TooSerious

For those who take it way too seriously

Birdsville Battlers 1311 def Nunawading Nuffers 1195
A fairly even effort from the Battlers sees them get home over the Nuffers. Eight scores over 90 compared to five for the Nuffers probably tells the story, though Houli's big night out and JPK's unusually quiet night (61) provided most of the difference. Tom McDonald (95) and Rischitelli (101) continue to surprise for the Battlers, while Ellis-Yolmen looks like a terrific pick up for the Nuffers.
Best
Battlers: Houli 150, Murphy, 109, Cloke 104
Nuffers: Broadbent 104, Stanton 104, Ellis-Yolmen 104

Waikikamoocow Incorrigibles 1233 def Lovely Banks Lilacs 1209
Six centuries to two helped the Cows overcome an injury to the luckless Chris Knights (25) and a green-vested Wright (21) to win a tight one over the improving Lilacs.
The Cows received contributions from usual suspects Hannebery, Fyfe (107) & McVeigh (107), while youngsters Griffiths and Elliot impressed up forward. The Cows will no doubt have their fingers crossed for good news on gun recruit Jeremy McGovern's knee after he notched 100 in just over half a game.
The Lilacs were well served by their young, emerging midfield with Duncan, Caddy (94) and Heeney (96) all solid contributors. Scott Thompson wound back the clock with an impressive first up effort.
Best
Cows: Hannebery 136, Griffiths 110, Elliot 108
Lilacs: Thompson 138, Bird 105, Duncan 98

Venus Bay Vultures 1318 def Wagga Wagga Wombats 1161
Solid win for the Vultures over the Wombats. A century from late replacement Jay Schulz added to the efforts of Beams, Steven, Crisp (108) and Howe (102) and helped offset sub-par performances from Malceski and Parker.
Six scores of 52 or less ruined any real chance for the Wombats and meant that the efforts of Watson, Prestia, Thomas and Buddy (103) were in vain.
Best
Vultures: Beams 138, Steven 113, Schulz 112
Wombats: Watson 147, Prestia 125,...
Some of the popular and not so popular SC picks are stinking it up losing $30k or more after Round 3 and looking at huge price drops if they don't find form in the next few weeks. When we don't have these players we can happily grab the popcorn and watch as their price plummets and look for value as a fallen premium in BB's Best Buys later on in the season when their form takes a turn for the good.

But when we do have them it becomes a worry. 3 quiet games at any time during the season is frustrating but at the start of the season super coaches start to panic.

Obviously one of the golden rules of Supercoach is not to sideways trade your premiums, as most times they will come good, but there are exceptions for every rule, and if injuries have been kind (No GAJ, Rockliff, Sidebottom, Bartel, Wines) or you have been succesful in the past using an aggressive trade strategy you should defintely consider using an earlytrade to correct a mistake in your team.

The following are some of the most SC relevant underperforming” playersand the object of this blog is to discuss whether to hold and hope or to pull the lever and trade them out before your SC season follows them down the gurgler. Have your say either way. If someone is missing let us know and we can add them to the list (time permitting).

And if you do lean towards the TRADE out option then be sure to give BB's weekly Best Buys a solid review http://tooserious.net/Blog/tabid/90/Post/7547/Best-Buys-Carnage-Comes-Early



Defenders

Malceski - $499.2k - 79, 52, 52 (avg 61) - $67k price drop in Round 3, facing $57k, $38k, $24k if he hits his average

Optimistic View - smashes out 100's in Rounds 4 & 5 and bottoms out at $450k

Pessimistic View - smashes out” 65, 65, 65 and is sub $400k after Round 6

TTH Says - It has been observed that he is anchored in defence for the...
A couple of massive scores to a few of the more unique selections could see some massive scores this week!

Would love to hear your hits or misses!

