NRL tips are out (http://www.tipbetpro.com/#!current-round/kzu9o) – hope you guys have been reading these (nearly 40% returns now year to date!), as is our 3rd test write-up for the England v Sri Lanka series (http://www.tipbetpro.com/#!tips-and-bets/zxtux).
So as I stated in the pre-text, I’m going to try and take the byes into account, which for this week means I’m going to name a BoTW who plays in the first 2 rounds – I’m not sure if this is a great strategy, but why not? (Seriously though, feel free to give us your thoughts on a good bye-round strategy.)
This week we picking a mid, a mid who has a bye in round 15.
Well just like previous seasons this mid has had a rocky start to the year. He doesn’t currently have the best average, and yep he is a bit of a risk. In fact you probably even had him, and have since dropped him for obvious reasons. But 3rd times a charm – seriously, in previous seasons this player gets better the 3rd time he makes his way back into the team. He showed us last week why you want him and only (another) injury will stop him now. I am of course talking about the mid you hate yourself for picking – Rockliff.
Cheaper than most mids at $500k, he is more than capable of producing regular 120+ scores… Yes he is also more than capable of getting injured, but as I earlier eluded too, he has previously missed less games when he comes back the 3rd time. He also has a relatively easy fixture this week (Freo) and his price could easily go up $50k+ in the next 2 rounds. So if you need a mid, have limited cash and kind of need to take a bit of a risk to get back in the game – get on this week’s Buy of the Week – Tommy Rockliff.
Again, the format below is:
POSITION Name (CLUB) – current price (expected increase) – AVERAGE
DEFENDERS
Rookies:
DEF Samuel Collins (FRE) - 117k (+56k) - AVG=80 (great start and looks a lock to retain spot with no Johnson and Pearce)
DEF Harry Marsh (SYD) - 117k (+23k) - AVG=46 (Ted Richards will miss another week but after that job security is uncertain)
M/D Thomas Cole (WCE) - 117k (+21k) - AVG=45 (Likely to lose spot this week with McGovern fit)
DEF Thomas Lee (STK) - 124k (+42k) - AVG=67 (He should come in this week with Fisher, Dempster and Goddard all injured)
Keepers:
DEF Josh Gibson (HAW) - 478k (+12k) - AVG=100
M/D Jimmy Bartel (GEE) - 506k (+5k) - AVG=96
DEF Matthew Boyd (WBD) - 547k (-4k) - AVG=103
DEF Heath Shaw (GWS) - 665k (-26k) - AVG=117 (Shaw is a sure thing)
Midfielders
Rookies:
MID Matthew Goodyear (COL) - 124k (+1k) - AVG=26 (Don’t know if I’d be investing at that average!)
Keepers: (There are lots of good mids – this list is not exhaustive, and yes guys like Gray, Priddis and Steven can all be considered if you wish)
MID Tom Rockliff (BRL) - 500k (+14k) - AVG=97 (Buy of the Week)
MID Joel Selwood (GEE) - 515k (+11k) - AVG=109 (Another option in you don’t have $600k to spend)
MID Tom Mitchell (SYD) - 538k (+32k) - AVG=109 (we added him to the list last week and he didn’t disappoint)
MID Edward CURNOW (CAR) - 538k (+17k) - AVG=105 (last week’s score and that 3 game average were enough to get him on the list – but he isn’t a dead-set gun like others on the list, could be a POD if you need to gamble)
MID Callan Ward (GWS) - 542k (-5k) - AVG=112
MID Gary Ablett (GCS) - 559k (+15k) - AVG=115 (Ablett is looking very good again)
MID Trent Cotchin (RIC) - 578k (+1k) - AVG=111
MID Josh P. Kennedy (SYD) - 599k (+4k) - AVG=110
MID Patrick Dangerfield (GEE) - 604k (+5k) - AVG=125 (If you don’t have him, his price is low by his standards)
MID Daniel Hannebery (SYD) - 612k (-3k) - AVG=120
MID Lachie Neale (FRE) - 625k (-1k) - AVG=117
MID Scott Pendlebury (COL) - 653k (-10k) - AVG=120 (a gun, but his price should come down)
Rucks
Rookies:
R/F Majak DAW (NTH) - 244k (+43k) - AVG=92 (Don’t get seduced by average – likely to lose spot with Goldy due to return)
Keepers:
RUC Max GAWN (MEL) - 550k (+6k) - AVG=117
RUC Nic Naitanui (WCE) - 569k (-3k) - AVG=114 (May be injured – so look at Gawn or Goldy)
RUC Todd Goldstein (NTH) - 595k (+15k) - AVG=118 (assuming he is named of course)
Forwards
Rookies:
FWD Brodie Murdoch (STK) - 218k (-4k) - AVG=40 (May pay the price for a poor performance against the Crows)
Keepers:
FWD Brent Harvey (NTH) - 453k (-2k) - AVG=93 (Boomer is booming once more)
FWD Josh JENKINS (ADE) - 463k (+31k) - AVG=94
M/F Daniel Wells (NTH) - 463k (+22k) - AVG=102 (Wells is well priced)
M/F Zac Merrett (ESS) - 510k (0k) - AVG=104 (Merrett still has merit)
M/F Dayne Zorko (BRL) - 577k (-6k) - AVG=116
Still a week away:
M/D Jesse Joyce (GCS) - 102k - AVG=28
DEF Logan Austin (PTA) - 124k - AVG=66
MID Kade Stewart (HAW) - 102k - AVG=90 (A great first game – but wait and see if he keeps his spot)
MID Jarrad Jansen (BRL) - 124k - AVG=98 (Another great first game – but in his case, lets see if he can back it up)
MID Jack TRENGOVE (MEL) - 157k - AVG=60 (Could be a great pick up in a week – or even now?)
MID Luke PARKER (SYD) - 514k - AVG=112
FWD Michael Apeness (FRE) - 124k - AVG=23
FWD James Rose (SYD) - 155k - AVG=73
FWD Will Hams (ESS) - 158k - AVG=54
FWD Jarrad Waite (NTH) - 424k - AVG=101 (Wait on Waite - but if he returns to his early form you will want him)
M/F Aaron Hall (GCS) - 431k - AVG=97 (may come down a bit, but you could buy this week)
M/F Luke DAHLHAUS (WBD) - 519k - AVG=105 (again, may come down a bit, but you could buy this week)
So that’s Best Buys for this week.
Good luck to all with your trades and hopefully some wins on the weekend. For all your trade discussion feel free to join us in the comments section below.
Cheers
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Best Buys - Round 12
Discussion in 'Blog' started by tipbetpro, Jun 8, 2016.
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Discussion in 'Blog' started by tipbetpro, Jun 8, 2016.