TooSerious

Something new this week, just a last minute check before you trade make captain selection and any other fun facts.

1. Chappy is out, so is Gamble and Valenti so some people might be copping a zero. Try to get some money to upgrade Gamble to BJ (only worthy upgrade - read <a href="http://tooserious.typepad.com/tooserious_sc/2008/05/the-dogs-best-1.html#more">here[/url] to find out why)&nbsp;- if not eat donuts. Shouldnt have traded in Valenti so early, and you should have got Gamble for him. I told everyone Gamble will be dropped.

2. The only 2 gamer playing this week is Cotchin, so jump on him. Forget about the rest that I mentioned <a href="http://tooserious.typepad.com/tooserious_sc/2008/05/need-some-dou-1.html#more">here[/url]. Wikies and Houlihan might be the buys next week.

3. Essendon has the most points scored agasint them, so get on Scott Thompson, Goodie or Stiffy Cock for captain. Or read <a href="http://tooserious.typepad.com/tooserious_sc/2008/05/captain-conside.html#more">here[/url] for other suggestions. Also, Tippett and Burton should bounce back.

4. Buddy kicked 2.11 last time agaisnt the dogs, but still if you want a roughie in ya tips. Get on the dogs. Woof woof.

Let us know what other trades you might be making, your captain or whinge about Chappy. I love all your comments.

Its a bit late this week cause I had the live draft last night and was a bit busy with that, and now I gotta head off to work so I can only quickly whip up this one, but we will see how it goes. Want to know how you can afford these guys? <a href="http://tooserious.typepad.com/tooserious_sc/2008/05/need-some-dou-1.html#more">Read here.[/url]

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[span style="font-size: 1.4em;">BARGAIN OF THE WEEK
[span style="font-size: 0.8em;">Paul Chapman
[span style="font-size: 0.8em;">Started: 604k. Peaked: 613k. Now: 487k. BE: 60. Ave: 102.[span style="font-size: 0.8em;">
Nothing has changed since last week, except he might have a sore hammy. Make sure he is named before trading. But, he averages 100+ and is under 500k so you cant argue with that.

[span style="font-size: 1.4em;">BEST BUYS
Brad Johnson
[span style="font-size: 0.8em;">Started: 566k. Now: 426k. BE: 83. Ave: 84.[span style="font-size: 0.8em;">
This bloke has finally hit some form with 2 hundreds in the past 3 games. You will be spewing you didnt jump on him in a couple of weeks time. This bloke is a star.

Sam Fisher
[span style="font-size: 0.8em;">Started: 535k. Now: 458k. BE: 85. Ave: 94.
Unless you need a backmen this week I would wait for Chad, Gilbee, Milburn, McLeod or Shaw. But, Fisher aint bad.&nbsp;

But, thats seriously all there is this week. But, keep reading to see who could be brought this week, but your best to hold off for a couple of weeks.

[span style="font-size: 1.4em;">HOLD YOUR HORSES[span style="font-size: 0.8em;">
[span style="font-size: 0.8em;">People have being saying its the week to jump on YABBLETT after his 35k drop, but really he has to average 140 to stay at that price. I dont think he can do it. But, his mate in Jimmy Bartel is looking tasty with another high BE of 184. Chadwick is one using the one arm but still snagging 80 points, hopefully a couple more 80s and he will be a must buy. His...

I figure, Im going to want to review these reviews in about 8 months time, and what better way to preserve them than to throw them up here.

So, if like me, youre looking slightly towards the future, read ahead...

(Taken from the AFL Website)
Day 1

Xavier McMahon - Xavier won the most disposals for NSW/ACT and he was a pretty good player all day. He also gave his side plenty of run.
Patrick Heenan - Although the Northern Territory missed several key players, Patrick was one of sides best and won 20 touches - the most for his side. He tried really hard all day.
Tom Salter - Tommy was really good in the midfield. He was Tassies highest ball-winner with 24 touches.
Matt Thomson - Matt was Queenslands leading ball-winner and he worked hard all day.

