Best Buys: Resurrection

Discussion in 'Blog' started by Iain, Jul 15, 2015.

By Iain on Jul 15, 2015 at 10:00 AM
  1. Iain

    Iain Moderator Staff Member

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    The last week in SuperCoach was a strange one really, one of those high-scoring rounds where no-one really has any idea how their going until the scores are finalised on Sunday night. Hopefully though, you all did well and managed to move up some spots in the rankings, as things are only going to get more serious from here. Whether you're going all-out for overall glory, or trying to conserve some sneaky trades for league finals, the Best Buys has you covered.

    The Best Buy is a bit of a foregone conclusion this week really, as The Little Master has returned to form with a 153 point outing on Saturday. His price is still high and his leadership is still being questioned, but he is also still the Son of God however, so none of those other things really matter.If you can afford him now's the time to grab Gaz, but for the rest of us that can't pull the trigger this week there's always the rest of the Best Buys to assist in your trading.




    DEFENSE
    ROOKIES

    Brayden Maynard (COL) D/M 117.3k 59 +47k

    Maynard is on the bubble this week for the Pies, averaging 59 after his score of 66 on the weekend. A price tag of 117 grand is pretty good for that average, and he has D/M eligibility and will likely increase in price by almost 50 grand after his next game. A solid option from what we've seen so far.



    Darcy Moore (COL) D/F 182.3k 32 -5k

    Another Collingwood DPP, Moore is also on the bubble this week but with an average of 32. He scored 50 points in the last game to bump his average up, but due to his high starting price he's predicted to drop in value by 5 grand this week.



    Ariel Steinberg (ESS) DEF 169.9k 45 +15k
    Steinberg is also on the bubble, in a struggling Bombers side he is averaging 45 from his 2 games this year and looks likely to increase his price by around 15 grand after his next game. Costing 170 grand he seems like decent value, but is higher priced, has a lower average and no DPP when compared to Maynard.
    PREMIUMS

    Luke Hodge (HAW) D/M 539.3k 111 29.5%

    Hodge had a huge game against the Dockers, racking up 165 points and showing why he is in nearly 30% of teams to date. Averaging 111 for the year so far and priced cheaply at around 540 grand he offers good value, and for those that don't have him he's a good option to stop him from being a POD against your side.



    Liam Picken (WBD) DEF 540.9k 102 4.8%

    Picken had another big game on the weekend, this time scoring 138 points against the Suns. After his release from tagging duties he has been hitting career-high numbers across the board, and is still a big POD in under 5% of teams. A somewhat risky selection, given his history, so far he looks every chance to continue on in the new role he's been enjoying.



    Tom McDonald (MEL) DEF 437.1k 101 19.3%
    McDonald started the year with a bang, racking up big points and selection numbers before going through a quiet patch. Hopefully though, his score of 141 against the Bombers is an indication that he's getting back to his earlier form. A price of just 437 grand for a bloke averaging 101 is great value, especially if he really is returning to the kind of form that had him averaging 120+. Now in just under 20% of teams he's not that much of a POD, but when given freedom has the talent to produce some big numbers.
    REGULARS

    Heath Shaw (GWS) DEF 567.1k 106 30.6%

    MIDFIELD
    PREMIUMS

    Daniel Hannebery (SYD) MID 613.9k 120 15.5%

    Hanners fired again on Sunday, scoring 145 points and bringing his season's average up to 120. Now slightly overpriced for that average at 614 grand he is still a good pick, and the points he scores should make up for the small differential. Sitting in 15.5% of teams he still has some POD value, and a price rise of around 18 grand on the way should make him a strong choice this week.



    Gary Ablett (GCS) MID 669.8k 120 7.4%

    The Best Buy, which no-one is really surprised about, Gaz appears to be back to his best after knocking out 153 points on the weekend against the Doggies. Now costing around 670 grand he is overpriced for his average of 120, but he is still Gaz. As his price is only set to drop by another 2 grand or so after his next game, Gaz will likely be one of the most traded in players of the year this week. Ablett is currently in only 7% of sides, but I personally am expecting that number to at least double by this time next week.



