Round 19 Wrap. What a difference a week in football punting makes. The stupidity of last week has turned into joys this week. The week ending in profit and I only made three silly bets this week, but the damage was minimal. It started on Friday where I backed the Tigers against Adelaide for $100. I did state in my selection post that if Deledio did not play, that Adleaide would win by 1-40. So why did I place the Tigers bet you ask?. Simply because Sportsbet had a money back offer that I thought Tigers would lead at qtr or half time and if they lost, I get my money back. That's what happened and there was no negative impact. I also had two live bets here, once again on total points. Both bets were for $150 and the original $150 lost but the second bet won. A small loss of $23 was made on this game. A new day on Saturday and I place a 5 leg multi, all to win. Once again, a Sportsbet promo on a money back offer if only one leg failed. A $100 was had on all the favourites in the games I selected. Collingwood against Carlton was the first leg and the Pies got me off to a got start. I also had $100 on the Pies to profit $23. What I didn't like about my behaviour here is I, once again bet live on total points. I had two bets totalling $150 and bot lost. I was actually happy that I didn't chase here and I was resigned to a loss of $117 on this game. I didn't bet on the Bulldogs game as they were the second leg in the multi. Final siren in that game saw the second leg hit with the Bulldogs winning. I wouldn't of bet on the next game which was Lions vs Suns but I changed my mind as I wanted to slowly recoup my loss on the Pies game. I had $100 on the Suns here and when they won by 14 points, I made a profit of $50. The Cats vs Swans game, I was unsure about on the winning team here. I just took a $50 punt that the Cat's would win. The punt turned out well and a $43 profit was made here. The third leg in my five leg multi was Hawthorn to beat West Coast. I was happy that Hawthorn won a close game and I was one step closer in having a good collect. Sunday arrives and it was a much calmer Sunday experience compared to last week. The Kangas were my next leg in the multi and I needed them to beat the Demons. That they did and I also had a single $100 bet on the Kangas which made me a $31 profit. I didn't bet on the GWS win over Essendon as I was more interested in what was going to happen in the last game of the round. I had Fremantle in the last leg to beat the Saints. I also had $100 on Freo to win this game. The result went to plan and the Dockers win by 37 points. I made a profit of $50 on the $100 singles bet. The best thing about this game was that I hit the five leg multi. The $100 bet turned into a $632 collect. Without looking at my history for the year, I think this was the first week this year that I had more winning bets than losing bets. If I can only bet rationally for the rest of the year, I might be some chance of pegging back losses. I wasn't too far off with my initial selection thoughts this round either. Of the eight games I made a clear indication of how results would pan out, I ended up being correct on six of them. It's true when they say that every dog has it's day. I hope the punters out there made some coin and my numbers are below. Round Summary: Bets: 11 ...Won (8) Lost (3) Profit/Loss for round: Profit $557.76 Round Turnover: $1,100 Year to Date Figures: Bets: 262 - Won (89) Lost (173) Profit/Loss for year: Loss ($3,232.19) Total turnover: $21,017.52 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Win bet 11 09/08/15 11:44 St Kilda v Fremantle Head to Head Fremantle @ 1.50 09/08/15 1.50 $100.00 $150.00 Win bet 10 09/08/15 11:44 Melbourne v North Melbourne Head to Head North Melbourne @ 1.31 09/08/15 1.31 $100.00 $131.00 Win bet 9 08/08/15 19:15 Geelong v Sydney Head to Head Geelong @ 1.87 08/08/15 1.87 $50.00 $93.50 Win bet 8 08/08/15 16:26 Brisbane v Gold Coast Head to Head Gold Coast @ 1.50 08/08/15 1.50 $100.00 $150.00 Lose bet 7 08/08/15 14:37 Collingwood v Carlton Total Game Points - Over/Under Under (160.5) @ 1.85 08/08/15 1.85 $90.00 $0.00 Lose bet 6 08/08/15 14:16 Collingwood v Carlton Total Game Points - Over/Under Under (164.5) @ 1.85 08/08/15 1.85 $60.00 $0.00 Win bet 5 08/08/15 13:23 Multibet (5 folds) 08/08/15 6.32 $100.00 $632.76 Win bet 4 08/08/15 13:22 Collingwood v Carlton Head to Head Collingwood @ 1.23 08/08/15 1.23 $100.00 $123.00 Win bet 3 07/08/15 21:38 Adelaide v Richmond Total Game Points - Over/Under Under (143.5) @ 1.85 07/08/15 1.85 $150.00 $277.50 Lose bet 2 07/08/15 21:34 Adelaide v Richmond Total Game Points - Over/Under Under (138.5) @ 1.85 07/08/15 1.85 $150.00 $0.00 Lose bet 1 - was actually a stand off. 07/08/15 19:34 Adelaide v Richmond Head to Head Richmond @ 1.72 07/08/15 1.72 $100.00 $0.00
