Racing tips....

Discussion in 'On the punt' started by Hazey1977, May 5, 2012.

  1. Bearfly

    Bearfly Moderator Staff Member

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    Just grabbed these from @1Selection2Win Facebook page

    Wednesday Midweek Mail

    Sandown Lakeside

    Race : 5
    No: 7 FAMILY CREST

    Speed: Even Tempo
    Dangers: (4) Alberani, (6) – Stardom, (8) – Queenera

    Nice little race where we have to match up the different form lines across the state.
    I see our selection in Family Crest camped just of the speed settling a pair or two pairs back on the fence getting the run of race. I can’t see these going at a break neck speed so this will suit the on pace runners.
    Natural improvement for Family Crest being second run back from a spell and the step up in distance to the 1400m will be to her liking, other positive thing is the stable have given her time to get over her first up run at Sale where she hit the line full of running only to beaten by half head margin.

    Newcastle

    Race: 3
    No: 7 ZEDI POWER

    Speed: Good Speed
    Dangers: (2) Dragon’s Keep, (6) Note To Bee

    Well supported on track for her debut run for her new stable only to run out of luck when it mattered most in the last 200m of the race, when pocketed on the rail until it was too late only seeing daylight until the last 150m flying home to go down a nose.
    She does drop 3kg from her last start placing and meets her conquer Note To Bee the same, with her nice barrier should jump and camp on the back of the early leaders in Note To Bee who’ll work across from the wide gate, also Dragon’s Keep pushing up from the two barrier, this is where I can see our selection get the charmed run in the race.
    With the experienced jockey Corey Brown going board this is a positive sign. The added fitness edge for this race as this being her second run from a 63 day spell watch for market moves on track again as this stable does like to have a bet.
     
  2. Bearfly

    Bearfly Moderator Staff Member

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    Following are the selections for the V Phenomenon for Saturday, December 1, 2012.

    Warwick Farm 4 2 Moriarty
    Eagle Farm 5 5 Bound To Blush
    Eagle Farm 6 2 Biggles
    Caulfield 4 6 Le Roi
    Caulfield 8 2 General Truce

    Following are The SharpShooter Selections for Saturday, December 1, 2012.

    Base
    EAF 3 7 Endless Shadow
    EAF 6 3 Jet Style

    Special
    EAF 3 7 Endless Shadow

    Favourites Discovery for Saturday, December 1, 2012

    Contenders (Favourite last and 2nd last starts)
    (These are the contenders - being Favourites at their last and 2nd last starts. If any of the following are favourites at this start - they qualify as a selection.)

    Warwick Farm 3 7 Our Design
    Warwick Farm 5 3 Uate
    Warwick Farm 5 8 STRATFORD
    Warwick Farm 8 4 Kings Dominion
    Caulfield 5 4 Bia Diamond
    Caulfield 7 1 Euryale
     
  3. Bearfly

    Bearfly Moderator Staff Member

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    @NeilEvansmail
    Best Value Bets
    Warwick Farm (Syd) 2day: R5 4.Coup Ay Tee**; R6 9.Mr Edison*** #bigodds; R7 1.Nuptse***! #value
    Eagle Farm (Bris) 2day: R3 7. Endless Shadow***; R6 9. Triple Six******* #bigvalue #bangbang

    @1Selection2Win
    Best Bet
    Caulfield R2 #2 Our Cellardoor

    Extra Mail
    Eagle Farm R5 #5 Bound To Blush
    Warwick Farm R5 #6 Forfeiture
    Caulfield R7 #6 Tigress Joy
     
  4. anthak

    anthak Moderator Staff Member

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    Hi fellas, Has anyone got a tip for the Magic Millions? Apart from Assail :)
     
