The run home in the ORFFF, 2017

Discussion in 'ORFFF' started by anthak, Jul 11, 2017.

  1. anthak

    anthak Moderator Staff Member

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    3 rounds to go before the ORFFF finals series kicks off.

    Let's have a look at which teams are still in contention and how they fare with the fixture...


    current pos - team name; ladder points; total points scored; r13 opponent; r14 opponent; r15 opponent; Highest posible finish; lowest possible finish; my predicted finish: Comment

    1st - Mount Thirsty 40 15836; @NKB @RGF vMIW; 1, 7, 1st: A couple of tough games but in good enough form to win all 3. The only team guaranteed to make the 8

    2nd - Walpole 34 15543; @MCG @WIW vDDB; 1, 10, 3rd: Currently 4th on total points scored and should finish top4

    3rd - Rutherglen 32 15910; vMLA vMTB @HIS; 1, 12, 4th: The highest scoring team in the league, but also has the 2nd worst defence. No easy games to come but should be good enough to finish top4

    4th - Jan Juc 32 15318; vHIS vMLA vPLP; 1, 12, 2nd: Lucky to get 4 home games to finish the season and will probably win these last 3

    5th - Neptune Island 32 14895; @MIW vNKB @MCG; 1, 12, 6th: Tough game next up against the Whales which could go either way, but finishes off with two easier games and should make the 8

    6th - Drouin 28 15672; vWIW @ULV @WPW; 1, 13, 5th: In excellent form and could beat any team in the comp, but will find it hard to make top4, despite being only a game out at present

    7th - Macquarie Island 28 15008; vNIN vMCG @MTB; 1, 13, 7th: Will probably need a couple more wins to make the 8 and I think theyre in good enough form to do it

    8th - Useless Loop 26 14972; @BST vDDB vCBA; 2, 13, 8th: In terrible form and likely to need at least 1 more win to stay in the 8. Will be challenging, but the draw against Walpole is helpful and they should just scrape in

    9th - Maralinga 24 15164; @RGF @JJD @NKB; 2, 14, 9th: Finishes the season on a long road trip against quality opposition, however if Useless Loop slips up, they will be a big chance for the 8

    10th - Heard Island 24 15097; @JJD vCBA vRGF; 2, 14, 10th: A really tough draw to finish and will struggle to win any more games, however Im backing my boys in to beat Cockburn to stay ahead of them on the ladder

    11th - Cockburn 20 14569; vPLP @HIS @ULV; 3, 15, 11th: Should win 2 or 3 games to finish the season strong, but probably too late to make the finals

    12th - Wedge Island 20 14331; @DDB vWPW @BST; 3, 15, 12th: going fairly well lately, but a tough draw remains

    13th - Nangkita 16 14074; vMTB @NIN vMLA; 7, 16, 14th: On a long losing streak and will probably get overtaken by whoever wins the round 14 match between Black Swamp and Port Lincoln


    So, 13 teams still have a chance to make the 8, and only Mount Thirsty is guaranteed a spot in the finals.

    Unfortunately Black Swamp, Port Lincoln and Mole Creek are already out of the running
     
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  2. leematty1

    leematty1 Well-Known Member

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    Love your work here
     
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  3. That KI Guy

    That KI Guy Moderator Staff Member

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    Great stuff Ant.
    Noahs banking on a return of five of our best 15 in Howe, Tyson, Lynch, Murphy and Menzel as we take on the rampaging Whales for a top four spot.
     
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  4. James84

    James84 Well-Known Member

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    Love the write up! Will be interesting to see how it all pans out. Like the real comp it's all up for grabs if a team hits its stride at the right time this season!!
     
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  5. Len

    Len Cockburn Knightrider Staff Member

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    Confident of tanking myself out of contention :p

    Good read though mate thanks
     
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  6. YAD69

    YAD69 Moderator Staff Member

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    A lesson in fantasy footy, don't have too many of your footy's in one bag cause if the bag goes missing you're left with diddle squat.
    JJK, Prid, Hurn, Wellingham :(
     
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  7. anthak

    anthak Moderator Staff Member

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    2 rounds to go. Its so close between 3rd and 10th with a lot of very big games coming up. It's just guess work predicting how the top8 will finish up.


    current pos - team name; ladder points; total points scored; r14 opponent; r15 opponent; Highest possible finish; lowest possible finish; my predicted finish: Comment

    1st - Mount Thirsty 44 17278; @RGF vMIW; 1, 2, 1st: Playing very strongly and has now locked in a home final and a double chance

    2nd - Walpole 38 16762; @WIW vDDB; 1, 8, 2nd: A win last up has locked in a finals position

    3rd - Rutherglen 32 17215; vMTB @HIS; 2, 10, 5th: Has a strong 'points for' but is now a threat to miss the top4 after 3 losses in a row

    4th - Drouin 32 17066; @ULV @WPW; 2, 10, 3rd: Two tough games to finish, and both on the road, but may make the top4 afterall

    5th - Jan Juc 32 16471; vMLA vPLP; 2, 10, 7th: A shock loss last game might see them miss the top4 in a close season

    6th - Macquarie Island 32 16178; vMCG @MTB; 2, 10, 8th: Got the win they needed last round. Now just 1 more will probably lock in a finals spot

    7th - Neptune Island 32 16037; vNKB @MCG; 2, 10, 4th: Two easier games to finish the season could help them into the top4

    8th - Useless Loop 30 16252; vDDB vCBA; 2, 10, 9th: Huge game this week with their finals hopes possibly hinging on the result

    9th - Maralinga 28 16515; @JJD @NKB; 3, 12, 6th: A great win against 3rd placed Rutherglen has put them firmly in the frame for a finals spot. With a strong 'points for', a win this week could see them move ahead of the Ducks by the end of the season

    10th - Heard Island 28 16514; vCBA vRGF; 3, 12, 10th: Not good enough for subterfuge, and still very unlikely to make the 8


    10 teams trying to fit into 8, and only Mount Thirsty and Walpole are guaranteed a spot.

    Unfortunately Cockburn, Wedge Island, Nangkita, Black Swamp, Port Lincoln and Mole Creek are all now out of the running

    Good luck to everyone
     
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  8. TheTassieHawk

    TheTassieHawk SC fanatic Staff Member

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    thanks for the update @anthak

    A fortnight out it feels too early to pull out the calculators just yet but we do know that Round 14 wins and losses will definitely play a massive part in how this season plays out as 40 points for top 4 and 34/36 for top 8 seem the most likely outcomes.

    Time permitting for ORFFF participants I personally think it would be great to see some Saturday night/Sunday morning scoring for the three 8 pointers of the week - RGF v MTB, ULV v DDB and JJD v MLA.
     
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  9. port_leschenault

    port_leschenault Administrator Staff Member

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    Pleased to be making the finals but the other teams that should make the top 4 all look stronger on paper and on points, any head to head battle going to be a challenge. Should be a good learning experience for the team.
     
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  10. anthak

    anthak Moderator Staff Member

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    What he said:

    :thumbsu:
     

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