Points of Difference - UPDATE

Discussion in 'Blog' started by Jason, Mar 31, 2015.

By Jason on Mar 31, 2015 at 11:00 AM
  1. Jason

    Jason Moderator Staff Member

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    New data was released earlier today.
    Rucks
    23.0% Naitanui
    22.1% Cox
    20.6% Leuenberger
    19.2% Bellchambers
    18.6% Goldstein
    12.4% Ryder
    10.1% Jacobs
    8.1% Maric
    7.8% Read
    7.8% Mumford
    6.8% Sandilands
    6.0% Smith
    5.7% Minson
    5.5% Naismith
    5.5% Nankervis
    5.3% Wright
    5.2% O'Brien

    Defenders
    47.5% Saad, Adam
    31.2% Goddard
    27.8% Lumumba
    27.8% Newnes
    22.0% Brown, N
    21.8% Shaw, H
    18.7% Hodge
    17.2% McIntosh
    17.0% Goodes
    16.9% Whitecross
    16.4% Malceski
    15.2% Higgins
    12.1% Burgoyne
    12.0% Gibson
    11.7% Hamling
    10.6% Simpson
    10.4% Ibbotson
    9.8% Kolodjashnij, K
    9.8% Pearce, C
    9.5% Smith
    8.9% Rohan
    8.4% Geary
    8.3% Edwards
    7.8% Hibberd
    7.4% Taylor
    7.4% Lever
    7.3% Oxley
    7.2% Dalgleish
    7.1% Moore
    6.3% Dick
    6.3% McKenzie
    5.3% Maynard

    Forwards
    62.8% Clark
    47.0% Swan
    46.3% Gray
    41.8% Hogan
    40.7% Lambert
    40.2% Martin, D
    32.0% Salem
    31.2% Goddard, H
    30.9% Krakouer
    24.0% Bontempelli
    22.1% Cox
    19.2% Franklin
    19.2% Bellchambers
    15.6% Steele
    15.2% Goddard, B
    15.2% Higgins
    14.7% Deledio
    14.3% Bartel
    12.4% Ryder
    12.1% Lamb
    11.6% Daniel
    11.4% Roughead
    10.8% Mitchell, T
    10.4% Saad, Ahmed
    10.2% Bennell
    10.2% Karnezis
    7.8% Read
    7.8% Laverde
    7.4% Lonie
    7.1% Moore
    6.7% Membrey
    6.6% Zorko
    6.6% Boyd
    6.5% Cameron
    5.6% McCartin
    5.3% Wright
    5.2% O'Brien

    Midfielders
    47.5% Saad, Adam
    47.0% Swan
    46.3% Gray
    40.7% Lambert
    40.2% Ablett
    40.2% Martin, D
    40.0% Heeney
    39.0% Fyfe
    34.8% Ellis-Yolmen
    34.5% Cripps
    30.9% Krakouer
    30.7% Pendlebury
    27.8% Lumumba
    27.8% Newnes
    27.5% Rich
    27.0% Anderson
    25.5% van Berlo
    24.0% Bontempelli
    23.9% Cockatoo
    23.2% Selwood
    22.1% Vandenberg
    21.6% Freeman
    19.3% Griffen
    18.7% Hodge
    16.1% Dangerfield
    15.6% Steele
    15.2% Beams, D
    15.2% Goddard, B
    14.7% Deledio
    14.7% Miller
    13.2% Boekhorst
    12.1% Burgoyne
    12.0% Rocklifff
    11.3% Swallow, A
    11.0% Newton
    10.8% Mitchell, T
    10.8% Parker
    10.2% Bennell
    9.8% Wells
    9.8% Pearce, C
    9.0% Wines
    8.9% Kennedy, JP
    8.7% Steven
    8.1% Mitchell, S
    8.1% Brayshaw
    7.8% Laverde
    7.2% Neale
    6.8% de Goey
    6.6% Zorko
    6.3% Dick
    6.3% McKenzie
    5.5% Langford
    5.5% Priddis
    5.3% Maynard
    5.2% Boak
    5.2% Lewis
     

Comments

Discussion in 'Blog' started by Jason, Mar 31, 2015.

    1. Jason
      Jason
      22 + 3 EMG = 25
      No idea where 26 fits in.
    2. Crafty Yarni
      Crafty Yarni
      Jase, I will guess that you may not start with gaj. I could be wrong. history tells me that gaj is a supercoach freak and every team that doesn't start with him, will be in trouble if he goes 'bang' early.

      sure, there are doubts about injury, vest, forward line etc. I look at gaj as the best player in the modern era. for that he gets the leniency to be the only player I would contemplate with all the clouds above him.

      also where there are clouds, it doesn't necessarily rain.

      my glass on this occasion is half full and 'gaj will smash the demons for what it's worth'
    3. Jason
      Jason
      'In trouble' is what happens to teams that make a bunch of sideways trades in R4 to chase points that they missed out on over the first 3 rounds.

      If I don't start him, I'm certainly not going to bring him in at R4.
    4. TheTassieHawk
      TheTassieHawk
      splitting the 9k difference which is fairly minor would mean the $80k drop would happen if GAj averages 110 over the first 4 rounds, and as you point out Jase if that happens most coaches would wait longer until he goes close to bottoming out
    5. HotPiesColdDrinks
      HotPiesColdDrinks
      I am staring to get cold feet about leaving Ablett out.

      I had him since the start, in the last week I left him out and now only 2 nights out, I am flip flopping back.