  5. Bearfly

    Bearfly Moderator Staff Member

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    <p style='font: inherit;]@Ant - just depending which race you are actually referring to :) The entire meeting is in fact the MM meeting, with all races open to horses sold through the MM sales over the years!!! <p style='font: inherit;]But I presume you actually mean either of the 2 big main races, but I will throw in my thoughts on a selection of the races here. <p style='font: inherit;] <p style='font: inherit;]Race 1 - not really keen on it being a maiden, quite a few of these could bob up for a win, although #2 Dahnro, #3 Karma Force & #4 Royal Jester have all shown something first up from a spell previously, but cannot leave #7, 8, 9, 10, 15 & 16 out of the mix!!! <p style='font: inherit;]Race 2 - can easily select a dozen runners here and still miss the winner so best to leave alone!!! <p style='font: inherit;]Race 3 - am thinking the top weight Capital Commander should be hard to beat here, with #5 Playtime, #6 Cuddlesome, #7 Mosse Diva & #14 Bennetta chances <p style='font: inherit;]Race 4 - #2 Doubtful Jack has a solid first up record but does prefer the sting out of the ground with all his wins being on dead or worse going - #6 Leealan has a solid first up record & loves the track, however has only 2 places from 5 starts over the 1000m (wins have been at 900 & 1100) <p style='font: inherit;]Race 5 - #1 Sizzling is by far the class runner in this field, however I honestly don't think he is going as well this preparation as he was last time in and he will need an absolute mercurial ride from Williams to overcome the wide alley!!! For value, look towards any of #2, 4, 5, 7, 8, 9, 11, 13, 15 - I personally like the looks of #5, 8, 9 & 15 here, I think they are all well placed in this!!! <p style='font: inherit;]Race 6 - Very hard to go past Clevadude & Missy Longstocking in this - Clevadude won around the tight MV track in 58:39 on a dead track by 4.5 lengths without hitting top gear last start, and has won his 2 starts by a combined 8 lengths, that's some serious racing!!! His only hurdle will be the wide draw though, but should be more comfortable with barrier 14 after scratchings. Missy has also recorded some pretty smart times in her wins to date and beat some handy types her past 2 starts. Others to consider would be #8 Assail, #10 Sweet Idea, #11 Real Surreal, #13 Greytfilly & #14 Global Dream, all have each way potential if the 2 faves succumb to pressure. Another with some potential if it gets a run is #17 Architect, will be finishing strongly at nice odds. <p style='font: inherit;]Race 7 - A few chances in this one, but could easily completely miss out with a potential blowout result - I like #1, 3, 10 & 12, with #1 & 10 being my top 2 <p style='font: inherit;]Race 8 - Alot of genuine chances in this so I would tend to steer clear, but if I had to take a pick I would seriously consider #6 I'm Cool & #8 Whisperosa <p style='font: inherit;] <p style='font: inherit;]Hope that helps out a little mate, this is one race day that tends to throw up a few surprise results so I usually mainly watch the races looking for some pointers for the future. <p style='font: inherit;]It might pay to sit out the first 2 races and watch them to see if there is any obvious track bias
     
  6. anthak

    anthak Moderator Staff Member

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    Thanks heaps mate. I was just thinking about race 6 actually. sorry I didnt mention that. I didnt realise the whole day was referred to a Magic Millions...Ive just chucked a bet on Missy Longstockings ;)Thanks for the info. It was very helpful. hopefully i can have a win.
     
  7. Bearfly

    Bearfly Moderator Staff Member

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    [span style='font-family: Arial; font-size: 13px;]Tips from the 3 PPM services as follows: [span style='font-family: Arial; font-size: 13px;]
    <p style='color: #000000; line-height: normal;][span style='font-family: Arial; font-size: 13px;]Following are the selections for the V Phenomenon for Saturday, January 12, 2013.


    line-height: normal;] <div> <div> <div> <div> <div> <div> <div> <div> <div> <div> <div> <div> <div> [span style='font-family: Arial; font-size: 13px;]Rosehill 4 1 Havana Rey [span style='font-family: Arial; font-size: 13px;]Flemington 6 9 British General [span style='font-family: Arial; font-size: 13px;]Flemington 8 10 Quick Snitzel [span style='font-family: Arial; font-size: 13px;]
    <p class='style1' style='color: #000000; line-height: normal;][span style='font-family: Arial; font-size: 13px;]Following are The SharpShooter Selections for Saturday, January 12, 2013.
    line-height: normal;] <div> <div>[span style='font-family: Arial; font-size: 13px;]Base Bets <div> [span style='font-family: Arial; font-size: 13px;]FLE 3 2 Module [span style='font-family: Arial; font-size: 13px;]FLE 6 9 British General [span style='font-family: Arial; font-size: 13px;] [span style='font-family: Arial; font-size: 13px;]Special Bet [span style='font-family: Arial; font-size: 13px;]FLE 6 9 British General [span style='font-family: Arial; font-size: 13px;]

