2015 Crafty's AFL Punt

Discussion in 'AFL' started by Crafty Yarni, Apr 2, 2015.

  1. Crafty Yarni

    Crafty Yarni Active Member

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    good evening all,

    just got home from the tab after placing my footy quad and the bet is below.

    round 11 / bet 2: footy quad

    fremantle 37+ vs gold coast
    wce 37+ vs Essendon
    sydey 1+
    Collingwood 1-60

    bet:$100
    stake 17.85%

    time to focus on supercoach line up and see if I can sneak a bet on tonights game.

    good luck all

     
  2. Crafty Yarni

    Crafty Yarni Active Member

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    round 11 / bet 3: port Adelaide -12.5

    bet: $80
    odds: $1.92

    round 11 / bet 4: port Adelaide 1-39

    bet: $80
    odds: $2.15

    bet placed Friday 7:17pm
     
  3. Crafty Yarni

    Crafty Yarni Active Member

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    round 11 / bet 5: port +11.5

    bet: $150
    odds: 1.88

    live bet placed at 3/4 time
     
  4. Crafty Yarni

    Crafty Yarni Active Member

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    round 11 / bet 6: fremantle line bet -45.5

    bet: $110
    odds: 1.92

    placed sat noon
     
  5. Crafty Yarni

    Crafty Yarni Active Member

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    Just got home and need to update you all, with my shenanigans today.

    sorry I couldn't post these earlier. my excuses are many and varied.

    well done to those of you who punted well today.

    my bets that I had for the day are below:


    round 11 / bet 10

    Win
    13/06/15
    17:15  West Coast v Essendon
    Total Game Points - Over/Under
    Under (155.5) @ 1.85 13/06/15 1.85 $200.00 $370.00 


    round 11 / bet 9

    Win
    13/06/15
    15:59  West Coast v Essendon
    Half Time Line
    West Coast (-18.5) @ 1.90 13/06/15 1.90 $150.00 $285.00 


    round 11 / bet 8

    Lose
    13/06/15
    15:59  West Coast v Essendon
    Quarter Time Line
    West Coast (-9.5) @ 1.90 13/06/15 1.90 $150.00 $0.00 


    round 11 / bet 7

    Win
    13/06/15
    15:42  Gold Coast v Fremantle
    Line
    Gold Coast (+17.5) @ 1.88 13/06/15 1.88 $150.00 $282.00 



    round 11 / bet 6

    Lose
    13/06/15
    11:59  Gold Coast v Fremantle
    Line
    Fremantle (-45.5) @ 1.92 13/06/15 1.92 $110.00 $0.00 
     
  6. Crafty Yarni

    Crafty Yarni Active Member

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    before my busy day tomorrow, I thought i'd post a couple of bets tonight.

    round 11 / bet 11

    Pending
    13/06/15
    23:12 ? Collingwood v Greater Western Sydney
    Head to Head
    Collingwood @ 1.65 ? 13h 56m 1.65 $100.00 - ?

    round 11 / bet 12

    Pending
    13/06/15
    23:12 ? Collingwood v Greater Western Sydney
    Margin (Big Win, Little Win)
    Collingwood 1-39 @ 2.30 13h 56m 2.30 $100.00 - ?


    ?Cash Out Available

    Don't think your bet is going to win? Cash Out of your bet early ?
     
  7. Crafty Yarni

    Crafty Yarni Active Member

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    just got home after shooting 1 over in the hidden valley open and placing 3rd. lost by 2 shots for those that are interested.

    I placed a bet on the saints game which I wasn't able to post while on the course. that bet is below.

    if I get a chance I will post the round summary tonight. worst case, it will be done tomorrow night.

    btw, what a thrilling last quarter in the saints/demons game. MONTAGNA!!


