximise both points output (when selecting your rookies), and also value.

So check it out and enjoy.

So, were getting into the home stretch with the NAB just a few weeks away, lets whip around the grounds again for another series of training reports.

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Adelaide

19/1

Luke Thompson and Will Young were missing.,
The session revolved around a series of competitive drills, followed by a mini-game.
Sam Kerridge didnt get involved in the mini game, however, was impressive through the drills.
Mitch Grigg was very good in the mini-game, playing off the half-back line.
As with every preseason, a lot of the boys are looking bigger, of note though was Rory Sloane.
Tex is massive, over 100kgs.

20/1

Jacobs and Tippett were doing a lot of ruckwork, which makes me think the TipRat will be playing the Leigh Brown role

this year.
Grigg and Johnston was training with the backs (Otten, Johncock, Reilly)
VB won the "5 minute run", chalking up 3.3 laps (just over 1500), while most of the crows made it to 3 laps.
According to twitter Andy Otten "jagged" his "shit knee", "but all good just irritated it a little".

25/1

It was noted again, the contested nature of the training session. Looks like the Crows will be focused on winning the

hard ball- which as we know, is worth that little bit more.
Porplyzia was move well when leading for the ball.
Looks like the Crows might be aiming to enter into the forward 50, with a tall and small leading each time, with the

forward entry drill groups consisting of McKenzie and Porplyzia in one group and Tippett/Petrenko in the other
Kerridge is running hard, and played through the mini-game this session.
Luke Thompson was back in the main group.

30/1

Defender Ben Rutten will have foot surgery this week to relieve plantar fasciitis. Rutten, 28, is expected to return to

full training in six weeks.

2/2

"They all beat the crap out of each other then cried about it on twitter"
Thats one way I read it put. Very succinct. Another is that Walker and Jaensch came to blows during...

We are past half way of our regular season now, having played 6 of our 11 games. Across all 3 leagues, there are still 4 undefeated teams, and 2 that are yet to taste success. Both HEAVER and karlos are both undefeated in Premier League, and Fez and bgt2110 are both undefeated in Division 1, while there are no undefeated teams in Division 2. There is one team yet to find a win in Division 2 and that is coached by Don_Cottagers, with the only other winless team being Revs in Division 1.

Being more than half way through, its probably a good time to look at the way the finals are shaping up. 6 teams make the finals (with the top 2 getting a first round bye). Here is how the top 6 look for each league atm... Premier: <a title="Team HEAVER! (Dave Tong)" href="http://games.espn.go.com/fba/clubhouse?leagueId=23530&amp;teamId=13&amp;seasonId=2012" target="_top">Team HEAVER![/url], <a title="Kings of Karlos (Sean Minetti, Leigh Walles)" href="http://games.espn.go.com/fba/clubhouse?leagueId=23530&amp;teamId=10&amp;seasonId=2012" target="_top">Kings of Karlos[/url], <a title="Ruddys Cavaliers (Peter Rudd)" href="http://games.espn.go.com/fba/clubhouse?leagueId=23530&amp;teamId=20&amp;seasonId=2012" target="_top">Ruddys Cavaliers[/url], <a title="Run TMC (Owen Beebe)" href="http://games.espn.go.com/fba/clubhouse?leagueId=23530&amp;teamId=19&amp;seasonId=2012" target="_top">Run TMC[/url], <a title="Wade Machine (Daniel Laengst)" href="http://games.espn.go.com/fba/clubhouse?leagueId=23530&amp;teamId=15&amp;seasonId=2012" target="_top">Wade Machine[/url], <a title="Jasmines Mob (Jasmine Johnson)" href="http://games.espn.go.com/fba/clubhouse?leagueId=23530&amp;teamId=5&amp;seasonId=2012" target="_top">Jasmines Mob[/url]. Div1: <a title="The Jug-O-Naughts (Kristian Collins)" href="http://games.espn.go.com/fba/clubhouse?leagueId=10094&amp;teamId=2&amp;seasonId=2012" target="_top">The Jug-O-Naughts[/url], <a title="Canuck Steelers (Richard Chambers, Nick Luya)"...

The auto-close hit again, and we were so, so close to the end. I'll chuck a complete 2012 fixture in here when I finish it.



Oh wait, I did finish it! It's over the break.



