TooSerious

First things first. Life without the internet freaking sucks!

Secondly, wow- there were some fricking massive scores this weekend!!!

Personally, I got a 2563, which I thought was alright- til seeing StKildaThunda and his massive 2715!

Huge scores this week- reckon the highest score of the year will go this week!

So, how have you all gone?

Happy: Ablett, Judd. Maccas and their slow wifi.
Hurting: Internet connection going down yesterday, meaning that the live feeds may or may not run, also means that the stats update is more than likely going to be late- and also that there will be no review as I wont be here to post one! Seriously, Southern Cross Telco- Help us out guys! Do you not know the importance of us having a connection!

Unless Lucas wants to knock something up!

So, how you guys going? Pick one of those two as the big C, or are those two in the hurting column?

So the community of Supercoaches around the nation threw everything but the kitchen sink at The Cheeky Boys, but still, the team managed to remain in P1.

We all know from watching the Tour de France, that repeated attacks on the leader can be tiring to withstand, but that said, most leaders have implemented energy saving strategies to get them into the lead with enough energy to put on the bursts that sap their rivals confidence.

Last week wasnt the best for The Cheeky Boys, heck even I pulled back some ground on him with Selwood sitting on the pine!   But he continued to strengthen his team, and a couple of incidents I reckon have gone his way.

First, Sandilands went down like the proverbial sack o.  This played majorly into his hands, because the fear would have been genuine about losing 30 points per game with no real way of trading around it.

Second, Watson went down, but theres a few great replacements that Cheeky can use to neutralise opposition strengths.   Is it Swan or Dal Santo who will be utilised in this manner?  Time will tell.

I will have another look at how the top coaches are managing their resources coming up to the multi byes in R16 and R19, after the break of course.

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Last week was one for the ages for the two main Supercoach commenters here, the Dirty Whorks and Impromptu, both smacking back ground on the main leader, and in Dirtys case, keeping the trades in the locker.

It makes me again think that Dirty is the one who has some tricks up the sleeve to pull out.   However, his recent possibly Whorks-driven and one might with an MRP ruling call Reckless trade to General Hodge from Seagull Swan might leave him with poo in the eyes.   Swan has got through the bye, is clearly the straight forward option for Cheeky (though cash might be a major consideration) to trade out of Watson.

Hodge v Swan is I believe a make or break for the Whorks, and like this weeks game, they are up against it, particularly...

Wow, round 15 already! How the season is flying!

Looks like Suckling finally got off the bench! Named on the wing this week. Heres the list of the big ins and outs for your perusal.

INS: Mzungu, Matera, Bartel, Adcock, Buckley, Franklin, Pratt
OUTS: Sandilands, Lynch, Rischitelli, Knights, L. Thompson, Malceski, Didak, Rioli
Extended Bench: Buckley, Puopolo, Pratt, Richardson

Full teams over the break

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Western Bulldogs
B: Robert Murphy, Lukas Markovic, Easton Wood
HB: Dale Morris, Tom L. Williams, Lindsay Gilbee
C: Daniel Cross, Matthew Boyd, Liam Picken
HF: Shaun Higgins, Liam Jones, Luke Dahlhaus
F: Jarrad Grant, Barry Hall, Daniel Giansiracusa
Foll: Ben Hudson, Ryan Griffen, Adam Cooney
I/C: Ed Barlow, Callan Ward, Sam Reid, Andrew Hooper
Emg: William Minson, Christian Howard, Jayden Schofield
In: Jarrad Grant, Sam Reid, Lukas Markovic, Andrew Hooper
Out: William Minson, Christian Howard, Justin Sherman (Suspension), Jayden Schofield

Melbourne
B: James Strauss, James Frawley, Daniel Nicholson
HB: Colin Garland, Jared Rivers, Nathan Jones
C: Jack Trengove, Colin Sylvia, Brad Green
HF: Tom Scully, Liam Jurrah, Cale Morton
F: Ricky Petterd, Jack Watts, Stefan Martin
Foll: Mark Jamar, Brent Moloney, Jordie McKenzie
I/C: Sam Blease, Jamie Bennell, Jordan Gysberts, Jeremy Howe
Emg: Clint Bartram, Matthew Bate, Lynden Dunn
In: Sam Blease
Out: Joel Macdonald (Knee)
New: Sam Blease (Eastern Ranges)