Day 2

Ranga Ediriwickrama - He was really good. He had a high work-rate and won a lot of the footy - he won 32 possessions. Ranga was good in game one, but he was cleaner with his ball-use and gathering. He really led from the front and was outstanding.
Patrick Heenan - Ive liked what Ive seen of him in the last two games - I havent seen him much since he was in under 16s - and hes now at Melbourne Grammar. He played a loose role in the back-pocket and hes got a license to free up and attack, but he makes good decisions. What I like about him is that hes got great balance and takes the game on. Hes been good.
Matt Thomson - A ball-winner, hes not the biggest kid going around, but he finds the footy and he uses it well - hes now had a couple of solid games. He got 28 touches against NSW/ACT.

Day 3

Ranga Ediriwickrama - Ranga had a good game. Hes one of our scholarship boys and weve been really happy with his carnival and hes won a lot of footy. He worked really hard around the stoppages and has won contested footy, so he should be proud of his efforts.
Luke Breust - I thought he had a really influential game. He used the ball well and was...

Hey guys,

My live draft is tonight and I wont be here for the first hour and half, maybe even 2 hours. Im shattered. So, Im wondering if any one wants to do it for me. Pop me an email if your interested. brayden_eatme@hotmail.com

Thanks,
The Dog.

Howdy all, just a quick update to introduce a couple of new faces to the TooSerious family.

Firstly, we have the big, the bad, the burly, Big Bad Burley. A self confessed stat junkie, and someone who definitely takes Dreamteam too seriously. I imagine his posts will be both informative and I myself are looking forward to reading them. (Which you can do yourself in the Dreamteam forum, go say hi! )

Our other new poster, Nathan, who hails from the Supercoach side of things, will be writing columns with more of a Supercoach slant. I look forward to reading his reviews, as well as a Supercoach Captains thread. Which should be be good reading.

So pop in, drop a comment to say Hi (Cause yanno, we get paid in hugs and comment here), and enjoy what these guys have to say.

Following on for last weeks posts, I will do another little write up on what Rookies are going to be top buys this week and who to trade for them. Although, different to last week I will do it in a list of which rookie you should look at first. Please read this weeks DOGS BEST BUYS to work out who to use the greenbacks on.

WARNING: There are West Coast backmen everywhere you look.

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[span style="font-size: 1.2em;">TWO GAMERS
[span style="font-size: 0.6em;">Thats played last weekend

1. Trent Cotchin - RIC
Price: 140k. BE: -62. Position: MID
This bloke is going to be a superstar - cant see the Tigers dropping but I can see his scores improving. Only got scores of 74 and 72 but wait until he finds his feet and we will start seeing Palmer like scores. Could even be a handy 6th midfielder for a couple of weeks for people like me with Browne still on the gorund. Haha. Who to downgrade for him? Craig Bird although aint going to drop in price (only needs to score 50s to hang around his current price) is a must for Cotchin this week. Others that could be downgrade to him: Travis Tuck, Rhys Palmer (although if I had him I would keep him as my 6th midfielder), Ibbo, Wona and Cale Morton.

2. Shane Valenti - MEL
Price: 84k. BE: -83. Position: FWD/MID
If ya need more money that than you could get if downgrading to Cotchin, or you already have Cotchin - Valenti is your man. But, be very careful when going for him cause he is likely to go back down to the Rookie List soon. And, should be your 9th forward at worse. Also dont trade him in until the teams are named, cause he isnt a sure thing to snag a game but likely he will. Gamble is the obviously one to leave your side, but Tippett and McKinley are also popular picks. Hill &amp; Nath J. Brown should be both gone by now. And, Rioli keep him unless he is sitting on...

Gday all, Week in week out there are forums and threads all over the place about Captains, who I should make Captain and why - etc, etc. So I thought I would provide, as my first contribution, a weekly run down of the usual suspects and players in good form - and give you all a one-stop shop for all your Captain Considerations!

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Likely Options

Gary Ablett

The last two weeks have seen Ablett return with a vengeance - scores
of 162 and 127 give him an average over 144.5 and he is the in form
player in the comp at the moment. You know youre going alright when
your team gets absolutely smashed all over the park yet youre still
able to rake in a healthy 127. Geelong play Carlton this week, a team
Ablett has traditionally played well against, and the stats back me up
- he has an average of 127 against Carlton with a highest score of 132
in last years game vs the Blues. If you have him, he should be at the
top of your list for this week.

