20 Consecutive Days of Footy (aka Rounds 9-12)

Discussion in 'Blog' started by TheTassieHawk, Jul 31, 2020.

By TheTassieHawk on Jul 31, 2020 at 8:34 AM
  1. TheTassieHawk

    TheTassieHawk SC fanatic Staff Member

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    We are underway in what has been dubbed By some as the Festival of Footy.

    Post below with your thoughts and questions as we deal with the challenges and opportunities through the initial 4 rounds of the compressed fixture.
     

Comments

Discussion in 'Blog' started by TheTassieHawk, Jul 31, 2020.

    1. Penske file
      Penske file
      the way thee Pies are falling I'd say Ruscoe seems fairly secure
      • Like Like x 1
    2. walesy
      walesy
      Rollover is underway
      • Like Like x 2
    3. walesy
      walesy
      And, done.
      • Like Like x 5
    4. ike2112
      ike2112
      Is it better to go for 2 of Lloyd and Petracca and empty all cash reserves given their high ceilings... or go for Haynes (or even Luke McDonald?!) and Whitfield leaving almost $160k to help get another premo soon?
      Or even a mix - I could afford Haynes and Oliver.
      I'm never sure if you should always just get the highest scorer that you can, or if taking the lower scorer but whose value opens up a quicker upgrade somewhere else is better.

      My thinking currently is to just take a huge gamble on the Giants almost winning out. Yes GWS have to travel but they also have easiest run-in schedule.
      Out: S.Hill, Pickett, Georgiades
      In: Haynes, Wicks, Whitfield.
      Two Giants in this week, then next week trade Devon Smith via DPP to Coniglio ( I probably can't afford Fyfe or better).
      It'd get me as close to full premo asap as I'm perhaps gonna get.
      The alternative is probably Haynes and Oliver, then desperately try and scramble enough $ over next 2-3 rounds to get Whitfield, Petracca or another top FWD.

      Also rookie chat:
      Wicks or Bytel? Wicks is named, but Swans just seem to have a conveyorbelt of reasonable youngsters who look good enough to play for purpose of getting games into, he could easily be out for Taylor again next round.
      Bytel plays closer to the action as a genuine mid, but really he was covering for Zac Jones who will be back and relied upon rest of the year for Saints; yeah Gresham is hurt, but Lonie, Langlands or Byrnes perhaps more likely to earn that spot primarily in the forward line.
      I presume these are the two clear rookie options; Woodcock seems a trap.
      Last edited: Aug 13, 2020
    5. anthak
      anthak
      sorry this is a bit late, but if you get the chance to get players like Lloyd and Petracca, yes its usually worth using up your cash reserves to do so.
    6. NedFlanders
      NedFlanders
      @ike:
      Similar to Ant, I say if you can get to a full-on premo then I would go that way. Petracca at under $620 is still reachable. Not having these guys (and there are probably no more 5 or 6 across the whole competition) could punish you enormously.
      I sincerely hope you didn't go for the "all eggs in the GWS basket" - that's a pretty stinky basket. I have 3x Giants and it is not a calming experience.
      Hopefully, fixture announcements today will give you a better sense of the pinch points in your squad for the future bye weeks, and that will help you build a better mental picture of how to navigate the next block of rounds. You may find you are better set up for "best 18" for some rounds than for others. I am not locking onto my final upgrade targets, or if I decide to go through 1 or 2 premos short, until I know a little more.
      Sorry if the horse has already bolted!
      • Like Like x 2
    7. TheTassieHawk
      TheTassieHawk
      I have seen a tweet that reckons the byes are 2-6-2 over rounds 14-16.

      Crows and Lions round 14, Pies and Tigers round 16 and the others round 15.
      • Like Like x 1
    8. TheTassieHawk
      TheTassieHawk
      https://www.afl.com.au/news/485426/...ees-game-inked-in-as-afl-unveils-rounds-14-18

      ROUND 14
      Thursday August 27
      Hawthorn vs Essendon, Adelaide Oval - 4:40pm
      Richmond vs West Coast Eagles, Metricon Stadium - 7:10pm

      Friday August 28
      Western Bulldogs vs Geelong Cats, Metricon Stadium - 7:50pm

      Saturday August 29
      Port Adelaide vs Sydney Swans, Adelaide Oval - 1:45pm
      Fremantle vs GWS Giants, Optus Stadium - 4:35pm
      Melbourne vs St Kilda, TIO Traeger Park - 7:40pm

      Sunday August 30
      Carlton vs Collingwood, Gabba - 3:35pm
      Gold Coast Suns vs North Melbourne, Metricon Stadium - 6:10pm

      Byes - Adelaide Crows, Brisbane Lions

      ROUND 15
      Tuesday September 1
      Hawthorn vs Adelaide Crows, Adelaide Oval - 5:40pm
      West Coast Eagles vs Essendon, Gabba - 8:10pm

      Wednesday September 2
      Richmond vs Fremantle, Metricon Stadium - 7:10pm

      Thursday September 3
      Sydney Swans vs Melbourne, Cazalys Stadium - 4:40pm
      GWS Giants vs Carlton, Metricon Stadium - 7:10pm

      Friday September 4
      Brisbane Lions vs Collingwood, Gabba - 7:50pm

      Byes - Geelong Cats, Gold Coast Suns, North Melbourne, Port Adelaide, St Kilda, Western Bulldogs

      ROUND 16
      Saturday September 5
      North Melbourne vs Port Adelaide, Metricon Stadium - 7:40pm

      Sunday September 6
      St Kilda vs Hawthorn, Metricon Stadium - 1:05pm
      Geelong Cats vs Essendon, Gabba - 3:35pm
      Western Bulldogs vs West Coast Eagles, Metricon Stadium - 6:10pm