    Patrick Dangerfield (ADE) MID 636k 119 27.3%

    Dangerfield had a big game in the Crows' first match since the tragic passing of Phil Walsh, scoring 156 points and proving his ability to perform in very difficult circumstances. Now averaging 119 for the year and costing 636 grand he is overpriced for his numbers but currently in good form, and this year he has scored better when Sloane has been out of the side. Now in almost 30% of teams he isn't a POD, but could well be a player that can hand you a loss if the other side has him when you don't.



    Leigh Montagna (StK) MID 581.9k 117 2.6%

    Joey had a solid outing against the Giants, only just missing his average (by 1 point) and getting plenty of the ball. Now priced at around 580 grand he is pretty good value with an average of 117, but his POD potential increase that value much more. Still sitting in under 3% of teams he is a huge POD, and with Ablett the priority for many this week he is quite likely to remain so. If Montagna can keep his numbers over 115 for the rest of the season, trading him in now could end up being a masterstroke.



    Dayne Beams (BRI) MID 615.2k 116 17.1%
    Beams has been good this season, albeit after a slow start, and is now really hitting his straps as indicated by his 142 points on the weekend. An average of 116 is good, although the price tag of 615 grand is not so much, but the key here is if he can continue his recent form. Rockliff will take some attention from him, although possibly some points too, so Beams is looking like a risk/reward scenario from here.
    REGULARS

    Scott Pendlebury (COL) MID 610.6k 117 43.5%

    RUCK
    ROOKIES

    Tom Downie (GWS) RUC 123.9k 53 +37k
    Downie is another in the string of rookie ruckman to go on the bubble in recent weeks, with an average of 53 and a price rise of 37 grand expected after his next game. Costing just over 123 grand he is decent value, and with Mummy out he should remain a chance to get games as the season progresses.
    MID-PRICERS

    Max Gawn (MEL) R/F 491.6k 115 10.1%
    Gawn had another big game on the weekend, scoring 150 points flat and bringing his average up to 115 for the season to date. His R/F eligibility is a big plus, obviously when used in conjunction with another R/F, and his price of around 490 grand is great value if he can keep scoring like this. Now in around 10% of teams he is gaining popularity, but many SC coaches will already have their ruck line well and truly locked for the rest of the year.
    PREMIUMS

    Mark Blicavs (GEE) M/R 583.6k 108 20.1%

    Blicavs had a bit of a down week last round, scoring 87 points against the Roos and a dominant Goldstein. His versatility is his key asset at this stage, as indicted by his M/R positioning, but at 583 grand he is overpriced for his numbers. Now sitting in 20% of sides he isn't so much of a POD, but has the potential to be a good scorer nonetheless.


    REGULARS

    Todd Goldstein (NM) RUC 665.2k 121 38.9%

    FORWARD
    ROOKIES

    Caleb Daniel (WBD) FWD 117.3k 66 +56k
    The smallest man in the AFL has looked at home amongst his taller peers, averaging 66 from his first 2 games to come onto the bubble with a price of 117 grand. His efforts are even more impressive when you take into account the fact he started as sub in his first game, and his expected price rise of 56 grand is well deserved. At this stage Daniel seems well placed to remain in the Bulldogs line-up, but as with all rookies he does carry some risks.
    MID-PRICERS

    Tom Mitchell (SYD) M/F 474.3k 104 31.6%

    Mitchell is still doing what his 31.6% of coaches expected, averaging 104 and getting plenty of the ball. As long as he can stay on the park this time around he is still good value with a price of around 475 grand. As already mentioned his primary concern is getting dropped for seemingly no reason, but so far he has managed to string together enough matches to appear safe for now.