    ROUND 11 / BET 13

    Win
    14/06/15
    16:08 ? St Kilda v Melbourne
    Margin (Big Win, Little Win)
    St Kilda 1-39 @ 2.25 14/06/15 2.25 $70.00 $157.50
     
  8. Crafty Yarni

    Crafty Yarni Active Member

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    Round 11 Summary.

    Well didn't the shit hit the fan on Friday night!

    I was one of the gullable tipsters / punters out there that thought Port had got their mojo back. Surely, like a repeat offender in supercoach (eg Stanton), we surely now have to second guess which Port team will turn up on the day.

    The Friday night debacle set me back $500. Had Port won, the 6 leg multi hits and you would be reading a different script.

    Fremantle didn't do themselves any favours aswell as they played lack lustre football to just get over the line against a captainless Gold Coast. Where's Gary?

    There goes another footy quad. Bye bye $100. That's four weeks in a row now I have missed the quad by one leg. Do you know what the quad paid? I'll tell you....$30,000 !!!!!. Yep, Fuck me.

    The original $110 I lost on Freo was recovered with a live bet and a $20 profit was made on the game ( not including footy quad loss).

    The West Coast vs Essendon game also received my close attention. There was $500 punted here of which $300 was prior to the game. As the Bombers were limiting the Eagles, the first quarter bet I had lost. Luckily enough, the Eagles kicked the last three goals in the second quarter and I only lost $15 for those two bets. the money on this game was made on a live total game points bet. The $200 bet won and a profit of $155 was made here.

    I skipped betting on the Swans game as my attention was required elsewhere. As stated in my post, Round 11 selections, the Swans at the line would of been a very good bet to place (hindsight, I know).

    Collingwood, my second favourite team at the minute, keep on producing. Another win and one step closer to locking down a top 4 spot. I had two pre game bets here and I had no idea what was happened until I looked at the final score. $200 in and $165 out. Collingwood win by less than 40 points and I would have profited here also.

    The last bet I had was $70 on the Saints. I was very close in putting a larger bet on this game to try and break square for the week but then thought, there is over half a season left to bet.

    A thrilling finish to the game and I'd like to thank Montagna in winning me some cash with 18 seconds to go.

    I need to add that the $220 bet on the 6 leg multi wasn't a complete loss. Under a current promotion with Sportsbet, any 5 leg multi or more that fails by one leg, a refunded of $100 is returned to my account.

    So that was my week, it wasn't profitable, but I was happy with the results after the Friday debacle.

    The numbers are below:

    Bets: 13 ...Won (5) Lost (8)

    Profit/Loss for round: Loss ( $300.50)

    Round Turnover: $1,660


    Year to Date Figures:

    Bets: 146 - Won (40) Lost (106)

    Profit/Loss for year: Loss ($3,498.79)

    Total turnover: $10,448

     
  9. Crafty Yarni

    Crafty Yarni Active Member

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    Round 12 selections:

    Who's idea was it to play Thursday night football? Stupid Idea !

    Anyway, let's see if I can pick a winner.

    It starts off tonight with Adelaide $3.05 vs Hawthorn $1.40. Line is 18.5. Both teams are freshened by their bye and let's see if the Hawks can make it three in a row. Hawthorn has won the last 4 encounters which includes a win at Adelaide oval by 12 points last start. Punting wise, I believe Hawthorn will win. My thoughts are the 1-39 margin

    Friday night its at the 'MCG' where Richmond $1.78 play West coast $2.10. Line is 3.5. The Tigers have won their last two outings against the Eagles, both of which were at Patterson Stadium. The last time at the MCG the Tigers triumphed by 49 points back in 2010. Punting wise Richmond will win their 5th game in a row. I like Richmond 1-39 @ $2.30 and the -15.5 where they are $2.60

    Saturday commences with Carlton $3.40 vs Port Adelaide $1.32. Line is 21.5. I don't know why, but I can sniff an upset here. Sure Carlton are playing like retards but Port aren't setting the footy world on fire also. Port have won the last two against the Blues which includes a win at Etihad by 33 points last year. Hard one for me to pick but initial and strong thoughts are Carlton at the line paying $1.92.