Jed on the Bench? CEY, Miller or Cripps on the field? The forward line carnage of Bontempelli and Adams?
[span style='color: #292f33;]Round 3 Stats are up!
Oxley showing more great form falling just below the ton, will be handy as emergency cover if needed for my side congrats if you had him onfield.
Swanny doing his best flat track bully routine against the Sainters.
B Smith has made the final 22 and may be traded in by a fair few coaches
Those holding Gazza have decisions to make
Let us know how you are going through the round if you are feeling like some banter head over to the TS Chatroomhttp://tooserious.net/Chat.aspx
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Originally this blog entry was going to a continuation in the series of posts about the 5 O's of ORFFL. But then Sarah Island went and scored 1738 points on the weekend and it seemed a bit rude not to commemorate it. So in it's honour I've created the ORFFL Hall of Records down in the little used ORFFL forum, preserving the history of this competition's 3 and a bit years of history. And funnily enough every team managed to pick up at least some piece of silverware without me needing to include a coaches award.You can find it here.
HORNSY'S MOST WATCHABLE GAME OF THE ROUND BESIDES YOUR OWN




<p style='color: #424242; margin-bottom: 0px;][span style='letter-spacing: 0px;]Remember way back when in 2012 when Coulta made the finals? Kinda? Me too. Well, the Couldabeens have started off this season like it's 2012, undefeated and sitting in 3rd place. How is this so for a team that finished 3rd last in 2014? They drafted really well in the recent PSD, targeting midfielders and picking up Heeney and the discarded Mitch Wallis in the first 2 rounds to fill sorely hurting vacancies in the team. While in Savage and Burgoyne they have a hbf relishing St. Kilda's early draw and another seemingly able to reverse the ravages of time; improving year upon year at the Hawks.
<p style='color: #424242; margin-bottom: 0px;]
<p style='color: #424242; margin-bottom: 0px;][span style='letter-spacing: 0px;]Their opposition this week is the PBR, a team I had high hopes for in January but had soured considerably on by March. You can't reasonably replace a player of the calibre of Liberatore, and when the Rangers picked up Messers Melksham, Colyer and Paperone in the PSD to fill...
COLLINGWOOD v. ST KILDA

Recent game: Round 11 2014 Etihad Stadium – Collingwood 140 defeated St Kilda 54.

Pendlebury v. St. Kilda

Rd 11 2014: 113 SC points, 32 disposals
Rd 6 2013: 161 SC points, 28 disposals
Rd 19 2012: 126 SC points, 30 disposals
Rd 21 2011: 102 SC points, 26 disposals
Rd 11 2011: 149 SC points, 32 disposals
GF 2010: 123 SC points, 29 disposals

Average is 129 SC points with 30 disposals.

Note: Solid record against St Kilda with a huge score in 2013. In the game last year Pendlebury was tagged by Weller before he got subbed off in the first quarter with concussion. Jones then went to him. He was tagged by Jones in 2013 but still managed to pick up a massive 161 SC points. In 2012, he played head to head against Goddard.

Swan v. St. Kilda

Rd 6 2013: 118 SC points, 26 disposals
Rd 19 2012: 97 SC points, 31 disposals
Rd 21 2011: 156 SC points, 34 disposals
Rd 11 2011: 94 SC points, 19 disposals
GF 2010: 123 SC points, 26 disposals

Average is 118 SC points with 27 disposals.

Note: He was a late withdrawal from the game in Round 11 last year. Solid average against St Kilda. In 2013, he played against a combination of Montagna, Armitage and Steven. Scored 97 in 2012 playing head to head against Hayes. Was tagged by Jones when he scored his huge 156 in Round 21 2011.

CARLTON v. ESSENDON

Recent game: Round 23 2014 MCG – Carlton 90 drew with Essendon 90.

Watson v. Carlton

Rd 23 2014: 85 SC points, 21 disposals
Rd 3 2014: 101 SC points, 26 disposals
Rd 22 2013: 112 points, 27 disposals
Rd 11 2013: 79 points, 22 disposals
Rd 21 2012: 87 SC points, 29 disposals
Rd 4 2012: 104 SC points, 31 disposals
QF 2011: 67 SC points, 21 disposals
Rd 4 2011: 116 SC points, 30 disposals

Average is 94 SC points with 26 disposals.