    line-height: normal;] [span style='font-family: Arial; font-size: 13px;]Favourites Discovery for Saturday, January 12, 2013
    line-height: normal;] [span style='font-family: Arial; font-size: 13px;]Contenders (These are the contenders - being Favourites at their last and 2nd last starts. If any of the following are favourites at this start - they qualify as a selection[span style='font: inherit; background-color: #ffffff;]) [span style='font-family: Arial; font-size: 13px;] [span style='font-family: Arial; font-size: 13px;]Rosehill 5 4 Happy Galaxy [span style='font-family: Arial; font-size: 13px;]Rosehill 7 2 Lucymaylyn [span style='font-family: Arial; font-size: 13px;]Rosehill 8 10 Conroy's Gap [span style='font-family: Arial; font-size: 13px;]Flemington 4 2 Octavia [span style='font-family: Arial; font-size: 13px;]Flemington 4 5 Pitta Patta [span style='font-family: Arial; font-size: 13px;]Flemington 4 12 Chilli Beach [span style='font-family: Arial; font-size: 13px;]Flemington 7 2 It Is Written [span style='font-family: Arial; font-size: 13px;]Flemington 8 4 He's A Steal [span style='font-family: Arial; font-size: 13px;]Flemington 8 11 Girl Gone Rockin
     
  8. Bearfly

    Bearfly Moderator Staff Member

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    [span style='font-family: Arial; font-size: 13px;]Time to post up some tips here for tomorrow - as usual, will start with the PPM services: [span style='font-family: Arial; font-size: 13px;]
    <p style='color: #000000; line-height: normal;][span style='font-family: Arial; font-size: 13px;]The V Phenomenon for Saturday, January 19, 2013


    line-height: normal;] <div> <div> <div> <div> <div> <div> <div> <div> <div> <div> <div> <div> <div> <div> <div> <div> [span style='font-family: Arial; font-size: 13px;]Rosehill Race 2 # 2 Disciple
    Rosehill Race 3 # 1 She's Clean
    Rosehill Race 4 # 2 That's A Good Idea [span style='font-family: Arial; font-size: 13px;]

