TooSerious
For those who take it way too seriously
Priced at $712,000, or an average of 132 - Is <a href="http://www.xalia.com.au/?page=player&id=182&pcid=7100">Gary Ablett[/url] Worth the price tag?
There is room for it to go either way.
Firstly the pros.
Ablett last year, up until round 13, was averaging a MASSIVE 146 points per round. The next closest player was Adam Cooney, on 121.
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So right off the bat, thats 25 points per week, you would have been better off selecting Ablett for. However, theres more. Because Ablett would wear the captain mantle- that effectively would have brought his upside to an extra 50 points per week.
Which will really add up over a season.
If he starts next season, the way he did this season, his cheapest price would be Round 4, $678,800 while at round 13, he would be sitting on a massive $778,700
But here comes the alternative. The sceptic that says Ill get him when he comes down in price. So lets play with that.
Ablett, in round 5 of last year, put on a unforgettable 254. Changing that to a leasurely 115, and we find the following.
Round 8 - $595,700 - Which includes a 62 in round 6.
Round 13 - $748,000.
Its amazing to think though, that one game, while having a small affect in the long run (30k difference overall), can potential create an ideal trading moment. (80k cheaper than otherwise.)
Now, the two important questions.
Who was the 254 against. And who was the 62.
The 62, coupled with an 81 later in the year. (and an injury in both games) was against Freo.
The 254 strangely enough, was against the Swans. (Followed by a 155 later in the year). Sydney Proof? Another Pro?
So lets look at these games. Geelong play Sydnet twice. Once in round 7 and once in round 20. Both could be good.
However, they also play Fremantle twice. The first game is in round 12 - So that salary killing game is a while off, however the second game is in a potentially season destroying round 22.
Which has danger all over it.
So what do we think? It Ablett a lock...
There is room for it to go either way.
Firstly the pros.
Ablett last year, up until round 13, was averaging a MASSIVE 146 points per round. The next closest player was Adam Cooney, on 121.
<!--more-->
So right off the bat, thats 25 points per week, you would have been better off selecting Ablett for. However, theres more. Because Ablett would wear the captain mantle- that effectively would have brought his upside to an extra 50 points per week.
Which will really add up over a season.
If he starts next season, the way he did this season, his cheapest price would be Round 4, $678,800 while at round 13, he would be sitting on a massive $778,700
But here comes the alternative. The sceptic that says Ill get him when he comes down in price. So lets play with that.
Ablett, in round 5 of last year, put on a unforgettable 254. Changing that to a leasurely 115, and we find the following.
Round 8 - $595,700 - Which includes a 62 in round 6.
Round 13 - $748,000.
Its amazing to think though, that one game, while having a small affect in the long run (30k difference overall), can potential create an ideal trading moment. (80k cheaper than otherwise.)
Now, the two important questions.
Who was the 254 against. And who was the 62.
The 62, coupled with an 81 later in the year. (and an injury in both games) was against Freo.
The 254 strangely enough, was against the Swans. (Followed by a 155 later in the year). Sydney Proof? Another Pro?
So lets look at these games. Geelong play Sydnet twice. Once in round 7 and once in round 20. Both could be good.
However, they also play Fremantle twice. The first game is in round 12 - So that salary killing game is a while off, however the second game is in a potentially season destroying round 22.
Which has danger all over it.
So what do we think? It Ablett a lock...
First it was <a href="http://supercoach.heraldsun.com.au/">Supercoach[/url], now <a href="http://afl.virtualsports.com.au/">DT [/url]has opened.
$50k prize money in one.
Your choice of 5 cars in the other.
Good times ahead peoples.
Good times.
(Man I love this time of the year)
$50k prize money in one.
Your choice of 5 cars in the other.
Good times ahead peoples.
Good times.
(Man I love this time of the year)
Lets go BETA already.
So, TS has been rebuilt from the ground up. Im hoping that it is now more stable.