Note: Poor record against Carlton. Most recently tagged by Carrazzo. No scores over 120. Poor score in Round 11 2013 when he was tagged by Cachia and a poor score when he was tagged by...
[span style='color: #333333; background: #fafafa;]UPDATED SUNDAY TEAMS BELOW

The all important round 3. Important to catch those all important rookies, or if your wife is looking to snag a weekly on the bye rounds.

*cough*

Teams as they come out.
Woah, Leuey dropped!
[span style='color: #333333; background-color: #fafafa;]Friday, April 17<br style='color: #333333; background-color: #fafafa;[/img]
[span style='color: #333333; background-color: #fafafa;]Collingwood v St Kilda, MCG, 7.50pm AEST<br style='color: #333333; background-color: #fafafa;[/img]
<br style='color: #333333; background-color: #fafafa;[/img]
[span style='color: #333333; background-color: #fafafa;]Collingwood<br style='color: #333333; background-color: #fafafa;[/img]
[span style='color: #333333; background-color: #fafafa;]In: S.Dwyer, C.Gault<br style='color: #333333; background-color: #fafafa;[/img]
[span style='color: #333333; background-color: #fafafa;]Out: A.Fasolo, B.Sinclair (hamstring)<br style='color: #333333; background-color: #fafafa;[/img]
<br style='color: #333333; background-color: #fafafa;[/img]
[span style='color: #333333; background-color: #fafafa;]St Kilda<br style='color: #333333; background-color: #fafafa;[/img]
[span style='color: #333333; background-color: #fafafa;]In: A.Schneider<br style='color: #333333; background-color: #fafafa;[/img]
[span style='color: #333333; background-color: #fafafa;]Out: T.Curren<br style='color: #333333; background-color: #fafafa;[/img]
<br style='color: #333333; background-color: #fafafa;[/img]
[span style='color: #333333; background-color: #fafafa;]Saturday, April 18<br style='color: #333333; background-color: #fafafa;[/img]
[span style='color: #333333; background-color: #fafafa;]Carlton v Essendon, MCG, 1.45pm AEST<br style='color: #333333; background-color: #fafafa;[/img]
<br style='color: #333333; background-color: #fafafa;[/img]
[span style='color: #333333; background-color: #fafafa;]Carlton<br style='color:...
Birdsville 1242 d Gariwerd 1128
Best: Birdsville - T McDonald 122, Rischitelli 120. Gariwerd - Fisher 121, B Smith 117 and a sore head.
The Skinny: The Battlers battle past last week's top scoring team thanks to a pretty even effort across the board, despite an injury to Daniel Wells. For Gariwerd, a number of midfielders with down weeks and a non-playing ruckman might be cause for concern, despite a strong defensive effort.

Foul Bay 1516 d Wagga Wagga 1424
Best: Foul Bay - Ziebell 150, 9 others 100+. Wagga - Shiel 149, Pittard 130.
The Skinny: Wow. Foul Bay go bang and get some vintage performances out of a number of players. One score below 70, only two below 80. Despite the loss, Wagga's 1400+ still something tosmile about, especially with a couple of down games from Thompson and Clark. Plenty to work with.

Marble Bar 1205 d Lovely Banks 1165
Best: Marble Bar - Dunstan 116, Ward 106. Lovely Banks - Caddy 132, Rosa 99.
The Skinny: The Misfits survive an Adam Tomlinson injury early and a Josh Caddy onslaught late on to record their first win. Young talent everywhere here, with Dunstan, Shenton, Devon Smith and a few others racking it up for Marble Bar, while Caddy, Saad, Rampe, Lang and others are starting to find their way for the Lilacs.

Nunawading 1136 d Cradle Mountain 1105
Best: Nunawading - JPK 130, Easton Wood 128. Cradle Mountain - Pendles 126, Heppell 107
The Skinny: Kudos to the Nuffas, who bounced back from last week's shocking injury blows to win narrowly over the Devils. Nic Nat enjoying life in Nunawading, Cam Ellis-Yolmen looks a real find. The Devils gained three centuries through the midfield but none elsewhere. Zorko and Petrie unable to do enough late to snatch the win.