      My premiums are Pendles, Fyfe, Selwood, Sloane and Griffen. I can make room for Ablett and my next question would be, who would I take out to fight Ablett it. Selwood, Sloane or Griffen. Or stick to my guns and keep him out.
      I really like Sloane, I wonder if contracts will have any unfluence on performances like it does with some if his contract drags out. I like Sloane and like him as a POD.

      I have also wondered about bringing Watson in as well as I originally had him but left him out until I heard whether he would be in on round 1.

      Always start second guessing yourself as it gets closer haha.
    6. PHIL
      PHIL
      This Gaz talk is amazing. Personally not in my team due to injury concerns and lack of match practice and massive price.
      Even if Gaz booms I see it as no dramas getting him in after byes because without his expense, our teams look much stronger as a starting line up less the risk. To me it's too much money to gamble if that is the right term.
      Maybe a lot of teams are looking to strengthening starting teams with a mid priced pick instead of rookie with a Rich / Wells/ Selwood/ Stevens etc to Gaz say round 6/7. I am
    7. Crafty Yarni
      Crafty Yarni
      valid point you make about sideways movement. your advise to TS users is invaluable, hence, I've been sitting back and reading yours and other regular contributor comments to assist in fine tuning my squad.

      you are one that has preached having keepers in your team along with having the bye structure in balance. going with your keeper philosophy, we all as coaches know that GAJ will be one - so all I am saying is, why not start with him in the first place.

      what I have tried to determine is what is the possible lowest price GAJ will be. my guestimate is about 640 - 660k.

      JP has my same level of thinking. whether it be round 4 or a round before round 7, most teams will need to do a double trade to get him in or have bank money sitting there.

      I love a bet, as you know, and I will bet GAJ will be a top 3 midfielder at the end of round 7.

      the ball gets bounced in 2 days and it's good to see a robust conversation on a man that just may win his third brownlow.
    8. TheTassieHawk
      TheTassieHawk
      harder to do if fyfe is averaging 96 and has dropped by 80k as well

      the point being that it is likely that your other premiums could easily drop as well while GAJ plummets, so you may need to have a little cash in the kitty to fund GAJ in
    9. Crafty Yarni
      Crafty Yarni
      does this mean that TTH has GAJ lining up in his team?
    10. Crafty Yarni
      Crafty Yarni
      my opinion has it Sloane will go for you to get gary in.
      best of luck with your coin toss.
    11. Crafty Yarni
      Crafty Yarni
      is it fair to say that in the first 3 rounds, 4-6 trades will be used to correct teams with players missed initially.

      in saying this, when I start with ablett and he fails in the first two rounds, I have no problem correcting this mistake before round 3.

      other coaches might jump on stevens from stk who could fire early, or remove nic nat after he twists an ankle, etc.

      by starting with the dearest player in the comp, I can afford to buy anyone I want and end up with cash in the kitty.

      so by rolling my dice, I can't see how I can lose. GAJ performs well in the first 2 rounds and he stays - and 2/3 of teams are stuck without his early scores and no initial price drop.

      if GAJ fails, I might just bring in Selwood as the prime ball mover he is or jump on the left field player that looks like jumping 50k in price after playing rnd 1 & 2 well.

      either way, we now have people second guessing their squads with Rodney Eade saying Gary is good to go.

      Thunderbirds are GO
    12. TheTassieHawk
      TheTassieHawk
      that comment doesn't mean that I will be fielding GAJ but i did mention earlier that

      'I will most likely keep GAJ in. I might have him as VC with one of my other premos as Captain'

      puts me in the minority but for now I think I can live with that
    13. Bearfly
      Bearfly
      Geez, finding it quite unbelievable seeing Krak with such a high % of ownership still.

      No way known he will get a gig round 1 - Trengove, Hartlett, Ryder, Monfries and hopefully Wingard all to come in to the side that played NAB3, which Krak couldn't get picked for!!!
      Anyone who still has him in their team have no idea at all!!!
    14. anthak
    15. snoz
      snoz
      I seriously just need this season to bloody start, I've had enough of the research, trading in, trading out, scratching my head, change him for him but then I can also swap that guy for this other guy, then the byes are all screwed up & you want to poke your eyes out..............
    16. choppers
      choppers
      I said approx. costings, Jason , so I might be out by 10k, so hang me from the nearest tree. And I say that, only if your maths are correct.....
    17. Jason
      Jason
      If Ablett is an 'over-priced' keeper than he should be one that you bring in mid-season for a lower price.

      If he is not an 'over-priced' keeper, then he should be in your starting team.

      We are all just making a guess as to which it is.

      But the fact that you think he is a keeper isn't solely a reason to start him, should he in fact be significantly over priced at his initial price.
    18. Jason
      Jason
      Quoting prices to the nearest $20 isn't approximate.

      No-one suggested you be hanged.

      You didn't answer the question as to where/how you came to those numbers? I gave you my source, what was yours? Rather than disliking my post, why not answer the question.
    19. bjaensch
      bjaensch
      I concur Jason. I'm starting without him, the no pre season games is a worry, little to no contact until very recently in training. If he is 'merely' putting out 120, the price will drop very quickly and in essence also brings him back to the pack in terms of scoring capability and thus can be treated as 'any other' elite premium (Pendles, Fyfe, J Selwood etc). The risk in not having him is that he comes out and bangs out 130's and up. Personally, I'm betting he won't, but that's the risk I'm taking. My 2 cents, YMMV etc.
    20. Jason
      Jason
      That's all a bit IFFY.

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