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<pre>Round 1 (Geographo-political Rivaly Round)</pre>

JASON (POOWONG POTOROOS) vs KEL (TARWIN LOWER PIGS)



FEZ (BONNIE DOON BANDITS) vs SCSS (MERTON MEERKATS)



EDDIEV (WARBURTON WANDERERS) vs WALESY (MOUNT BUGGERY DISAPPOINTMENTS)



TINO (PURNULULU BUNGLE RANGERS) vs GUMBY (WOY WOY WIZARDS)



BB (QUEENSTOWN QUOLLS) vs HORNSY (SARAH ISLAND SAVAGES)



LUCAS (HUMPTY DOO HAMMERHEADS) vs JOHNSON (MILIKAPATI SNAKES)



P_L (POPANYINNING PYRITE) vs BEARFLY (COULTA COULDABEENS)



DOOBS (GLENROWAN GUNSLINGERS) vs SKT (TORRUMBARRY THUNDA)



BGT2110 (JIMCUMBILLY JACKRABBITS) vs THOKASH (MALLACOOTA MAGICIANS)





<pre>Round 2</pre>

KEL (TARWIN LOWER PIGS) vs EDDIEV (WARBURTON WANDERERS)



JASON (POOWONG POTOROOS) vs LUCAS (HUMPTY DOO HAMMERHEADS)



THOKASH (Mallacoota Magicians) vs FEZ (BONNIE DOON BANDITS)



SCSS (MERTON MEERKATS) vs TINO (PURNULULU BUNGLE RANGERS)



BEARFLY (COULTA COULDABEENS) vs BB (QUEENSTOWN QUOLLS)



HORNSY (SARAH ISLAND SAVAGES) vs JOHNSON (MILIKAPATI SNAKES)



BGT2110 (JIMCUMBILLY JACKRABBITS) vs DOOBS (GLENROWAN GUNSLINGERS)



SKT (TORRUMBARRY THUNDA) vs GUMBY (WOY WOY WIZARDS)



P_L (POPANYINNING PYRITE) vs WALESY (MOUNT BUGGERY DISAPPOINTMENTS)





<pre>Round 3</pre>

KEL (TARWIN LOWER PIGS) vs TINO (PURNULULU BUNGLE RANGERS)



GUMBY (WOY WOY WIZARDS) vs JASON (POOWONG POTOROOS)



FEZ (BONNIE DOON BANDITS) vs BGT2110 (JIMCUMBILLY JACKRABBITS)



SCSS (MERTON MEERKATS) vs BB (QUEENSTOWN QUOLLS)



EDDIEV (WARBURTON WANDERERS) vs LUCAS (HUMPTY DOO HAMMERHEADS)



BEARFLY (COULTA COULDABEENS) vs JOHNSON (MILIKAPATI SNAKES)



HORNSY (SARAH ISLAND SAVAGES) vs P_L (POPANYINNING PYRITE)



WALESY (MOUNT BUGGERY...

This tidy piece of analysis has been brought to us by our very own JPK - so lets give him a big thank you as there is seriously a lot in here!!

So lets jump straight into it!

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I’ve used the newly updated stats page, and plugged in the averages that each of last years premium midfielders has against their respective opponents (and their yearly average for the games against GWS) to come up with the following collection of predicted salary graphs. There are some players that look even more tempting now, while others clearly look like they should be avoided in the starting lineups! Only pure mids have been analysed, as MPPs will almost certainly be selected in their non-mid position.

Scott Pendlebury

<div style="float:left"><img width="470px" src="http://tooserious.net/wp-content/uploads/2012/02/JPKArticle_Pendlebury.png">

Makes for a great keeper from day one, so should be on everyone’s radar. His price never really plummets, however if you choose to stay away from the $700k at the start you should be able to pick him up after the bye for $100k less.

Gary Ablett

<div style="float:left"><img width="470px" src="http://tooserious.net/wp-content/uploads/2012/02/JPKArticle_Ablett.png">

Aside from that quick little drop up until R5, GAJ looks pretty good as a starting premium. If you choose to save a few bucks and burn a trade around R5 you can be safe in the knowledge that he’ll likely never get much cheaper for the rest of the season.

Dane Swan

<div style="float:left"><img width="470px" src="http://tooserious.net/wp-content/uploads/2012/02/JPKArticle_Swan.png">

Swan starts the year strongly, and may actually go up in value, before slowly coming down $75k just in time for the bye. After that Swanny is a bit of a rollercoaster, but it should be a good ride!

Nick dal Santo

<div style="float:left"><img width="470px"...