Darraweit Guim 1324 d Waikikamoocow 1318
Best: Darraweit - Rance 156. Waikikamoocow - Fyfe 162.
The Skinny: Nat Fyfe's one man show set up a...
Welcome once again to the Best Buys.

As usual there is no Best Buy for the week, being the second round of the year, but I'm sure plenty of coaches out there will be active on the trade front. As I'm going to be very busy tomorrow the Best Buys is early this time around, so hopefully that gives you all some extra time to consider your correction trades a bit more. This week due to the ridiculous number of players with huge averages we've only included rookies averaging over 50 (except Sinclair, but he's pretty close), and others averaging over 110. That said it's still a massive edition clocking in at around 3,000 words, so make sure you grab a cuppa or a beer and settle in for a big read.




DEFENSE
ROOKIES





Kamdyn McIntosh (RIC) DEF 123.9k 94 +91k

After a huge opening round score McIntosh had a somewhat quieter second outing, but is still sitting on an average of 94. This makes him the best defensive rookie option, and with a price rise of over 90 grand on the way he should be an excellent earner for his coaches.



Adam Saad (GCS) D/M 102.4k 89 +90k

Saad has certainly been consistent in his opening 2 games at AFL level, scoring 89 and 90 points respectively and is now facing a price rise of 90 thousand dollars. With D/M positioning and lots of likely game-time he looks set to be one of the better rookies this season.



Adam Oxley (COL) DEF 123.9k 73 +64k
Oxley was fairly quiet in his first game, but bounced back in a big way in his second racking up 33 disposals on his way to a score of 116. Now sporting an average of 73 he looks set for a price rise of around 64 grand after his next game, and will be a likely trade target for a fair few SCers.



MID-PRICERS





Alex Rance (RIC) DEF 476.2k 134 3.7%

Rance belted out a huge 156 on the weekend in a losing side, bringing his average over the first 2 games to 134. Numbers like that are hard to argue with, and if he can keep his momentum going...
Straight to the point (or the points!) this week:
we scored 2,175 points,
we placed at 20,499 for the round,
we have a total score of 4,251,
and an overall rank of 12,430.



The team breakdown looked like this:
Defence
H Shaw 101
J Newnes 90
A Saad 90
K Kolodjashnij 80
K McIntosh 68
J Gibson 0
Midfield
J Kennedy 130
S Pendlebury 126 (V)
P Dangerfield 109
O Wines 105
C Ellis-Yolmen 98
A Vandenberg 75
D Beams 73 (C, 146)
I Heeney 65
Rucks
T Goldstein 154
N Naitanui 103
Forwards
M Bontempelli 142
D Martin 139
R Gray 114
C Salem 88
M Clark 32
J Bartel 0
Bench
N Brown 34 (E - replaced Gibson)
A Oxley 116 (@#$%)
T Miller 35
P Cripps 0
C Blakely 0
M Cox 0
J Hogan 86 (E - replaced Bartel)
T Lamb 0

As you can see there's a few misses there. Oxely's 134 points on the bench really hurts - but that's probably the same for many a coach. Taking the risk on Beams was a real let-down, which I probably have to take most of the credit (??? Blame ???) for. Had have we picked JPK or Pendles we would have been around 50 points infront. Thats a total of 130-odd points that hindsight says would have given us a score of approximately 2300. A score like that would have had us near the top 2,000 for the week (seriously better than the 20,000 we actually were).

Clearly there's some holes in our team. Blakely stands out as a big hole (or maybe its his coach, who is a hole&amp;rdquo;) - which will require a correction trade this week. We also have a few rookies who seem to be under-performing, and on the fringe in their AFL teams, which is never what you want. Then there's that premo Beams, who is doing anything but... (atleast he's not Ablett!)

Come and join us in the Donor Forum to discuss trades for the week, and to stop me from leaving the C&amp;rdquo; on Beams again!