Along with the rebuild however, there is now a lot of new functionality and data availiable.
(Some of it is active now, some of it wont work til the official figures are released and the season starts, and some of it is still in my head).
The first thing you will notice is that there is a lot more data around the place. Sadly, it is restricted to players who are still of AFL lists however.
Firstly, you can now go back into the past to view results from other years (with the above caveat). (ignore the salaries from prior years though, they arent right).
Not only that, clicking on a player will now bring up a wealth of information on said player. From their past DT/SC/Y! scores, to their actual stats come gameday.
Clicking on a game here will bring up a list of all players who played that game. [STILL IN HEAD]
Clicking a team will bring up team based stats, including Total scored for, and Against. [CURRENTLY IN DEVELOPMENT]
All links will be linkable- provided you are logged in, so linking to someones page/calculator will be easy. (currently the calculator isnt on the front end- and it wont be until the season starts.)
On the accounts page, youll notice some new features over the old site. Namely, the Reference numbers, and the Watchlist Management.
Using the SC/DT/Y! reference numbers, TS will- once the season starts- be able to automatically sync itself up with your currently published (see- viewable by all) team. If there is future demand to make that work faster, it should also be posible to hookup as username/password feature to have it log in automatically to your account and suck out the details. But thats only if people want it (Voting buttons at the ready).
The Watchlist management will allow you to create your own watchlists, rather that be restricted to the one I game you last year. They are customisable, per competition, and will allow you to...
So, TS has been rebuilt from the ground up. Im hoping that it is now more stable.
Along with the rebuild however, there is now a lot of new functionality and data availiable.
(Some of it is active now, some of it wont work til the official figures are released and the season starts, and some of it is still in my head).
The first thing you will notice is that there is a lot more data around the place. Sadly, it is restricted to players who are still of AFL lists however.
Firstly, you can now go back into the past to view results from other years (with the above caveat). (ignore the salaries from prior years though, they arent right).
Not only that, clicking on a player will now bring up a wealth of information on said player. From their past DT/SC/Y! scores, to their actual stats come gameday.
Clicking on a game here will bring up a list of all players who played that game. [STILL IN HEAD]
Clicking a team will bring up team based stats, including Total scored for, and Against. [CURRENTLY IN DEVELOPMENT]
All links will be linkable- provided you are logged in, so linking to someones page/calculator will be easy. (currently the calculator isnt on the front end- and it wont be until the season starts.)
On the accounts page, youll notice some new features over the old site. Namely, the Reference numbers, and the Watchlist Management.
Using the SC/DT/Y! reference numbers, TS will- once the season starts- be able to automatically sync itself up with your currently published (see- viewable by all) team. If there is future demand to make that work faster, it should also be posible to hookup as username/password feature to have it log in automatically to your account and suck out the details. But thats only if people want it (Voting buttons at the ready).
The Watchlist management will allow you to create your own watchlists, rather that be restricted to the one I game you last year. They are customisable, per competition, and will allow you to...
So, the Hawkers got over the line, and as much as it pains me to say this, good on them. they put in a good effort.
I guess the same thing can be said for JOHN and the NEWBERRY STARS. While I cant say I like his manouver, I didnt make a rule against it.
So, youre the winner mate. Well done.
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However, Im thinking Ill throw up a handful of TS memberships to some randomly draw out competitors.
These memberships are actually going to mean something more for next year as TS is currently undergoing a complete re-design, to make it easier to use, faster and most importantly, to add new features to assist you as a coach. And to access these new features, youll need a subscription. (Though I believe the current TS site will stay around for free - It just wont score the new features of the updated version).
The blog is definitely going to be pumping next year with a couple of top 20 finishers (Supercoach) saying their bits. And who knows, perhaps Ill be able to get someone in on the DreamTeam side of things for next year.