    line-height: normal;] [span style='font-family: Arial; font-size: 13px;]Favourites Discovery for Saturday, January 19, 2013
    line-height: normal;] [span style='font-family: Arial; font-size: 13px;]Contenders (If any of the following contenders are favourites in the race day morning markets, they qualify as a selection). <div> [span style='font-family: Arial; font-size: 13px;]
    Rosehill Race 1 # 6 Never Dwell
    Rosehill Race 2 # 2 Disciple
    Rosehill Race 5 # 2 Cannyzing
    Rosehill Race 7 # 1 Thubiaan
    Rosehill Race 8 # 1 Single [span style='font-family: Arial; font-size: 13px;]
    [span style='font-family: Arial; font-size: 13px;] <div class='posttitle' style='outline-style: none; overflow: hidden; clear: both; width: 635px; color: #000000; line-height: 15px;] <div class='postheading' style='outline-style: none; padding-top: 5px; float: left;] [span style='font-family: Arial; font-size: 13px;]Devil's Cut Selections for Saturday, 19 January, 2013 <div class='postcontent' style='outline-style: none; color: #000000; line-height: 15px;] [span style='font-family: Arial; font-size: 13px;]
    [span style='font-family: Arial; font-size: 13px;]Wizard Likes [span style='font-family: Arial; font-size: 13px;]<br style='outline: none;[/img] Flemington 4 No.6 LINGO<br style='outline: none;[/img] Eagle Farm 6 No.5 Kempelly<br style='outline: none;[/img] Morphetville 6 No.9 You're Discreet<br style='outline: none;[/img] Ascot 4 No.11 Prince Of Stars<br style='outline: none;[/img] <br style='outline: none;[/img] <strong style='outline-style: none;]Early Mail[/b]<br style='outline: none;[/img] <br style='outline: none;[/img] Flemington 6 No.13 Brehat<br style='outline: none;[/img] Rosehill 4 No.2 That's A Good Idea<br style='outline: none;[/img] Rosehill 7 No.3 Secessio<br style='outline: none;[/img] Rosehill 8 No.1 Single<br style='outline: none;[/img] <br style='outline: none;[/img] <strong style='outline-style: none;]Dangers At the Distance[/b]<br style='outline: none;[/img] <br style='outline: none;[/img] Rosehill 1 No.4 Centrepet<br style='outline: none;[/img] Rosehill 7 No.9 Fortunefivehundred<br style='outline: none;[/img] Flemington 6 No.2 Chasse<br style='outline: none;[/img] Eagle Farm 8 No.9 Precious Mandy <p style='outline-style: none; margin-bottom: 10px;][span style='font-family: Arial; font-size: 13px;]
    <h5 class='uiStreamMessage uiStreamHeadline' data-ft='{'tn':':'}' tabindex='-1' style='color: #000000; word-break: break-word; word-wrap: break-word; font-weight: normal; outline-style: none; line-height: 1.38; background-color: #ffffff;] <div class='actorDescription actorName' data-ft='{'type':2,'tn':':'}' style='font-weight: bold; padding-bottom: 4px;][span style='font-family: Arial;][span style='font-family: Arial; font-size: 13px;]1Selection2Win </h5> <h5 class='uiStreamMessage userContentWrapper' data-ft='{'type':1,'tn':'K'}' style='color: #000000; margin-bottom: 5px; word-break: break-word; word-wrap: break-word; font-weight: normal; line-height: 14px; background-color: #ffffff;][span style='font-family: Arial; font-size: 13px;]Welcome back to the 1Selection2Win Facebook page for 2013, here are my bets for this weekend of racing.

    SATURDAY MAIL

    BEST BET

    ROSEHILL
    RACE 7 NO: 3[span style='color: #3b3b3b; font-weight: bold; line-height: 18px; background-color: #ffffff;]SECESSIO
    [span style='color: #3b3b3b; font-weight: bold; line-height: 18px; background-color: #ffffff;]Third up for the Chris Waller stable trained gelding will have him primed to get into the winners circle.
    His last run where he stepped up to the 1900m (2nd up) at Canterbury will be a great pointer for this race, he didn't appreciate the tight turning circuit of the track ,in saying this he did hit the line well once balanced to be placed (3rd) beaten a long neck x &amp;frac12; head margin when they hit the line.
    [span style='color: #3b3b3b; font-weight: bold; line-height: 18px; background-color: #ffffff;]The roomier circuit of Rosehill will suit him to a cup of tea, as well the distance of 2000m will make him terribly hard to beat as his two overseas wins have been over 2000-2200m.
    [span style='color: #3b3b3b; font-weight: bold; line-height: 18px; background-color: #ffffff;]He does drop 1.5kg from his last start performance so he does get well in the weights.
    [span style='color: #3b3b3b; font-weight: bold; line-height: 18px; background-color: #ffffff;]Watch for any market moves on track.

    EARLY PRICE: $4.80 (NSW TAB FIXED)

    ******************************<wbr></wbr>**********************

    EXTRA MAIL

    ROSEHILL
    [span style='color: #3b3b3b; font-weight: bold; line-height: 18px; background-color: #ffffff;]RACE 1 No: 2 (1.10pm)CHIARAMONTE

    Stable will have this son of Redoute's Choice primed for a huge first up performance as he has trialled well to have him ready for this race.
    [span style='color: #3b3b3b; font-weight: bold; line-height: 18px; background-color: #ffffff;]Has a nice race record with 3 starts for 2 wins and a placing to the smart filly Joile Bay who was placed in a Group 1 over the Flemington carnival to Nechita.
    [span style='color: #3b3b3b; font-weight: bold; line-height: 18px; background-color: #ffffff;]On that occasion our selection was ridden on the speed only to be run down in the shadows of the post, I can see for this race there will be nice tempo up front so this will suit our selection where he will be able to be balanced up 2-3 pairs back and hit the line over the last furlong of the race.
    [span style='color: #3b3b3b; font-weight: bold; line-height: 18px; background-color: #ffffff;]Watch for any market moves on track on track.