Round 20 selections. We are getting to the pointy end of the season and with any luck, those teams vying for a finals berth with play their part along with those teams that will be more than happy to play for draft concessions. Our first game kicks off tonight with the Swans $1.35 vs Collingwood $3.30. Line is 19.5. No buddy two weeks running and he is being wrapped in cotton wool for the finals. Sydney should win this game as they have more firepower through the midfield. Collingwood however has a brilliant record with interstate success. My initial thoughts are Sydney to win by 34. Swans 1-39 are $2.10 Essendon $4.00 vs Adelaide $1.26. Line is 25.5. If both teams follow this script, it should be Adelaide winning this. Essendon have had another season to forget. Even though being found not guilty, the stress on players has been higher this year than the last. Adelaide need to win this to remain in the finals race and should be in the eight at weeks end. My initial thoughts are Adelaide by 32 points. Adelaide 1-39 are $2.20 North Melbourne $1.17 vs St.Kilda $5.30. Line is 33.5. North are going for six in a row and they should achieve the feat this weekend. I have a sneaky suspicion that the Saints will cover their line though. My thoughts are North by 22 points. Port $1.27 vs GWS $3.85. Line is 24.5. Port won't make the finals and GWS are every chance to still make it. I think Port will win as favourites here but it won't be a fore gone conclusion. GWS at the line will be a handy bet. My thoughts are Port by 3 points. Port 1-39 are $2.15. Brisbane $1.70 vs Carlton $2.20. Line is 5.5. If Brisbane lose this, they have a firmer grip on the wooden spoon. I don't have much interest in this game as both teams have nothing to gain by winning this game. If I was to have a bet, I like Brisbane outright at $1.70. Geelong $4.05 vs Hawthorn $1.26. Line is 26.5. The Hawks should be too strong for the Cats here and spoil Stevie J's 250th. To find a little more value here, I do like the Hawks to cover their line at $1.88. Hawks by 47 points here for me. Richmond $1.18 vs Gold Coast $4.90. Line is 32.5. Richmond should win this game but Gold Coast is their bogey side. The inclusion of Deledio is a plus but the injury to Grimes is a concern. I would love to think the Tigers can win by 10 goals or more, but realistically, they should cover the line and with by 41 points. Bulldogs $1.21 vs Melbourne $4.35. Line is 29.5. The Bulldogs will win this as they are the more dominant and exciting free scoring team. At Etihad they relish the dry conditions and should post at least 16 goals in this game. I think the Bulldogs will cover their line and even win in the 40+ bracket where the odds are $2.35. Bulldogs by 72 points here for me. The last game of the round is the best game of the round. Fremantle $1.60 vs Eagles $2.40. Line is 9.5. Both teams from W.A have been a dominant force this year and this game will decide who will finish 2nd before the finals begin. If the Eagles win this, Fremantle are still assured of the minor premiership and West Coast will have all but secured 2nd spot. With Pavlich also being whispered as a late out, it may be the Eagles forward line that decides this. For me its the Eagles by 14 points. Good luck punters.
round 20 selections. Pending bet 1 14/08/15 18:42 ? Sydney v Collingwood Head to Head Sydney @ 1.35 ? 51m 1.35 $100.00 - Pending bet 2 14/08/15 18:56 ? Multibet (6 folds) 51m 3.49 $100.00 - all head to head selections Sydney/ Adelaide / north / hawthorn / Richmond / bulldogs
Good afternoon followers. I am out and about and no laptop means i am placing bets from the phone. Nothing fancy with the below two bets. Bet 3 Adelaide $1.32 to beat essendon Bet 4 north $1.16 to beat st.kilda
