TooSerious

For those who take it way too seriously

Ok, my predictions for this week were sensational. I said go for either Matthew Pavlich or Scott Thompson for captain in my last minute check. Pav got 164 and Scotty got 148. I also said avoid these two champions - Lance Franklin and Dean Cox. Well, what happened? Buddster only collected 66 and had to run up the ground to get those cause Bocky is the greatest backmen ever. Coxy could only get a season low 56.

In my best buys I didnt have that much luck with Bartel, Milburn and McLeod still below average. They will bounce back. Although, Gilbee got a decent 88, BJ wanged on 125 and Chapstick got 101.

You might listen now.
<p class="MsoNormal">[span style="font-family: 'Tahoma','sans-serif';">Another week
has gone, and most people have walked away with below average scores thanks to
the flops, but others like the Dog have bang on a decent score thanks to the stars.
Let’s quickly go through some of those stars and flops. Oh, and I love Nathan
Bock
. <o:p></o:p>

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<p class="MsoNormal">[span style="font-family: 'Tahoma','sans-serif';">STARS[span style="font-family: 'Tahoma','sans-serif';">

Hille had a career high score of 168
to kick the week off. COOONEY is in
some fine touch and continues it with a 177. Slice of Pav (164) finally got a bag. As much as I hate Goodes, who shouldn’t have even been
playing got another awesome score of 147. My boy Bocky (142) done some lovely kick to kick with my other boy Stiff (128). Also, Bock kept Budweiser to
just one goal. What a legend. Scotty
Thompson
also got among it with a 148. Jesus
Ablett
(161) is making me more and more jealous. Fevola is a another big forward that went bang with 8 sausages. Richoooo
is still shocking us all with a massive 169<o:p></o:p>

<p class="MsoNormal">[span style="font-family: 'Tahoma','sans-serif';">FLOPS[span style="font-family: 'Tahoma','sans-serif';">

Cox was on a big flop Friday night
with 56, that was always going to happen. Palmer
and Rioli let down alot of Rookie
loving coaches. The saints midfield really got the Sydney curse – Hayes (69), Nicky Dal (45), Ball (28)
and ‘Tanga (24). Bateman twanged his hamstring and could
only collect 3 points. Bartel (60)
let me down in his first week. Kornes
handed out free kicks and easy disposal to Geelong and SuperCoach could only reward him
with 30 points. Didak had just a bad
game with 67. Heater Shaw is giving
90% of coaches the shits. Nicky Stevens...
As part of the latest upcoming update to TooSerious, Ive been tabluating teams For and Against scores.

Amusingly, Ive found that the current ladder (Based on for/against percentages for the ladder, along with any win-losses) would read like this.

<table style="BORDER-RIGHT: silver 1pt solid; BORDER-TOP: silver 1pt solid; BORDER-LEFT: silver 1pt solid; BORDER-BOTTOM: silver 1pt solid"><tbody>Team

Points

Percentage

HAW

40

111.1163

SYD

36

116.3856

GEE

36

113.5203

WBD

32

112.3152

ADE

32

109.4601

COL

28

108.5933

BRL

28

100.7520

RIC

20

103.9645



CAR

20

101.8575

PTA

16

99.1661

KAN

16

94.7696

STK

16

94.6065

ESS

12

82.5621

WCE

8

89.9383

FRE

8

86.6608

MEL

4

83.5211

Which is pretty close to the actual ladder.

Which makes me wonder, can we use this data to make predictions about how we think the ladder will look at seasons end?

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Teams 1-6, look pretty locked in. especially when you consider how much higher their percentages are over the rest of the league.

The both 4 teams look like they will stay down there (Based on percentages)

Which leaves 6 teams to fill the final two spots in the finals.

The current *real* 8th and 9th teams (STK and KAN) have the lowest percentage here, and as such, I dont think they will make the finals.

That said, the team coming 7th in percentage, Richmond, seems to have a nack of losing games the shouldnt have, and will be punished by a lack of wins.

Which leaves the final 2 spots in the finals open to Carlton, Port and Brisbane...

Im gunna lock in Brisbane and ... Port. Only because their run home is marginally easier than Carltons... (though round 19 might be a dooozy!)
This week provides us with some key players coming back into their sides and there are some few outs also. Watson is back for tonights game against the eagles, Houli out with a groin injury. Murphys back from suspension for the dogs, while Bradshaw is a big out for the Lions who welcome back Drummond into their side. Can this spell danger for Joel Mc? Wells and Josh Smith are back for the roos while the crown and hawks welcome back Griffen and Dew. Brent Renouf will make his debut for the hawks and may be a good downgrade in the ruck position this week. Big Bad Barrys back for the swans and will look to throw some punches against the saints who also welcome back King, Gilbert and Harvey. Out goes L.Fisher and Armitage. In Sundays games Pendlebury, J.Selwood and S.Burgoyne are back with Scarlett and J.King both big outs for their teams.

