Crafty's AFL Punt

Discussion in 'AFL' started by Crafty Yarni, Mar 14, 2014.

  1. Crafty Yarni

    Crafty Yarni Active Member

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    something tells me that the demons will lose their 17th consecutive game at etihad.

    w1 / b9:

    St.kilda win head to head

    Bet $50
    Odds: $2.25

    Balance after bet $921.74

    Bet placed 6:52pm Saturday
     
  2. Crafty Yarni

    Crafty Yarni Active Member

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    good evening all.

    I made an incorrect pricing post on one of my selections.

    it relates to week 1 / bet 4: port +18.5 vs carlton. I listed odd at $1.54 where in fact I received the odd of $1.52.

    as a result , I have edited my posts to reflect correct data and balances following each transaction.

    it is neither here or there, but I need to make sure the information I post is correct.

    in the next post I will update balance after recent selections.
     
  3. Crafty Yarni

    Crafty Yarni Active Member

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    Saturday turned out to be a good day of results. 3 bets for three wins bet 7, 8 & 9 all got over the line.

    Current balance is $1,206.74

    I will post my selection for the last game of the round tomorrow.

    following the last game of the week, I will post a summary of the week in one post.

    hope you had a win on the weekend.
     
  4. Crafty Yarni

    Crafty Yarni Active Member

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    ok, last game of the week. this is the most comfortable selection I have made all week. west coast should win and win well. it's just a matter of finding some value and finding the right market. my selections are:

    w1 / b10: eagles -14.5 (half time lead)

    Bet: $50
    Odds: $1.90

    w1 / b 11: eagles -34.5 (full time)

    Bet: $50
    Odds: $2.10

    Bets placed 11:32am

    Balance after bets $1106.74
     
  5. Crafty Yarni

    Crafty Yarni Active Member

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    Hello to all TS users,

    Round 1 is done and dusted and I have to say that it was a good week for me on the punt. Summary is below:

    week 1:

    Bets: 11 - won 9 lost 2

    Balance at end of week 1: $1306.74

    Profit for week: $306.74

    Percentage increase on bank for week: 30.67%.

    Now I look forward to round 2. I hope this pattern continues.
     
  6. Len

    Len Cockburn Knightrider Staff Member

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    Nice work mate.
     
  7. Crafty Yarni

    Crafty Yarni Active Member

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    Ok. Welcome to round 2. As good as the first week was, i now need to back it up this week.
    Looking at all the matches, i do believe this is a week where the favorites will salute in all matches.
    Starting tonight, i believe it will be a close game and Richmond will just get over the line.
    i will normally post my selections two hours before a game, giving TS users an opportunity to use this information how they wish.

    Good luck on the punt this week and my initial bets are below.

    Week 2 / Bet 1: Richmond win

    Bet: $75
    Odds: $1.62

    w2 / b2: Port Adelaide win

    Bet: $75
    Odds: $1.67

    w2 / b3: 5 leg multi- all to win -richmond/hawthorn/port/fremantle/west coast

    Bet: $50
    Odds: $4.57

    Balance after bets: $1,106.74

    Bets were placed with sportsbet 12:01am Thursday

    Just to let you know, under the current sportsbet promotion, providing the selected team lead at any quarter but lose the match, the stake will be refunded (up to $100). This will apply to w2b1 & w2b2.

    The five leg multi will also be paid a 15% higher divided should the multi get up. this is also another sportsbet promotion.

    good luck on the punt this week and check back mid afternoon today should i place any more bets before tonights game.
     
  8. Crafty Yarni

    Crafty Yarni Active Member

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    good start to the week. i thought it was groundhog day there for a while.

    w2 / b1 win

    current balance $1,228.24

    interest now lies with the 5 leg multi i have placed. i'm reasonably confident that the only result that is in the balance is the port vs adelaide game.

    i am thinking of covering the existing multi with a new 4 leg multi which would be hawks/ freo/ wce and adelaide. odds would be $4.11. i'll post my bet for tonight's game mid afternoon and i just might put on this 'back up' multi.

    talk soon....
     
  9. Crafty Yarni

    Crafty Yarni Active Member

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    week 2 / bet 4

    Hawthorn half-time / full-time Double

    Bet: $50
    Odds: $1.90

    Balance after bet $1,178.24

    Bet placed 5:32pm Friday
     
  10. Crafty Yarni

    Crafty Yarni Active Member

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    Crafty Yarni wrote:
    week 2 / bet 4

    Hawthorn half-time / full-time Double

    Bet: $50
    Odds: $1.90

    Balance after bet $1,178.24

    Bet placed 5:32pm Friday

    win

    Current balance $1,273.49

    $125 in bets still live and pending result
     
  11. Tomster

    Tomster Well-Known Member

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    Great stuff crafty. I'd be interested to know being a non-gambler, do you always tip (providied you do a tipping comp of course) the same way as you bet?
     