Good Morning guys, I was about all day and night yesterday, and I didn't spend any time posting the bets I had. I will post the bets I had on all games yesterday and they are below. 15/08/15 bet 3 12:26 Essendon v Adelaide Head to Head Adelaide @ 1.32 15/08/15 1.32 $100.00 $132.00 15/08/15 bet 4 12:26 North Melbourne v St Kilda Head to Head North Melbourne @ 1.16 15/08/15 1.16 $100.00 $116.00 15/08/15 bet 5 12:45 Essendon v Adelaide Total Points - 1st Qtr 41-50 Points @ 3.60 15/08/15 3.60 $5.00 $18.00 15/08/15 bet 6 12:45 Essendon v Adelaide Total Points - 2nd Qtr 41-50 Points @ 3.50 15/08/15 3.50 $5.00 $17.50 15/08/15 bet 7 12:45 Essendon v Adelaide Total Points - 3rd Qtr 41-50 Points @ 3.50 15/08/15 3.50 $5.00 $0.00 15/08/15 bet 8 12:45 Essendon v Adelaide Total Points - 4th Qtr 41-50 Points @ 3.50 15/08/15 3.50 $5.00 $0.00 15/08/15 bet 9 14:13 Essendon v Adelaide Total Points - 2nd Qtr O/U Over (45.5) @ 1.95 15/08/15 1.95 $60.00 $0.00 15/08/15 bet 10 14:59 Port Adelaide v Greater Western Sydney Head to Head Port Adelaide @ 1.26 15/08/15 1.26 $100.00 $126.00 15/08/15 bet 11 15:01 Geelong v Hawthorn Head to Head Hawthorn @ 1.26 15/08/15 1.26 $100.00 $126.00 15/08/15 bet 12 19:03 Brisbane v Carlton Head to Head Brisbane @ 1.64 15/08/15 1.64 $70.00 $114.80
round 20 selections. Pending bet 13 16/08/15 11:52 ? Western Bulldogs v Melbourne Head to Head Western Bulldogs @ 1.24 ? 3h 26m 1.24 $100.00 -
Round 20 Wrap: I've kept my season alive by making another solid profit. Two weeks in a row with solid collects and it gives me a chance to put a bit of respect to a poor punting year on the AFL. The week's journey started well on Friday night when I collected a $35 profit on the one bet for the night in a head to head bet with the Swans defeating the Magpies. I also placed a 6 leg multi on six favourites to win head to head matches. The first leg was the Swans and with the win, it was off to a good start. The next bet was on game 2. I had another $100 win bet on Adelaide and they didn't let me down. The $32 profit was another stepping stone to a profitable week. I also had the Crows in the multi and I was 2 from 2. I also played around with the notion of betting on total points scored in a quarter. This wasn't line betting though. It was bracket betting. You can see below but I had 4 x$5 bets on the same scoring bracket in every quarter. I correctly picked the correct bracket for the first two quarters which offset the incorrect brackets in the second half. I was in for $20 and out for $35.50. It might be something I look at doing in higher chip stacks next week. The blemish for the round was made in this game. It was the dreaded live total points betting where I missed on a $60 bet for more than 45 points to be kicked in the second quarter. Only 42 points were scored. This game I incurred a $12.50 loss. I had a $100 on the Kangas in game 3 and they kicked 14 goals to 5 in the second half to win by 37points. A profit of $16 was made. The Kangas were the next correct selection in the multi and I'm half way there. The next bet was a $100 on Port to beat GWS. The Power ended up winning and another small profit of $26 was made. You might see a pattern here, as like last week I have stayed away from margin and line betting. I've gone back to simple winners selections to get my confidence back on making consistent profits week in, week out. My theory went to plan in the next game when the Hawks defeated the Cats. The $100 bet here made me a $26 profit. The Hawks were also the fourth leg in the multi. Four down, two to go. In the Brisbane win over Carlton, another $45 profit was made. This game had the longest odds that I collected on, which was $1.67. So before we get to the Sunday games, I am sitting on a $135 profit. There wasn't much action at my end on Sunday. I was more focused on the 6 leg multi hitting, where I only needed two favourites on Sunday to win. The next leg in the multi was the Tigers. They proceeded to win by 14 goals against the Gold Coast. No singles bet on the Tigers here. The game that had the most importance for me was the Bulldogs against the Demons. I selected the Bulldogs and they were the last selection in the 6 leg multi. I was wrapped when they got off to a flyer and through sheer brilliance, they steam rolled the Demons to win by 98 points. The multi hits. In for $100 and out for $349.06. I also had a $100 on the Bulldogs in a singles bet to net a $24 profit on this bet. I was somewhat keen to back the Eagles in the last game but I stayed away as a part of my brain said that I should be happy with my results this week. The Eagles ended up winning and it was the first time this year that all the favourites for the week had won. So I walk away with a $400 profit this week. That's a $950 profit over the last two rounds. Once again, I hope there were punters out there that turned a profit and I look forward to next week to see how the Bulldogs play away from Etihad Stadium against the powerhouse of West Coast. Until next week, my numbers are below: Round Summary: Bets: 13 ...Won (10) Lost (3) Profit/Loss for round: Profit $408.36 Round Turnover: $850.00 Year to Date Figures: Bets: 