And speaking of Top 20 finishers - Ive started a thread on the forum for <a href="http://www.xalia.com.au/phpBB3/viewtopic.php?f=2&t=111">testimonials[/url] - So if you use TS and did alright, drop by, let us know. Or if you just want to say a good word.
Dont forget to check back in during the off-season, both to keep up to date with any important news (Like did you know that Steele Sidebottom kicked 10 goals in his premiership game this weekend?), trade week, Im sure will generate some interesting discussions, and finally, any updates to the site will be put up throughout the offseason.
So keep looking in. (Though Im sure you EPL guys will - Ill get that as a "default" option shortly...)
Its been a heck of a year, a lot of fun.
So thank you from all us here at TooSerious.
And have a great off season.
- walesy.
PS - If youve read this far, heres the prize winners. Drop me an email to claim.
NEWBERRY STARS - JOHN -...
I guess the same thing can be said for JOHN and the NEWBERRY STARS. While I cant say I like his manouver, I didnt make a rule against it.
So, youre the winner mate. Well done.
<!--more-->
However, Im thinking Ill throw up a handful of TS memberships to some randomly draw out competitors.
These memberships are actually going to mean something more for next year as TS is currently undergoing a complete re-design, to make it easier to use, faster and most importantly, to add new features to assist you as a coach. And to access these new features, youll need a subscription. (Though I believe the current TS site will stay around for free - It just wont score the new features of the updated version).
The blog is definitely going to be pumping next year with a couple of top 20 finishers (Supercoach) saying their bits. And who knows, perhaps Ill be able to get someone in on the DreamTeam side of things for next year.

And speaking of Top 20 finishers - Ive started a thread on the forum for <a href="http://www.xalia.com.au/phpBB3/viewtopic.php?f=2&t=111">testimonials[/url] - So if you use TS and did alright, drop by, let us know. Or if you just want to say a good word.

Dont forget to check back in during the off-season, both to keep up to date with any important news (Like did you know that Steele Sidebottom kicked 10 goals in his premiership game this weekend?), trade week, Im sure will generate some interesting discussions, and finally, any updates to the site will be put up throughout the offseason.
So keep looking in. (Though Im sure you EPL guys will - Ill get that as a "default" option shortly...)
Its been a heck of a year, a lot of fun.
So thank you from all us here at TooSerious.
And have a great off season.
- walesy.
PS - If youve read this far, heres the prize winners. Drop me an email to claim.
NEWBERRY STARS - JOHN -...
<img border="0" src="http://tooserious.typepad.com/photos/uncategorized/2008/09/01/untitled1_copy.jpg" title="Untitled1_copy" alt="Untitled1_copy" style="margin: 0px 0px 5px 5px; float: right;" />Here it is, the highly anticipated 2008 TooSerious All-Australian SuperCoach Team. To get into this team you have to the best of the best. Do you take SuperCoach Too Seriously?
This All-Australian team is hard to break into since it will be based on total points for the year of 2008. Seriously, what good are averages when your man misses 4 games for the year and you have to play Tippett? You might remember half way through the year I done a Team of the Year at the half way mark. Back then
it was based on averages but this one is the real deal.
Anyway, straight into the team and what I believe is my sharpest work yet...
Enjoy.
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Backline: Samuel Fisher, Chris Newman, Martin Mattner, Brendan Goddard, Jarrad Waite, Lindsay Gilbee, Brain Lake.
I couldnt believe it when I seen Brain Lake get a gig in the backline before players like Bock, Bowden, Pratt, Brennan, Gram and Bradshaw. But I had a look, he regulary scores well over 100 and even pulls off scores as big as 150. Reminds me alot like the highest scoring defender this year Sammy Fisher, averaging 101 (ranked 3rd), who manages to stand a man like Jonathan Brown and Roughnut but still waltzing around collecting some handy SuperCoach points running out of defence. He must be in contention for the real AA. Chris Newman, Marty Mattner and Lindsay Gilbee are vital to their respective sides in getting the ball out of the defensive 50 and are even more vital to our SuperCoach teams scoring some handy numbers. Brendan Goddard has even managed to sneak in, even though he played just 20 games. Thats something to remember next year, cause alot avoided him before...
