ORFFF 2016 Round 15

Discussion in 'ORFFF' started by TheTassieHawk, Jul 18, 2016.

Tags:
  1. TheTassieHawk

    TheTassieHawk SC fanatic Staff Member

    Joined:
    Jan 3, 2016
    Messages:
    4,898
    Likes Received:
    3,475
    Round 15 matches (to be played in AFL Round 18) as the ORFFF regular season reaches its conclusion, bolded teams currently in the top 8

    Neptune Island Noahs (12-2) vs Chinchilla Chumps (10-4) - will directly impact on the top 4, but is the only round 15 match that does not potentially affect who makes the top 8.

    Wedge Island White Pointers (7-7) vs Drouin Dropbears (13-1)
    Useless Loop Virgins (7-7) vs Black Swamp 29ers (10-4)

    Port Lincoln Power (5-9) vs Cockburn Avengers (9-5)

    Maralinga Atoms (6-8) vs Rutherglen Fugitives (6-8)
    Heard Island Shags (3-11) vs Jan Juc Ducks (7-7)
    Mt Thirsty Boozers (3-11) vs Dingo Beach Butchers (6-8)
    Walpole Woylies (1-13) vs Mole Creek Glow-Worms (7-7)

    Current ORFFF Ladder and team entry/Matchday reporting etc is at
    http://tooserious.net/forum/tsLeagues.php?leagueId=14

    Previous Round threads are below
    http://tooserious.net/forum/threads/orfff-2016-round-14.89582/
    http://tooserious.net/forum/threads/2016-orfff-round-13.89545/
    http://tooserious.net/forum/threads/orfff-2016-round-12.89518/
    http://tooserious.net/forum/threads/orfff-2016-round-11.89504/
    http://tooserious.net/forum/threads/orfff-2016-round-10.89495/
    http://tooserious.net/forum/threads/orfff-2016-round-9.89476/
    http://tooserious.net/forum/threads/orfff-2016-rivalry-round-round-8.89461
    http://tooserious.net/forum/threads/orfff-2016-round-7.89450/
    http://tooserious.net/forum/threads/orfff-2016-round-6.89431/
    http://tooserious.net/forum/threads/orfff-2016-round-5-anzac-round.89422/
    http://tooserious.net/forum/threads/orfff-2016-round-4.89406/
    http://tooserious.net/forum/threads/orfff-2016-round-3.89389/
    http://tooserious.net/forum/threads/orfff-2016-round-2.89381/
    http://tooserious.net/forum/threads/orfff-2016-round-1.89362/
     
  2. TheTassieHawk

    TheTassieHawk SC fanatic Staff Member

    Joined:
    Jan 3, 2016
    Messages:
    4,898
    Likes Received:
    3,475
    Who will make the ORFFF Final 8?

    6th spot = Jan Juc (7-7) 18190 points scored
    – a win over the Shags is all that is needed to qualify for July/August action. A loss would open the door for other teams but finals would still be more likely than not for the Ducks.


    Additional results needed to finish in the top 8 if Jan Juc loses

    Any 1 or more of
    Black Swamp 29ers (10-4) to defeat Useless Loop Virgins (7-7)
    Drouin Dropbears (13-1) to defeat Wedge Island White Pointers (7-7) vs
    Walpole Woylies (1-13) to defeat Mole Creek Glow-Worms (7-7)
    Maralinga Atoms (6-8) to defeat Rutherglen Fugitives (6-8)

    Further if they lose and all 4 results go against them Jan Juc could still qualify if Rutherglen is unable to make up a 107 point deficit on points scored.


    7th spot = Useless Loop (7-7) 17739 points scored
    – a win over the 29ers is all that is needed to qualify for July/August action. A loss would open the door for other teams and leave the Virgins to watch the ORFFF scoreboard to find out whether they need to make the finals.


    Additional results needed to finish in the top 8 if Useless Loop loses

    Any 2 or more of
    Drouin Dropbears (13-1) to defeat Wedge Island White Pointers (7-7) vs
    Walpole Woylies (1-13) to defeat Mole Creek Glow-Worms (7-7)
    Maralinga Atoms (6-8) to defeat Rutherglen Fugitives (6-8)


    8th spot = Wedge Island (7-7) 16543 points scored
    – a win over the Dropbears would be highly likely to see them finish in the top 8 given their 300 plus points scored buffer over Mole Creek and any team that can defeat the ladder leaders would be deserving finalists in my book. A loss would see them 95% likely to drop out on points scored to one or more of the 9th-12th placed teams