    Luke Dahlhaus (WBD) FWD 476.4k 101 10.5%
    Dahlhaus had a poor game the week before last, but bounced back with a solid 116 on the weekend just gone. Priced at around 475 grand he is good value for his average of 101, but may still have some consistency issues to deal with. Spending more time in the midfield this season and with improved support around him, his 10.5% of coaches would have to be at least quietly content.
    PREMIUMS

    Brett Deledio (RIC) M/F 572.8k 108 10.3%

    Lids had another big game on Friday night, scoring 139 points in a solid win over Carlton. He is somewhat overpriced for his average of 108, but realistically his price tag of 572 grand isn't too bad. Now sitting in 10% of teams he has some good POD value, but needs to stay fit and uninjured to be worthwhile from here.



    Dayne Zorko (BRI) M/F 515.5k 92 7.3%
    Zorko has been having a fairly quiet season so far, only averaging 92 for the year, but that has turned around in recent weeks. A score of 124 on Sunday brought his 3-game average up to 122, and if he can keep these scores coming he could be a valuable addition to the forward line. Zorko's price of 515 grand is high when considering his season's tally to date, but if he keeps scoring 120's then he's a steal at current price. Sitting in 7.3% of teams he is a decent POD, and included here as a risky option for those looking to take a punt.
    REGULARS

    Robbie Gray (PTA) M/F 522.3k 112 53%

    Dane Swan (COL) M/F 496.6k 102 58%

    WAITING LIST

    Nathan Fyfe (FRE) MID 633.8k 127 -37k

    Jimmy Bartel (GEE) FWD 498.9k 70 -47k

    Lance Franklin (SYD) FWD 493.2k 94 -25k

    Luke Parker (SYD) MID 571.6k 103 -23k



    So that's all for another week of Best Buys, hopefully there's a few good options for you and good luck for the weekend. As always, join us in the comments section for trade discussions and polls.
     

Comments

Discussion in 'Blog' started by Iain, Jul 15, 2015.

    1. 82asch
      82asch
      Goldsack to come back too. JS not good IMO.
    2. insider
      insider
      ????????? seedsman was dropped/omitted 2-3 weeks ago. Maynard was banging the door down and emergency for about a month before he got a crack.
      I dont think marley williams nor paul seedsman will keep him out of the squad. Not saying he is a lock to play every game the rest of the season, but definitely dont think its contingent on seedsman, williams or goldsack returning
    3. RPritch
      RPritch
      Fantastic stats Jasmine, but that would be pretty close to his average from the start of 2012 to now -injury affected scores, so I'd back him in to do something special against any team this week
    4. canada_blues
      canada_blues
      No it's not - his GWS average is 11 points above his overall average from 2012-2014 - actual average is 133.6 (this includes the game he injured his shoulder in).
    5. bunza;-)
      bunza;-)
      Owen: I think ill bring in Malceski this week for Brown. Since returning from injury, he has had the green vest twice, had 23 touches (and butchered the hell out of it) and last week had 18 @ 88%. After a month of footy and with the Suns showing some recent improvement, I am backing a fallen premo to get back to his best again.
    6. TheTassieHawk
      TheTassieHawk
      from what i saw of the dogs vs suns last week i thought malceski was pretty poor

      this year i have seen a lot of people bring in fallen premiums such as bsmith and selwood due to them 'bottoming out' and have had a gut feel they havent turned the corner in scoring, given i have them both and wish i didnt !!

      assuming malceski will be your d6 what are you expecting him to average from here??
    7. TheTassieHawk
      TheTassieHawk
      hard to say without seeing your team and knowing trades and cash on hand and leagues vs overall ambitions

      while on the surface it might be a decent week to double downgrade if one or both get dropped next week you would have been better off with the standard 1 up 1 down

    8. TheTassieHawk
      TheTassieHawk
      will the MID you bring in be your 7th or 8th premo as a cheaper mid might be worth considering this week??