275 - Won (99) Lost (176) Profit/Loss for year: Loss ($2,823.83) Total turnover: $21,867.52 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Win bet 1 14/08/15 18:42 Sydney v Collingwood Head to Head Sydney @ 1.35 14/08/15 1.35 $100.00 $135.00 Win bet 2 14/08/15 18:56 Multibet (6 folds) 14/08/15 3.49 $100.00 $349.06 win only Sydney/ Adelaide / north / hawthorn / Richmond / bulldogs Win bet 3 15/08/15 12:26 Essendon v Adelaide Head to Head Adelaide @ 1.32 15/08/15 1.32 $100.00 $132.00 Win bet 4 15/08/15 12:26 North Melbourne v St Kilda Head to Head North Melbourne @ 1.16 15/08/15 1.16 $100.00 $116.00 Win bet 5 15/08/15 12:45 Essendon v Adelaide Total Points - 1st Qtr 41-50 Points @ 3.60 15/08/15 3.60 $5.00 $18.00 Win bet 6 15/08/15 12:45 Essendon v Adelaide Total Points - 2nd Qtr 41-50 Points @ 3.50 15/08/15 3.50 $5.00 $17.50 Lose bet 7 15/08/15 12:45 Essendon v Adelaide Total Points - 3rd Qtr 41-50 Points @ 3.50 15/08/15 3.50 $5.00 $0.00 Lose bet 8 15/08/15 12:45 Essendon v Adelaide Total Points - 4th Qtr 41-50 Points @ 3.50 15/08/15 3.50 $5.00 $0.00 Lose bet 9 15/08/15 14:13 Essendon v Adelaide Total Points - 2nd Qtr O/U Over (45.5) @ 1.95 15/08/15 1.95 $60.00 $0.00 Win bet 10 15/08/15 14:59 Port Adelaide v Greater Western Sydney Head to Head Port Adelaide @ 1.26 15/08/15 1.26 $100.00 $126.00 Win bet 11 15/08/15 15:01 Geelong v Hawthorn Head to Head Hawthorn @ 1.26 15/08/15 1.26 $100.00 $126.00 Win bet 12 15/08/15 19:03 Brisbane v Carlton Head to Head Brisbane @ 1.64 15/08/15 1.64 $70.00 $114.80 Win bet 13 16/08/15 11:52 Western Bulldogs v Melbourne Head to Head Western Bulldogs @ 1.24 16/08/15 1.24 $100.00 $124.00
Round 21 Selections: As much as I would like another 9 favorites to win this week, I have this sneaking suspicion that a few underdogs will get up. Which ever way it goes, let's hope that us punters can make a dollar this weekend. It starts tonight with Hawthorn $1.06 vs Port $10.00. Line is 51.5. $10 on Port, my my, I can't remember the last time Port was at this price. Hawthorn should win this game. Do they cover the line - I don't think so. The Hawks outright are too short so I might dabble on Port covering their line. The $3.10 for Hawks 1-39 might tempt me also. Collingwood $2.85 vs Richmond $1.44. Line is 15.5. I would like to think the Tigers can win this and the $1.44 will be hit. Richmond 1-39 is 2.05 and should be a good bet. Initial thoughts are Tigers outright and also the 1-39 bracket. GWS $2.60 vs Sydney $1.52. Line is 11.5. I have this sneaking suspicion that the Swans will lose this. If they finish 5th, they'll get a home final. If they storm home and win every game and jump back into 4th, the trip to Perth might not be their desired route. My initial thoughts are GWS outright and at the line. Gold Coast $1.54 vs Essendon $2.55. Line is 11.5. The Bombers have come in from $3.60 when Hird resigned. I'm a believer that the Bombers will win this. This could be a good live betting match. A unique market could be Bombers leading at 1/2 time then losing - that market is currently $7.20. My initial thought are the Bombers outright. St.Kilda $4.35 vs Geelong $1.23. Line is 27.5. The Cats should win this game but they will not make light work of the Saints. Without complicating matter, I do like the Cats outright. If I want to put a bit of flavor on here, Geelong 1-39 are $2.20. Adelaide $1.07 vs Brisbane $9.00. Line is 48.5. If there was ever a certainty this week, it is Adelaide. The uncertainty of a number of Brisbane players may see a lack luster effort by the Lions. My initial thoughts are Adelaide at the line. North $1.68 vs Fremantle $2.18. Line is 6.5. Will Ross Lyon play funny buggers - that's the question. I think Fyfe needs 3 more votes to win the Brownlow and if he doesn't, Charlie could be going to Priddis or Goldstein. I'm going to say that Fremantle will win this game and North could be on shaky ground in making the finals with the Bulldogs and Richmond to come. Carlton $2.95 vs Melbourne $1.40. Line is 15.5. I need my head read. Carlton is my selection here. I like them outright. As a banker I may also take them at the line. The last game should be the one that attracts most interest. WCE $1.29 vs Bulldogs $3.65. Line is 22.5. If your a fan of the Bulldogs here, I'd be jumping all over their price head to head. I'm thinking the other way though. I'll be tipping the Eagles to win and if I want to chase the odds, I also like the Eagles at the line. My bets will be made later tonight and through the weekend. Good luck punters. Let's all walk away with a profit this weekend.
