I'm expecting a minimum of 430pts a week from my 6 defenders at a cost of roughly 2.3mill (for all 8). At a minimum you must be spending 2.7mill (more likely 3mill+) for what expected average? 500? Considering the top 10 defenders averaged 93.5 last year it couldn't be more then that. Granted I'm not expecting my mid pricers to maintain an average of 70 but there is that possibility for a cheaper price! I think as bad as the backs are this year 400k at D6 is crazy

I wasn't convinced about Walesy's idea of dropping Abblett but then I did some research. The top ten starting price Supercoach players over the past five years have not done well in gaining ground over the year - in fact there has only been four! I've just dropped him! I don't want to bore you with stats but here they are
,, Start,Current,Change
,, Salary,Salary,
2010,ABLETT, Gary, $744,200,$600,000,-$144,200
2010,MONTAGNA, Leigh, $668,200,$524,800,-$143,400
2010,SWAN, Dane, $654,500,$635,100,-$19,400
2010,HAYES, Lenny, $629,800,$534,200,-$95,600
2010,DAL SANTO, Nick, $614,600,$523,300,-$91,300
2010,GODDARD, Brendon, $613,600,$622,800,$9,200
2010,CHAPMAN, Paul, $609,900,$485,500,-$124,400
2010,GOODES, Adam, $607,200,$483,900,-$123,300
2010,RIEWOLDT, Nick, $600,500,$571,500,-$29,000
2010,MURPHY, Marc, $599,500,$544,600,-$54,900
,,,,
2011,GODDARD, Brendon ,$633,700,$486,900,-$146,800
2011,ABLETT, Gary , $631,900,$579,300,-$52,600
2011,SWAN, Dane , $617,300,$563,900,-$53,400
2011,JUDD, Chris , $576,700,$510,000,-$66,700
2011,SELWOOD, Joel , $573,200,$494,500,-$78,700
2011,HODGE, Luke , $566,800,$454,800,-$112,000
2011,CHAPMAN, Paul , $566,500,$441,200,-$125,300
2011,BARLOW, Michael , $564,400,$409,500,-$154,900
2011,MONTAGNA, Leigh , $558,700,$427,600,-$131,100
2011,SANDILANDS, Aaron ,$554,700,$455,500,-$99,200
2011,CROSS, Daniel , $554,500,$428,200,-$126,300
2011,DAL SANTO, Nick , $547,300,$513,000,-$34,300
,,,,
2012,Scott Pendlebury, $700,500,$578,100,-$122,400
2012,Gary Ablett, $689,000,$701,700,$12,700
2012,Dean Cox, $662,600,$533,100,-$129,500
2012,Dane Swan, $661,100,$604,500,-$56,600
2012,Nick Dal Santo, $647,100,$473,600,-$173,500
2012,Marc Murphy, $639,900,$588,500,-$51,400
2012,Chris Judd ,$626,400,$504,800,-$121,600
2012,Matthew Boyd, $626,100,$550,100,-$76,000
2012,Matt Priddis, $618,500,$543,300,-$75,200
2012,Tom Rockliff, $615,600,$373,700,-$241,900
,,,,
2013,Gary Ablett, $740,500,$529,200,-$211,300
2013,Dane Swan, $675,300,$572,200,-$103,100
2013,Scott Pendlebury, $667,300,$594,200,-$73,100
2013,Dayne Beams, $657,600,$528,000,-$129,600
2013,Jobe Watson, $647,200,$521,900,-$125,300
2013,Josh P. Kennedy, $643,000,$486,400,-$156,600
2013,Patrick Dangerfield, $636,000,$522,700,-$113,300
2013,Joel Selwood, $629,500,$649,600,$20,100
2013,Brett Deledio, $624,100,$502,500,-$121,600
2013,Trent Cotchin, $622,100,$460,000,-$162,100
,,,,
2014,Gary Ablett, $695,000,$673,400,-$21,600
2014,Scott Pendlebury, $683,100,$595,900,-$87,200
2014,Joel Selwood, $638,700,$615,800,-$22,900
2014,Dane Swan, $632,600,$388,600,-$244,000
2014,Ryan Griffen, $627,600,$541,800,-$85,800
2014,Steve Johnson, $625,000,$526,900,-$98,100
2014,Leigh Montagna, $619,000,$380,100,-$238,900
2014,Will Minson, $616,600,$417,700,-$198,900
2014,Todd Goldstein, $612,400,$631,800,$19,400
2014,Patrick Dangerfield, $609,000,$502,100,-$106,900

Like the team wars, can always swap rookies around come round 1. Probably a bit light on in the fwds for me, however with Bonts DPP you could argue it's covered. I like the mids and think Danger and Treloar offer massive reward (and risk) at the start of the season. My team has them in and out at the expense of other lines on a daily basis.

@terry
backs solid ibbo injury risk clancee a chance for same improvement if fit
Mids Big ? over Ablett atm Beams new club rich,redden,christensen added to rocky i would prefer to wait rooks who knows at this stage
Ruc Lobbe i'd be worried about ryder affecting scoring like lycett with NN injury history
Fwds gray yes goddard should hold value Taylor can't see consistent high scores would imagine less mid time this year & J Martin def upside would be sub scores & injury in last years awkward price though

In summary too many risks but martin & lycett worth a look

you do need to look at the season finish price v the new starting price among other things but looking at that they are more than likely to drop in price

swan and griff look tasty if they can regain old form

They both offer value but do you think they can regain old form and be in top 6 a years end i think they will both go close

Don''t know how to get this post back in the right thread but for what it's worth over the last 5 years -
45% of players who have played more than 8 games in the previous year go up in value and their average age is 23.
55% of players who have played more than 8 games go down and their average age is 25.
Now if only we could predict which ones this applied to we would be on a winner - this really is a useless bit of information