TooSerious

Matthew Pavlich is gone, not only does he bail on us with a late withdrawal last week but he looks gone for the season. Have you got that one last trade for the Grand Final? Or did you blow them all on the quest to make it? Have you got Valenti, Tippett and Gamble as your reserves and looking deep down the barrell of a donut in Grand Final week? Or are you lucky enough to have Hansen, Rioli or Hill?

Those with trades, read on for this Pav special.

<!--more-->
Finally we have a player gone for the season that is worth a couple of quid. Well, Matty is actually the 2nd most expensive player. If youve got some dough, only the one trade and not Riewoldt. He must be the man, vs. Essendon and Harvs last H&amp;A game. Saint Nick will go nuts. But besides him and Brown and Buddy (everyone already has them) here are my top five.

NUMBER 5.
Jarrad Waite
Whos he playing? Hawthorn.
Record agaisnt the Hawks? Playing them for the 1st time in 2008, but scored 107 agaisnt them in 2007 in a year he averaged 82.
Last five average? 116.2
Rate his recent form? Pulled out an 169 only three games ago vs. Port. And, has only fell below the ton once in his last five games.
Why pick him? In a real purple patch in a super season, plus alot ball in the back half vs. Hawks, if he plays back.
Why not? Fevolas quest for 100 goals, if forward.
Predicted score: If playing forward: 12, if down back: 138.

NUMBER 4.
Ryan OKeefe
Whos he playing? Brisbane.
Record agaisnt the Lions? 149 last time, but an average of 84 in the past four games after that.
Last five average? 80.6
Rate his recent form? Awful, only reached the ton twice in the past nine weeks, but that did include a 199.
Why pick him? Brisbane let big players run free, playing at the SCG, due for a big one.
Why not? Poor...

Bloody Pavlova and Gilbee.

Into the Grand Final, guys? Or did bloody zeros keep you out?

Let us know how your boys are going throughout the week and I will fill this with any interesting facts that pop up over the weekend. Actually probably not, I got a flat out weekend including a Pete Muzza concert. I just hope Im not singing Better Days after the weekend.

GO THE CHO!
OH, AND MARSHMALLOW!
ALSO, JUDDO!

Might aswell continue this blog, where I have been letting ya all know how Im going for the quest for $20,000. And, this week I have discovered something massive, I possibly have the least unique team of the lot. Meaning Richo and Marshmallow Thompson have an even bigger role than I thought. So, I created this banner to egg them along. Haha.
<a onclick="window.open(this.href, _blank, width=400,height=600,scrollbars=no,resizable=no,toolbar=no,directories=no,location=no,menubar=no,status=no,left=0,top=0); return false" href="http://tooserious.typepad.com/.shared/image.html?/photos/uncategorized/2008/08/13/untitled2_copy.jpg"><img width="320" height="480" border="0" src="http://tooserious.typepad.com/tooserious_sc/images/2008/08/13/untitled2_copy.jpg" title="Untitled2_copy" alt="Untitled2_copy" style="margin: 0px 0px 5px 5px; float: right;" />[/url]
On
to the stats, I had a massive jump on the bloke in number 1 this week. Moving from 444 points behind to just 274, which means I need 91 per week, the lowest it has ever been. I gained a little ground on the top 10, now only behind by 152 or 51 per week. I lost heaps of ground on the Geelongs number 1 coach, falling out to 271 points off the mark, needing 90 per week.

I also promise you some stats, and here they come. The player that I need to struggle most to come 1st overall will be Ablett with 75% of the top 20 teams having him, and every team in the top 10. Followed by Newman who is in 65% of the teams. Then, Milburn who is in 60%. Why couldnt they have given him 4 weeks?

Other players I need to struggle are Bradshaw (50%), Roughnut (25%) and Waite (25%) down back. NDS (35%), Hodge (35%), Hayes (25%), COON! (20%) and Corey (20%) need to find less of the ball though the middle. While up forward it is quite boring, BJ (30%) is the most selected player which I dont have. Followed by Fev and Aker...

With no major injuries on the weekend and everyones trades are as dry as a nuns nasty. Its really no need to put hours of effort into a Best Buys. If you want burn trades, or still holding Dids or Shaw just drop me a comment and Im happy to help.

But, I cant help it youll find some awesome value with these players... For those doing in tweaking in their midfield this week look at Kirk ($478,600), his price is a ripper and hardly anyone has him. Might be a beauty come Grand Final time. I also like the value of Robert Murphy <input type="hidden" value="468" id="playerid" /><input type="hidden" value="FWD" id="pos" />($371,700) up forward. Down back Boltons<input type="hidden" value="56" id="playerid" /><input type="hidden" value="DEF" id="pos" /> ($328,800) price is extremely low in a good season, for those still with Shaw. You will also get good bang for ya buck with Bocky <input type="hidden" value="DEF" id="pos" />
&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;
&nbsp; &nbsp;
&nbsp; &nbsp; ($384,700). At the more expensive scale but well priced for the amount of points Chris Newman <input type="hidden" value="476" id="playerid" /><input type="hidden" value="DEF" id="pos" />($469,600).

My final word: At this stage of the season get rid of the breakeven column it means nothing.

GO THE CHO!

