2019 ORFFW All Stars - Victoria

Discussion in 'ORFFW' started by dmandrews, Mar 13, 2019.

  1. dmandrews

    dmandrews Well-Known Member

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    The much anticipated 2019 ORRFW All-Stars game will be played at Flour Girls Arena this weekend before the ORRFW Grand Final between the Manildra Mystix and the Lake St Clair Devils. The format of the All-Stars game has changed from last year’s NBA All-Stars style circa 2018-2019, to a State of Origin format with Victoria opposed to the Allies. The squad is comprised of Victorian players from the six ORRFW teams that aren't playing in the Grand Final. Victorian Mystix and Devils players are ineligible for selection as they are required for the ORRFW Grand Final.

    Victoria’s 35 player squad for the ORFFW State of Origin game against the Allies are listed further down in this post along with their 2019 average.

    The teams will have the traditional ORFF* structure of:

    4 Defenders
    4 Midfielders
    1 Ruck
    4 Forwards
    2 Interchange

    The first game of AFLW Round 7 between the GWS Giants and Geelong starts at 7.15pm so I will post the final Victorian team at about 6.30pm on Friday.

    @Jason, @walesy and @Bandit please provide your input on the composition of the Victorian side.

    @stripey, @Len and anyone else who is lurking around, the time has come to declare which of the two teams you support – Victoria or the Allies. If you are on board with Victoria please provide your input in this thread.

    Victoria’s squad

    Defenders (4 to be selected)
    Jess Duffin 76
    Kate Gillespie-Jones 74
    Kerryn Harrington 56
    Hannah Scott 48
    Lauren Spark 48
    Libby Birch 45
    Jade Van Dyk 42

    Midfielders (4 to be selected on the ground plus another two on the bench)
    Emma Kearney 80
    Jenna Bruton 69
    Monique Conti 69
    Ellie Blackburn 68
    Renee Garing 66
    Lily Mithen 63
    Olivia Purcell 63
    Brittany Bonnici 61
    Aisling Utri 60
    Alicia Eva 60
    Madeline Keryk 59

    Rucks (1 to be selected)
    Lauren Pearce 69
    Erin Hoare 49
    Maddie McMahon 46

    Forwards (4 to be selected)
    Kaitlyn Ashmore 65
    Jasmine Garner 61
    Kate Darby 53
    Lauren Arnell 52
    Eden Zanker49
    Georgia Gee 49
    Aliesha Newman 48
    Tegan Cunningham 48
    Katie Loynes 47
    Sarah Dargan 47
    Sarah D’Arcy 44
    Cristina Bernadi 43
    Phoebe McWilliams 43
    Brooke Lochland 39

    Interchange (2 to be selected)
    Any players listed above can be selected on the interchange, however given the scoring across the positions two midfielders look to be the best option to fill the interchange positions.

    After members of the Victorian selection committee have provided their input a draft Victorian team for the 2019 State of Origin game will be posted in this thread late Thursday night. Members of the Victorian selection committee are welcome to provide any suggestions on the provisional Victorian team including any changes they would like to make. The final Victorian team will be submitted at approximately 6.30 pm on Friday.
     
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  2. Jason

    Jason Moderator Staff Member

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    I guess the decision comes down to whether we value runs on the board or potential. The former would suggest that the team should be filled by the players with the highest averages to date. The latter is more interesting but requires a bit more data (that I don't think I have access to).

    Brooke Lochland for instance has a scoring ceiling way higher than her 2019 average to date. But that was in a previous year in a very different team.

    It would be interesting to know which of the options has the highest ceilings on their scores to date, both for this year and over their AFLW career. But I just don't have that data.
     
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  3. dmandrews

    dmandrews Well-Known Member

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    A mix of highest average and highest ceiling/best recent form is probably the way to go @Jason in selecting the Victorian team.

    The AFLW App is a good source for stats, it provides detailed stats for each game the player has played in 2019 as well as averages for 2017, 2018 and 2019.

    Returning from injury in 2019 Lochland scored 48 points in Round 5 followed by 30 points in Round 6. Holding the record for most goals in an AFLW game with seven Lochland obviously has a high ceiling and the Bulldogs are playing the side she set the record against, Carlton. On the flipside, as Jason mentioned that was in a very different Bulldogs team and Lochland has only played two games since returning from injury.

    Average AFL Fantasy points for Brooke Lochland
    Year Average Games played
    2017 45.0 7
    2018 65.9 8
    2019 39.0 2

    Based on 2019 averages Victoria have six standout players that can probably be pencilled in with the remaining positions more difficult to decide:

    Def: Jess Duffin, Kate Gillespie-Jones, ?, ?

    Mid: Emma Kearney, ?, ?, ?

    Ruc: Lauren Pearce

    Fwd: Kaitlyn Ashmore, Jasmine Garner, ?, ?

    Int: ?, ?

    Monique Conti is a player who I would expect to outperform her average as in both her AFLW seasons with the Western Bulldogs she has improved as the season as progressed, partly because she has a limited workload in the AFLW pre-season due to her commitments with the Melbourne Boomers in the WNBL. In four of her past five games Conti has scored at least 74 points including her season best of 106 last weekend. Based on averages Conti would get a berth in the team and her impressive recent form further presses her claim.
     
  4. TheTassieHawk

    TheTassieHawk SC fanatic Staff Member

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  5. dmandrews

    dmandrews Well-Known Member

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    Have had a go at picking a Victorian team based mainly on 2019 averages along with a couple of players with a high ceiling in Alicia Eva and Brooke Lochland. @Jason or any other Victorians let me know if there are other players you would like to have in the side and if you would like any of the players below to be removed.

    Def: Jess Duffin, Kate Gillespie-Jones, Kerryn Harrington, Hannah Scott (Lauren Spark)
    Mid: Emma Kearney, Ellie Blackburn, Jenna Bruton, Renee Garing (Lily Mithen)
    Ruc: Lauren Pearce
    Fwd: Kaitlyn Ashmore, Jasmine Garner, Lauren Arnell, Brooke Lochland (Kate Darby)
    Int: Monique Conti, Alicia Eva (Olivia Purcell)
     
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  6. TheTassieHawk

    TheTassieHawk SC fanatic Staff Member

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  7. Jason

    Jason Moderator Staff Member

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    Sorry, haven't had enough time to do justice to this in the last couple of days.

    The key players that I was looking for are in the team that dmandrews posted above. I'm happy with that.
     

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