Well haven't i had a great day. Got admitted to hospital with severe blood clots. Mid afternoon. Maybe that's why I've been feeling like shit for the last 3 days. Anyway enough of that. I've had 2 more bets since Friday. I had $70 on richmond 1-39 and lost $100 on saints at $1.88 live bet in 1st qtr +8.5 Just saw on phone it was a draw. Can't wait to watch the last quarter. Ill see how i go with bets tomorrow as I've been told im staying here tonight for obs. If i bet, it will be following my round 21 selection post. Good luck punters
Round 21 Wrap, It was a round where my interest in the footy took a backward step. My own health concerns were at the forefront. After being discharged from hospital on Sunday, I placed a few bets with mixed results. The week started poorly on Friday night when the $10 underdog Port Power defeated the 2015 Premiership winners in Hawthorn by 22 points. My $50 bet on the Hawks to win 1-39 loses and I make a negative start to the week for the first time in a long time. I was too stupid and greedy not taking the $1.40 on offer for the Tiges to beat Collingwood and instead, I elected to take the margin bet 1-39 at $2.15. Collingwood didn't play the last quarter and Richmond played witches hats to win by 91 points. I didn't bet on the GWS/Syd game and the GC/Ess game as I was preoccupied in hospital emergency. Just as well I didn't bet as I would of backed GWS before the game. I probably would of backed the Bombers head to head also. I missed the jump on the St.Kilda/Geelong game but ended up putting a live bet early in the first quarter when the Saints were up by 3 goals. I took +8.5 at $1.88 for $100 and was glad to see a collect there. Even more exciting was the draw result for those who dabbled in the footy quad. I gave the Adelaide vs Brisbane game a miss as I had no interest at the time in betting on it. I would of taken Adelaide 40+, but that is neither here or there when talking about horses that have already bolted. I ended up having the three bets on the North vs Fremantle game. Once again, I missed the jump and bet on the trend. The trend early was a high scoring 1st quarter and Fremantle was winning. I ended up having $100 on Freo at $1.22. Fremantle lost and so did I with my $100. The next live bet was Fremantle 1-39 at half time. We know who won and there went another $75. The other bet I had here was at half time in the total points for 3rd quarter. I had $75 on less than 43.5. That bets wins. I lost $120 on this game. In the WCE vs Dogs game I had a pre-match bet of $100 on WCE. I also had a live bet at half time on the Eagles 1-39. I was one for one with these bets and I lost $70 on this game. The only other bet I had in the round was a live total points bet in the Carlton vs Melbourne game. At half time I had $145 on less than 43.5 points in the third quarter. 37 points were scored and I profited $110 here. I missed the jump on this game also and if I had a bet, it probably would of been $50-$100 on the Blues outright. So that was my quick week. I ended up losing a little bit this week and hopefully my attention span can go back to OCD normal and I will bet like it's going out of fashion next week. If, as a punter you have a good win or a hard luck story, story, feel free to post as I and other followers would find it entertaining reading. I'll be back Thursday/Friday with my outlook on round 22. The numbers and bets are below: Round Summary: Bets: 9 ...Won (4) Lost (5) Profit/Loss for round: Loss ($112.05) Round Turnover: $815.00 Year to Date Figures: Bets: 284 - Won (103) Lost (181) Profit/Loss for year: Loss ($2,935.88) Total turnover: $22,682.52 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Lose bet 1 21/08/15 18:43 Hawthorn v Port Adelaide Big Win Little Win Hawthorn 1-39 @ 3.00 21/08/15 3.00 $50.00 $0.00 Lose bet 2 22/08/15 13:26 Collingwood v Richmond Big Win Little Win Richmond 1-39 @ 2.15 22/08/15 2.15 $70.00 $0.00 Win bet 3 22/08/15 19:43 St Kilda v Geelong Line St Kilda (+8.5) @ 1.88 22/08/15 1.88 $100.00 $188. Lose bet 4 23/08/15 13:48 North Melbourne v Fremantle Head to Head Fremantle @ 1.22 23/08/15 1.22 $100.00 $0.00 Lose bet 5 23/08/15 14:29 North Melbourne v Fremantle Big Win Little Win Fremantle 1-39 @ 1.61 23/08/15 1.61 $75.00 $0.00 Win bet 6 23/08/15 14:30 North Melbourne v Fremantle Total Points - 3rd Qtr O/U Under (44.5) @ 1.73 23/08/15 1.73 $75.00 $129.75 Win bet 7 23/08/15 15:41 West Coast v Western Bulldogs Head to Head West Coast @ 1.30 23/08/15 1.30 $100.00 $130.00 Lose bet 8 23/08/15 16:40 West Coast v Western Bulldogs Big Win Little Win West Coast 1-39 @ 2.20 23/08/15 2.20 $100.00 $0.00 Win bet 9 23/08/15 16:44 Carlton v Melbourne Total Points - 3rd Qtr O/U Under (43.5) @ 1.76 23/08/15 1.76 $145.00 $255.20
