TooSerious

For those who take it way too seriously

R15_table_initialteam.png
Back after a hiatus of almost a month which involved everything from being too busy at work, bad colds, malfunctioning computers and (ongoing) World Cup 'commitments' to looking for and buying a house. With most of that out of the way (hopefully), it is time to get back to the HindSight SuperCoach analysis.
The season has finally reached the point where the total number of trading spots (2-3 per round) exceeds to allowed total number of trades for the season (30). The final and very important piece of the SuperCoach strategy puzzle. Not surprisingly, the first trading spot to be left unused is in round 2 - we'll have to see how this evolves over the next weeks until the end of the season as the number of unused trading spots increases.
Round 15 season to date
Initial team selection
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Notable:
<ul>
<li>Malceski is in - first appearance in any line-up and staying in as well - consistency with big scores in rounds 11 and 15 are paying off.</li>
<li>Pendlebury, having made a number of appearances before, is also in and staying in - enough big scores to warrant the premium gun price tag. Ablett of course being the other premium gun who is in from the start and staying.</li>
</ul>
Trades
<p style='text-align: center;]/Portals/0/Users/230/78/2278/R15_table_trades.png


Notable:
12 out of 48 players (25%) involved in trades have been traded in and out (as opposed to just out or just in). Maybe a little peace of mind for those who have had to come back on a trade that paid off in the short run but not in the longer run? Guess catching purple patches is a skill (or just plain luck).
Current team selection
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Number of players by team per round
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This week the Best Buys comes to you from Northern Queensland, where even while on holiday we still endeavor to bring you the best value options in SuperCoach for the rest of the season ahead. This week see's, hopefully, some rookie options finally reaching the bubble to give us some downgrade options as we try to finish upgrading our sides and start to look to finals.

Buddy has made it as the Best Buy for the round, after finding some excellent form of late and leading the Swans to some solid wins. At first glance he doesn't seem great value, and comes with some decent risk, but his form lately has put him in good stead to finish off the year with a healthy average for the remaining games and maybe even lead the forwards on the run home. The Swans will be firing on all cylinders to try and lock away a top 4 spot, and the Big Bud will likely be leading the charge.
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As mentioned in the intro I am technically on holiday, so you'll have to forgive me if I've missed some things or made any mistakes along the way.


DEFENSE
ROOKIES





Zak Jones (SYD) DEF 147.3k 57 +36k

Jones, the younger, has performed pretty well in his first 2 games at the highest level, averaging 57 over the 2 and now facing a price rise of around 35 grand after his next game. Costing a touch under 150 grand Jones looks solid value as long as he can keep getting games, and is the first proper rookie option in defense in a decent while now.

PREMIUMS





Nick Malceski (SYD) DEF 557.6k 105

Malceski has continued on with his recent great form, now averaging 105 for the season and looking a real chance to finish the year ahead of McVeigh on averages. Sitting in around 17,000 sides so far and costing just under 560 grand means he has a bit of POD value, but is a bit expensive going by season's average alone.



Pearce Hanley (BRI) D/M 510.6k 96

Hanley dominated on the weekend, pumping out a 160 against the Roo's to bring his price...
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The ORFFL Round 12 Review is brought to you by Kel



<strong style='line-height: 18px; background-color: #ffffff; font-variant: normal; font-style: normal; font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: 14px;]<img alt='' style='width: 209px; height: 228px; font-size: 14px;' src='http://tooserious.net/Portals/0/User%20Images/ORFFL/MBD.jpg[/img] vs[/b]<img alt='' style='line-height: 1.3; font-variant: normal; font-style: normal; font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: 14px;' src='http://tooserious.net/Portals/0/User%20Images/ORFFL/WOY.jpg[/img]



<strong style='font-size: 14px;]Mount Buggery Disappointments 1324 defeated Woy Woy Wizards 1238[/b]
A dominant midfield performance was enough to get MBD across the line in a key battle against the Wizards. Sidebottom saved the best until last on Sunday night smashing out a 178. Plenty of support provided by Ward 110, Rocky 126 and Wines 106. For Woy Woy, an even team performance was highlighted by Jamar with 131, K Cornes 104 and Hodge 114.
It doesn't get any easier next week for Woy Woy up against the Savages. Now a game out of the eight this is shaping as a season defining game. MBD travel to Poowong to take on the Potoroos in a second v third battle that is likely to shape the ladder at the all important pointy end.