    GWS $2.70 vs North Melbourne $1.46. Line is 13.5. North have won their past four games and it includes a 75 point win away from home last year. I think the Roos will be hopping this game and should have another win to stay in touch with the top 8. Initial thoughts here are the Kangaroos at the line

    The Bulldogs $1.34 vs Brisbane $3.30. Line is 23.5. The Lions have won their last two against the Bulldogs, including the most recent narrow win at Etihad by 8 points. This is my game for 'bet of the round'. Brisbane at the line is the pick of the bets this week. I'm not saying they will win, but they will not lose by more than 23.

    The last game of the round is at the home of the Cats where Geelong $1.15 play Melbourne $5.50. Line is 33.5. Geelong have won their past 5 against the Dees and the winning margin in any of these games has been no less than 43 points and as great as a whopping 186 points. For mine it's the Cats to continue their streak against the Dees. Initial punting thoughts are Geelong at the line.

    Good luck to the punters out there. Could this be the round to turn my fortunes around.

    Once again live betting may be in play (odds on) and I will do my very best to post all selections as they occur.


     
  10. Crafty Yarni

    Crafty Yarni Active Member

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    Pending bet 1
    18/06/15
    19:47 ? Adelaide v Hawthorn
    Margin (Big Win, Little Win)
    Hawthorn 1-39 @ 2.20 02m 29s 2.20 $50.00 - ?


    Pending bet 2
    18/06/15
    19:25 ? Multibet (6 folds) 02m 29s 7.40 $50.00 - ?

    hawks
    tigers
    port
    north
    dogs
    cats


    ?Cash Out Available

    Don't think your bet is going to win? Cash Out of your bet early ?
     
  11. Crafty Yarni

    Crafty Yarni Active Member

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    Status Date Placed ?? Type Bet Details Start ?? Odds Stake Returns ??


    Pending bet 3

    18/06/15
    22:50 ? Multibet (5 folds) 20h 58m 35.76 $25.00 -


    Geelong (-33.5)
    Geelong v Melbourne


    1.92 | Win | Fixed Price

    Brisbane (+24.5)
    Western Bulldogs v Brisbane


    1.92 | Win | Fixed Price

    North Melbourne (-16.5)
    Greater Western Sydney v North Melbourne


    1.92 | Win | Fixed Price

    Port Adelaide 1-39
    Carlton v Port Adelaide


    2.15 | Win | Fixed Price

    Richmond 1-39
    Richmond v West Coast


    2.35 | Win | Fixed Price


    Stake: $25.00

    ?Bet ID: O/0513711/0002047/D
     
  12. Crafty Yarni

    Crafty Yarni Active Member

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    1 down and 5 to go. let's see if the tigers can complete the double on the teams from the west.

    further bets below:


    Pending bet 4

    19/06/15
    18:25 ? Richmond v West Coast
    Margin (Big Win, Little Win)
    Richmond 1-39 @ 2.40 45m 2.40 $80.00 -
     
  13. Crafty Yarni

    Crafty Yarni Active Member

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    Pending bet 5

    19/06/15
    19:54 ? Richmond v West Coast
    Total Game Points - Over/Under
    Under (180.5) @ 1.85 Live 1.85 $80.00 -
     
  14. Crafty Yarni

    Crafty Yarni Active Member

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    Pending bet 6

    19/06/15
    20:40 ? Richmond v West Coast
    Total Game Points - Over/Under
    Under (189.5) @ 1.85 Live 1.85 $80.00 -
     
  15. Crafty Yarni

    Crafty Yarni Active Member

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    Pending bet 7

    19/06/15
    21:35 ? Richmond v West Coast
    Total Game Points - Over/Under
    Under (200.5) @ 1.85 Live 1.85 $250.00 -
     
  16. Crafty Yarni

    Crafty Yarni Active Member

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    not happy that the tigers lost, but through some live betting on the total points in the game, I ended up making a profit just shy of $300 from tonight's game.