[span class="Normal">ESSENDON v WEST COAST EAGLES

Essendon

B:
Andrew Welsh, Dustin Fletcher, Nathan Lovett-Murray
HB: Brent Stanton, Patrick Ryder, Mark McVeigh
C: Kyle Reimers, Adam McPhee, Andrew Lovett
HF: Angus Monfries, Scott Lucas, David Myers
F: Jobe Watson, Matthew Lloyd, Jay Neagle
Foll: David Hille, Henry Slattery, Sam Lonergan
I/C: Adam Ramanauskas, Jay Nash, Leroy Jetta, Jason Laycock
EMG: Jarrod Atkinson, Ricky Dyson, Mal Michael

In: Laycock, Neagle, Ramanauskas, Watson
Out: Tom Bellchambers, Bachar Houli (groin), Tayte Pears (foot), Jason Winderlich (back)

West Coast Eagles

B:
Beau Wilkes, Darren Glass, Mark Nicoski

HB:
Adam Selwood, Adam Hunter, Brett Jones
C: Andrew Embley, Daniel Kerr, Tim Houlihan
HF: Brad Ebert, Brent Staker, Sam Butler
F: David Wirrpanda, Quinten Lynch, Mark LeCras
Foll: Dean Cox, Matt Priddis, Chris...
Oh, dont hit that C or T button just yet. Just a quick run down of what to do before making those changes.

1. Dennis Armfield and Gav might be the last two decent rookies all year - depending on Valenti getting a game - if you need any money. BUY NOW, they cant stay at this price any longer.
2. Scott Thompson loves playing Hawks (touches wise) with 34 disposables of the prune last time. Although, that only got him 87 points. Surely, he wont be that ineffiecentive this time round.
3. Buddy might be a Buddy bad pick for captain this week. Only getting 30 last time the Crows faced off with the Hawks. Who trusts him yet, anyway? Speaking of which, Big Cox also hates Dons. He just doesnt go well agaisnt them. Be careful.
4. Possible bargains this week include Jimmy Bartel, Andy McLeod and Paul Chapman. And, I better mention Danny Kerr to keep old Greg happy.
5. The Roos are struggling with big forwards lately with the Twin Towers getting 6 each agaisnt them and MOOOONEY snagging 7. Pav might be good choice for captain. But he does only average 90 against them the last 3 times.
Woof, woof. The dog has got some ripping buys this week, cheap backs are left, right and centre at the moment. There is finally a good buy in the midfield but there are reports going around that niggling injury is slowing him down. And, a couple of forwards. Lets go.

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BARGAIN OF THE WEEK
Andrew McLeod

Peaked: 566k. Now: 362k. BE: 82.
Ok, this is a massive risk. But, thats what SuperCoach is all about taking a risk and hoping it pays off. His form has been shocking low with 68, 44, 39, 69, 68. And, your probably asking: Why would I buy someone that has averaged 58 over the last 5 weeks. Well, in the first 6 rounds he had an average of 110 so we know he can score big and price is too good to ignore and like all the bargains he will stay bottomed out for a couple of weeks unless he scores a 300 or something.

BEST BUYS
Getting abit lazy this week and cant be typing out all that for each Best Buy this week, so we just go through them all breifly. Firstly, Bartel has an average of 111 but some below average scoring has pushed his price down to 516k, still got a BE of 118 so your got a couple of weeks to get on board. Last chance for Gilbee this week who is about to shoot up in price (Now: 440k) with a BE of 6. BJ has decided he is going to fall a little more (BE: 101) after just a 65, but he starting to get alot more of the ball. So, jump on him as soon, or as late as you want. Chappy wanted to give everyone a couple more weeks to buy him with just an 86, and will Break Even at 85 this week and he is still just under 500k. Milburn at 460k is still asking people to buy him, but he is about to shoot with BE of 67. Get in soon. Stanton is cheap at the moment, and is about to rise cause he finally got a score of 100. But, dont buy him.

HOLD YA HORSES
Shaw thing is still bloody falling (BE: 157). Brad Ottens could be a good swap for Simmonds who will drop 72k this week...
With half the year already over and with many Supercoachers either nearly out of trades or have trades to burn, these coming weeks are very important weeks to start making your move in your league and in the overall rankings. Supercoachers across the whole competition are now looking for the little extra edge over everyone else for those league wins and if your lucky that end $25,000. So i have decided to write up about those players that are currently running hot and those players that are currently out of form. But apart from from the obvious stars like Ablett and Franklin i have decided to go with players that have been playing well above or below their average lately.

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[span style="font-size: 1.2em;">Whos Hot
[span style="font-size: 0.8em;">1. Scott Thompson (Ade)
Average in the last 3 weeks: 138.6
Average before that: 100.25
Overall Average: 110.73
Scott
has taken his game to a new level over the last 3 weeks. Even though he
was averaging a very respectable 100.25 in his first 8 weeks, his last
3 have been outstanding. With scores of 135, 134 and 147 in the past 3
weeks it has highlighted not only his scoring skills but also his
consistency. Currently priced $568,100 i believe he would be a great
addition to any side.