Round 22 selections: The round kicks off tonight with Geelong $1.42 vs Collingwood $2.95. Line is 14.5. I would like to think Geelong will be good enough here. Even if Collingwood were to upset, the $2.95 isn't fair value. For mine it's the Cats by 30 and the head to head bet is where i'm heading. GWS $1.21 vs Carlton $4.60. Line is 30.5. GWS are my selection here and as a roughie, I may even take Carlton at the line Hawthorn $1.01 vs Brisbane $18.00. Line is 67.5. Hawthorn is my selection here. Tough to make a dollar on this game and therefore may only be a live betting match for me. If I were to stick my neck out before the bounce, I would take hawthorn at the line. North $1.65 vs Bulldogs $2.30. Line is 7.5. This should be a ripper of a game. Both teams will play finals and I have a sneaking suspicion they will meet in the first week of the finals also in an elimination game. For this game, I like the Doggies even though they were smashed at Subi last week. Back at Etihad and back to normal for the Dogs. My selection here is Dogs outright @ $2.30 Essendon $7.00 vs Richmond $1.11. Line is 39.5. Richmond for mine here. Do they make the line, I think they will as Essendon are preparing for the end of season trip already. Gold Coast $3.25 vs Port $1.36. Line is 19.5. Another game where the favorite will win. Port can't beat Hawthorn one week and lose the next. But then again, it's been one of those seasons for Port. My selection is Port head to head. Adelaide $2.05 vs West Coast $1.80. Line is 3.5. I like the Eagles here. Should be a ripper of a game and if Adelaide win, that's the final 8 set. My thoughts are West Coast outright. St.Kilda $4.20 vs Sydney $1.23. Line is 30.5. Buddy will kick a bag here. 8 goals minimum. swans will win by 10 goals as the Saints won't make this a contest. As a banker I like the Swans outright. For value, the Swans at the line are a good thing. Fremantle $1.06 vs Melbourne $9.00. Line is 42.5. I'll give any punter 20/1 for Melbourne. Seriously, the Dees will get smashed here. They have lost all confidence again and Fremantle will do this in a canter. I like Fremantle at the line here. Good luck punters.
Round 22 bets: Pending bet 1 28/08/15 14:43 ? Geelong v Collingwood Head to Head Geelong @ 1.42 ? 4h 42m 1.42 $100.00 -
Round 22 bets: The pre game bet I had on the Cats was money well spent wasn't it. Not being happy with starting the week off with a deficit, I had a couple of live bets. The first live bet lost and the second bet won. As a result of the second bet winning, I ended up making a profit on the game. Those two bets are below. I couldn't post these bets until this morning as I was out last night. Win bet 3 28/08/15 21:46 ? Geelong v Collingwood Total Points - 4th Qtr 41-50 Points @ 3.40 28/08/15 3.40 $136.35 $463.59 ? Lose bet 2 28/08/15 21:07 ? Geelong v Collingwood Total Points - 3rd Qtr 41-50 Points @ 3.40 28/08/15 3.40 $55.00 $0.00
Round 22 bets Pending bet 4 29/08/15 09:20 ? Greater Western Sydney v Carlton Big Win Little Win GWS 1-39 @ 2.25 4h 23m 2.25 $30.00 -
round 22 bets: it's not that I've ignored you guys with the posting of bets, I've just been away from the house when it's time to place and post the bets on the laptop. having said that, I had a few bets yesterday and night and they are posted below. I ended making a small profit of $55. Win bet 5 29/08/15 16:29 North Melbourne v Western Bulldogs Head to Head Western Bulldogs @ 2.30 29/08/15 2.30 $100.00 $230.00 Lose bet 6 29/08/15 17:03 North Melbourne v Western Bulldogs Total Game Points - Over/Under Under (157.5) @ 1.85 29/08/15 1.85 $60.00 $0.00 Lose bet 7 29/08/15 17:05 North Melbourne v Western Bulldogs Total Game Points - Over/Under Under (156.5) @ 1.85 29/08/15 1.85 $60.00 $0.00 Win bet 8 29/08/15 19:14 Essendon v Richmond Head to Head Richmond @ 1.12 29/08/15 1.12 $100.00 $112.00 Win bet 9 29/08/15 19:14 Gold Coast v Port Adelaide Head to Head Port Adelaide @ 1.33 29/08/15 1.33 $100.00 $133.00
round 22 bets con't Pending bet 10 30/08/15 12:09 ? Adelaide v West Coast Head to Head West Coast @ 1.75 ? 58m 1.75 $50.00 - ? Pending bet 11 30/08/15 12:09 ? Adelaide v West Coast Big Win Little Win West Coast 1-39 @ 2.45 58m 2.45 $100.00 -