    9th spot = Mole Creek (7-7) 16203 points scored
    – given their low points scored they need to defeat bottom placed Walpole to remain alive for a remarkable finals berth, if they do so Maralinga and Dingo Beach would be eliminated, but Mole Creek’s fate would still depend on the results of the teams above them


    Additional results needed to finish in the top 8

    Any 1 or more of
    Black Swamp 29ers (10-4) to defeat Useless Loop Virgins (7-7)
    Drouin Dropbears (13-1) to defeat Wedge Island White Pointers (7-7)
    Heard Island Shags (3-11) to defeat Jan Juc Ducks (7-7)


    10th spot = Rutherglen Fugitives (6-8) 18083 points scored
    – their points scored gives them some chance but they must defeat Maralinga and rely on other results to keep their chances alive


    Additional results needed to finish in the top 8

    Any 2 or more of
    Heard Island Shags (3-11) to defeat Jan Juc Ducks (7-7) combined with Rutherglen outscoring Jan Juc by 108 points to edge ahead of the Ducks on Points Scored

    Black Swamp 29ers (10-4) to defeat Useless Loop Virgins (7-7)
    Drouin Dropbears (13-1) to defeat Wedge Island White Pointers (7-7)
    Walpole Woylies (1-13) to defeat Mole Creek Glow-Worms (7-7)


    11th spot = Maralinga Atoms (6-8) 16835 points scored
    – must defeat Rutherglen and rely on other results to keep their chances alive, if the Woylies don’t manage to scape up 15 fit players on Thursday night then the Atoms may as well begin to plan for 2017.


    Additional results needed to finish in the top 8

    Drouin Dropbears (13-1) to defeat Wedge Island White Pointers (7-7)
    Walpole Woylies (1-13) to defeat Mole Creek Glow-Worms (7-7)

    Further if Dingo Beach prevails over Mt Thirsty Maralinga will need to be within 229 points of Dingo Beach’s score to remain ahead on Points Scored. Basically it is likely that a score good enough for the Atoms to beat the Fugitives will be enough if the 2 results above go their way.


    12th spot = Dingo Beach Butchers (6-8) 16606 points scored
    – must defeat Mt Thirsty to keep their chances alive but even so the Butchers would be 25-1 or so given the current state of play


    Additional results needed to finish in the top 8
    Drouin Dropbears (13-1) to defeat Wedge Island White Pointers (7-7)
    Walpole Woylies (1-13) to defeat Mole Creek Glow-Worms (7-7)
    Maralinga Atoms (6-8) to defeat Rutherglen Fugitives (6-8) combined with Dingo Beach outscoring Maralinga by 230 points to edge ahead on Points Scored, so if Maralinga score in the upper 1100s it will be all but over for the Butchers.
     
    • Like Like x 5
  3. TheTassieHawk

    TheTassieHawk SC fanatic Staff Member

    Joined:
    Jan 3, 2016
    Messages:
    4,898
    Likes Received:
    3,475
    @choppers and @Len
    feel free to post your Round 15 progress match scores over the weekend if you have time as I will most likely be doing so once or twice for the Useless Loop vs Black Swamp matchup
     
    • Like Like x 1
  4. choppers

    choppers Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Jan 3, 2016
    Messages:
    2,463
    Likes Received:
    1,227
    Chinchilla's team for the trip to Neptune Is.
    DEF: Grundy Tuohy Wood Mackie (Collins)
    MID: JPK Pickens Stevens Armitage (McKenzie)
    RUC: Phillips
    FWD: Kerridge Dickson Montagna Zorko
    I/C: Sexton Harmes (Impey)

    Injured players unavailable: Naitanui Caddy Griffen Hall Currie Adams Higgins McLean
     
  5. TheTassieHawk

    TheTassieHawk SC fanatic Staff Member

    Joined:
    Jan 3, 2016
    Messages:
    4,898
    Likes Received:
    3,475
    Black Swamp (round 15, subject to change)

    In – Bartel, Cooney
    Out – McVeigh, Barlow

    Cutler Scott.D.Thompson (NM) Mayes Bartel - Geary
    JamesKelly Cotchin Grigg Viney - Newnes
    Cooney Westhoff Puopolo BenBrown - Bruce
    Sinclair - no emg
    JoelSelwood Bont - Masten
     
  6. leematty1

    leematty1 Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Jan 10, 2016
    Messages:
    592
    Likes Received:
    520
    Boozers looking for two in a row and double our season win tally in two weeks. One change, Cloke comes in to replace the injured Deledio.