      Assuming your goal is leagues rather than overall with 8 trades after this week you should be able to get Ablett as your 8th mid later (ie round 19) if needed

    9. TheTassieHawk
      TheTassieHawk
      mate i wasnt sure about your stats but having checked it seems like the 7.4% of teams will be 15-25% of teams by next week

      with a breakeven of 125 or so i can definitely see why you would be waiting a week or two as a 160 this week would only mean a rise of $15k



    10. TheTassieHawk
      TheTassieHawk
      mate i would love to give you my 10 cents but apart from steele my rookie picks have been woeful

      which is really annoying as i pretty much nailed my starting rookies and should be a lot further up this year





    11. TheTassieHawk
      TheTassieHawk
      no surprise that gazza is the flavour of the week but as their breakevens are basically the same i think its a tough choice - one player is match hardened, in career best form, and scoring well over a full season and the other has had 2 good games bt a much better record over their career

      i actually watched ablett's first half last week and was impressed with his first quarter but thought he was quiet in the 2nd. he seems to be over the injury free and while I think there is a reinjury risk I am more considering whether i should factor in any small doubt on his scoringconsidering his still very high price

      last week the dogs were poor to 3qt and seemed to be going easy in terms of no hard tag on Gaz and a tight last quarter coud potentially have inflated gazzas score - as he also got a much higher score in round 14 due to 2-3 late goals

      gazzas rdt/afl fantasy scores have been nothing special (he has had a very high rdt:sc ratio) so if you are tempted consider the alternatives before pulling the trigger as a week or 2 more may give you a better informed decision to trade him in or not

    12. tmq
      tmq
      I'd think Williams and 'sack would get in before Maynard... But doesn't really matter which of the three, point is theres a few more experienced players, and any if them could.
    13. Bucko
      Bucko
      Maynard has held his spot with Seedsman and Williams coming back in. Think I'll pull the trigger if he doesn't start in the vest
    14. Bucko
      Bucko
      Anyone know what's happened with Daniel McKenzie from the Saints?? Played rounds 5-9 and hasn't been seen since apart from signing a contract extension on June 29
    15. bunza;-)
      bunza;-)
      I would like him to ave 85+ but who knows. The defenders are tough to pick. Not keen on McDonald, Houli or Rance as they are up and down like yo-yo's, so I'm happy to save a bit of cash with eski and use it for future emergencies.
    16. willy
      willy
      Looks like the masses are bringing in GAJ. Need 2 trades and was going to look at downing one of Saad/Oxley but with Maynards questionable job security is it better to down Edwards to Daniel (would be bench cover) and move any of my mid Bench for Ablett, thus moving Cripps to M9.

      Leaving the Mids as Fyfe, Pendles, Beams, Hannerbery, Armitage, Ward, Gray, GAJ as my 8 premos Bench cover with Cripps other 2 McKenzie and Dumont.

      Would also leave me 106kto upgrade Saad or oxley to premium defender

      TU - Down Edwards to Daniel and Boston - GAJ

      TD - Get another plan
    17. Wilburs Guns
      Wilburs Guns
      Has anyone thought on Glenn as a good downgrade this week? In the same boat as Daniel at WB. He could be sub, and JS is questionable, but might mean freeing up some cash with a downgrade, and will generate a lot of cash this week with -60+ BE
    18. Bucko
      Bucko
      Just dug up that he was out of the side in round 10 with concussion. Not on the injury list at the moment, so I guess just can't get back into the side...
    19. TheTassieHawk
      TheTassieHawk
      was named an emergency at least once and was BOG in the 2s at one point

      I have been patient and held him in SC but this week he is getting punted so I can afford Gazza or Dangerfield

    20. TheTassieHawk
      TheTassieHawk
      I broke the golden rule and brought him in early - hopefully he can make some cash for those still holding him

      given he only played the 2 games before being injured JS is a major question

      my main worry is he is sitting at M8 with Stretch at M9 this week so I really need him to avoid the vest to have a realistic chance at 65 plus onfield from that spot

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