@bjaensch

Some definite left field picks in there. I'm not seeing value or potential in Gibbs, I think the blues will struggle this year. Lot's of risk in Wines, Swallow and Crouch all improving their output.
I think you should reduce your risk profile by removing some of these for some more reliable contributors.

I'm also tossing up between Sheppard, Laird and KK.

I would take Bartel over Smith, pre season has been huge.

For every mid pricer that takes that step (think of McRae, Wines last year) there are 10 or more than do not.

I like to reduce my risk profile by having only a few of these risks in my team each year.

This year for me its Lachie Neale.

Yep, been on Neale since those huge numbers as well!

100% agree with Jason on Salem

Fool's gold

JPK, thanks for the comments and support. With my sensible hat back on, the chances of all of the 'low premiums' going off and getting into the 110's are between slim and none and Slim just left town. Doing some re-jigging, going to keep a couple of them, but which ones is the question...

Re: Heeney and Anderson, I am also concerned of JS and vesting (even though they are both in and out of my midfield rookie line!)

Cripps and even Van Berlo worth the extra money for their much higher JS.

That is the conclusion I came to as well. I'm going to start him, bask in the early glow and then if he gets hurt or suspended, out he goes.

has anybody else noticed Jack Sinclair? limited game time (39%) against Don's got the pill 8 times, 69% game time, 16 possies, 9 contested against Hawks. Might be worth a look...

I think the following is a better look:

D: Simpson, Burgoyne, Newnes, Higgins, Dalgliesh, Hambling Goddard, Saad
M: Pendles, J Selwood, Parker, Wines, A Swallow, Cockatoo, Heeney, Boekhorst, Anderson, E-Y, Lambert
R: Mummy, Nic Nat, Cox
F:Gray, D Martin, Bartel, Westhoff, Clark, Karnesis, Hogan, Lonie

You wouldn't start with NN for the same reason you said you wouldn't start with Mummy - high risk of losing games. Plus his scoring isn't as much of a lock as Mummy and its reported his pre-season has been light. Not for me, and same with Mummy although I understand why people would take on Mummy's injury risk.

Walesy, backs are terrible but I got a little burnt last year by not having a roughly even spread of rookies to upgrade over different positions. Plus if you don't get the mid-pricer right you'll be using a trade there anyway without the money gain.

This preseason, I have not been tempted to put Ablett in my team at all. The guy is a gun, and I'll probably be chasing tail all year trying to get him in.

Haha great minds, etc etc

Here is my current lineup ...

DEFENDERS
1. Simpson, K 2. Newnes, J 3. Higgins, S 4. Ibbotson, G 5. Maynard, B 6. Saad, A 23. Lever, J 24. Hamling, J

MIDFIELDERS
7. Pendlebury, S 8. Selwood, J 9. Treloar, A 10. Dangerfield, P 11. Griffen, R 12. Bontempelli, M 13. Brayshaw, A 14. Cockatoo, N 25. Anderson, J 26. Heeney, I 27. Krakouer, N

RUCKS
15. Jacobs, S 16. Goldstein, T 28. Read, T

FORWARDS
17. Deledio, B 18. Goddard, B 19. Swan, D 20. Salem, C 21. Clark, M, 22. Hogan, J 29. Steele, J 30. Lonie, J


Tried to go for Value in the mids with danger/griff.
Otherwise, Ive tried to only go for top 6 mids/fwds. Backs is anyones guess. Not sure there will be a consistent high scorer other than Malsexi & Simpson. I'm thinking a lot of sideways action in defence to get on the streaks this year.
Set and forget rucks is the only way to go (until they get injured!).
Haven't really seen much of the NAB challenge yet. Will have a look at all the rookie scores when they get published later on.