    Suckling, Fantasia, sutcliffe, birchall (smith)
    TMitchell, smitchell, Goddard, Rockliff ()
    Martin(frost)
    JRiewoldt, Cloke, Motlop, Petrie (brown)
    gibson, boak ()
     
    • Like Like x 1
  7. Len

    Len Cockburn Knightrider Staff Member

    Joined:
    Jan 3, 2016
    Messages:
    8,750
    Likes Received:
    3,937
    The Avengers for round 15 look remarkably like this;

    DEFENDER
    Heath Shaw, Matthew Boyd, Zachary Williams, Luke Brown - Tom Sheridan
    MIDFIELDER
    Callan Ward, Adam Treloar, Edward CURNOW, Lachlan Hunter - Callum Mills
    RUCK
    Shaun Hampson
    FORWARD
    Eddie Betts, Jack Martin, Brandon MATERA, Chris Mayne - Eric Hipwood
    INTERCHANGE
    Scott Thompson, Andrew GAFF - Blake Acres
     
    • Like Like x 1
  8. stowie

    stowie Moderator

    Joined:
    Jan 3, 2016
    Messages:
    651
    Likes Received:
    415
    From the backline...

    D: Pittard, Docherty, Savage, Rosa (Atley)
    M: Dangerfield, Steven, Shuey, Scully (Suban)
    R: Mumford
    F: Walker, Walters, Wright, Lloyd (hopefully Conca or Lennon survive tonight)
    I: Duncan, Lobb (O'Rourke)
     
    • Like Like x 2
  9. YAD69

    YAD69 Moderator Staff Member

    Joined:
    Jan 3, 2016
    Messages:
    1,636
    Likes Received:
    869
    Virgin's Team for Round 15

    D - Simpson, May, Hurn, Biggs (Wellington)
    M - Neale, Sidebottom, Priddis, R Gray (Vandenberg)
    R - Griffin (Hannath)
    F - JJ Kennedy, Johnson, Hutchings, Schulz, (Sicily)
    I - Mundy, I Smith
     
    • Like Like x 1
  10. ViQBoZ

    ViQBoZ Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Jan 3, 2016
    Messages:
    592
    Likes Received:
    666
    Mole Creek had it's toughest choice at the selection table this week with several worthy players missing out

    B: B.Smith, A.McDonald-Tipungwuti, B.Stretch, A.Francis (J.Aish)
    M: P.Cripps. A.Miles, M.Wallis, C.Petracca (J.Gresham)
    R: M.Daw
    F: C.Bird, I.Heeney, S.Gray, D.Kent (J.Anderson)
    I: J.Cripps, T.Miller (C.Curnow)
     
    • Like Like x 1
  11. YAD69

    YAD69 Moderator Staff Member

    Joined:
    Jan 3, 2016
    Messages:
    1,636
    Likes Received:
    869
    NIN Team for Round 15

    D - Johannisen, J Howe, Rich, Haynes (Malceski)
    M - Sloan, Zaka, Kelly, Tyson (J Smith)
    R - Gawn
    F - N Riewoldt, Lyons, Menzel, Weller (J Hill)
    I - Ross, Badtinac (Leuy)
     
    • Like Like x 1
  12. tyze1

    tyze1 Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Jan 3, 2016
    Messages:
    1,603
    Likes Received:
    1,255
    Fugitives R15

    Must win and hope results go our way... will be a keen onlooker this weekend hopefully we get some rolling updates from around the grounds

    No Change


    DEF:
    Macmillan Talia Rampe Harbrow (Gleeson)
    MID: Pendlebury Shiel Jack Macrae (Parish)
    RUC:Ceglar
    FWD: Lynch Gunston Edwards Wells (Crozier)
    I/C: Watts Hodge (Roughead)
     
    • Like Like x 1
  13. DamoH

    DamoH Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Jan 3, 2016
    Messages:
    1,002
    Likes Received:
    804
    Maralinga (realistically for the final time in 2016):

    D: Burgoyne, Reid, Trengove, Lonergan (Williams)
    M: Coniglio, Gibbs, NDS, A. Swallow (Dunkley)
    R: McEvoy
    F: Martin, Wingard, Stanley, Boyd (Lang)
    I: B.Crouch, Dumont (Redden)
     
    • Like Like x 1
  14. anthak

    anthak Moderator Staff Member

    Joined:
    Jan 3, 2016
    Messages:
    8,116
    Likes Received:
    2,949
    Good luck to all.
    I just finished work and am at the footy, so ill post my team later. Its locked and loaded in tsLeagues
     