2. Jonathan Brown (Bris)
Average in the last 4 weeks: 136
Average before that: 81
Overall Average: 103
The
big powerhouse forward from Brisbane has showed in the last 4 weeks why
many regard him as the best Centre Half Forward in the competition.
With scores of 131, 132, 165 and 116 since coming back from his week
off through injury he has shown why he should be in every Supercoach
side. He is also climbing back to his staring price of $597,000, he is
currently at $565,400.

3. Jason Akermanis (WB)
Average in the last 4 weeks: 123

Average before that: 86

Overall Average:99.45
The
former Brownlow medalist has been showing us that form recently that
got him the medal. Playing as a...
Oh, can you believe it we are already half way through the year? Thats only 11 rounds to go. Most of your teams should be just about set, with only 2-3 more upgrades to go. And, get those 6-8 trades ready for finals time. But, I have been writing these blogs for weeks now but I have never had a chance to show you my team. So, first of all I will get my team a bit of a review then I will hand over the baton and you give it a shot.

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[span style="font-size: 1.2em;">[span style="font-size: 1.4em;">BrayDogs Catters.[span style="font-size: 0.6em;">
[span style="font-size: 0.8em;">Total Score:&nbsp;
[span style="font-size: 0.8em;">23,510[span style="font-size: 0.8em;">
National Ranking:
298th
Trades left:
9
Bank Balance:
$410,600

Backs

While everyone was struggling with injuries to their backmen including (Kennelly, Cornes and Symes) mine have been cruising all year. Although some have dropped off a bit lately including Brett Jones, Nathan Bock and Grant Birchall. Jonesy was never going to be in my team all year but so far he has picked up an average of 83, which aint too bad. Most likely be traded for Gilbee this week (cause I was waiting for Cornes, but I wont risk it now). Bocky had been bloody awesome for me up until 3 weeks ago, now he hasnt cracked the ton in the last 3 weeks, averaging just 71. And, has been one of the reason my NR has slipped from 64th. Hopefully he will be back up to that average of 105 soon. Church has always been the 90s king, knocking a score up in the 90s five times this year, and only two 100s. But, still have a healthy average of 87. Since Ive traded in Heath Shaw he has averaged just 68, so dont even start me on that, but mind you I did get rid of that hack in Nicoksi for him. Sam Fisher, Marty Mattner and The Stiff Johncock have been three very handy performers for me all year....
Seriously...is there any point of this blog this week?? I doubt it. If you have Ablett &amp; Franklin - one of them as captain and you cant go wrong. If you only have one of the two, your choice is made for you. If you have neither - cash in a cow and get one, because it doesnt look like their form is going to drop off anytime soon or their prices decrease.

Having said all that - exlcuding Franklin or Ablett - Ill run through a quick list of your other options, and offer a few thoughts as to why Franklin or Ablett may not be the best selections this week.

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Dean Cox

Eagles playing the Dons this week and a chance at being a bit of a
smoky. Struggled against the Dons last year with scores of 76 and 67
and may be too big a risk this week with the two guns in such good
form. Look elsewhere for your captain, this blogger says!

Adam Cooney

Dogs back at the G this week to play the in form Lions and Cooney
coming off a somewhat disappointing 82 last week. Scored 125 last year
against the Lions but the Bulldogs have only played once at the G this
year, and the Dogs have had mixed results at the G over the years so
that may be a bit of a factor. Definitely worth a look if you dont
have the big two.

Adam Goodes

The luckiest man in football these days scored a big 153 last week
despite the Eagles going for him at every opportunity...apparently.
Against the Saints he should be a big chance for a similar score - but
scored 49 when these two met in Round 1 this year. Having said that he
scored over 100 in a 3 Brownlow vote performance last year so make of
that what you will. In the form he is in (I think he has 7 consecutive
100+ games) I dont think hes that much of a risk to put in as captain
this week.

Jono Brown

Top form, and playing the Doggies who may be without full back Brian
Lake. A respectable 116 last week but has turned the corner in form and
with Bradshaw out it may bring him back into 2007 scoring form. Got a
71 in...
Ok, two new features. One big. One small.

Ill start with the small one, cause yanno, it goes out to everyone. ;)

Multi-positional players now have an Asterix * next to their position, to indicate to you, that they can also be selected in another position. Its nothing fancy, and wont tell you exactly where the other position is (but hey, you got a 1 in 3 chance of guessing...), but it will do the trick for you in a pinch.

The next addition is for the Premium Dream Team tab - This is a subscriber only feature.

Now, first of all, you will find a bunch of fields under your account tab. These are yours to rename.

Once you have done this, youll find that when selecting a player, instead of having the options of Squad, Bench and Watch - Youll have the option to allocate players to teams.

Enabling you to keep track of your players, but also letting you see who out of the player-pool isnt selected.

Very. Handy. Stuff.

Theres more uses for it, but Ill let you figure that out yourself... ;)

And now that this is in, I can finally get started on my gameday pages... Which if it works as i imagine, should be very nice.