First week of finals, howd your boys go? Have a win and get yaself the week off? Seemed like a pretty poor weekend with midfielders getting 80s including Ablett, Cross, Stevens, Cooney, Mitchell, NDS and the list goes on. Lift boys, its finals. While popular players like Brown (100% of the top 23 players have him) scored 22 and Gilbee and ROK miles below their average. Richo played forward all day and has gone back to his old ways. Put him back on the wing, please, Terry. Some big scores came from the 300 game legends in Macca and Crawf. But, thats about it.

Read on to find out how my weekend went.

<!--more-->
Im furious. Going into the Crows and Tigers game looking at a score of 2300+, and with 1st overall having some poor scores from Ablett, Stevie and Pratt. This was my chance to pounce. A real make or break for my season. Stiffy Johncock (5th/No - 5th most impotant player and N.R No.1 doesnt have him) went forward as expected and could have went nuts like he did in the reserves, but he struggle. Got smashed in every one-on-one by Thursfield. Got me 16 points. Then the Cho (2nd/No) arguebly my most important player if I was to take the prize. Not sure if it was his sore knee but, he needs to be back on the wing where he was getting those 177s. He wasnt completely smashed by Bock, but dropped marks and with 4 behinds and one not making the distance really make a difference. Two of the behinds coming from within 20 metres of goal. Just not his day. Speaking of Bock Choy (9th/No), looked alright most the day but a couple of clangers and uncontested disposals and hardly any ball in the last term hurt his score and only managed 69. Then there is Lids (7th/No), struggled early but I do take my hat off to him to push his score to 75. Four clangers were the real killer. Some positives out of the game are Scotty Marshmallow...

Ok, abit like the old Last Minute Check go through all the points you need to think about before lockout. And dont forget...
[span style="color: #ff0000;">WARNING: Lockout is at 7.05pm AEST tonight.

<ul><li>Captain pick is easy this week a Geelong midfielder. Either one of Bartel, Corey and now Ablett. Theyll all rip it up. I dont think I need stats to back this up, but in there last two games vs. Melbourne Bartel has averaged 164, Ablett has put on 123 and Corey not far behind with 119. </li>

<li>Yes, I mentioned Ablett is back. Lets hope he rests in the forward pocket. Key word: Hope. Other selection news is pleasing blokes around the world cause the Stiff is back, and a Burger. </li>

<li>Cox will get smashed by Hille. Absolutely smashed.</li>

<li>Shaw and Dids have been bad cause they buggered up our teams. Some cheap good players to pick up would be Andy McLeod and Robert Murphy.</li>

<li>Speaking of McLeod he pulls on his boots for the 300th time this week, as does sooky boy Crawf. Maybe means big scores. </li>

<li>Richo and Troy Simmonds both seem to have recovered from their jarred knees, just maybe keep a emergency handy. </li>

<li>The Dogs are now focusing on playing Hawks in 5 weeks time. Avoid them for captain selections and even picking up their players. They wont be trying too hard, and alot of players might be rested. </li></ul>

Good luck with your quest through the finals.

This is massive this week guys. 39.18% of all SuperCoach teams (which is actually doesnt seem like much, but 87% of the top 23 sides do) have this no-necked man, that cant break away from a ferret. Besides Grigg, but really, who is he? Yes, you guess it, the piss-head Heath Shaw.

Drink and drive, youre fine. Lie to your mates, youre a bloody idoit and you bugger up our SuperCoach teams. Can you atleast be worth a couple of quid so we can actually get someone decent for you?

Alan Didak owners, get stuffed, Im spent enough time helping those with Shaw.

Note: The price in brackets is the difference to Heater, not their actual price.&nbsp;

<!--more-->
[span style="font-size: 1.2em;">Heath Shaw: $371,700

Balance: $0.00
If you had to smash open your money quid just to find a couple of hundreds bucks cause you spent all ya money upgrading Chappy or Cornes. Well, your pretty buggered but I will see what I can find. Nick late withdrawal Maceski (-$1,800) is just under the Shaw price tag and if he gets a game we all know what he is capable of and is an extremely risky choice. Xaivier Ellis (-$2,800) is another bloke has been improving every game, but I think his teammate Brent Guerra (-$23,900) would be a better pick with an average of 83, he can pull out a big score. But, really hes nothing special. Alot of bandwagon jumpers got up and about when Thornton (-$13,700) put on two hundreds in the first two weeks, shame he has only ever managed that feat only twice more and averaging only 72 since then. Craig Bolton (-$24,700) is actually one player I do like, averaging only 81, but had averaged over 90 only five weeks ago. Swans always finish the season well so the old-timer is worth a look.
There is one bloke I have left out, Andrew McLeod (-$10,300), the two time Norm Smith Medalists from the crows has had a season from hell. He has a six week...

Oh, its finals time. Did you make the top 8? Are you confident your team can take the cake? Or did you lose this week to give up your spot? How was your score this week? I think most would be looking at the 2200 cause all the mainstream players like Buddy (171), Bartel (150), Brown (132), Newman (126), Pavlich (124) and Gilbee (104) had decent scores. And plenty of scores between 70-90.

I finished with 2286, and probably wont move too far in the NR, maybe even down a little.

Let us know how your boys are going? Most the popular players have scored big.