This All-Australian team is hard to break into since it will be based on total points for the year of 2008. Seriously, what good are averages when your man misses 4 games for the year and you have to play Tippett? You might remember half way through the year I done a Team of the Year at the half way mark. Back then
it was based on averages but this one is the real deal.
Anyway, straight into the team and what I believe is my sharpest work yet...
Enjoy.
<!--more-->
Backline: Samuel Fisher, Chris Newman, Martin Mattner, Brendan Goddard, Jarrad Waite, Lindsay Gilbee, Brain Lake.
I couldnt believe it when I seen Brain Lake get a gig in the backline before players like Bock, Bowden, Pratt, Brennan, Gram and Bradshaw. But I had a look, he regulary scores well over 100 and even pulls off scores as big as 150. Reminds me alot like the highest scoring defender this year Sammy Fisher, averaging 101 (ranked 3rd), who manages to stand a man like Jonathan Brown and Roughnut but still waltzing around collecting some handy SuperCoach points running out of defence. He must be in contention for the real AA. Chris Newman, Marty Mattner and Lindsay Gilbee are vital to their respective sides in getting the ball out of the defensive 50 and are even more vital to our SuperCoach teams scoring some handy numbers. Brendan Goddard has even managed to sneak in, even though he played just 20 games. Thats something to remember next year, cause alot avoided him before...
Its all over now, boys. Lets start thinking about next year? Who are some player you just never go past? What bargains will you be looking at? Discuss it all here.
... til next year.
In my last ever Best Buys I gave you 5 forwards to pick up for the injured Pavlich. Well, I disgraced myself and let down my supports. Hopefully you didnt listen and went Lids or Gia. But, lets look back...
Number 5 was Waite, I said 138 if playing back or 12 if forward. He was forward and gathered 49. It gets worse, Ryan OKeefe was number 4, well, he had a cough so he pulled out. Paul Chapman could surely score something decent, he did get 163 last time vs. West Coast, I did only predict 116, but nah, just 40. Ok, so then it was Richo Man, nailing a whooping 171 last time vs. Melbourne and I was expecting atleast 136, but just 20 was all he could manage. Even hack Daniel Jackson could get 91. Ok, so my number one pick turned out to be my best, but hardly anything to get excited about. Fevola kicked a massive seven goals, to get to 99 not out. But, that only got him 75 points. That works out about 10 points per each of his goals. He just aint SuperCoach material.
Hopefully, I can do better next year.
In my last ever Best Buys I gave you 5 forwards to pick up for the injured Pavlich. Well, I disgraced myself and let down my supports. Hopefully you didnt listen and went Lids or Gia. But, lets look back...
Number 5 was Waite, I said 138 if playing back or 12 if forward. He was forward and gathered 49. It gets worse, Ryan OKeefe was number 4, well, he had a cough so he pulled out. Paul Chapman could surely score something decent, he did get 163 last time vs. West Coast, I did only predict 116, but nah, just 40. Ok, so then it was Richo Man, nailing a whooping 171 last time vs. Melbourne and I was expecting atleast 136, but just 20 was all he could manage. Even hack Daniel Jackson could get 91. Ok, so my number one pick turned out to be my best, but hardly anything to get excited about. Fevola kicked a massive seven goals, to get to 99 not out. But, that only got him 75 points. That works out about 10 points per each of his goals. He just aint SuperCoach material.
Hopefully, I can do better next year.
Have a win in your Grand Final? I won all three of mine. But, have done some rough calculations on the National Rankings and I have found I cant finish any lower than 7th and no higher than 15th and so if we put myself in the middle of that Im looking at a finish at 11th. Surely not?
Stay tuned tomorrow for the TooSerious SuperCoach All-Australian team and stick around for some exciting competitions during the finals.