<img alt='' style='line-height: 1.3; background-color: #ffffff; font-variant: normal; font-style: normal; width: 209px; font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; height: 228px; font-size: 14px;' src='http://tooserious.net/Portals/0/User%20Images/ORFFL/TLP.png[/img] vs <img alt='' style='line-height: 1.3; font-variant: normal; font-style: normal; font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: 14px;' src='http://tooserious.net/Portals/0/User%20Images/ORFFL/SAR.jpg[/img]

Tarwin Lower Pigs 1101<strong style='font-size: 14px;]lost to Sarah Island Savages 1310[/b]
The top of the table Savages did enough to take the 4 points...
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[​IMG]
A couple of notable wins for teams lower on the ladder which have broken long losing streaks were among the highlights of Round 12 action in the ORFFA.

Powlett Plains 1054 d Marble Bar 1053
Andrew Carrazzo and Luke Ball have clinched a memorable win for a 13-man Packers' outfit, doing just enough to see them scrape home by the thinnest of margins over Marble Bar.
The win breaks a long losing streak for the Packers, and is notable given the team was down two players due to injuries and other absences.
Youngster James Aish was the star, top-scoring for the Packers with 120 points and continuing to underline his potential. Aish was the only Packer to break 100, however 10 others scored 70 or more - led by Blicavs (94), Miles (92) and Ball (86).
Starting the last game 150 points behind, Ball and Carrazzo (65) did just enough to get the Packers home.
For Marble Bar, Ryder (114), Smith (111) and (as always) Ward (110) put in great efforts. But a few too many low scores, as well as a late game injury to defender Dean Terlich (22) proved costly.

Gundagai 1194 d Nunawading 1164
Nuffers coach Andy's pre-match concerns were justified, with his Nunawading team unable to stave off the Grasshoppers on the weekend.
The win - Gundagai's first for the year - came on the back of a very consistent team effort led by young ruckman Jarrod Witts (135).
Witts and the erstwhile Rockliff (126) set the tone for the Hoppers, who also got 120 points from young Lewis Taylor and useful contributions from Curnow, Stringer, Neale and Dwyer.
For Nunawading, Josh Kennedy ran rampant through the midfield for 130 points, while Charlie Dixon (114) and Jaeger O'Meara (112) contributed well in trying conditions. Matthew Broadbent scored 101.
However a late game shocker from Dale Thomas (40) provided Gundagai with the breathing space it needed for the win.

Charlie's Opening 1437 d Lovely Banks 1290
In a high-scoring, free flowing game, Charlie's Opening...
Some big scores this week from around the grounds, not from me however, not with Hooker and JJK and Macrae and Libba doing work!
Still, Pearce Hanley put a prety big smile on my face.
How has your weekend treated you?

<strong style='font-size: 14px;]The Draw[/b]
The initial draw is archived here:- http://tooserious.net/Blog/tabid/90/Post/6640/2014-TS-Knockout-Competitions-Entry
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Grand Final Review

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<col width='79' style='width: 59pt;[/img]<col width='103' style='width: 77pt;[/img]<col width='103' style='width: 77pt;[/img]<col width='28' style='width: 21pt;[/img]<col width='103' style='width: 77pt;[/img]<col width='103' style='width: 77pt;[/img]</colgroup>
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<td class='xl79' style='text-align: left; background-color: transparent; width: 59pt; height: 30pt;border: #f0f0f0;]Match 255
<td class='xl77' style='text-align: left; background-color: transparent; width: 77pt;border: #f0f0f0;]THE MEGREMS
<td class='xl78' style='text-align: left; background-color: transparent; width: 77pt;border: #f0f0f0;]PHIL #155
<td class='xl78' style='text-align: left; background-color: transparent; width: 21pt;border: #f0f0f0;]vs
<td align='left' valign='top' style='text-align: left; background-color: transparent; width: 77pt;border: #f0f0f0;]<x:ClientData ObjectType='Pict]<x:SizeWithCells></x:SizeWithCells><x:CF>roo majak</x:CF></x:ClientData>
<td class='xl78' style='text-align: left; background-color: transparent; width: 77pt;border: #f0f0f0;]rooboy18 #124