Richmond
B: Chris Newman, Alex Rance, Bachar Houli
HB: Brett Deledio, Will Thursfield, Shaun Grigg
C: Trent Cotchin, Dustin Martin, Shane Edwards
HF: Robin Nahas, Tyrone Vickery, Bradley Helbig
F: Mitchell Farmer, Jack Riewoldt, Jake King
Foll: Andrew Browne, Daniel Jackson, Nathan Foley
I/C: Jayden Post, Tom Hislop, Ben Griffiths, Jake Batchelor
Emg: Shane Tuck, Jeromey Webberley, Brad Miller
In: Will Thursfield, Jake King, Jayden Post, Ben Griffiths, Bradley Helbig
Out: Luke McGuane, David Gourdis, Jeromey...

Recent form this year suggests the re-emergence of perma-captain Gary Ablett Jnr. To make things interesting, Swan returned from his drug free Arizona trip and scored a very nice 133 SuperCoach points against Sydney bringing his season average up to 117. To make this round even more interesting, Carlton is likely to bounce back after their poor showing last week against the Eagles. Also, Franklin is back and playing against the Pies in the match of the round.

Let’s see if the numbers can help …

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Ablett v. Fremantle

SF 2010: 119 SuperCoach points, 36 disposals
Rd 3 2010: 157 SuperCoach points, 33 disposals
Rd 22 2009: 146 SuperCoach points, 35 disposals
Rd 12 2009: 98 SuperCoach points, 29 disposals
Rd 15 2008: 81 SuperCoach points, 13 disposals
Rd 6 2008: 62 SuperCoach points, 15 disposals
Rd 17 2007: 114 SuperCoach points, 31 disposals
Rd 8 2007: 90 SuperCoach points, 25 disposals

Average is 108 SuperCoach points with 27 disposals.

Note: His last three games against the Dockers have yielded an average of 141 SuperCoach points with 35 disposals. He is averaging 144 over his six previous games this season. Fremantle used Rhys Palmer to tag Luke Power out of the game last week. Restricted him to 8 disposals. Ablett likely to cop a tag. But he is no Luke Power and should still score nicely

Swan v. Hawthorn

Rd 22 2010: 104 SuperCoach points, 34 disposals
Rd 4 2010: 130 SuperCoach points, 34 disposals
Rd 16 2009: 140 SuperCoach points, 35 disposals
Rd 18 2008: 88 SuperCoach points, 26 disposals
Rd 7 2008: 80 SuperCoach points, 28 disposals
Rd 13 2007: 114 SuperCoach points, 30 disposals

Average is 109 SuperCoach points with 31 disposals.

Note: A solid recent record against the Hawks. Coming off a 33 disposal game with 133 SuperCoach points last week. However, had not scored over 100 in his previous four games. The question is, is the Swan of last year back?

Pendlebury v. Hawthorn

Rd 22 2010: 97...

Hi all,

Another great week for our teams, with Sandilands ruled out (so in hindsight I can get a tick on that one) for an extended break, and players of the ilk of Watson and Rioli coming down with hamstring #2.  Its enough for us all to pull the blanket up and say "no more".   But of course we get back in and go for another crack.

The good news is for each of Watson, Rioli and Sandilands there are viable sideways trades, which will be listed in the Best Buys.

Other than that my advice for this week, is to think about either conserving trades for the leagues finals (this is if you are in a great ladder position at the moment), or trade in additional coverage in terms of quality non-playing bench options.  I reckon a good handful of bench options could be more useful in the long run than conserving trades, but this theory may be proved wrong.   My theory is have 8 forwards with a gun forward-mid as the swing man between forward, mid and ruck (yeah I have Petrie-Tippett and you can too), as well as a gun defender.   Then you cover any bye with these guys, and any major outage is covered with guys who are at the next level like Lynch, I Smith or Hibberd.

More over the break...

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Best Buys

D: Suckling is still great value at about 400, with Newman just behind him.   Silvagni may end up being a good option to have in that D8 position, keep an eye out at 290k.   Shaw and Fisher have had their bye so must be considered more highly than those who have theirs to come.   On form, Fisher is absolutely smashing it, and will be refreshed by the bye.