  12. Crafty Yarni

    Crafty Yarni Active Member

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    G'day Tomster. 99% of the time my tipping selection will follow where my money lies.

    there are also some games that i don't punt on for various reasons.

    thanks for the encouragement also.

     
  13. Crafty Yarni

    Crafty Yarni Active Member

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    sorry been flat out at work and apologies for the late post.

    next selection is:

    week 2 / bet 5: Sydney (half time / full time double)

    Bet: $40
    Odds: $1.78

    Balance after bet: $1,233..49

    Bet placed with sportsbet 7:19pm

    Good Luck on the punt
     
  14. Crafty Yarni

    Crafty Yarni Active Member

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    week 2 / bet 2 win ( port)

    Current balance: $1358.49

    $50 live bet pending ( 5 leg multi - need freo & wce to win)
    $40 live bet pending ( syd - half time / full time double)
     
  15. Crafty Yarni

    Crafty Yarni Active Member

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    week 2 / bet 5: loss (swans)

    Balance:$1,358.49

    $50 live bet pending ( 5 leg multi - need wce to win to collect $257.30)
     
  16. Crafty Yarni

    Crafty Yarni Active Member

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    week 2 / bet 3: win (5 leg multi)*

    Current Balance: $1,613.99

    *As a result of the 5 leg multi winning, under a sportsbet promotion, I received a 15% extra dividend on (winnings-stake). this bonus dividend was $26.81. this was in conjunction to the $228.69 collect.
     
  17. Crafty Yarni

    Crafty Yarni Active Member

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    Hello to all TS users.

    Round 2 saw the favourite's salute in all but 1 game. Another good week on the punt for me this week.

    Even though I didn't have as many bets as round 1, I was pleased that the mutli hit, which included 5 matches. I was unsure of the winner in the saints vs gws game as well as the bulldogs vs North game. I couldn't see value in the Cats vs lions game as I couldn't decide on the winning margin for the cats.

    Summary is below:

    Week 2:

    Bets 5: won 4 lost 1

    Balance at the end of week 2 is $1,613.99

    Profit for the week $307.25

    Percentage increase on bank for the week was 23.51%

    Total Bets 16: won 13 lost 3

    Profit for the year $613.99
     
  18. Crafty Yarni

    Crafty Yarni Active Member

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    Welcome to Round 3.

    good luck to all those on the punt this week and below are my early selections of the week.

    week 3 / bet 1: Hawks win vs Freo

    Bet: $75
    Odds: $1.73

    w3 / b2: Adelaide 1-39 vs Sydney

    Bet: $25
    Odds: $2.75

    w3 / b3: Brisbane 1-39 vs Gold Coast

    Bet: $25
    Odds: $2.80

    w3 / b4: Gold Coast vs Brisbane (closest margin game of the round)

    Bet: $25
    Odds: $6.00

    w3 / b5: Hawks/Adelaide 1-39 multi

    Bet: $25
    Odds: $4.76

    w3 / b6: Hawks/Brisbane 1-39 multi

    Bet: $25
    Odds: $4.84

    That's it for now. I will post more selections from tomorrow.

    If the Hawks bet wins, I am going all up into Richmond to beat Bulldogs.

    Balance after bets: $1,413.99
     
  19. Crafty Yarni

    Crafty Yarni Active Member

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    w3 / b1: wins (hawks)

    current balance $1,543.74

    Now I had a mind change since last post. I will not be going all up into the Tigers. the outs of Deledio and Hampson are the reasons. I still fancy the Tigers to win but being a little more cautious.

    w3 / b7: Richmond win

    Bet: $75
    Odds: $1.42

    current balance: $1,468.74

    bet placed with sportsbet 1:10am Saturday

    Good luck on the punt today
     
  20. Crafty Yarni

    Crafty Yarni Active Member

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    Good morning all.

    i have been smashed pillar to post on my selections this week. looks like my magic wand is damaged. i won't say that it's broken at this stage.

    like with north, i am adding richmond to my list of 'short term don't back them until they prove me wrong book'

    i am going to have a final crack this week as with the 6 bets i've had this week, 1 winner and 5 losers, i have only lost $70 odd this week. i don't consider that to be too bad as it could have been a lot worse.

    anyway, my final selections for the week are:

    week 3/ bet 7: 3 leg multi all to win: gws/ port / essendon

    Bet: $75
    Odds: $3.71

    let's see if i can get my mojo back. good luck to all on the punt today.

    bets placed with sportbet 9:15am

    balance after bet: $1,393.74
     

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