Jimmy Bartel

Gone a little bit off the radar and for some coaches, the time is
now to get in Jimmy. A few off weeks (by his lofty standards) has seen
him drop into the high 500s and his breakeven head up to 184. The last
two weeks have seen him score 103 and 65 (with an average of 84).
However, like Ablett, seems to like playing against the (relatively)
inexperienced midfield of Carlton and their lack of taggers may see
Bartel fire this week. He has the pedigree, and the history shows that
he averages 105 against Carlton, with a highest score of 112 vs the
Blues. Should be a consideration.

Jonathon Brown

Hit the form that all supercoaches were hoping for, and not before
time! With 131 and 132 in the last two weeks, hes shown that a little
faith in your guns goes a long way. Sitting on a breakeven of 13 means
hes probably the in form forward of the comp at the moment and with
North at the Gabba this week, things could look good for Brisbane.
Brown tore North a new one last...

note: this was written after round 8, prices / breakevens etc have changed, the principle remains the same.

Its at that time of year where everyone is looking at selling those
rookies, claiming a healthy little profit and using the profits on that
gun point scorer. However as usual making sure you use those measly 20
trades in the most effective manner is paramount, and this is where
your rookies breakeven is important.

Often people will look at their rookies and as soon as their
breakeven rises above their average they believe the player has
'peaked'. However this is not always the case and can cost you
significant dollars, and those precious trades. To illustrate this i am
going to use the Melbourne rookie midfielder Cale Morton.

Now Cale is one of the prime rookies looking at being sold for a
profit. Before round 8 he had a price of $216,500 an average of 59.29
and a breakeven of 61. After putting in two weeks of 39 and 49 (and
dropping $4,700) it looked like his time as a cash cow was over and i
am sure many people decided to trade.

However what you must remember is that a price of $216,500 is not
hard to maintain. Cale promptly dropped a 95 point game (which is not
his highest score, that was 97 in round 3 so he knows how to rack them
up) and he increased by $7,100. More importantly his breakeven has now
dropped all the way back down to 10! Yep, 10!! Plus he gets the benefit
of a score of 95 in his average for 3 weeks.

What does this mean? Well if he scores 63 (his current average) for
the next 2 weeks he will increase another $32,000 and still have a
breakeven below his average!!!!

So, which would you prefer? A
used trade and a potential saving of say $5 - $10k if Cale puts in a
bad one? Or to save the trade and maybe hold out for some more serious
gains?

Now obviously this isnt always the case. Everyones favorite cash
cow, Josh Hill, is an example where holding out will have cost you over
$25k the past three weeks (but he is still up over $100k)...

Jarrad Waite is <a href="http://www.news.com.au/heraldsun/sport/afl/story/0,26576,23759987-19742,00.html">facing a one game ban[/url] for striking Fremantles Chris Manye. While, Sam Mitchell will play for your fantasy team this week, but his Brownlow hopes might be gone - he has been offered 93.75. Nath Jones and Pavlich copped a fine. Not a heap happened on the injury front on the weekend. Symes and Ottens could be back this week.

I read through alot of forums and things that relate to SuperCoach and the amount of people that do pointless upgrades is amazing. Everyone wants the Shaws, Abletts and Franklins but sometimes we might have to settle for a Milburn, or a Swan, or a Chappy.

I can understand their thought process 'Bloody [Gilbee, Kornes, Mattner, etc] I paid 550k for you and your only averaging 80' but then they show there rest of there team and they have Taylor on ground and then they still have Nathan Thompson and Tom Hawkins sitting in the forward line. They just want the best straight away.

Trading Burton could get you someone like Franklin, but really at the end of the season he only going to collect 10-15 more points per game (at most), if you then look at Nathan Thompson who will probably score about 70 all year and upgrade him to someone cheap like Chappy who might average 100. Sure you still dont have Franklins big 180 points, but you have a much better improvement to your team and it cosh you about the same amount of greenbacks. Now what looks better: Franklin and Thompson or Burton and Chapman?&nbsp; I just had to let this out, cause Im just about have had enough of pointless so called upgrades.

If you need any advices on how you could improve your team, simply post here and Ill give you my advice on what would be best. And, keep an eye out for DOGS BEST BUYS - some rippers this week, and coming up.&nbsp;