RooMajak went in as underdogs but the match was in the balance on Saturday evening due to an astute trade of Shenton to Stevie J by Rooboy18 and a superb 113pts by Matthew...
Last round will be remembered for the exceptional performances of the Gold Coast Suns and GWS. Upsetting Geelong and Carlton respectively, the two newest clubs of the AFL are delivering on their potential. From a SC perspective, Harley Bennell topped the charts after 6 goals while everyone's favourite Demon, Bernard Vince, and Gary Ablett rounded out the top 3.
We are starting to get to a point in the season where plenty of coaches are running out of trades, have nearly completed their teams and are holding off on trades for the time being. It's time for most people to focus on making the top 8 or top 4 in their leagues. It's a season where consistent scorers have been hard to find, which is the focus on this week's Podfather.
Some good options to consider this week to squeeze your way to a double chance in your league, or up the rankings if that's your aim.
Michael Barlow (Frem) - Mid - $529,100 - 106.22 - 3.09%
Barlow has now dropped by over $60,000 this season while averaging a very healthy 106.22. At times, he cops a bit of attention from the opposition however it is his running ability that helps him breaks the occasional tag and help out in all areas onfield. Having missed a month earlier in the season, he needs to keep playing to ensure he's fit and firing for finals. He has pushed forward more this season averaging a goal a game to go along with his token 25-30 disposals and 4 tackles. Barlow's lowest score this season is 82, dropping below 90 on just one other occasion. It is extremely difficult to get your midfield full of the top players, so consistency is what you need to focus on for your final midfield spots. Very reliable and cheaper than his fellow Fremantle premiums.

Bachar Houli (Rich) - Def - $453,700 - 86.08 - 1.67%
After a slow start to the season, Houli has finally found some solid, consistent form. Since the bye, he has averaged 91.67 with a lowest score of 80 and the highest being 108. He has...
Trades are in and I'm getting ready to pop the top on a nice bottle of sauv blanc.

Watch out though, word is that Tom Langdon is a good chance to be a late out this week.
<p style='margin-bottom: 0cm; background: #fcfcfc;] GEELONG v. ESSENDON
<p style='margin-bottom: 0cm; background: #fcfcfc;]
<p style='margin-bottom: 0cm; background: #fcfcfc;] Recent game - Round 7 2013: At Etihad Stadium, Geelong had a comfortable 28 point victory scoring 113 to 85. Steve Johnson (36 touches) and Watson (30 touches) both scored 123 SC points playing head to head against each other. Stokes was next best with 119 SC points. Bartel was tagged by Kommer and scored 102 SC points. Selwood scored 100 SC points tagged by Hocking.
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<p style='margin-bottom: 0cm; background: #fcfcfc;] Selwood v. Essendon
<p style='margin-bottom: 0cm; background: #fcfcfc;]
<p style='margin-bottom: 0cm; background: #fcfcfc;] Rd 7 2013: 100 SC points, 19 disposals
<p style='margin-bottom: 0cm; background: #fcfcfc;] Rd 17 2012: 83 SC points, 19 disposals
<p style='margin-bottom: 0cm; background: #fcfcfc;] Rd 12 2010: 91 SC points, 24 disposals
<p style='margin-bottom: 0cm; background: #fcfcfc;] Rd 1 2010: 131 SC points, 23 disposals
<p style='margin-bottom: 0cm; background: #fcfcfc;] Rd 10 2009: 136 SC points, 37 disposals
<p style='margin-bottom: 0cm; background: #fcfcfc;] Rd 2 2008: 111 SC points, 26 disposals
<p style='margin-bottom: 0cm; background: #fcfcfc;] Rd 14 2007: 123 SC points, 26 disposals
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<p style='margin-bottom: 0cm; background: #fcfcfc;] Average is 111 SC points with 25 disposals.
<p style='margin-bottom: 0cm; background: #fcfcfc;]
<p style='margin-bottom: 0cm; background: #fcfcfc;] Note: Solid record against Essendon but not big scores for the past few years. Most recently tagged by Hocking.
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<p style='margin-bottom: 0cm; background: #fcfcfc;] HAWTHORN v. GOLD COAST
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<p style='margin-bottom: 0cm; background: #fcfcfc;] Recent game -...