  15. tyze1

    tyze1 Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Jan 3, 2016
    Messages:
    1,603
    Likes Received:
    1,255
    Fugitives doing their bit early to secure a finals berth

    Fugitives 305 / 3
    Atoms 308 / 4
     
  16. Len

    Len Cockburn Knightrider Staff Member

    Joined:
    Jan 3, 2016
    Messages:
    8,750
    Likes Received:
    3,937
    Avengers are 1/103 vs the Power's 3/251
     
  17. TheTassieHawk

    TheTassieHawk SC fanatic Staff Member

    Joined:
    Jan 3, 2016
    Messages:
    4,898
    Likes Received:
    3,475
    Hey all, not wanting to highjack the thread but I was wondering if anyone can assist with testing of the ORFFF progress scores spreadsheet?

    The Excel spreadsheet relies on Macros so you would have to have your Macros Settings enabled.


    Basically the testing is just to

    Paste Game Data into the spreadsheet (ie Game 1 data gets pasted into Column A of the Game 1 spreadsheet, which I did last night, Same for Games 2 through 9) then Press two macro buttons to update the ORFFF scoreboard.


    The ROUND Scores DATA is of course from the ALL PLAYER STATS page on
    http://supercoach.heraldsun.com.au/afl/classic/gameday?leaguenum=2



    The two buttons (for Game 2) are the UPLOAD GAME 2 scores to current round page button and the Move to and REFRESH SCOREBAORD button

    (similar for games 3 to 9)


    I need one or two people to each try to do this once or twice over the weekend, preferably once on Saturday and once on Sunday.

    Note the spreadsheet is still under development and hasn’t solved the Tom Lynch/Tom Lynch problem, or the more common problem whereby the name of the player in Supercoach (for example Dan Hanneberry) does not match the name of the player in TsLeagues (for example Daniel Hanneberry).

    So the scoreboard shown during testing will have some errors, which is OK as I am hopeful of getting the majority of outstanding problems addressed between now and next week, I just want to make sure the data is easy to upload to the spreadsheet.

    Current file attached (had to zip because TS didn't seem to want to recognise and upload a .xlsm file extension)


    Cheers
    TTH
     

    Attached Files:

  18. Len

    Len Cockburn Knightrider Staff Member

    Joined:
    Jan 3, 2016
    Messages:
    8,750
    Likes Received:
    3,937
    3 games in and the Power have hit the lead powerfully
    Power 570/6 @95
    Avengers 410/5 @82
     
  19. TheTassieHawk

    TheTassieHawk SC fanatic Staff Member

    Joined:
    Jan 3, 2016
    Messages:
    4,898
    Likes Received:
    3,475
    standard disclaimer applies but here are possible scores after the Melb vs WCE game was posted, still early doors in some games in any case

    ORFFFrd15 605by385.png
     
    • Like Like x 1
  20. TheTassieHawk

    TheTassieHawk SC fanatic Staff Member

    Joined:
    Jan 3, 2016
    Messages:
    4,898
    Likes Received:
    3,475
    update after the sat night games (and adding alex fasolo onto DBB's score)
    ORFFFrd15 605by385 v3.png
    It looks like Drouin, Neptune Island and Mole Creek have their Round15 games under control while most others could go down to the wire.

    If so, Mole Creek (@ViQBoZ) would therefore displace Wedge Island (@Bearfly) in the 8 (and eliminate Maralinga and Dingo Beach), while Rutherglen (@tyze1) needs to take the choccies against the Atoms firstly then look for the 29ers and/or Shags to do them a favour to tip out the Virgins or Ducks.

    The Fugitive's task of catching Jan Juc on points for appears to still be a possibility, with Gunston, Hodge, Ceglar, Shane Edwards and Dylan Shiel needing to do the heavy lifting for the Riverina boys to improve their chances, while Hanley, Mitch Robbo and Jezza Cameron can seal the Ducks a finals spot with a win over Heard Island or significantly boost their points scored enough to boost their chances of remaining ahead on that count with strong efforts.

    The Chumps have certainly left the door open for the Avengers in the battle for the top 4 heading into Sunday, however the Power have a decent chance of a win to close their season with Rance, Valustin, Hill, Ebert, Hartlett and Young looking to overcome the Avengers lead of 68 points with Hampson and the coaches beloved trio of Shaw, Williams and Ward to play.
     

    Attached Files:

    Last edited: Jul 24, 2016
    • Like Like x 3

Share This Page