round 22 bets it appears wce didn't turn up today, hence the $150 on them was a waste of money. I cashed out at end of 1st quarter while out and about. I then tilt bet and put what I had in the account on a total points bet. that bet is below. I have also placed a bet on the swans game Pending bet 12 30/08/15 13:43 ? Adelaide v West Coast Total Game Points - Over/Under Under (206.5) @ 1.85 Live 1.85 $344.49 - Pending bet 13 30/08/15 15:11 ? St Kilda v Sydney Head to Head Sydney @ 1.22 ? 02m 54s 1.22 $105.68 -
Round 22 Summary: By my standards, my interest was somewhat lacking from most games this weekend. Maybe it's because I am looking forward to the finals to commence where the markets won't be as lop sided. Also line betting for this round would have been difficult because most teams would not have bothered about how much they won by, provided they won. I recovered from last weeks loss and posted a solid profit this week. It didn't start well, as on Friday night, the $100 bet on the Cats was gone by half time. To further compound my problems, I lost another $55 on a margin spread bet for the third quarter. Not wanting to start the week off with a loss, I had another margin spread bet in the 4th quarter. I put the balance of the bank ($136.35) that 41-50 points would be scored in the last quarter. When 46 points were scored, I ended up making a profit of $177.44 on this game. The next bet was $30 on GWS to beat Carlton by 1-39 points. That didn't happen and GWS won by 81 points. I decided not to bet on the Hawthorn vs Brisbane game as no markets interested me, even the live betting markets. In the North vs Dogs game, I liked the underdog from the outset. Etihad stadium has been very kind to the Dogs and I thought they were a good bet against a very good Kangas team over the last 7 weeks. I had $100 @ $2.30 on the Dogs to win. At half time the game was in the balance and I decided to have a live bet on the total points market. With combined scores on 61 points, I bet $120 that the total game score would be less than 157 points. This bet went to shit in the last quarter when 76 points were scored. Just as well the Dogs scored most of the second half points and the head to head bet covered the loss of the live bet. A profit of $10 was made on this game. The next game was Richmond vs Essendon. I am getting cautious betting on the Tigers as I don't want bias to enter my train of thought. I had a safe $100 bet on Richmond at $1.12. Richmond end up winning by 27 points and the $12 I won here will buy 2 golf balls that I hit in the piss on my last hole in golf yesterday. The other Saturday night game was Gold Coast vs Port. I had another $100 on a firm favourite at $1.33 and Port didn't le me down when they won by 37 points. The punting game of the round for me was the blockbuster Adelaide vs WCE. I thought Adelaide would have a bad game and the dominance of the Eagles forwards would be enough for me to back the Eagles. As I put the bets on and confirmed the bets, I realised I made a mistake. I wanted $100 head to head and $50 at the 1-39 margin. Instead, I put these bets in reverse. It didn't matter too much though as Adelaide blew this game apart with a 50 point lead at 1/4 time. Not being happy with this, I had a live bet. Once again it was on the total points market. With a combined score of 52 points at the end of the 1st quarter, I took a punt that no more than 206 points would be scored for the whole game. Once again I bet the balance of the bank and I had $344.49 at $1.85. Even though 61 points were scored in the last quarter, the total game score ended on 195. The $637 collect on this bet, had me making a profit of $177 on this game. The last bet for me this round was $100 on the hot favourites Sydney to beat the Saints. This bet went to plan and a profit of $22 was made here. I didn't bet on the last game where Freo defeated the Demons by 54 points. So a $400 profit was made this week and the deficit reduced to new lows for the second half of the season. Once again punters, I hope you made a buck and I'll see you again Thursday/Friday with my selections for the last round before finals. The numbers are below. Round Summary: Bets: 13 ...Won (6) Lost (7) Profit/Loss for round: Profit $403.43 Round Turnover: $1,341.52 Year to Date Figures: Bets: 297 - Won (109) Lost (188) Profit/Loss for year: Loss ($2,532.45) Total turnover: $24,024.04 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Cashed Out bet 1 28/08/15 14:43 Geelong v Collingwood Head to Head Geelong @ 1.42 28/08/15 1.42 $100.00 $5.20 Lose bet 2 28/08/15 21:07 Geelong v Collingwood Total Points - 3rd Qtr 41-50 Points @ 3.40 28/08/15 