Stay tuned tomorrow for the TooSerious SuperCoach All-Australian team and stick around for some exciting competitions during the finals.
So, this is the end... the last week of the season.
The time where dreams are built, and crushed.
Or something like that.
Theres a handful of you out there who still in it to take out the championship, though youre going to need a lot of luck to get over the all dominating convicts.
So dominating infact, that hes by far the favorite to take out both the overall, and the eliminator.
Thanks to our friends at BigFooty, Ive got a copy of his starting team, so unless someone tells me not to, Ill probably do a bit of a review of it, cause it certainly broke the norms when it comes to team selection.
And for those of you still in the grand final, good luck. May all your Pavs play and all your Porps not pop a shoulder out.
Dont forget though, weve still got the finals comp running over the next few weeks... weve almost got 100 players signed up... aiming for 200, so get your friends, you family, heck, even your dog if you really want to... (Rovers Reckers - Though it might be tricky to wire prize money to a dog... )
And during the finals comp, Ill be releasing the 2009 planner.
Essentially Ive been in discussion with some fairly knowledgable folk, and between us well be trying our hardest to predict both the magic number for salaries, as well as any salary discounts. Cause you cant start planning too soon...
So I guess thats it, the EPL comp will be running over summer, however throughout it, Ill keep trying to update the site with new features and with fingers crossed, a complete re-haul of the front end. (And finally get away from these clunky tables!)
Catch you all later.
The time where dreams are built, and crushed.
Or something like that.
Theres a handful of you out there who still in it to take out the championship, though youre going to need a lot of luck to get over the all dominating convicts.
So dominating infact, that hes by far the favorite to take out both the overall, and the eliminator.
Thanks to our friends at BigFooty, Ive got a copy of his starting team, so unless someone tells me not to, Ill probably do a bit of a review of it, cause it certainly broke the norms when it comes to team selection.
And for those of you still in the grand final, good luck. May all your Pavs play and all your Porps not pop a shoulder out.
Dont forget though, weve still got the finals comp running over the next few weeks... weve almost got 100 players signed up... aiming for 200, so get your friends, you family, heck, even your dog if you really want to... (Rovers Reckers - Though it might be tricky to wire prize money to a dog... )
And during the finals comp, Ill be releasing the 2009 planner.
Essentially Ive been in discussion with some fairly knowledgable folk, and between us well be trying our hardest to predict both the magic number for salaries, as well as any salary discounts. Cause you cant start planning too soon...
So I guess thats it, the EPL comp will be running over summer, however throughout it, Ill keep trying to update the site with new features and with fingers crossed, a complete re-haul of the front end. (And finally get away from these clunky tables!)
Catch you all later.
Yes, its nearly over one more game to go. Thank you everyone for a wonderful season and I hope you all come back next year. Well have some awesome stuff, espically help with picking that first team. Its been great fun doing the blogs and eventually getting a small group of supporters. Lucas and Emilio you guys got the ball rolling. Thanks. Also, good luck to Woodyman to take out the $20,000 and Lucas to give it a red hot go and finish top 5.
Anyway, in the offseason this site is having a real make over and when you come back next year it will be totally different... hopefully. Im looking for anyone out there that wants to join us in the staff area put forward any ideas and help make those ideas. So, if you know anything about website design, blogging or really anything. Just pop me an email: braydog@live.com.au - make sure you include your user name for the forum.
But, yeah, thanks guys on an awesome season and good luck with your Grand Finals. Go Woodyman!
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Anyway, in the offseason this site is having a real make over and when you come back next year it will be totally different... hopefully. Im looking for anyone out there that wants to join us in the staff area put forward any ideas and help make those ideas. So, if you know anything about website design, blogging or really anything. Just pop me an email: braydog@live.com.au - make sure you include your user name for the forum.
But, yeah, thanks guys on an awesome season and good luck with your Grand Finals. Go Woodyman!
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