M: Swan is the standout trade-in for Watson, just doing it a few weeks earlier than you would have.   For 32k you can switch.   In his absence Stanton is cheap, but no Bomber fans would go there, would they?   Nice cheap value options for those who want a steady M7 could be Corey, Ball, Bartel (a few weeks after he returns, e.g. Round 18 or so), Jones and even the General Hodge...

<a href="http://www.iscent.com.au/"><img src="http://tooserious.net/wp-content/uploads/2010/05/iScent.com_.au_RGB.jpg">[/url]



Alright guys, Ive just pulled together this weeks winner of iScent. Looks like it was a tough week with the winning score coming in roughly 20 points less than last weeks.

This weeks winner was Charros, who took it out with a 2361, nice work mate!

rest over the break
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Now, with my laptop being crap, I have only just now gotten lockout unlocked, so if you want to get your team in for next week, go nuts!

Also, special mention to the weazel- 1st last week, 3rd this week- reckon you might have a knack at this game!

The full winning team is:

DEF: Murphy, Otten, Scotland, Deledio, Gibbs, Enright, Wood (Okeefe, McGovern, Webster)
MID: Swan, Thompson, Boyd, Ablett, Pendlebury, Nicholson (Simpkin, Twomey, Wanganeen)
RUC: Cox, Goldstein, McCulloch, Curnow
FWD: Fyfe, Higgins, Dahlhaus, Chapman, Harvey, Goodes, Giansiracusa (Von Bertouch, Callinan (73), Bucovaz

Looks like we can fit in a huge amount of premiums with our $10mil these days, with Dahlhauss 94 being paricularly good!

While here is the top ten for this round!


,
,,<td style="font-weight:bold;">Player
,,<td style="font-weight:bold;"><a href="http://tooserious.net/competitions.php?competition=iScent&ladder=1&sort=score">Score[/url]
,,<td style="font-weight:bold;"><a href="http://tooserious.net/competitions.php?competition=iScent&ladder=1&sort=total">Total[/url]
,

,,,<tr >
,,,<td >charros
,,,<td >2361
,,,<td >2361
,,

,,,,<tr >
,,,<td >BlueBeliever
,,,<td >2355
,,,<td >2355
,,

,,,,<tr >
,,,<td >weazel
,,,<td >2344
,,,<td >2344
,,

,,,,
,,,<td >deasend
,,,<td >2311
,,,<td >2311
,,

,,,,<tr >
,,,<td >barbs12
,,,<td >2291
,,,<td >2291
,,

,,,,<tr >
,,,<td >bgt2110
,,,<td >2272
,,,<td >2272
,,

,,,,<tr >
,,,<td >Tim
,,,<td >2260
,,,<td >2260
,,

,,,,<tr >...

<a href="http://clubdeals.com.au" target="_blank"><img alt="image" border="0" src="http://tooserious.net/wp-content/uploads/2011/06/Clubdeal-logo.png" style="border-width: 0pt;border-style: solid;border: 0;" width="476">[/url]

Ive just run through the results of the <a href="http://clubdeals.com.au" target="_blank">ClubDeals[/url] competition for round 14, and just like Santa would if he were running a competiton, I checked the timestamps once, then checked em twice.

Turns out that while the rounds best score, Goldsteins 164 wasnt picked, then next best was- and it was predicted to perfection.

So check over the break for the winners!
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The best pick for the weeks was Stowie, whos call of Matthew Pavlich for 155 was an exact hit! Well done mate.

Coming in second place was Elvs1, who was the only one to take a risk on Travis Cloke, predicting a score of 168 - off by 14 points.

For the third and final prize however, we had a close battle with 2 players putting in an entry for Ryan Griffen- one predicting a score of 160 and missing by 15, the other predicting 162 and missing by 17. So congratulations to torcida, who just snuck in front of the unlucky Hutch for the third prize, hopefully youll have some better luck this week.

Speaking of this week, lockout is opened up, so go and get youre tips in! Ive been talking to the good folk at ClubDeals and theyve been kind enough to put up another three $60 meal vouchers at Watermark Docklands for this weeks prize, so its definitely worth having a crack.