3.40 $55.00 $0.00 Win bet 3 28/08/15 21:46 Geelong v Collingwood Total Points - 4th Qtr 41-50 Points @ 3.40 28/08/15 3.40 $136.35 $463.59 Lose bet 4 29/08/15 09:20 Greater Western Sydney v Carlton Big Win Little Win GWS 1-39 @ 2.25 29/08/15 2.25 $30.00 $0.00 Win bet 5 29/08/15 16:29 North Melbourne v Western Bulldogs Head to Head Western Bulldogs @ 2.30 29/08/15 2.30 $100.00 $230.00 Lose bet 6 29/08/15 17:03 North Melbourne v Western Bulldogs Total Game Points - Over/Under Under (157.5) @ 1.85 29/08/15 1.85 $60.00 $0.00 Lose bet 7 29/08/15 17:05 North Melbourne v Western Bulldogs Total Game Points - Over/Under Under (156.5) @ 1.85 29/08/15 1.85 $60.00 $0.00 Win bet 8 29/08/15 19:14 Essendon v Richmond Head to Head Richmond @ 1.12 29/08/15 1.12 $100.00 $112.00 Win bet 9 29/08/15 19:14 Gold Coast v Port Adelaide Head to Head Port Adelaide @ 1.33 29/08/15 1.33 $100.00 $133.00 Cashed Out bet 10 30/08/15 12:09 Adelaide v West Coast Big Win Little Win West Coast 1-39 @ 2.45 30/08/15 2.45 $100.00 $29.24 Cashed Out bet 11 30/08/15 12:09 Adelaide v West Coast Head to Head West Coast @ 1.75 30/08/15 1.75 $50.00 $5.68 Win bet 12 30/08/15 13:43 Adelaide v West Coast Total Game Points - Over/Under Under (206.5) @ 1.85 30/08/15 1.85 $344.49 $637.31 Win bet 13 30/08/15 15:11 St Kilda v Sydney Head to Head Sydney @ 1.22 30/08/15 1.22 $105.68 $128.93
Round 23 selections: My golly gosh. well if my interest was lacking on the punt last week, i'm full of confidence backing teams with second string players. What's the point - give every team the bye this week and give them 2 points each as no one gives a shit who does what this weekend. No really, what is the point. The favourites are paying bank interest you have to scroll through various markets to find a half decent market to make a return. I think this week will be a livebetting week. It will probably end up being tilt betting on live total point markets. Any way lets see if I can make some money and for those brave enough to follow my pre game selections - good luck. It all starts tonight with Richmond $1.10 vs Kangas $7.50. Line is 47.5. I would love the Tigers to win by 47.5 but I don't think that will happen. With the 63 players missing from the Kangas line up, Richmond should win and this game will be replayed the following week at the MCG. I'll end up taking the Tigers head to head so the game can interest me. North at the line will be solid as Richmond won't do too much if leading by a good margin before the last quarter. Geelong $2.30 vs Adelaide $1.65. Line is 9.5. If Adelaide win and the Dogs lose to Brisbane, Adelaide will get a home final. So they have something to play for. I like the $1.65 for them to win. They are the form team in the last month and they won't let Stevie J's last game in Geelong colors spoil their great finish to the year. Brisbane $4.35 vs Bulldogs $1.23. Line is 27.5. The Bulldogs need to win this to avoid Adelaide at Adelaide next week. I believe they will win. Initial thoughts are Bulldogs head to head. Port $1.07 vs Fremantle $9.00. Line is 56.5. Is Ross Lyon going to let someone else coach this week. He might as well. This game has no bearing on what happens next week. Initial pre game betting could be Port at the line. Hawthorn $1.01 vs Carlton $18.00. Line is 73.5. As much as Hawthorn couldn't give a shit, it's their backline that will repel any forward attack by Carlton. Carlton will be lucky to kick 10 goals for the game. The line for Carlton's game score is 59.5 @ $1.88. I like my money to be on the unders here. Sydney $1.03 vs Gold Coast $14.00. Line is 53.5. The seasons end couldn't come any sooner for Gold Coast. The most interest here will be what the Gold Coast end up doing for mad Monday. Pre game betting thoughts are Buddy to be antagonized and be suspended and miss the whole finals campaign. West Coast $1.04 vs St.Kilda $12.50. Line is 54.5. The Saints have used all their puff. Pridis to touch the ball 40 times and West Coast to win by over 100. My money is on West Coast at the line. Melbourne $2.45 vs GWS $1.56. Line is 10.5. I'll call heads......Heads it is and GWS will win by a point. Pregame thoughts are GWS 1-39 @ $2.25 Collingwood $1.28 vs Essendon $3.70. Line is 24.5. I like Collingwood head to head for a small collect and I might have a little on them for the 40+ margin @ $2.70. It's going to be hard to make a good collect this week unless I plonk on what I think a certainty is. Then again, if it was that easy, gambling would be everyone's full time occupation. Best of luck punters.