    EARLY PRICE: $5.00 (NSW TAB FIXED)

    ******************************<wbr></wbr>***********************
    EXTRA MAIL

    KEMBLA
    [span style='color: #3b3b3b; font-weight: bold; line-height: 18px; background-color: #ffffff;]RACE 7 No: 1 (5.25pm)MEZZANOTTE

    Drops back to a BM60 Ratings race from a NMW race, will appreciate the rise to the 2000m where he will either lead and dictate the pace of the race or take a sit on the leaders back with the barrier he has drawn (3
    [span style='color: #3b3b3b; font-weight: bold; line-height: 18px; background-color: #ffffff;]Stable likes to have a bet so watch for any market moves on track.

    EARLY PRICE: (NO PRICES)

    GOOD LUCK & GOOD PUNTING</h5>
     
  9. DC

    DC Member

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    In the Blue Diamond tomorrow Miracles of life will be hard to beat but I like Fast N Rockingas a big roughie paying $51
     
  10. fidels

    fidels Guest

    Had my 1st punt in months today & did ok, old log in not working.not working when hot, hot, so will have a crack at England tonight. my top picks = fairy =

    r1 = 1
    r2 = 3-1
    r3 = 3-10
    r4 = 2-1-3--5-7
    r5 = 7-6
    r6 = 9-11


    ling =

    r1 = 1-4-7--2-6
    r2 = 4-8-5-11-9-6
    r3 = 1-8-2-7-5-3
    r4 = 1-9-4-8-6-3-7
    r5 = 1-5-6-4-2-3
    r6 = 3-6-4-2-1


    kempt =

    r1 = 1-4-3-5-8
    r2 = 4-2-5
    r3 = 1-4-6
    r4 = 2-6--3
    r5 = 3-4-6-1-9-7-2//3-4-2 = 3-4---2--6-1-9-7
    r6 = 3--4-6-1-9-2 Chep to follow...


     
  11. fidels

    fidels Guest

    kemp r5 meant to be 3-4---2--6-1-9-7
     
  12. fidels

    fidels Guest

    fucked if i can figure out this new set up, gl all
     
  13. fidels

    fidels Guest

    chep =

    r1 = 14-11-9-6-2
    r2 = 1--4--7
    r3 = 3-10-7-8-5-4
    r4 = 3-8-7-2-6-5-4
    r5 = 6-4-7-1-8-3
    r6 = 1-9-3-7-5-10
     
  14. fidels

    fidels Guest

    wtf is this new crap?
     
  15. Bearfly

    Bearfly Moderator Staff Member

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    G'day fidels, good to see ya back mate :) New site definitely takes a little getting used to - and Walesy is still ironing out the odd glitch when they surface, but once you get used to it it's not bad :)
    Tried to get in touch with you last September about the Punters Club a group of us set up.
     
  16. fidels

    fidels Guest

    atwmpt 20. just about to give up here
     
  17. fidels

    fidels Guest

    yeah i've given up. fuk thid=s, 1 in 20 posts work, fix this shit pls.
     
  18. fidels

    fidels Guest

    fuck this shit!!!!
     
  19. DC

    DC Member

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    DC wrote:
    In the Blue Diamond tomorrow Miracles of life will be hard to beat but I like Fast N Rockingas a big roughie paying $51 Hope people got on Fast N Rocking at those huge odds!! ;)
     
  20. Bearfly

    Bearfly Moderator Staff Member

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    DC wrote:
    DC wrote:
    In the Blue Diamond tomorrow Miracles of life will be hard to beat but I like Fast N Rockingas a big roughie paying $51 Hope people got on Fast N Rocking at those huge odds!! ;) Most definitely DC - had a nice $25 on the great little South Oz filly (plus another $50 in pre-post bets from a month ago or more), then had a nice little $3 win/$7 place on Fast N Rocking. Was a great ride by Lauren to win, but I think Fast N Rocking will be one to watch in the Slipper if it runs, as well as when it comes back as a 3yo!!!
     

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