    I guts out early in the 4th with the Richmond 1-39 bet also so the whole $80 wasn't lost.

    a summary of my transactions are below:


    Win
    19/06/15
    21:35 ? Richmond v West Coast
    Total Game Points - Over/Under
    Under (200.5) @ 1.85 19/06/15 1.85 $250.00 $462.50 ?




    Win
    19/06/15
    20:40 ? Richmond v West Coast
    Total Game Points - Over/Under
    Under (189.5) @ 1.85 19/06/15 1.85 $80.00 $148.00 ?




    Win
    19/06/15
    19:54 ? Richmond v West Coast
    Total Game Points - Over/Under
    Under (180.5) @ 1.85 19/06/15 1.85 $80.00 $148.00 ?




    Cashed Out
    19/06/15
    18:25 ? Richmond v West Coast
    Margin (Big Win, Little Win)
    Richmond 1-39 @ 2.40 19/06/15 2.40 $80.00 $29.67
     
  17. Crafty Yarni

    Crafty Yarni Active Member

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    just remembered I also placed a footy quad after work tonight. the selections are below:

    round 12 / bet 8: footy quad

    carlton 1-24 & port 1-48 & draw (7 legs)
    north 13-72 vs gws (5 legs)
    bulldogs 1-36 & Brisbane 1-24 & draw (6 legs)
    geelong 13-72 vs Melbourne (5 legs)


    bet: $105
    stake: 10%

    bet placed about 6:30pm
     
  18. Crafty Yarni

    Crafty Yarni Active Member

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    tomorrow appears to be a busy afternoon for me. just in case I can't place any bets tomorrow, I thought I would place some bets tonight - well 1:45am anyway.

    bets are below:


    Pending bet 9

    20/06/15
    01:41 ? Western Bulldogs v Brisbane
    Line
    Brisbane (+26.5) @ 1.92 17h 34m 1.92 $50.00 - ?




    Pending bet 10

    20/06/15
    01:41 ? Greater Western Sydney v North Melbourne
    Line
    North Melbourne (-14.5) @ 1.92 14h 49m 1.92 $50.00 - ?




    Pending bet 11

    20/06/15
    01:41 ? Carlton v Port Adelaide
    Margin (Big Win, Little Win)
    Port Adelaide 1-39 @ 2.15 11h 54m 2.15 $50.00 -
     
  19. Crafty Yarni

    Crafty Yarni Active Member

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    good evening all. I didn't have the opportunity to post bets while away from home today. these bets are listed below, which has been pasted from my Sportsbet account.

    well done to those who tipped the demons. my oh my will the footy quad pay a fortune with the two upsets this round.

    a summary will be posted later tonight.


    Win bet 15

    21/06/15
    17:39 ? Geelong v Melbourne
    Line
    Melbourne (-19.5) @ 1.88 21/06/15 1.88 $80.00 $150.40 ?




    Lose bet 14

    21/06/15
    13:05 ? Geelong v Melbourne
    Quarter Time Line
    Geelong (-9.5) @ 1.70 21/06/15 1.70 $60.00 $0.00 ?




    Lose bet 13

    21/06/15
    13:05 ? Geelong v Melbourne
    Quarter By Quarter Leader
    Geelong / Geelong / Geelong / Geelong @ 1.50 21/06/15 1.50 $100.00 $0.00 ?




    Win bet 12

    21/06/15
    13:05 ? Geelong v Melbourne
    Total Goals - Over/Under
    Over (24.5) @ 1.88 21/06/15 1.88 $60.00 $112.80
     
  20. Crafty Yarni

    Crafty Yarni Active Member

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    I won't get a chance to post the round summary tonight. this will be completed tomorrow night.

    see you in 24 hours
     

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