And dont forget, as a winner, youll need to sign up at <a href="http://clubdeals.com.au" target="_blank">ClubDeals[/url] to collect your prize, and Ill email you the details of that shortly - but hey, just as an average punter, its well worth checking them out. There current deal which is up for just 40 more minutes is $240 surfing lessons for just $99- not too shabby if youve ever wanted to try it out!

Time for an exercise.  Lets say its the end of the year, and the votes are where theyre at today.  Using Centrebet odds (who dont offer multis, but are currently providing most votes per team odds), who would you take on?

My current order of "most confidence" in winning the most votes for there team, along with current odds,  is as follows:

1. B. Moloney $1.25
2. J. Watson $1.17
3. M. Boyd $1.38
4. G. Ablett $1.02
5. S. Thompson $1.60
6. J. Selwood $1.62
7. S. Mitchell $1.57
8. D. Martin $3.25, A. Goodes $2.20 &amp; M. Priddis $1.77
11. S. Black $3.50
12. S. Pendlebury $1.84
13. N. Dal Santo $3
14. T. Boak $2.15
15. M. Pavlich $1.63
16. T. Goldstein $34
17. M. Murphy $2.55

Lets delve more into this over the break:

<!--more-->Goldstein is offering massive odds (hard to ignore), but for mine, the NM vote can go to any of Goldstein (breakout year, little polling history), Wells/Swallow (career best years) or Harvey (3 very good games and gets most votes every year).  Too close to call, staying away.

Im also staying away from Carlton.  Murphy not paying enough odds, and Judd is well, Chris Judd.

So, to find a balance of beefy odds and near certainties, my 10 would be as follows:

B. Moloney, J. Watson, M. Boyd, S. Thompson, J. Selwood, A. Goodes, M. Priddis, D. Martin, S. Black and N. Dal Santo - paying a cool $695 to 1.  Or a lazy $69,500 to $100 .

Who would you pick?  But first, this weeks votes:

[span style="text-decoration: underline">Hawthorn v Essendon

TS:
3. G. Birchall (5)
2. S. Mitchell (17)
1. S. Savage (3)

Holey:
3. S. Mitchell (17)
2. L. Shiels (6)
1. I. Smith (1)

[span style="text-decoration: underline">Western Bulldogs v Gold Coast

TS:
3. R. Griffen (8)
2. M. Boyd (18)
1. G. Ablett (11)

Holey:
3. R. Griffen (9)
2. M. Boyd (18)
1. G. Ablett (13)

[span style="text-decoration: underline">Melbourne v Richmond

TS:
3. B. Moloney (16)
2. N. Jones (2)
1. J. Watts (2)

Holey:...

For the first time in a few weeks, we actually improved our ranking this round! We scored 2305, moving up about 1500 spots to be ranked 3,108th overall now... and it should be noted that we won all 5 league games in the process.

We made 1 trade last week: Darling to Chapman, which looks to be a good one so far, with Chappy making a ton, and Darling doing his job for us and no longer required. We mangaged to avoid any zeros - Richardson came on for Mzungu in the fwd line.

Our bench selections were fairly solid, but not perfect: Puopolo was our lowest scoring defender and was well selected on the pine; But Jacobs was on the bench in the mids, and we would have been 10 point sbetter off with him onfield instead of Heppell, but not much to worry about there really. In the mids, both Prestia and Iles outscored Judd, but we would have never started them over him, so no worries there; However, Prestia also outscored 4 of our forwards, including Krakouer by 10, and Richo by 25 - So best option would have been to have Mzungu on the mid bench, and Prestia on field in FWDs with Richo sticking to his planned role as emergency, rather than coming in late.

Our captain choice was ok...  GAJ was our pick, and you gotta be happy with a 120+ score from a cap, but he was only our 5th best scorer for the week, so it could have been better... but our VC was Boyd with only 106, so we gotta be glad he came 2nd in the vote and not 1st.

The bye may force our hand this week in regards to trades... We only have the one Eagle in Cox, but with Vardy and Keefe not playing recently, we dont have a backup at the ready... unless of course, Vardy has had enough rest (quite possible), or the pies look to bring in Keefe before Jolly (not likely).

As usual, all the individual players scores will be over the break.

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1. <a...