      Monday September 7
      Melbourne vs Fremantle, Cazalys Stadium - 7:10pm

      Tuesday September 8
      Adelaide Crows vs GWS Giants, Adelaide Oval - 5:40pm
      Carlton vs Sydney Swans, Metricon Stadium - 8:10pm

      Wednesday September 9
      Brisbane Lions vs Gold Coast Suns, Gabba - 7:10pm

      Byes - Collingwood, Richmond

      ROUND 17
      Thursday September 10
      St Kilda vs West Coast Eagles, Gabba - 7:10pm

      Friday September 11
      Geelong Cats vs Richmond, Metricon Stadium - 7:50pm

      Saturday September 12
      North Melbourne vs Fremantle, Metricon Stadium - 1:45pm
      Port Adelaide vs Essendon, Adelaide Oval - 4:35pm
      GWS Giants vs Melbourne, Gabba - 7:40pm

      Sunday September 13
      Carlton vs Adelaide Crows, Metricon Stadium - 1:05pm
      Hawthorn vs Western Bulldogs, Adelaide Oval - 3:35pm
      Sydney Swans vs Brisbane Lions, Cazalys Stadium - 6:10pm

      Monday September 14
      Collingwood vs Gold Coast Suns, Gabba - 7:10pm

      ROUND 18 - Venues, dates and times TBD
      North Melbourne vs West Coast Eagles
      St Kilda vs GWS Giants
      Essendon vs Melbourne

      Sydney Swans vs Geelong Cats
      Adelaide Crows vs Richmond
      Fremantle vs Western Bulldogs
      Brisbane Lions vs Carlton

      Collingwood vs Port Adelaide
      Hawthorn vs Gold Coast Suns
    9. Royboy Forever
      Royboy Forever
      Round 15 will sort the men out from the boys. I can see already that I need to do some careful preparation to get though that round. If they had done a 3-4-3 it might have made it easier
    10. TheTassieHawk
      TheTassieHawk
      three extra trades will be added to the season total (total 37)

      Here’s how the rest of the season will play out in KFC SuperCoach:

      R12 — normal week: best 22, max 3 trades
      R13
      — normal week: best 22, max 2 trades

      R14 — bye round: ADELAIDE, BRISBANE, best 18, max 3 trades + H2H finals week 1
      R15 — bye round: 6 TEAMS, best 18, max 3 trades + H2H week off
      R16 — bye round: COLLINGWOOD, RICHMOND, best 18, max 3 trades + H2H finals week 2

      R17 — normal week: best 22, max 2 trades + H2H finals week 3
      R18 — normal week: best 22, max 2 trades + H2H Grand Final
      • Like Like x 3
    11. Penske file
      Penske file
      Now given 3 extra trades (37), another $1m would be nice.
    12. Moggies
      Moggies
      Does anyone know what time we might get updated stats to end R12?
    13. walesy
      walesy
      Stats are on their way right now :)
      • Like Like x 5
    14. walesy
      walesy
      ok, rollover is complete.
      • Like Like x 6
    15. port_leschenault
      port_leschenault
      upload_2020-8-18_12-35-33.png

      "Days"? I think I remember what that word means :eek:
      • Like Like x 4
    16. Moggies
      Moggies
      Thanks walesy! Not sure if something weird is happening with filters but can't find the eagles rookie Nic Reid in stats?
      • Like Like x 1
    17. ike2112
      ike2112
      Getting to full-on premo, as in getting the best players for D1 / M2 etc, for me means not getting to full premo at all as I'd likely finish with likes of Cerra and Day at D5 & D6 as I don't have the cash reserves to improve that much - too many poor decisions. Rankine at F6 too - though if we're expecting lots more 'best 18' weeks I think this is not terrible as Cerra and Rankine are capable of 100+ and if they have a really bad day, they just won't count.
      I figure too, there's only like 2 rounds left until fantasy finals I think? So getting 4 positions upgraded in that time is probably unrealistic, so have to just ensure the highest scorers are in, especially if they've had their bye.

      So I decided to go for the best premo I could, which was Oliver.
      That didn't leave me enough in reserve to get Lloyd though. I was leaning towards Luke McDonald as I've seen a couple recent Roos games and he's suddenly getting a ton of it... but I took what was in theory the 'safer' option of Haynes. He ended up scoring less than Hill, who I'd traded out for him.
      Wish I'd just done Lloyd & Petracca in hindsight, and tried to scramble to get to Oliver or Fyfe in 2wk time, but I was trying to follow that same principle of getting the best available.

      This all said, I now have the same issue many others do with Sicily and Gawn... Sicily to Lloyd seems obvious, I need a bit of cash to afford it, and going to NicNat or Goldy gets me there.
      Last edited: Aug 18, 2020
      • Like Like x 1
    18. NedFlanders
      NedFlanders
      OK, so maybe I should clarify. (Too late, I know!)

      In my brain, "full on premo" is a guy you would captain, without hesitation. (Neale, Macrae, Gawn when fit, Petracca depending on match-up, but not many others?). I don't put Lloyd in that bucket - maybe that's just me. Oliver is probably borderline.

      If not going for overall, your point re- best 18 is well made and I agree with your short-term objective. It obviously depends on your exposure to the byes, but you can afford to be carrying a couple of cheapies/non-performers in those weeks. Of course it won't help you for the H2H grand final week.

      Petracca was probably better value than Oliver, but I don't think you have done a lot of damage with the choice you made last week. And the Sicily/Gawn thing is just unavoidable now. There will be more carnage to come - my bunions tell me that we're all going to burn through any emergency trades we think we have pocketed. H2H Grand Finals may prove to survival of the fittest/fortunate.
      • Like Like x 1

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